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2022

聚亨 Iron & Steel As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal

Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 聚亨 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 聚亨 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 27th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.3%.
Valuation is high.PE is in the 96th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 98th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.5% of volume (net buy).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 24.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.91

BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
台新-高雄 holds 3,695 lots
sellers have 174 lots left, ~30 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -14% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 台新-高雄 has accumulated 3,695 lots since the start (sold 14%), now trimming.
Main distributor 美林 peaked at 518 lots, has sold 69%, 163 left, paused recently.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +1.78pp, mid holders +6, retail -2.42pp — concentration shifting upward.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,061 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

台新-高雄元大-土城永寧富邦-南京元大-永和元大證券群益金鼎-士林

Distributing

美林摩根大通台中銀台灣摩根士丹利凱基-東港群益金鼎-永和

Desks

own scale

凱基-台北美商高盛永豐金-中壢宏遠-桃園

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

台新-高雄 +3,695

sold 14%
元大-土城永寧 +798

sold 0%· still adding
富邦-南京 +718

sold 9%· still adding
元大-永和 +709

sold 3%
元大證券 +559

sold 0%· still adding
群益金鼎-士林 +426

sold 11%

Distributing

美林 163 left

sold 69%· paused recently
摩根大通 70 left

sold 85%· paused recently
台中銀 38 left

sold 79%· paused recently
台灣摩根士丹利 27 left

sold 85%· paused recently
凱基-東港 50 left

sold 64%· paused recently
群益金鼎-永和 58 left

sold 36%· paused recently

Desks

凱基-台北 -1,148

day-trade · selling pressure
美商高盛 -615

hedge desk · will cover
永豐金-中壢 -364

unclassified
宏遠-桃園 -320

unclassified

Still selling 174 lots ~30 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +1,225 absorbed / -139 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -913 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 24.16%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

84 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)

120 days after: historical avg -2.56%

20-day +2.07%

60-day +2.31%

120-day -2.56%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

44.7%

48.6%

36.6%

Sample

Median

-0.92%

-0.7%

-6.96%

Excess

+0.98%

+0.26%

-5.19%

Beat mkt rate

34.2%

33.8%

26.8%

Over 71 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.56%, lagged the market by 5.19 pts; win rate 36.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 Insufficient data

20-40 Insufficient data

40-60 Insufficient data

60-80 Insufficient data

80-100 Insufficient data Now

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return
0-20	0	Insufficient data
20-40	0	Insufficient data
40-60	0	Insufficient data
60-80	0	Insufficient data
80-100 You are here	25	Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 169.17, at the 98.5th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

Insufficient data
(0d)

Now

-18.4%

Win rate 0% Excess -30.8%

54d

60-day momentum down

Insufficient data
(0d)

-10.6%

Win rate 22% Excess -39.7%

91d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 54 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 18.4%, win rate 0%, lagged the market by 30.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.32%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by +7.7 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

54 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.2%, win rate 47.2%, beating the market by -3.18 pts on average.

What does 聚亨 do? Company profile

鋼鐵工業；線材盤元、螺絲螺帽／扣件台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

聚亨企業股份有限公司為台灣上市普通股，股票代號2022，市場別為上市，產業別為鋼鐵。公司成立於1980/12/03，掛牌／上市日期為1995/03/27，總部位於高雄市岡山區新樂街79-1號，統一編號79841479。公司英文簡稱TYCOONS，董事長為黃文松，總經理為呂艷娟，發言人王敏華。主要業務為螺絲、球化線材、機械零件。股本約新台幣3,371,681,380元，已發行普通股337,168,138股；簽證會計師事務所為安永聯合會計師事務所，股務代理為福邦證券。重要子公司包含聚亨企業集團（泰國）大眾有限公司，主要經營螺絲產銷，所在地泰國。公開資料顯示董監持股約7.19%至7.2%；2023年董監持股資料曾列博田投資有限公司、黃文松、呂艷娟等為主要董監持股相關方。較舊資料顯示億昇投資曾為大股東且屬董事長家族關係人，但此為2013年資料，現況未能以最新年報逐項確認。2025年度合併財報公告顯示營業收入9,341,621千元、營業毛利934,850千元、營業利益93,767千元、稅前淨利131,519千元、本期淨利119,951千元、歸屬母公司業主淨損6,115千元、EPS為-0.02元，期末總資產10,459,441千元、總負債3,484,091千元、歸屬母公司業主權益3,434,036千元。

Business

聚亨為線材盤元與螺絲扣件廠，集團具備由鋼胚、盤元、球化線材到螺絲、螺栓、鋼筋的一貫化垂直整合能力。主要產品包括球化線材、盤元、大螺絲、建築用螺絲、球化線材及螺絲熱處理加工等；公司官網亦列示盤元、線材、螺絲扣件與垂直整合服務，台灣聚亨主力產品包含鑽尾螺絲、牆用螺絲、木螺絲、塑板螺絲、鐵板螺絲與剪力釘。2024年營收結構依MoneyDJ整理為螺絲37%、盤元24%、線材24%、鋼筋8%、加工業務3%。盤元除供內部加工成球化線材外，也依國內需求直接銷售；球化線材主要內銷供應螺絲、螺帽、手工具與其他五金零件廠；螺絲產品主要外銷歐美，終端應用包含產業機械、電子、電器、家具、建築、運輸設備與各類工業產品。商業模式以鋼鐵原料與線材加工、螺絲扣件製造、海外據點與通路布局、垂直整合降低成本為核心；泰國廠提供盤元、線材與螺絲產能，並支援東協市場及台灣用料。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以景氣循環修復、海外料源、線材深加工、自動化降本與貿易風險管理為主軸。成長動能方面，聚亨可受惠於泰國與東協鋼材／扣件需求、建築及基礎建設用鋼筋與螺絲需求、歐美工業與建築扣件補庫存，以及從鋼胚到抽線的一貫作業帶來的成本與品質優勢；2026年市場報導亦指出公司參與國際扣件展搶單，並以一貫作業優勢維持接單能量。公司近年策略重點包括掌握東協原料來源、深化泰國與越南基礎、導入產線自動化、改善抽線與酸洗等高成本製程、推動廢酸／廢油／廢液回收等循環經濟，以降低電費、環保與廢棄物處理成本。產業趨勢方面，扣件需求長期與建築、汽車、機械、五金及工業生產連動；高利率後的建築景氣、模組化建築、可追溯與高性能扣件、低碳製程及供應鏈區域化，均可能提高對具規模與品質管理能力廠商的要求。主要風險包含全球螺絲業景氣仍低迷、國際鋼價波動與價差壓縮、台灣電價及環保成本上升、新台幣匯率升值壓力、美國Section 232與鋼鋁／鋼製衍生品關稅對輸美扣件競爭力的衝擊、歐美需求不確定、泰國內需或地震後鋼筋需求若屬短期因素可能形成高基期，以及中國與東南亞低價競爭。2025年度雖合併本期淨利為正，但歸屬母公司仍小幅虧損且不配發股利，顯示復甦品質仍需觀察毛利率、鋼價、泰國廠稼動率、自動化降本成效與月營收延續性。2027至2028年若全球降息循環帶動建築與工業需求回溫、貿易關稅趨於可預期、東協布局發揮料源與通路優勢，聚亨有機會改善獲利；反之若鋼價低迷、關稅高企或出口訂單不振，獲利修復可能延後。

Supply Chain

Upstream

聚亨企業集團（泰國）大眾有限公司／泰聚亨-DR 911622 關係企業及重要料源／產能據點；MoneyDJ指出聚亨主要從泰國聚亨採購盤元以生產球化線材，泰國廠亦生產盤元、線材、螺絲與鋼筋。911622為台灣掛牌DR，非一般台灣普通股。
太宇股份有限公司／泰國電爐廠關係企業或歷史轉投資體系之一，提供鋼胚、盤元上游煉鋼能力；屬海外／未確認為台灣上市櫃公司。
中鋼 2002 台灣盤元與鋼材主要供應／同業之一；公開資料列為盤元主要競爭同業，亦屬台灣鋼材供應鏈核心公司，但未確認為聚亨特定供應商。
燁興 2007 台灣線材盤元同業及潛在上游鋼材供應鏈企業；MoneyDJ列為盤元主要競爭同業，未確認為聚亨特定供應商。

Downstream

國內螺絲／螺帽廠商聚亨球化線材主要內銷供應下游螺絲、螺帽廠；公開資料未揭露個別客戶名稱。
手工具與五金用品配件廠商盤元與球化線材加工後供應手工具、五金用品配件等下游；公開資料未揭露個別客戶名稱。
歐美地區扣件進口商、通路商與工業客戶螺絲產品主要外銷歐美，用於產業機械、電子、電器、家具、建築、運輸設備與各項工業產品；多為海外或未揭露客戶。
建築、運輸設備、產業機械、電子電器終端應用客戶螺絲與扣件終端應用產業；屬應用市場描述，非單一台股掛牌公司。

Competitors

中鋼 2002 盤元主要競爭同業之一，亦為台灣鋼鐵龍頭。
燁興 2007 盤元主要競爭同業之一，屬線材盤元相關鋼鐵廠。
豐興 2015 盤元主要競爭同業之一，產品涵蓋鋼筋、型鋼、盤元等。
官田鋼 2017 盤元主要競爭同業之一。
春雨 2012 球化線材與螺絲扣件相關競爭同業之一。
晉椿 2064 球化線材主要競爭同業之一，為上櫃鋼鐵線材廠。
恒耀 8349 台灣螺絲螺帽與扣件同業，產品應用於汽車與工業扣件。
世豐 2065 台灣螺絲扣件同業，產品以建築與工業螺絲為主。
大成鋼 2027 鋼鐵通路與扣件相關同業，財報狗螺絲螺帽族群代表公司之一。
大國鋼 8415 扣件與鋼鐵通路相關同業，財報狗螺絲螺帽族群代表公司之一。

Sources（16）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.