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3036A

文曄甲特 Other Securities As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

1 signal active.

1 active signal
252d high
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 文曄甲特 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 50籌碼 50

Is 文曄甲特 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

估值

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

50 Neutral
本益比 —
N/A
股價淨值比 —
N/A
殖利率(%) —
N/A

Chip flow

Neutral +0.09
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 元大證券 holds 2,447 lots
  • sellers have 10 lots left, ~17 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +0% · branches to 2026-02-11· TDCC to 2026-02-26

  • Largest holder 元大證券 has accumulated 2,447 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 合庫-台中 peaked at 17 lots, has sold 41%, 10 left, ~17 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.19pp, mid holders -5, retail +2.39pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -14 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大證券京城新光-台中新光-台南兆豐-復興玉山-嘉義
Distributing
合庫-台中
Desks
own scale
元大-雙和新光元大-中壢土銀
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大證券 +2,447
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 京城 +330
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新光-台中 +229
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新光-台南 +215
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 兆豐-復興 +140
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山-嘉義 +136
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 合庫-台中 10 left
    sold 41%· ~17 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-雙和 -782
    unclassified
  • 新光 -654
    unclassified
  • 元大-中壢 -597
    unclassified
  • 土銀 -520
    unclassified
Still selling 10 lots ~17 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +3,713 absorbed / -6 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Active

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

17 historical occurrences (since 2021-10-29)
Average forward return after 股價創 252 日新高（突破日）。20-day: Win 64.7%, Sample 17, Median +0.59%, Excess -1.38%, Beat mkt rate 47.1%；60-day: Win 87.5%, Sample 16, Median +1.18%, Excess -3.13%, Beat mkt rate 43.8%；120-day: Win 76.9%, Sample 13, Median +2.42%, Excess -3.42%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120 days after: historical avg +3.04%

20-day +0.49%
60-day +1.56%
120-day +3.04%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.7%
87.5%
76.9%
Sample
17
16
13
Median
+0.59%
+1.18%
+2.42%
Excess
-1.38%
-3.13%
-3.42%
Beat mkt rate
47.1%
43.8%
53.8%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.04%, lagged the market by 3.42 pts; win rate 76.9%.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。