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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 00935 野村臺灣新科技50. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=00935

00935

野村臺灣新科技50 Domestic ETF As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

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估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 62籌碼 5

Price and fund-flow snapshot

  • 外資近期偏賣。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 -12.4%(賣超)。

Chip flow

Bearish -0.39
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 國泰-敦南 holds 15,819 lots
  • sellers have 2,974 lots left, ~400 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +81% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰-敦南 has accumulated 15,819 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 統一-城中 peaked at 8,351 lots, has sold 70%, 2,520 left, ~6 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -5.11pp, mid holders +22, retail +4.30pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -9,960 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰-敦南國泰證券花旗環球新光玉山證券國票-敦北法人
Distributing
統一-城中美林華南永昌臺銀-民權香港上海匯豐元大-佳里
Desks
own scale
元大證券富邦證券群益金鼎台新
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰-敦南 +15,819
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +7,071
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +3,673
    sold 0%
  • 新光 +3,040
    sold 3%· still adding
  • 玉山證券 +2,809
    sold 22%· still adding
  • 國票-敦北法人 +2,750
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 統一-城中 2,520 left
    sold 70%· ~6 sessions to clear
  • 美林 640 left
    sold 79%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌 1,125 left
    sold 25%· paused recently
  • 臺銀-民權 208 left
    sold 62%· paused recently
  • 香港上海匯豐 225 left
    sold 47%· paused recently
  • 元大-佳里 229 left
    sold 45%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元大證券 -58,681
    unclassified
  • 富邦證券 -39,075
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎 -37,372
    unclassified
  • 台新 -34,706
    unclassified
Still selling 2,974 lots ~400 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +15,123 absorbed / -4,713 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -485 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月,每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件;這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬,等權平均為 6.99%,平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點,在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬,再對月份平均;超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號(歷史統計供參)

這些訊號現在沒有發生,列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高(突破日)

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資(不含自營商)買賣超連續 5 日為正,事件日為第 5 日;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.37%, win rate 92.3%, beating the market by +3.87 pts on average.

What is 野村臺灣新科技50? Tracked index, holdings and distributions

ETF-科技主題型(被動式指數股票型基金,主要成分為電子/半導體) 上市(臺灣證券交易所 TWSE)

Overview

00935「野村臺灣新科技50」為野村投信(野村證券投資信託股份有限公司)發行並經理的被動式指數股票型基金(ETF),非營運公司。基金於2023年10月23日成立、2023年11月1日於臺灣證券交易所(TWSE)掛牌上市。經理費0.4%、保管費0.035%,總費用率約0.64%;收益分配採半年配(約每年3月、9月各配息一次)。截至2026年6月,基金規模約新臺幣400~450億元、受益人數約8.9萬人,風險報酬等級為RR5(最高等級)。基金經理人、保管機構等細節以野村投信公開說明書為準。

Business

00935追蹤「臺灣指數公司特選臺灣上市上櫃FactSet創新科技50指數」,為台灣首檔創新科技主題型ETF。指數編製採多層篩選:先以FactSet RBICS產業分類認定創新科技營收占比達50%以上、發行市值達新臺幣50億元以上且須編製永續報告書;再以研發費用占營收比例(前75%高或達2%以上)、股價動能與獲利能力篩選,最後依市值遞減選取50檔成分股。涵蓋AI、半導體、電動車、雲端運算等多項創新科技領域,並橫跨上中下游(IC設計、晶圓製造、封測、電子零組件、電腦及週邊)。產業高度集中於電子/半導體(半導體約佔5~7成)。前十大成分股以台積電(約23%)、聯發科(約16.5%)、台達電(約11%)、日月光投控、國巨、聯電、欣興、智邦、致茂、奇鋐等為主,權重隨指數定期審核而變動。近年單次配息約0.6~1.2元,2025全年合計約1.35元、現金殖利率約3~5%。

Outlook 2025–2028

展望2025~2028,00935的表現與台灣科技/半導體景氣高度連動。主要成長動能來自AI伺服器、先進製程、高效能運算與雲端資料中心需求,以及電動車、散熱、ABF載板、網通與被動元件等供應鏈擴張;台積電、聯發科、台達電等權值成分股的獲利擴張將主導淨值與配息。風險與挑戰包括:產業集中度極高(幾乎全為科技/半導體)使波動度較大、風險等級為最高的RR5;單一個股(台積電)權重偏高的集中風險;以及全球景氣循環、美中科技與關稅政策、新台幣匯率、AI需求若不如預期等變數。作為被動式ETF,其報酬主要取決於追蹤指數成分股表現與追蹤誤差,而非個別公司之營運決策。

Sources(7)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價(etl:adj_close)計算,已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數(含息)為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算,不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日,避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊,統計僅描述歷史分布,樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途,不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險,過去績效不代表未來表現,交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。