Ask AI to review this stock
Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.
Tell your AI:
Help me set up FinLab and analyze 4126 太醫. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=4126
4126
strong quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 太醫 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
-
Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~84% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.5%.
-
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 33th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 56th percentile.
-
Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.8% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -4% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 兆豐證券 has accumulated 300 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 國票-長城 peaked at 126 lots, has sold 76%, 30 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.16pp, mid holders +1, retail +0.02pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -104 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 兆豐證券 +300
- 玉山證券 +104
- 華南永昌-民權 +90
- 國泰證券 +65
- 兆豐-新竹 +60
- 中國信託-忠孝 +52
Distributing
- 國票-長城 30 left
- 美林 25 left
- 臺銀-高雄 9 left
- 港商野村 9 left
- 元大證券 14 left
- 台灣摩根士丹利 9 left
Desks
- 永豐金-匯立 -855
- 台中銀 -204
- 兆豐-北高雄 -194
- 新光 -131
Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 975 | +15.8% | +10.4% | 76.4% | -2% |
| 20-40 | 665 | +4.7% | +5.9% | 69.8% | -15.1% |
| 40-60 You are here | 421 | -0.9% | +2.6% | 56.8% | -18% |
| 60-80 | 392 | -5.5% | -5.3% | 35.5% | -21.8% |
| 80-100 | 489 | +3% | +4.9% | 64.4% | -6% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 16.52, at the 56.4th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 594 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 0.9%, win rate 66.7%, lagged the market by 5.8%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
36 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.79%, win rate 52.8%, beating the market by +1.06 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
70 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.06%, win rate 70.7%, beating the market by +6.07 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
53 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.48%, win rate 53.8%, beating the market by -2.23 pts on average.
What does 太醫 do? Company profile
Overview
4126 對應證券為太醫,正式公司名稱為太平洋醫材股份有限公司,屬上櫃普通股而非 ETF、ETN、特別股、權證或 REIT。公司成立於 1977/08/06,總部與主要營運據點位於新竹科學園區苗栗縣銅鑼鄉九湖村銅科二路8號,2004/02/09 上櫃掛牌。官方公司概況列示實收資本額 726,000,000 元、普通股 72,600,000 股,股務代理為福邦證券,簽證會計師為勤業眾信。公開資料顯示董事長為鍾安婷、總經理為江孟洸、發言人為王昱婷。台灣就業通資料列員工數 812 人,但公司簡介文字另有約750人之描述,故員工規模以約750至812人區間看待較保守。主要股東方面,公司官網主要股東名單曾列截至2025/04/14可耀股份有限公司10.42%、益發股份有限公司8.07%、鍾安婷6.49%等;2025/08/05公開資訊觀測站重大訊息轉載顯示,可成科技透過可耀、益盛、益德、益發、益釧、可仁醫學科技等子公司合計持有太醫33.35%,成為最重要策略股東之一。
Business
太醫主要從事一次性拋棄式醫療耗材研發、製造與銷售,並經營醫療氣體用儀器、儀表、工程設備,以及醫院中央氣體工程之設計、施工、維修與保養。產品線包含管類、密閉式抽痰套、胸腔引流瓶、精密尿袋、抽吸套、真空傷口引流套、醫療氣體出口面板、儀器儀表、工程設備及其他醫療耗材。2025年法說會資料顯示產品營收分布約為管類26%(6.20億元)、密閉式抽痰管23%(5.42億元)、傷口引流套12%(2.88億元)、袋類9%(2.15億元)、器類9%(2.11億元)、醫療儀器5%、客製套類8%、其他8%;另一彙整資料亦顯示醫療耗材約94.7%、醫療儀器及醫建工程約5.3%。商業模式採 OEM/ODM 與 OBM 並行:成熟市場如歐美日多以國際醫材品牌代工、設計代工為主,新興市場與台灣、中國、東南亞等區域則推自有品牌 PAHSCO 與當地通路合作。2025年區域營收分布以日本28.1%、台灣15.7%、其他歐洲13.1%、中國10.8%、其他亞洲11.1%、北美9.1%、德國6.0%、中東及其他3.6%、中南美2.5%為主;外銷比重約84%、內銷約16%。終端應用涵蓋重症照護、呼吸治療、麻醉、外科手術、傷口引流、新生兒照護、無菌防護與醫院醫療氣體系統。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年公司營收為2,405,903千元,年增2.59%,產品組合中管類與密閉式抽痰管仍為主要成長來源;2025年密閉式抽痰管年增約12.6%,整體產品年增約2.6%。展望2025至2028,主要成長動能包括:一、日本、其他歐洲、其他亞洲等市場擴張,2025年日本與其他歐洲在公司說明與媒體報導中均為較強區域;二、後疫情時代感染防控規格提高,支撐密閉式抽痰管、管袋套類耗材及院內感染控制產品需求;三、全球高齡化、慢性病盛行、醫療支出上升與手術量恢復,有利一次性醫療耗材長期使用量;四、公司持續優化產能利用率、物料與排程管理、淘汰低階低毛利品項、推動綠色產品設計與法規取證,並加強中東、拉丁美洲、其他亞洲與其他歐洲等新興市場經銷策略。2026至2028的產業背景上,法說會引用資料預估全球醫材市場2023至2027年CAGR約5.3%至5.5%,2027年市場規模約6,530億美元;2028年未見公司明確量化財測,合理推估仍受高齡化、慢性病、感染控制與新興市場醫療支出支持。主要風險包括新台幣、美元、日圓、人民幣與歐元匯率波動,原物料與人工成本上升,運費、關稅與各國醫材法規認證成本增加,成熟市場價格競爭,OEM客戶庫存調整,醫院採購節奏變動,以及產品品質與法規合規風險。
Supply Chain
- 醫療級塑膠、矽膠、橡膠及樹脂原料供應商 上游原料供應;太醫產品多為一次性管、袋、瓶、套類耗材,推定主要使用PVC、PP、PE、ABS、PU/TPU、矽膠、橡膠等醫療級材料。公司未在可查公開資料中揭露具名供應商。
- 包材、滅菌、無塵室耗材與加工服務供應商 支援醫療耗材製造、包裝、滅菌及無菌品質管理;具名供應商未公開揭露。
- 模具、自動化設備、醫療氣體設備零組件供應商 支援管類、瓶袋、抽吸套、醫療氣體出口面板、儀器儀表與工程設備之製造及組裝;具名供應商未公開揭露。
- 歐美日國際醫療器材品牌與OEM/ODM客戶 成熟市場主要客戶群,太醫以OEM/ODM模式供應一次性醫療耗材;多數客戶名稱未公開揭露,屬海外或非台股掛牌公司。
- 台灣與新興市場經銷商、醫療院所及醫療工程客戶 自有品牌PAHSCO及醫療氣體工程通路;終端包含台灣醫療院所與中國、東南亞、中東、拉丁美洲等通路商,多數非上市櫃或未揭露。
- 臺大醫院、臺北榮民總醫院、馬偕醫院、振興醫院等大型醫療院所 歷史資料提及醫療氣體設備工程系統或醫療院所應用案例;均非台股上市櫃公司。
Competitors
- 邦特 4107 台灣上櫃醫療耗材廠,產品涵蓋血液透析耗材、TPU導管、血管導管、外科管類等,與太醫在管類與醫療耗材領域部分競爭。
- 明基醫 4116 台灣上櫃醫療器材公司,StockFeel列為太醫手術與治療業務同業競爭者。
- 鐿鈦 4163 台灣上櫃醫療器材公司,聚焦微創手術器械及醫療零組件,與太醫在醫材供應鏈與醫療器械領域部分重疊。
- 雃博 4106 台灣上櫃醫療器材公司,產品涵蓋呼吸治療、壓力照護與居家醫療相關設備,屬醫療器材同業。
- 佳醫 4104 台灣上市醫療服務與醫療通路公司,StockFeel列為太醫同業競爭者,但其商業模式較偏醫療服務與通路。
- 杏昌 1788 台灣上櫃醫療器材通路與醫療耗材相關公司,StockFeel列為手術與治療同業。
- Kimberly-Clark 國際醫療耗材大廠,美國上市公司,歷史資料指出其為抽痰管等感染控制耗材的重要國際競爭者。
- B. Braun 德國非台股掛牌醫療器材與耗材大廠,於導管、輸液、手術與醫療耗材領域具國際競爭力。
- Johnson & Johnson 美國上市醫療保健與醫療器材大廠,歷史資料曾提及其在傷口引流產品與相關醫材領域為國際競爭者。
Sources(15)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.