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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 4555 氣立. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=4555
4555
quality needs a look, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 氣立 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 34th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.2%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 95th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.0% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +17% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 國泰證券 has accumulated 1,047 lots since the start (sold 25%), now trimming.
- Main distributor 台新 peaked at 317 lots, has sold 81%, 61 left, ~5 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.02pp, mid holders +3, retail -2.25pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -413 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 國泰證券 +1,047
- 福邦證券 +710
- 富邦-員林 +243
- 第一金-路竹 +207
- 統一 +109
- 台新-緯城 +96
Distributing
- 台新 61 left
- 玉山-新莊 38 left
- 港商野村 50 left
- 新加坡商瑞銀 34 left
- 國票-中正 20 left
- 宏遠-台中 22 left
Desks
- 富邦-仁愛 -253
- 凱基-台北 -208
- 統一-台中 -185
- 玉山-雙和 -147
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 331 | -0.4% | -1.5% | 35.6% | -3.7% |
| 20-40 | 185 | +8.6% | +9.6% | 76.2% | -29.1% |
| 40-60 | 205 | -3.6% | -9.2% | 41.5% | -37.3% |
| 60-80 | 142 | +3.2% | +2% | 54.9% | -23.5% |
| 80-100 You are here | 245 | +6.7% | +2.6% | 66.1% | -33.3% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 203.91, at the 95.4th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 205 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 4.2%, win rate 32.7%, lagged the market by 60.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
15 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.69%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -9.88 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
38 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.21%, win rate 45.5%, beating the market by -6.09 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
21 times historically; 60-day forward avg -5.13%, win rate 38.1%, beating the market by -11.65 pts on average.
What does 氣立 do? Company profile
Overview
台灣氣立股份有限公司成立於1986年11月19日，總部位於新北市泰山區貴鳳街21號，股票於2015年10月27日在台灣證券交易所上市，代號4555，屬普通股上市公司。公司英文簡稱CHELIC，統一編號22301178。董事長為游平政；總經理由游博勳於2026年5月29日接任，原總經理為游平政。年報揭露截至2026年3月31日流通在外普通股69,987,653股，實收資本額約新台幣699,876,530元，核定股本100,000,000股。員工人數2025年底為912人，2026年3月31日為896人。主要股東截至2026年3月31日包括政雄投資15.01%、游平政9.44%、上博投資9.13%、上嘉投資8.75%、富爾投資7.95%、陳玉鳳7.43%、游博勳4.21%、游嘉儷3.73%。公司在中國大陸設有上海、深圳、浙江等子公司與營運基地，2024年設立泰國子公司，2025年完成簡易組裝廠房與試產。
Business
氣立主要從事氣動控制元件、氣動執行元件、氣源處理元件、氣動輔助元件，以及上游精密金屬製造之研發、生產與銷售，並以自有品牌CHELIC行銷國內外市場。主要產品包括氣缸、機械夾、電磁閥、機械閥、手動閥、真空發生器、真空吸盤、各式接頭、調壓器、過濾器、給油器、油霧分離器、鋁製金屬壓鑄加工與組裝、感應器、油壓緩衝器、壓力傳感器、電動滑台、電動夾爪等。2025年合併營收新台幣1,602,951千元，年增7.47%；產品結構為氣動元件974,792千元、占60.81%，其他628,159千元、占39.19%。銷售地區2025年為內銷10.15%、中國74.68%、其他外銷15.17%，中國仍是主要市場。商業模式以自有品牌、直營據點與經銷並重，並透過中國上海松江、浙江平湖等生產基地支援在地化供貨，近年向半導體、醫療、化工、液冷散熱與智慧工廠應用延伸。年報揭露最近二年度無單一客戶占銷售總額達10%以上，客戶結構未具名揭露。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年公司營運已由2024年虧損轉為小幅獲利，合併營收1,602,951千元、稅後淨利28,818千元、歸屬母公司淨利13,563千元、EPS 0.19元；毛利與營業利益改善，反映產品組合、成本管控與需求復甦。2026年公司揭露的營運重點包括：超音波流量感測器、智慧能源管理器、靈巧手等新品完成客戶端測試後，預期帶動半導體、醫療、化工等應用業績成長；精密金屬製造業務受AI帶動自動化設備需求增加而穩定上升；泰國子公司完成建置與試產後，2026年可提升整體產能並強化東南亞銷售。2025至2028年的主要成長動能預期來自全球製造業缺工與自動化、AI帶動半導體設備與機器人需求、氣動元件小型化/集成化/智能化/氣電結合、液冷散熱與節能監控需求。2027至2028屬推估：若半導體、醫療、化工、液冷散熱新品驗證順利，氣立可望由傳統氣動元件供應商逐步提高感測器、電控元件、智慧能源管理與靈巧手等高附加價值產品比重；東南亞產能與通路若放大，可降低中國單一市場與關稅風險。主要風險包括中國氣動元件市場競爭激烈、SMC/AirTAC/FESTO等大廠市占高、同業低價搶單、新產業驗證週期長、半導體與自動化設備景氣循環、關稅與貿易壁壘、原物料與鋁合金價格波動、海外布局執行風險。
Supply Chain
- 鋁湯及鋁合金原料供應商（年報匿名A供應商） 2025年占進貨淨額28%，主要供應鋁湯及鋁合金原料；年報未揭露公司名稱，非可確認台股掛牌公司。
- 金屬材料供應商 氣動元件上游包含鋁合金、青銅、中碳鋼等金屬材料；未揭露具名供應商。
- 塑膠射出與零組件供應商 年報揭露氣動元件產業上游包含塑膠射出產品與相關零組件；未揭露具名供應商。
- 自製與外購自動化設備/加工設備 公司持續導入與自製自動化設備，用於提升產線效率、氣密測試、電磁閥測試、流量感測器測試與機器手臂展示等；未揭露具名設備供應商。
- 自動化設備與機械設備製造商 公司產品為自動化產線關鍵零組件，下游包含自動化設備、機械設備與各類生產線；年報未揭露具名重大客戶。
- 半導體設備與電子製造產線客戶 氣動元件、超音波流量感測器、藥液閥、無塵室用調壓閥等產品切入半導體與電子製造設備應用；年報未揭露具名客戶。
- 工業機器人與智慧工廠應用客戶 電動夾爪、靈巧手、機械手應用與氣電結合產品對應工業機器人、協作機器人與智慧工廠需求；年報未揭露具名客戶。
- 工具機、汽車、食品、紡織、塑化、生技醫療與能源產業客戶 年報列為氣動元件主要應用領域，需求來自自動化、節能、潔淨與穩定製程；未揭露具名客戶。
- 中國與東南亞經銷/代理通路 中國為主要銷售市場，公司採直營與經銷並重；泰國與越南等東南亞據點用於提高區域供應與服務能力。
Competitors
- 亞德客-KY 1590 台股上市公司，AirTAC品牌；年報列為中國氣動元件主要競爭品牌之一，產品涵蓋電磁閥、氣缸與氣動輔助元件。
- 君帆 4584 台股上櫃公司，主力為液壓元件，亦經營氣壓元件與自動化系統整合，部分氣壓元件應用與氣立重疊。
- SMC 日本上市公司SMC Corporation，全球氣動元件龍頭之一；非台股掛牌，年報列為主要競爭品牌。
- FESTO 德國自動化與氣動元件大廠，非台股掛牌，年報列為主要競爭品牌。
- CKD 日本上市氣動、自動化與流體控制元件廠，非台股掛牌，年報列為主要競爭品牌。
- Parker Hannifin 美國上市運動與控制技術大廠，PARKER品牌；非台股掛牌，年報列為主要競爭品牌。
- Norgren 英國/國際氣動與流體控制品牌，屬IMI集團相關品牌；非台股掛牌，年報列為主要競爭品牌。
Sources（10）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.