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4943

康控-KY Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 康控-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 9Quality 5Growth 85Momentum 14Chips 41

Is 康控-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 10th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -15.7%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 94th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 81th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.0% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 56.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.44
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 統一-彰化 holds 150 lots
  • sellers have 8 lots left, ~30 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -27% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 統一-彰化 has accumulated 150 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 元大-長庚 peaked at 32 lots, has sold 81%, 6 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.08pp, mid holders +1, retail -0.31pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -4 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
統一-彰化國泰-板橋富邦-陽明國泰-敦南新光元大-大同
Distributing
元大-長庚第一金永豐金-羅東台新-建北元大-苑裡永豐金-大園
Desks
own scale
第一金-桃園玉山-台中永豐金-北高雄國泰-館前
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 統一-彰化 +150
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-板橋 +141
    sold 2%
  • 富邦-陽明 +132
    sold 0%
  • 國泰-敦南 +103
    sold 6%
  • 新光 +93
    sold 24%
  • 元大-大同 +90
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 元大-長庚 6 left
    sold 81%· paused recently
  • 第一金 10 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-羅東 5 left
    sold 71%· paused recently
  • 台新-建北 9 left
    sold 36%· paused recently
  • 元大-苑裡 4 left
    sold 71%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-大園 8 left
    sold 27%· paused recently

Desks

  • 第一金-桃園 -327
    unclassified
  • 玉山-台中 -141
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-北高雄 -135
    unclassified
  • 國泰-館前 -99
    unclassified
Still selling 8 lots ~30 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +318 absorbed / -6 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 56.13%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

53 historical occurrences (since 2016-11-11)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 63.9%, Sample 36, Median +3.35%, Excess +6.29%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%；60-day: Win 55.9%, Sample 34, Median +5.88%, Excess +10.43%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%；120-day: Win 56.2%, Sample 32, Median +8.65%, Excess +24.55%, Beat mkt rate 43.8%

120 days after: historical avg +36.94%

20-day +9.09%
60-day +17.13%
120-day +36.94%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
63.9%
55.9%
56.2%
Sample
36
34
32
Median
+3.35%
+5.88%
+8.65%
Excess
+6.29%
+10.43%
+24.55%
Beat mkt rate
55.6%
52.9%
43.8%

Over 32 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 36.94%, beat the market by 24.55 pts; win rate 56.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 11Insufficient data
40-60 45-32.8% -35.1% 0% -76.7%
60-80 26Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 104.05, at the 81.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
-20.8%
Win rate 0% Excess -43.1%
49d
Insufficient data
(9d)
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(7d)
-15%
Win rate 3.1% Excess -33.9%
129d
Now
Insufficient data
(8d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg -10.99%, win rate 41.2%, beating the market by -12.86 pts on average.

What does 康控-KY do? Company profile

電子零組件業；精密金屬沖壓、塑膠射出、液態矽膠、車用零組件、聲學/光學/連接器/醫療零組件 上市（台灣證券交易所）

Overview

康控-KY為在開曼群島註冊、台灣上市之營運公司，股票代號4943，中文全名為開曼康而富控股股份有限公司，英文名CONCRAFT HOLDING CO., LTD.。公司成立日期為2009/09/01，上市日期為2016/11/11，興櫃日期為2011/07/12；總部/通訊地址為新北市土城區承天路35號2樓，總機(02)2268-9558，投資人信箱invest@concraft.com.tw。董事長為呂朝勝，總經理為李國基，發言人為戴暐倫。公開資料顯示主要業務為電子接插件（連接器）與聲學元件，近年營運重心轉向車用、醫療、精密機構件與液態矽膠/精密射出。實收資本額依2025股東會手冊揭露，2024年底為新台幣1,216,944仟元；其他股市資料庫截至2025/2026資料列示資本額約新台幣12.66至12.67億元、已發行普通股約1.22至1.27億股，差異主因為私募與股本時點不同。2025股東會手冊揭露2024年度累積虧損為新台幣837,229仟元，已逾實收資本額二分之一，2024年度不分配股利；並擬辦理不超過30,000仟股私募普通股，用途為充實營運資金及償還銀行借款。主要股東/董監經理人持股方面，Monster Holding Co., Ltd.為董事長法人、AGI Holding Co., Ltd.為董事法人，中信銀託管卡斯通製品（股）投資專戶為董事，金震威為董事；2025股東會手冊停止過戶日114/04/29揭露董事持股包含Monster Holding Co., Ltd. 11,027,098股、AGI Holding Co., Ltd. 8,298,651股、中信銀託管卡斯通製品（股）投資專戶108,515股、金震威284,115股。公開資料未找到公司整體員工人數之可靠最新數字。

Business

康控-KY的核心能力是精密金屬沖壓、塑膠射出成型、液態矽膠（LSR）複合射出、精密模具、產品設計、快速打樣、自動化設備開發與組裝，提供從設計到量產的一站式零組件製造服務。公司官網產品線分為車用零組件、聲學零組件、光學零組件、消費性電子連接器與醫療零組件。車用產品包括感測器零件、車內攝影機零件、press-fit連接器、ABS控制器/ABS相關零件、燃油噴射零件、機電零件、ECU零件、電磁閥、燈座、開關、BCM殼件、車用連接器與感測器、矽膠密封/防水/緩衝相關件等。聲學產品包括微型受話器、喇叭、speaker box、speaker module等手機、平板、筆電與行動裝置微聲學元件。光學產品應用於數位相機、手機鏡頭、網路攝影機、車用攝影機、安防攝影機、生物辨識、檢測與掃描，典型零件包括VCM components、yoke、lens holder、base。連接器產品使用於筆電、行動裝置、LED TV、機上盒、網通等消費電子。醫療零組件包括filter、silicone mask、biopsy forceps、valve parts、T/Y connector、luer connector、syringe plunger、血糖機與血壓計外殼零件等，官網稱材料要求通過ISO 10993相關認證。營收結構方面，2022年公司法說資料曾稱前三季車用營收占比已由前一年同期26%提高至73%，聲學占比由65%降至19%；第三方整理之2024年法說摘要指出2023上半年汽車系列零部件及其他約94%、連接器約5%、聲學約1%，2024上半年汽車系列零部件及其他約95%、連接器約3%、聲學約2%，顯示車用已成營收主力，但此細項比重未能在本次可取得官方PDF中完整核對。商業模式為B2B零組件ODM/OEM與精密製造，透過Tier 1汽車零組件廠、聲學/消費電子模組廠、醫療器材客戶與終端品牌供應鏈接單，收入主要來自客製化零組件量產、模具與製程能力導入後的長週期供貨。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的核心觀察是「車用新案放量能否帶動稼動率與毛利轉正」。2024年公司在股東會手冊中說明，中國新能源車快速發展及價格競爭侵蝕燃油車及非中國品牌新能源車銷售，進一步影響公司汽車零部件銷售，導致2024整體營收未達預期、私募增發股數未如計畫；同時公司累積虧損已逾實收資本額二分之一，顯示財務體質與營運槓桿仍是主要壓力。2025年全年營收依公開月營收資料約新台幣16.90億元，年增約11.46%，EPS約-1.88元，仍虧損。2026年前5月營收923,042仟元、年增46.31%，5月單月營收199,057仟元、年增56.13%，公司公告備註稱主因部分汽車零組件新案（電容盒及域控制器相關產品零組件）及智能家居零組件於2026年量產出貨；2026Q1營收約5.3172億元、年增約43.1%，但EPS仍為-0.23元、毛利率仍為負值，表示營收放大尚未完全轉化為穩定獲利。2025-2028成長動能包括：一、車用電子與新能源車零組件長週期開發、認證與量產，尤其感測器、ECU、域控制器、電容盒、車用攝影機、電磁閥、press-fit與矽膠密封件；二、液態矽膠、精密射出與金屬沖壓複合製程切入車用、醫療與智能家居；三、消費電子聲學與光學若有新案回補，可提供邊際稼動率改善；四、私募引入策略投資人、償債與補充營運資金若完成，可改善短期流動性與財務結構。主要風險包括：車用客戶認證期長且訂單爬坡不確定；中國新能源車價格戰壓縮供應鏈價格與非中國品牌銷量；公司仍處虧損、每股淨值偏低、累積虧損高，可能持續需要籌資或私募造成稀釋；匯率、利息支出、閒置設備折舊與低稼動率會放大損益波動；過往消費電子/聲學客戶集中與設計變更風險仍需監控。2027-2028若車用新案維持量產、毛利率轉正且財務費用下降，才較可能形成營運反轉；目前仍屬中高風險轉型股。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 塑膠、工程塑膠與射出成型材料供應鏈 上游原料類別；康控產品涉及塑膠射出與精密模具，需使用工程塑膠、塑膠粒、樹脂等材料。本次未查得公開文件確認特定直接供應商，因此不填台股代號。
  • 液態矽膠（LSR）與醫療/車用等級矽膠材料供應鏈 上游原料類別；官網明確揭露LSR複合射出與醫療、車用矽膠相關產品。未能確認直接供應商；可能涉及國際化工材料商，非台股掛牌或未確認者stock_id設為null。
  • 金屬沖壓材料、銅材、鋼材與表面處理供應鏈 上游原料/加工類別；公司能力包含精密金屬沖壓，需金屬帶材、端子材料、表面處理與模具材料。未查得公司揭露特定直接供應商。
  • 精密模具、自動化設備與檢測設備供應鏈 上游設備與製程支援；公司官網強調模具、快速打樣、自動化系統開發與整合，部分能力可能自製，外部設備商未公開具名。
Downstream
  • Casco Products Corporation / 卡斯通製品 車用零組件客戶/策略關係方；其名義以中信銀託管卡斯通製品（股）投資專戶列為康控董事席次。非台股掛牌，stock_id為null。
  • 美系新能源車終端客戶 媒體與法說摘要描述康控透過Tier 1客戶切入美系新能源車/電動車終端供應鏈；公司公開文件未直接具名終端客戶，因此不填代號。
  • 德系汽車大廠及其Tier 1供應鏈 車用零組件下游；過往法說新聞提及新增德系客戶與壓縮機零組件等項目，但未公開具名。
  • 蘋果公司 Apple Inc. 歷史聲學/消費電子終端應用相關客戶；美國上市公司（AAPL），非台股代號。近年公司營收重心已轉向車用，與蘋果相關內容應視為歷史及風險參考。
  • 聲學模組與消費電子品牌供應鏈 下游應用包含手機、平板、筆電、微型受話器/喇叭/聲學模組；未查得最新官方具名客戶。
  • 醫療器材與智能家居零組件客戶 下游應用包含醫療耗材/連接件、血糖/血壓設備外殼及2026年量產出貨之智能家居零組件；公開資料未具名客戶。

Competitors

  • 胡連 6279 台股上市連接器/車用端子與連接器廠，與康控車用連接器、press-fit、車用零組件應用部分重疊。
  • 貿聯-KY 3665 台股上市連接線束、連接器與車用/工業應用廠，規模與產品組合較大，屬車用電子連接與線束供應鏈競爭/比較對象。
  • 信邦 3023 台股上市連接線、線束與系統整合廠，布局車用、醫療、工業等，與康控部分下游應用重疊。
  • 宏致 3605 台股上市連接器廠，產品含電子連接器與車用相關應用，屬連接器同業。
  • 瀚荃 8103 台股上櫃連接器與線材廠，部分產品與康控消費電子/車用連接器應用重疊。
  • 凡甲 3526 台股上櫃連接器與端子台廠，屬電子零組件/連接器同業。
  • 佳必琪 6197 台股上市連接器與線束相關廠，與康控在連接器及部分電子零組件市場可作比較。
  • 美律 2439 台股上市聲學元件與耳機/揚聲器模組廠；與康控聲學零組件歷史業務屬同一終端供應鏈不同層級。
  • 致伸 4915 台股上市電腦周邊、聲學、智慧視覺與車用電子相關廠；與康控聲學/光學/車用電子應用部分重疊，但商業模式與規模不同。
Sources（23）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.