Filed revenue acceleration
Active · now 22.64894600827432%TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.
PBR-A Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
- Quality
- Top tier
- Valuation
- Fair
Key signals
18.52 Close (USD) Loading candles…
Is Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Quality is top-tier. Operating margin ranks above roughly 85% of the liquid US common-stock universe. TTM ROE is about 28.0%.
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Valuation is middle-of-pack. TTM P/E is near the 52th percentile.
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Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 33th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $138.1M.
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Signals are active now. Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.
Valuation
GoodFree-cash-flow yield is Top, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 4.66
Price / book 1.28
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 15.67
Quality
StrongROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 28.02
Operating margin, TTM (%) 32.68
FCF margin, TTM (%) 17.65
Growth
GoodDiluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 22.65
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 86.38
Momentum
StrongAll 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 32.03
240-day return (%) 77.01
Risk / liquidity
Good20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Fair.
20-day dollar volume 138,130,049
60-day annualized volatility (%) 30.12
Watchlist
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Historical evidence
Signals active now
Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
Valuation regime and forward returns
Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.
0-20 +24.3%
20-40 -4.1%
40-60 -4.6% Now
60-80 +54.5%
80-100 Insufficient data
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 332 | +24.3% | +16.5% | 77.4% | +8.5% |
| 20-40 | 72 | -4.1% | -3% | 30.6% | -29.5% |
| 40-60 You are here | 375 | -4.6% | -12.6% | 20.3% | -20.8% |
| 60-80 | 96 | +54.5% | +57.8% | 100% | +32.6% |
| 80-100 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.
Current TTM P/E is about 4.66, placing it in the 43.6 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.
Valuation × momentum analogs
Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+9.9%
212d
Now
+7.4%
238d
+7.9%
51d
60-day momentum down
+10.2%
152d
+3.3%
291d
+3.4%
51d
Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 238 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.4%, win rate 52.9%, lagged the market by 3.8%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Market-wide momentum baseline
Across 98,702 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.12%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.76 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.
Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Signals not active now
Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.
52-week adjusted-price high
PendingAdjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.09%, win rate 46.2%, beating the market by -2.17 pts on average.
Top-quintile 6-month momentum
PendingThe stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.
20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.12%, win rate 63.2%, beating the market by +1.81 pts on average.
EPS surprise beat
PendingReported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.02%, win rate 61.1%, beating the market by -1.45 pts on average.
Continue researching Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras with the evidence above.
Continue in Studio ↗Method and limits
- Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
- Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
- Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
- The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
- Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
- Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.