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5264

鎧勝-KY Electronics As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

2 active signals
Revenue ≥20% 外資連買5日
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 鎧勝-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 72品質 56成長 99動能 50籌碼 50

Is 鎧勝-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 獲利能力中上。營業利益率位居全市場第 57 百分位。最新一季 ROE 約 2.6%。

  • 估值偏便宜。本益比落在全市場第 22 百分位，相對多數個股便宜。以自身歷史看，目前本益比約在第 62 百分位。

  • 營收高成長。最新月營收年增率約 512.8%，超過 20% 的成長門檻。

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）

Active · now 512.76%

單月營收年增率達 20% 以上；事件日為公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到未公告資訊

23 historical occurrences (since 2013-02-18)
Average forward return after 月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）。20-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 22, Median +1.93%, Excess +0.61%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；60-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 21, Median +2.84%, Excess +3.57%, Beat mkt rate 52.4%；120-day: Win 57.9%, Sample 19, Median +12.01%, Excess +1.77%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%

120 days after: historical avg +9.03%

20-day +2%
60-day +8.17%
120-day +9.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
63.6%
71.4%
57.9%
Sample
22
21
19
Median
+1.93%
+2.84%
+12.01%
Excess
+0.61%
+3.57%
+1.77%
Beat mkt rate
45.5%
52.4%
52.6%

Over 19 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.03%, beat the market by 1.77 pts; win rate 57.9%.

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Active · now 27%

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

39 historical occurrences (since 2013-05-08)
Average forward return after 外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日。20-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 39, Median +0.7%, Excess -0.75%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%；60-day: Win 43.2%, Sample 37, Median -1.04%, Excess -3.6%, Beat mkt rate 40.5%；120-day: Win 45.7%, Sample 35, Median -2.42%, Excess -5.63%, Beat mkt rate 34.3%

120 days after: historical avg -0.67%

20-day +1.07%
60-day -1.43%
120-day -0.67%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.8%
43.2%
45.7%
Sample
39
37
35
Median
+0.7%
-1.04%
-2.42%
Excess
-0.75%
-3.6%
-5.63%
Beat mkt rate
46.2%
40.5%
34.3%

Over 35 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 0.67%, lagged the market by 5.63 pts; win rate 45.7%.

估值位階與後續報酬

把這檔股票每天的本益比，換算成「截至當天為止的自身歷史百分位」，再看不同估值位階之後 240 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 198+1.5% -6% 35.9% -18.9%
20-40 33-25.2% -36% 18.2% -42.5%
40-60 29Insufficient data
60-80 You are here34-12.8% -11.6% 8.8% -26.6%
80-100 99-17% -19.9% 0% -47.3%

百分位以當天為止的自身歷史滾動計算（expanding），不含未來資訊；前瞻報酬為還原股價 240 交易日。樣本日重疊，僅供分布參考。

目前本益比約 14.07，落在自身歷史第 62.2 百分位，屬於 60-80 區間。

估值 × 動能的歷史對照

把自身歷史的每一天，依估值位階（本益比自身歷史三分位）與 60 日動能方向分成六格，看各情境之後 120 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

Valuation
Momentum
便宜
中等
昂貴
向上
-14%
Win rate 15.4% Excess -23.3%
91d
-9.9%
Win rate 52.8% Excess -21%
36d
-13%
Win rate 34.8% Excess -17.1%
141d
向下
-5.6%
Win rate 39.8% Excess -16%
133d
Now
Insufficient data
(16d)
+3.3%
Win rate 62.5% Excess -19.3%
96d

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.29%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -6.25 pts on average.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。