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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3115 富榮綱. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3115

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3115

富榮綱 Electronic Components As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 富榮綱 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 28品質 8成長 98動能 50籌碼 40

Is 富榮綱 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 獲利能力偏弱。營業利益率僅勝過全市場約 1% 的個股。最新一季 ROE 約 -1.4%。

  • 估值偏貴。本益比落在全市場第 96 百分位，比多數個股貴。以自身歷史看，目前本益比約在第 70 百分位。

  • 外資近期偏賣。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 -0.6%（賣超）。

  • 營收高成長。最新月營收年增率約 317.4%，超過 20% 的成長門檻。

Chip flow

Bullish +0.26
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 國泰-高雄 holds 200 lots
  • sellers have 16 lots left, ~65 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -14% · branches to 2026-06-15· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰-高雄 has accumulated 200 lots since the start (sold 5%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 華南永昌-楠梓 peaked at 51 lots, has sold 82%, 9 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders -1, retail +0.88pp — little change.
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰-高雄永豐金-新竹台新-左楠富邦-嘉義富邦-高雄富邦-宜蘭
Distributing
華南永昌-楠梓第一金-路竹兆豐-新營兆豐-新莊元大-永春富邦-建國
Desks
own scale
元大-松江元大-松山元大-復北富邦-陽明
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰-高雄 +200
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 永豐金-新竹 +180
    sold 0%
  • 台新-左楠 +122
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-嘉義 +83
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 富邦-高雄 +72
    sold 0%
  • 富邦-宜蘭 +59
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 華南永昌-楠梓 9 left
    sold 82%· paused recently
  • 第一金-路竹 13 left
    sold 55%· ~65 sessions to clear
  • 兆豐-新營 4 left
    sold 73%· paused recently
  • 兆豐-新莊 1 left
    sold 90%· paused recently
  • 元大-永春 1 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 富邦-建國 4 left
    sold 33%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元大-松江 -645
    unclassified
  • 元大-松山 -83
    unclassified
  • 元大-復北 -56
    unclassified
  • 富邦-陽明 -53
    unclassified
Still selling 16 lots ~65 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +58 absorbed / -3 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）

Active · now 317.43%

單月營收年增率達 20% 以上；事件日為公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到未公告資訊

73 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after 月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）。20-day: Win 40.6%, Sample 69, Median -2%, Excess +0.34%, Beat mkt rate 39.1%；60-day: Win 38.2%, Sample 68, Median -3.16%, Excess -3.56%, Beat mkt rate 29.4%；120-day: Win 30.9%, Sample 68, Median -5.65%, Excess -7.38%, Beat mkt rate 29.4%

120 days after: historical avg -4.39%

20-day +0.62%
60-day -1.77%
120-day -4.39%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40.6%
38.2%
30.9%
Sample
69
68
68
Median
-2%
-3.16%
-5.65%
Excess
+0.34%
-3.56%
-7.38%
Beat mkt rate
39.1%
29.4%
29.4%

Over 68 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 4.39%, lagged the market by 7.38 pts; win rate 30.9%.

估值位階與後續報酬

把這檔股票每天的本益比，換算成「截至當天為止的自身歷史百分位」，再看不同估值位階之後 240 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 10Insufficient data
60-80 You are here108+80.9% +107.4% 99.1% +60.5%
80-100 150+55% +66.7% 69.3% +28.8%

百分位以當天為止的自身歷史滾動計算（expanding），不含未來資訊；前瞻報酬為還原股價 240 交易日。樣本日重疊，僅供分布參考。

目前本益比約 99.21，落在自身歷史第 70.5 百分位，屬於 60-80 區間。

估值 × 動能的歷史對照

把自身歷史的每一天，依估值位階（本益比自身歷史三分位）與 60 日動能方向分成六格，看各情境之後 120 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

Valuation
Momentum
便宜
中等
昂貴
向上
Insufficient data
(0d)
+60.4%
Win rate 84.8% Excess +57.3%
33d
-11.2%
Win rate 8.7% Excess -31.7%
127d
向下
Insufficient data
(0d)
+119.9%
Win rate 100% Excess +116.1%
41d
Now
+30.5%
Win rate 51.8% Excess +17.6%
137d

Currently in “昂貴（自身歷史後 1/3） × 60 日動能向下”: across 137 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 30.5%, win rate 51.8%, beat the market by 17.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.2%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +6.9 pts on average.

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。