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BB BlackBerry Limited

Technology

steady quality, premium valuation.

8.21
8.21 Close (USD) Loading candles…

Is BlackBerry Limited a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is above average. Operating margin sits near the 63th percentile.

  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 93th percentile, above most peers.

  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 65th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $118.3M.

  • Signals are active now. Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

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Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 98.30076465590484%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

9 historical occurrences (since 2017-04-28)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 44.4%, Sample 9, Median -2.6%, Excess +12.87%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%;60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 9, Median +6.85%, Excess +6.62%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%;120-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median +3.49%, Excess -5.71%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +1.21%

20-day +14.91%
60-day +8.37%
120-day +1.21%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
44.4%
66.7%
50%
Sample
9
9
8
Median
-2.6%
+6.85%
+3.49%
Excess
+12.87%
+6.62%
-5.71%
Beat mkt rate
44.4%
66.7%
50%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.21%, lagged the market by 5.71 pts; win rate 50%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 13.956941351150709%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2019-09-25)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median +0.28%, Excess -0.44%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%;60-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -13.86%, Excess -13.05%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%;120-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -24.72%, Excess -24.84%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%

120 days after: historical avg -19.38%

20-day +2.04%
60-day -10.99%
120-day -19.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Sample
6
6
6
Median
+0.28%
-13.86%
-24.72%
Excess
-0.44%
-13.05%
-24.84%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
16.7%
16.7%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 19.38%, lagged the market by 24.84 pts; win rate 16.7%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 78.50000000000001%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

32 historical occurrences (since 2015-03-27)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 34.5%, Sample 29, Median -3.89%, Excess -2.46%, Beat mkt rate 24.1%;60-day: Win 34.5%, Sample 29, Median -11.74%, Excess -0.33%, Beat mkt rate 31%;120-day: Win 48.1%, Sample 27, Median -1.15%, Excess +0.81%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +8.67%

20-day -0.1%
60-day +2.48%
120-day +8.67%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
34.5%
34.5%
48.1%
Sample
29
29
27
Median
-3.89%
-11.74%
-1.15%
Excess
-2.46%
-0.33%
+0.81%
Beat mkt rate
24.1%
31%
33.3%

Over 27 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.67%, beat the market by 0.81 pts; win rate 48.1%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,702 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.12%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.76 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +20.67%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +16.23 pts on average.

Continue researching BlackBerry Limited with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.