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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 4768 晶呈科技. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=4768

4768

晶呈科技 Chemicals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 晶呈科技 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 10Quality 16Growth 87Momentum 49Chips 9

Is 晶呈科技 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 20th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -1.9%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 99th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 99th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -5.5% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 64.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.52
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 兆豐-松德 holds 267 lots
  • sellers have 248 lots left, ~26 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -9% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 兆豐-松德 has accumulated 267 lots since the start (sold 2%), now trimming.
  • Main distributor 凱基-信義 peaked at 447 lots, has sold 60%, 179 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -8.20pp, mid holders -5, retail +9.76pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,169 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
兆豐-松德宏遠-館前國泰-敦南台新-大裕元富中國信託-高雄
Distributing
凱基-信義摩根大通永豐金證券玉山-板橋國票-博愛凱基
Desks
own scale
國泰證券港商野村台灣摩根士丹利凱基-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 兆豐-松德 +267
    sold 2%
  • 宏遠-館前 +150
    sold 0%
  • 國泰-敦南 +140
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-大裕 +125
    sold 0%
  • 元富 +118
    sold 0%
  • 中國信託-高雄 +94
    sold 10%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-信義 179 left
    sold 60%· paused recently
  • 摩根大通 51 left
    sold 86%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金證券 25 left
    sold 87%· ~2 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-板橋 33 left
    sold 73%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 國票-博愛 59 left
    sold 50%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 凱基 21 left
    sold 76%· paused recently

Desks

  • 國泰證券 -898
    unclassified
  • 港商野村 -852
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -690
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 凱基-台北 -570
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 248 lots ~26 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +582 absorbed / -380 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1,556 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 64.24%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

54 historical occurrences (since 2022-04-13)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 30, Median -1.37%, Excess +1.34%, Beat mkt rate 23.3%;60-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 28, Median +2.68%, Excess +6.24%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%;120-day: Win 60%, Sample 25, Median +3.37%, Excess +3.88%, Beat mkt rate 32%

120 days after: historical avg +15.79%

20-day +3.61%
60-day +11.95%
120-day +15.79%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
57.1%
60%
Sample
30
28
25
Median
-1.37%
+2.68%
+3.37%
Excess
+1.34%
+6.24%
+3.88%
Beat mkt rate
23.3%
35.7%
32%

Over 25 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 15.79%, beat the market by 3.88 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 1Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 1264.1, at the 98.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(19d)
Now
+144.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +107%
59d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(0d)
+176.3%
Win rate 100% Excess +146.5%
43d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 59 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 144.2%, win rate 100%, beat the market by 107%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +24.29%, win rate 80%, beating the market by +10.95 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +19.3%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +10.79 pts on average.

What does 晶呈科技 do? Company profile

化學工業;半導體特殊材料、電子級特殊氣體與濕式化學品 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

4768 對應晶呈科技股份有限公司,為櫃買中心上櫃普通股,非 ETF、ETN、權證或特別股。公司成立於 2010/12/16,總部位於苗栗縣竹南鎮公義路 462 巷 58 號,2022/04/13 上櫃掛牌。董事長兼總經理為陳亞理,發言人張永宏。Yahoo 股市資料顯示股本為新台幣 474,879,690 元、已發行普通股 47,487,969 股;2024 年報列示 2025/03/29 流通在外普通股 45,226,638 股,後續因股利配股等使股本增加。員工規模依 2024 年報:2024 年底 129 人、2025/03/31 為 137 人,其中研發 32 人、製造 51 人。主要股東依 2025/03/29 年報:陳亞理 12.52%、國泰人壽全權委託國泰投信投資帳戶(台股十五)6.66%、郭淑齡 2.66%、張惟傑 2.31%、張坤祥 2.01%、張惟森 1.71%、張登凱 1.68%、張永宏 1.48%、詹偉明 1.47%、湯文萬 1.31%。重要轉投資包含南京晶咏呈新材料有限公司、亞欣達特殊材料、台灣芯電應用科技、創視媒體科技等。

Business

晶呈科技由半導體與太陽能產業設備、材料代理起家,逐步轉型為半導體先進材料製造商。主要業務為精密化學品之生產製造與銷售、特殊材料銷售與代理、精密設備暨零組件銷售與代理。核心產品是半導體製程特殊氣體,包含 C4F8、SiF4、C3F8、C4F6、CH2F2、F2 mixture、SF6、Xe、Kr、Neon 與 Neon mixture 等,應用於黃光、蝕刻、薄膜、擴散/離子植入、設備清洗與雷射製程;另有 ReBirth 矽晶圓重生服務、CMW/銅磁晶片、CMµLED、TransVivi Pixel、半導體級 Stripper 去光阻液、TGV 玻璃通孔基板與太陽能相關雷射設備、鎢繩等零組件。2024 年產品營收結構:精密化學品 969,268 仟元、占 95.32%;特殊材料 13,392 仟元、占 1.32%;精密設備暨零組件 11,145 仟元、占 1.09%;勞務收入暨其他 23,055 仟元、占 2.27%。2025 年前三季法說資料顯示營收 581,679 仟元,其中特殊氣體 530,571 仟元、占 91.21%;濕式化學品 17,297 仟元、占 2.97%;其他 33,811 仟元、占 5.82%。2025 年全年公開營收資料為 1,229,279 仟元、年增 20.89%;新聞報導稱 2025 年稅後純益 1,868 萬元、EPS 0.39 元。商業模式包含自製高純度特殊氣體、濕式化學品與先進材料,並搭配部分代理商品與代工服務;客戶集中於半導體晶圓製造、封測、平面顯示器、Mini/Micro LED、太陽能與半導體材料供應鏈。年報揭露 2024 年前兩大客戶為代號 C016(國內半導體代工大廠,銷售占 46.71%)與 C117(中國特種氣體供應商,銷售占 14.65%),公司未公開客戶全名。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年核心觀察為特殊氣體在地化、先進封裝 TGV、Stripper 去光阻液與晶圓重生服務能否放量。公司 2025 年第三季法說指出,2025 年前三季營收與獲利低於 2024 年同期,主因雷射氣體報價下跌、出口原物料成本上升與研發/擴產費用增加;但 2025 年第四季起特殊氣體鋼瓶出貨展望提高,並設定 2026 年特殊氣體 C4F6、F2/N2 營收成長目標大於 30%,TGV 成長目標大於 100%,Stripper 成長目標大於 50%,TransVivi display 成長目標大於 30%。製造面,一廠量產 C4F8、C4F6、Laser Gas、全品項特氣四級製造、ReBirth Phase 1 與 TransVivi Pixel Phase 1;二廠量產/試產 Stripper、TGV LADY Glass Core Line 1、F2,並裝機 BCl3、AHF;三廠規劃 C4F6 一級製造設備自製廠與 250T 合成工廠,法說資料估 2026 年第二季完工。年報短期計畫包括提升特殊氣體、ReBirth 與貿易商品市占率、建立 ReBirth 月產 4 萬片產能、建立 TGV 月產 1 萬片產能;長期計畫包括增加特殊氣體品項、拓展韓國、印度、日本、美國、歐洲與新加坡市場、擴大 TGV 銷售市占率、發展 Mini/Micro LED 相關產品。產業動能來自 AI/HPC、先進製程、記憶體復甦、半導體材料國產化、先進封裝玻璃基板與環保替代清腔/去光阻材料需求。主要風險包括:客戶集中度高、特氣價格波動、原物料與稀有氣體供應波動、擴產時程與認證不確定、TGV/Stripper 新產品量產良率與客戶導入不確定、研發與資本支出墊高、負債比上升、半導體景氣循環、國際競爭者技術與價格競爭、化學品/毒化物法規與環安風險。2027 至 2028 的具體營收數字未見公司正式財測,僅能推估成長將取決於 2026 後三廠 C4F6、TGV、Stripper 產能利用率與海外客戶認證進度。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • Fluorine 2024 年報列為主要進貨供應商之一,年報未揭露完整法人名稱與掛牌資訊,推定為氟系原料或特殊氣體相關供應商,非可確認台股上市櫃公司。
  • ASTOR 2024 年報列為主要進貨供應商之一,年報未揭露完整法人名稱與掛牌資訊,非可確認台股上市櫃公司。
  • 史密斯 2024 年報列為主要進貨供應商之一,與發行人關係欄標示為是;年報未揭露完整法人名稱與掛牌資訊,非可確認台股上市櫃公司。
  • 石化副產品或基礎原料分解/合成製造商 年報產業鏈圖列示晶呈位於乾式/濕式化學品製造環節,上游包含石化副產品、基礎原料分解與合成製造;具體供應商多未公開。
  • 玻璃砂與無鹼玻璃製造商 TGV 玻璃通孔基板上游可能包含玻璃砂、無鹼玻璃與精密玻璃材料供應;年報僅揭露產業鏈類別,未確認特定供應商。
Downstream
  • C016(未揭露國內半導體代工大廠) 2024 年報列為第一大客戶,銷售額 474,930 仟元、占 46.71%;公司僅揭露為國內半導體代工大廠,銷售半導體蝕刻製程所需特殊氣體,未揭露全名,故 stock_id 設為 null。
  • C117(未揭露中國特種氣體供應商) 2024 年報列為第二大客戶,銷售額 148,983 仟元、占 14.65%;公司說明為中國特種氣體供應商,非台股掛牌或未能確認台股掛牌。
  • 半導體晶圓製造與封測客戶 特殊氣體、Stripper、ReBirth 與 TGV 主要下游;終端應用包含黃光、蝕刻、薄膜、擴散/離子植入、設備清洗、高階封裝與測試晶圓回收。
  • 平面顯示器與 LTPS-AMOLED 客戶 雷射氣體 XeCl 可應用於 LTPS 電晶體回火製程;客戶多未具名。
  • Mini/Micro LED 與大型顯示器客戶 CMW、CMµLED 與 TransVivi Pixel 應用於 Mini/Micro LED 顯示與大型顯示器,具體客戶未公開。

Competitors

  • 英特格 Entegris 美國上市公司;年報列為氟碳類蝕刻氣體與 Stripper 去光阻液競爭者。
  • 昭和電工/Resonac 日本上市/集團公司;年報列為氟碳類蝕刻氣體競爭者。
  • 關東電化工業 日本上市公司;年報列為氟碳類蝕刻氣體競爭者。
  • 日本中央硝子 日本上市公司;年報列為氟碳類蝕刻氣體競爭者。
  • Foosung Group 韓國上市/集團公司;年報列為氟碳類蝕刻氣體競爭者。
  • NOVA 美國公司;年報列為稀有類雷射氣體競爭者。
  • 普萊克斯 Praxair 美國公司,現屬 Linde 集團;年報列為稀有類雷射氣體競爭者。
  • 林德聯華 林德集團在台相關氣體業者;年報列為稀有類雷射氣體競爭者,非台股上市櫃。
  • 法國液化空氣 Air Liquide 法國上市公司;年報列為稀有類雷射氣體競爭者。
  • 艾爾斯半導體(台灣 RS Tech) 日本 RS Technologies 在台子公司;年報列為再生晶圓競爭者,母公司於東京證交所掛牌,非台股。
  • 中砂 1560 台股上市公司;年報列為再生晶圓競爭者。
  • 辛耘 3583 台股上市櫃公司;年報列為再生晶圓競爭者。
  • 杜邦 DuPont 美國上市公司;年報列為 Stripper 去光阻液競爭者。
  • 3M 美國上市公司;年報列為 Stripper 去光阻液競爭者。
  • AGC 日本上市公司;年報列為玻璃通孔基板競爭者。
  • Dow Corning 陶氏集團相關品牌/事業;年報列為玻璃通孔基板競爭者,非台股。
  • 友晁能源材料 台灣未公開發行公司;年報列為雷射設備競爭者。
  • Innolas 法國/歐洲雷射設備公司;年報列為雷射設備競爭者,非台股。
  • MAMZ Group 德國設備業者;年報列為雷射設備競爭者,非台股。
Sources(11)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.