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SNX TD Synnex Corp

Technology

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

Quality
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Key signals
Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration EPS surprise beat
263.03
263.03 Close (USD) Loading candles…

Is TD Synnex Corp a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 41th percentile. TTM ROE is about 14.2%.

  • Valuation is middle-of-pack. TTM P/E is near the 69th percentile.

  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 46th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $267.9M.

  • Signals are active now. Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Watchlist

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Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 90.3143585386576%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

15 historical occurrences (since 2016-09-27)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +4.95%, Excess +0.32%, Beat mkt rate 60%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 15, Median +5.99%, Excess -0.2%, Beat mkt rate 46.7%；120-day: Win 28.6%, Sample 14, Median -6.17%, Excess -5.76%, Beat mkt rate 14.3%

120 days after: historical avg +0.41%

20-day +3.09%
60-day +7.06%
120-day +0.41%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
66.7%
28.6%
Sample
15
15
14
Median
+4.95%
+5.99%
-6.17%
Excess
+0.32%
-0.2%
-5.76%
Beat mkt rate
60%
46.7%
14.3%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.41%, lagged the market by 5.76 pts; win rate 28.6%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 24.1089093297878%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

13 historical occurrences (since 2018-04-06)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 12, Median +4.81%, Excess +2.87%, Beat mkt rate 83.3%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -2.2%, Excess -1.9%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；120-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -4.59%, Excess -4.55%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

120 days after: historical avg -5.23%

20-day +4.48%
60-day -1.75%
120-day -5.23%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
83.3%
45.5%
27.3%
Sample
12
11
11
Median
+4.81%
-2.2%
-4.59%
Excess
+2.87%
-1.9%
-4.55%
Beat mkt rate
83.3%
45.5%
45.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 5.23%, lagged the market by 4.55 pts; win rate 27.3%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 20.851063829787222%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

26 historical occurrences (since 2015-01-12)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median +0.67%, Excess +1.76%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 24, Median +10.12%, Excess +4.24%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%；120-day: Win 60.9%, Sample 23, Median +6.84%, Excess +3.39%, Beat mkt rate 34.8%

120 days after: historical avg +11.19%

20-day +3.86%
60-day +8.37%
120-day +11.19%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
66.7%
60.9%
Sample
24
24
23
Median
+0.67%
+10.12%
+6.84%
Excess
+1.76%
+4.24%
+3.39%
Beat mkt rate
50%
62.5%
34.8%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.19%, beat the market by 3.39 pts; win rate 60.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 80+153.4% +151.6% 100% +111.1%
20-40 35+81.2% +95.7% 100% +49%
40-60 66+61.3% +64.6% 100% +35.4%
60-80 136+41.8% +38% 100% +16.5%
80-100 You are here1119+13.4% +10.5% 62.5% +2.5%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 16.03, placing it in the 81.6 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+39.1%
Win rate 91.9% Excess +22%
37d
+38.8%
Win rate 77.7% Excess +25.6%
112d
Now
+10.7%
Win rate 66% Excess +3.1%
792d
60-day momentum down
+63.9%
Win rate 100% Excess +40.5%
56d
Insufficient data
(17d)
+9.6%
Win rate 66.4% Excess +5.6%
542d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 792 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 10.7%, win rate 66%, beat the market by 3.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,702 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.12%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.76 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.57%, win rate 57.9%, beating the market by +2.96 pts on average.

Continue researching TD Synnex Corp with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.