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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 00682U 期元大美元指數. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=00682U

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00682U

期元大美元指數 Futures ETF As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

1 signal active.

1 active signal
252d high
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 期元大美元指數 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 49籌碼 48

Price and fund-flow snapshot

  • 外資近期中性。外資近 20 日買賣超大致持平。

Chip flow

Bullish +0.27
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 國票證券 holds 256 lots
  • sellers have 11 lots left, ~55 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +1% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國票證券 has accumulated 256 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 元大-竹科 peaked at 77 lots, has sold 86%, 11 left, ~55 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.01pp, mid holders -1, retail +0.92pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -4 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國票證券元大證券台新富邦證券永豐金-竹科康和-嘉義
Distributing
元大-竹科台新-台中
Desks
own scale
元富凱基-長庚永豐金證券臺銀-民權
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國票證券 +256
    sold 0%
  • 元大證券 +175
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 台新 +25
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦證券 +15
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金-竹科 +11
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 康和-嘉義 +10
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 元大-竹科 11 left
    sold 86%· ~55 sessions to clear
  • 台新-台中 1 left
    sold 80%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元富 -267
    unclassified
  • 凱基-長庚 -55
    unclassified
  • 永豐金證券 -36
    unclassified
  • 臺銀-民權 -31
    unclassified
Still selling 11 lots ~55 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +66 absorbed / -2 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Active

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

18 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-10)
Average forward return after 股價創 252 日新高（突破日）。20-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +0.25%, Excess -0.87%, Beat mkt rate 41.2%；60-day: Win 58.8%, Sample 17, Median +0.51%, Excess -1.77%, Beat mkt rate 35.3%；120-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +0.62%, Excess -2.61%, Beat mkt rate 35.3%

120 days after: historical avg +0.64%

20-day +0.32%
60-day +0.76%
120-day +0.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.9%
58.8%
52.9%
Sample
17
17
17
Median
+0.25%
+0.51%
+0.62%
Excess
-0.87%
-1.77%
-2.61%
Beat mkt rate
41.2%
35.3%
35.3%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.64%, lagged the market by 2.61 pts; win rate 52.9%.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.09%, win rate 85.7%, beating the market by +3.86 pts on average.

What is 期元大美元指數? Tracked index, holdings and distributions

ETF(期貨信託基金/匯率商品) 上市(臺灣證券交易所 TWSE)

Overview

本檔為元大投信(元大證券投資信託股份有限公司)發行與經理之指數股票型期貨信託基金。基金全名為「元大標普美元指數傘型期貨信託基金之元大標普美元ER指數股票型期貨信託基金」,屬於「期貨信託 ETF」(代號帶 U 字尾,為期貨型 ETF 變體,非營運公司股票)。經理公司:元大投信;保管銀行:中國信託商業銀行;基金成立日約 2017/03/06,於臺灣證券交易所上市日約 2017/03/14;經理費約 0.50%、保管費約 0.15%(費率以最新公開說明書為準);配息政策為不配息(收益併入淨值)。基金經理人資料來源顯示為黃議玄(經理人可能異動,以投信最新公告為準)。

Business

本基金為被動式管理之期貨信託 ETF,追蹤「標普美元ER指數(S&P US Dollar Futures Index Excess Return,ER 為超額報酬版本)」,透過持有美國洲際交易所(ICE Futures U.S.)掛牌之美元指數期貨(US Dollar Index Futures,DX)來複製美元指數(DXY)走勢。投資組合以美元指數期貨為主(約佔 99% 以上),其餘為現金、保證金及應收利息。商業模式為收取經理費與保管費,提供投資人以新台幣參與美元相對一籃子主要貨幣(歐元、日圓、英鎊、加幣、瑞典克朗、瑞士法郎)強弱的工具,常用於匯率避險或看多美元的部位佈局;因屬 ER 指數且採期貨換倉,長期會受轉倉成本與正/逆價差影響,並非單純現貨美元報酬。風險報酬等級屬低波動度類別。

Outlook 2025–2028

作為被動追蹤美元指數的工具,其表現非由公司營運決定,而取決於 2025–2028 年美元相對歐日英等主要貨幣的強弱:主要驅動因素包含 Fed 與其他主要央行之利率政策差異、美國經濟與通膨數據、避險情緒與地緣政治、以及美國財政與美元信用議題。若美國維持相對較高利差或避險需求上升,美元偏強有利本基金;反之 Fed 降息循環、美元走弱則不利。潛在風險與挑戰:期貨轉倉成本(roll cost)、追蹤誤差、匯率政策不確定性、流動性與折溢價風險,以及期貨信託 ETF 特有的下市/清算門檻風險(若規模過小)。投資人應視其為波段/避險工具而非長期持有的收益型資產。以上為依產品性質之推估,非保證。

Sources（8）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。