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PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc.

Technology

strong quality, premium valuation.

Quality
Top tier
Valuation
Expensive
Key signals
Filed revenue acceleration
189.67
189.67 Close (USD) Loading candles…

Is Palantir Technologies Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is top-tier. Operating margin ranks above roughly 90% of the liquid US common-stock universe. TTM ROE is about 30.9%.

  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 98th percentile, above most peers.

  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 76th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $4,670.8M.

  • Signals are active now. Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

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Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 78.92124221826103%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

13 historical occurrences (since 2021-05-12)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 76.9%, Sample 13, Median +7.29%, Excess +5.38%, Beat mkt rate 69.2%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +9.6%, Excess +12.62%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%；120-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 11, Median +40.6%, Excess +43.02%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%

120 days after: historical avg +52.46%

20-day +7.25%
60-day +18.52%
120-day +52.46%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
76.9%
66.7%
72.7%
Sample
13
12
11
Median
+7.29%
+9.6%
+40.6%
Excess
+5.38%
+12.62%
+43.02%
Beat mkt rate
69.2%
58.3%
72.7%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 52.46%, beat the market by 43.02 pts; win rate 72.7%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,702 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.12%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.76 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.15%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +12.54 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.36%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +7.04 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +29.51%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by +25.08 pts on average.

Continue researching Palantir Technologies Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.