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3617

碩天 Other Electronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 碩天 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 65Quality 78Growth 66Momentum 48Chips 66

Is 碩天 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 77th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.3%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 26th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 75th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.6% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 21.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.41
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 富邦證券 holds 128 lots
  • sellers have 239 lots left, ~41 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 富邦證券 has accumulated 128 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台灣摩根士丹利 peaked at 227 lots, has sold 53%, 107 left, ~30 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.07pp, mid holders +3, retail -1.28pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -524 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
富邦證券元大-豐原站前永豐金-匯立群益金鼎台新-新店元大-中崙
Distributing
台灣摩根士丹利香港上海匯豐花旗環球凱基-高雄凱基-高美館富邦-新竹
Desks
own scale
凱基-台北美林元大證券台新
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 富邦證券 +128
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-豐原站前 +98
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 永豐金-匯立 +92
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎 +85
    sold 6%· still adding
  • 台新-新店 +73
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-中崙 +67
    sold 13%

Distributing

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 107 left
    sold 53%· ~30 sessions to clear
  • 香港上海匯豐 57 left
    sold 30%· ~41 sessions to clear
  • 花旗環球 18 left
    sold 59%· paused recently
  • 凱基-高雄 14 left
    sold 61%· paused recently
  • 凱基-高美館 15 left
    sold 57%· paused recently
  • 富邦-新竹 9 left
    sold 73%· paused recently

Desks

  • 凱基-台北 -337
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 美林 -222
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大證券 -156
    unclassified
  • 台新 -115
    unclassified
Still selling 239 lots ~41 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +666 absorbed / -121 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -140 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 21.49%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

50 historical occurrences (since 2009-12-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 46.9%, Sample 49, Median -0.9%, Excess +2.21%, Beat mkt rate 53.1%；60-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 49, Median +5.61%, Excess +6.26%, Beat mkt rate 51%；120-day: Win 59.2%, Sample 49, Median +9.46%, Excess +14.11%, Beat mkt rate 59.2%

120 days after: historical avg +20.22%

20-day +3.16%
60-day +8.6%
120-day +20.22%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
46.9%
57.1%
59.2%
Sample
49
49
49
Median
-0.9%
+5.61%
+9.46%
Excess
+2.21%
+6.26%
+14.11%
Beat mkt rate
53.1%
51%
59.2%

Over 49 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 20.22%, beat the market by 14.11 pts; win rate 59.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 615+32.8% +30% 70.7% +9.9%
20-40 596+31.6% +13.5% 77% +22.3%
40-60 757+12.6% +0.5% 50.9% -2.4%
60-80 You are here574+4.1% -0.5% 49.7% -15%
80-100 396+58.5% +7.9% 61.9% +39.1%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 14.98, at the 74.7th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+28.4%
Win rate 78.6% Excess +22.3%
510d
+6%
Win rate 43% Excess +0.1%
690d
Now
+0.7%
Win rate 42.7% Excess -7.6%
553d
60-day momentum down
+14.2%
Win rate 63.7% Excess -0.7%
532d
+6.2%
Win rate 47.5% Excess -4.1%
583d
+21.2%
Win rate 77.4% Excess +16.6%
190d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 553 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 0.7%, win rate 42.7%, lagged the market by 7.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.79%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +9.02 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

63 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.18%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +3.48 pts on average.

What does 碩天 do? Company profile

電子工業－其他電子業 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

碩天科技股份有限公司成立於1997年6月27日，總部位於台北市內湖區金莊路26號11樓，為自有品牌 CyberPower 的電源保護與電源管理解決方案公司。股票於2009年12月23日在台灣證券交易所上市。董事長於2026年5月26日由郭瑾改為何濂洵，總經理為何濂洵，發言人為陳健中。實收資本額約新台幣9.48億元；公司官網投資人頁仍列示941,660,490元與94,166,049股，2025年報及市場資料則顯示限制員工權利新股後流通在外普通股為94,766,049股，故本研究以約9.48億元表達並在備註說明差異。員工人數方面，2025年報揭露母公司員工366人，截至2026年3月31日仍為366人；公司全球營運與研發、生產、銷售據點員工規模未由年報完整揭露。2026年3月28日前十大主要股東包括寧遠投資5,700,000股、先越投資5,688,993股、智遠投資5,609,974股、力衡投資4,533,352股、茂飛投資4,516,025股、捷成投資4,461,028股、澹志投資3,800,000股、鴻創投資3,535,450股、達群投資2,879,046股、靜德國際2,500,000股。

Business

公司主要業務為不斷電電源供應系統（UPS）、資料中心電源管理、電源保護與管理設備、電源轉換器、電腦週邊配件、太陽光電逆變器、儲能設備、遠端電源管理軟體與模組等產品的設計、製造與銷售。2025年度營收結構：不斷電電源系統約55.98%，資料中心電源管理約33.52%，電源保護及管理設備約8.35%，電源轉換器及電腦週邊設備與配件約2.15%。2025年合併營收為新台幣118.699億元，較2024年124.920億元減少4.98%，稅後純益13.756億元，EPS 14.47元。銷售地區以外銷為主，2025年美洲72.01%、歐洲及非洲10.42%、亞洲及大洋洲13.54%、其他2.66%、內銷1.37%。商業模式以自有品牌 CyberPower 為核心，自有品牌比重超過90%（含通路商與電信營運商貼牌），透過零售、經銷、系統商與部分貼牌業務銷售；公司在北美主要零售通路與經銷通路銷售，應用涵蓋家用與辦公電腦、伺服器機房、資料中心、通訊機房、醫療、交通、政府、學校、企業與電信基礎設施。年報揭露2025年單一A客戶占銷貨淨額21.80%，但未揭露客戶名稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年已知結果顯示，公司營收年減4.98%，但產品組合中資料中心電源管理占比提升至33.52%，毛利率維持高檔，反映公司往高階資料中心與智慧電源管理產品移動。2026年至2028年主要成長動能包括：1. AI、雲端服務、邊緣運算、5G與資料中心建置帶動UPS、PDU、遠端監控、機架電源分配與備援電源需求；公司年報引用研究機構資料，預估全球UPS市場2025至2034年CAGR約7.0%，資料中心基礎架構市場2025至2034年CAGR約13.4%。2. 公司將加大鋰電池解決方案與產品應用，並持續投入智慧化、節能、高可靠度與網路安全相關技術。3. CyberPower在北美零售通路UPS品牌具領先地位，若能持續提升市占、擴展新興市場與系統商通路，營收有機會恢復成長。4. 自有生產基地與安規實驗室有助於掌控成本、品質與交期，並支撐產品認證與客製化。主要風險與挑戰包括：美國與全球關稅政策、地緣政治與供應鏈重組、匯率波動、電池與半導體等原物料成本、資料中心資本支出循環、品牌與通路競爭、網路資安要求、法規與能效標準升級，以及北美銷售集中度高。2027至2028具體財務數字公司未公開，本段為基於年報、法說與產業資料之趨勢推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 電池供應商（多家，未揭露個別公司） 上游主要原物料之一；年報稱供應廠商眾多，單一廠商進貨比重未逾10%，未揭露具名供應商。
  • 變壓器供應商（多家，未揭露個別公司） UPS與電源轉換產品關鍵零組件；年報未揭露具名供應商。
  • 半導體電子零件供應商（多家，未揭露個別公司） 電力電子控制、通訊介面、遠端管理模組與電源轉換所需零組件；年報未揭露具名供應商。
  • 塑膠料、鐵殼、PCB、線材供應商（多家，未揭露個別公司） 機構件、板件與連接材料供應；公司表示供應來源分散且供貨狀況良好。
Downstream
  • Best Buy 北美零售通路商，美國上市公司，銷售CyberPower UPS與電源管理產品。
  • Walmart 北美大型零售通路商，美國上市公司，銷售CyberPower產品。
  • Office Depot 北美辦公用品零售通路；非台股掛牌。
  • Ingram Micro 北美資訊產品經銷商；非台股掛牌，年報與MoneyDJ資料列為經銷通路。
  • Tech Data 資訊產品經銷商；非台股掛牌，年報與MoneyDJ資料列為經銷通路。
  • D&H 北美資訊產品經銷商；未上市或非台股掛牌，為經銷通路。
  • Verizon 美國上市電信商，MoneyDJ資料列為客戶之一，主要應用於網路設備與基地台不斷電系統。
  • AT&T 美國上市電信商，MoneyDJ資料列為客戶之一，主要應用於通訊機房與電信設備備援電源。
  • A客戶 2025年報揭露單一A客戶占全年銷貨淨額21.80%，但未公開名稱，與公司關係為無。

Competitors

  • 台達電 2308 台股上市公司，資料中心電源、UPS、電源管理與電力電子領域具競爭關係。
  • 旭隼 6409 台股上市櫃公司，UPS與電源轉換器相關產品同業，MoneyDJ列為國內競爭廠商。
  • 盈正 3628 台股上市櫃公司，UPS與電源保護相關同業。
  • 科風 3043 台股上市櫃公司，UPS與電源保護相關同業。
  • 施耐德電機／APC 國際UPS與資料中心電力基礎設施競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • Eaton 美國上市公司，UPS、電力管理與資料中心電源設備競爭者。
  • Vertiv 美國上市公司，資料中心電力與機房基礎設施競爭者。
  • Emerson 美國上市公司，過往資料列為國際競爭者；部分資料中心電源相關業務已歷經重組，仍以歷史同業脈絡列示。
Sources（10）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.