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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 5410 國眾. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=5410

5410

國眾 Information Services As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 國眾 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 65Quality 79Growth 96Momentum 82Chips 80

Is 國眾 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 63th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 8.4%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 22th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 81th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 5.8% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 199.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.81
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 holds 956 lots
  • sellers have 765 lots left, ~140 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +45% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 新加坡商瑞銀 has accumulated 956 lots since the start (sold 3%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 元大-中崙 peaked at 581 lots, has sold 49%, 299 left, ~25 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.73pp, mid holders +4, retail -3.24pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -344 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
新加坡商瑞銀台灣摩根士丹利摩根大通(牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐康和-嘉義凱基-內湖
Distributing
元大-中崙群益金鼎-丹鳳永豐金-中正兆豐-大安玉山-嘉義統一-台中
Desks
own scale
統一-敦南富邦-板橋高橋-中壢群益金鼎-桃園
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 新加坡商瑞銀 +956
    sold 3%· still adding
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +894
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +569
    sold 11%· still adding
  • (牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐 +535
    sold 5%
  • 康和-嘉義 +467
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-內湖 +464
    sold 7%· still adding

Distributing

  • 元大-中崙 299 left
    sold 49%· ~25 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-丹鳳 83 left
    sold 69%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金-中正 48 left
    sold 49%· ~15 sessions to clear
  • 兆豐-大安 21 left
    sold 78%· ~105 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-嘉義 63 left
    sold 29%· ~24 sessions to clear
  • 統一-台中 16 left
    sold 81%· ~2 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 統一-敦南 -778
    unclassified
  • 富邦-板橋 -456
    unclassified
  • 高橋-中壢 -415
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎-桃園 -260
    unclassified
Still selling 765 lots ~140 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +4,591 absorbed / -513 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

30 historical occurrences (since 2009-09-09)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 62.1%, Sample 29, Median +3.27%, Excess +8.66%, Beat mkt rate 44.8%;60-day: Win 69%, Sample 29, Median +3.1%, Excess +8.16%, Beat mkt rate 41.4%;120-day: Win 65.5%, Sample 29, Median +3.65%, Excess +8.95%, Beat mkt rate 48.3%

120 days after: historical avg +16.66%

20-day +10.55%
60-day +12.27%
120-day +16.66%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
62.1%
69%
65.5%
Sample
29
29
29
Median
+3.27%
+3.1%
+3.65%
Excess
+8.66%
+8.16%
+8.95%
Beat mkt rate
44.8%
41.4%
48.3%

Over 29 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.66%, beat the market by 8.95 pts; win rate 65.5%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 199.22%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

89 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 58.6%, Sample 87, Median +1.58%, Excess +1.49%, Beat mkt rate 58.6%;60-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 85, Median +1.05%, Excess +2.34%, Beat mkt rate 41.2%;120-day: Win 55.4%, Sample 83, Median +3.68%, Excess -0.22%, Beat mkt rate 37.3%

120 days after: historical avg +4.36%

20-day +2%
60-day +4.14%
120-day +4.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.6%
52.9%
55.4%
Sample
87
85
83
Median
+1.58%
+1.05%
+3.68%
Excess
+1.49%
+2.34%
-0.22%
Beat mkt rate
58.6%
41.2%
37.3%

Over 83 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.36%, lagged the market by 0.22 pts; win rate 55.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 367+19.6% +17.2% 100% -2.8%
20-40 643+20.1% +19.3% 99.1% +2.4%
40-60 821+17.1% +15.7% 90.7% +3.3%
60-80 647+19.2% +13% 82.5% +13.2%
80-100 You are here485+4.1% +0.6% 54% -25.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 14.13, at the 81.4th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+8%
Win rate 90.8% Excess +0.2%
404d
+6.8%
Win rate 73.1% Excess -0.1%
931d
Now
+3.1%
Win rate 48.4% Excess -6.4%
667d
60-day momentum down
+15.2%
Win rate 93.4% Excess +3.8%
394d
+10.2%
Win rate 84.4% Excess +5.3%
327d
+9.4%
Win rate 58.3% Excess -2.1%
360d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 667 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3.1%, win rate 48.4%, lagged the market by 6.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

56 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.54%, win rate 57.4%, beating the market by -0.92 pts on average.

What does 國眾 do? Company profile

資訊服務業、系統整合、電子資訊通路 上櫃

Overview

5410 對應國眾電腦股份有限公司,為櫃買中心上櫃普通股,非 ETF/ETN/權證/特別股。公司成立於1985年9月13日,1999年11月26日股票正式上櫃,總部位於台北市內湖區陽光街298號3樓。2026年法說會資料列示公司登記地為台北市內湖區、資本額新台幣920,561仟元、截至2025年3月31日員工402人、董事長王超群、總經理温健良;第三方股市基本資料於2026年6月附近列示實收資本額約9.23億元、已發行普通股約9,228萬股,推測差異可能來自員工認股權轉換等股本更新。2024年年報列示2025年3月29日前十大股東包括財團法人王楊嬌愛主社會福利慈善基金會7.90%、眾晶科技3.69%、王雪紅3.26%、徐偉倫2.93%、慧聚投資2.73%、李岳霖2.64%、陳褔興2.42%、奇新投資2.22%、大眾全球投資控股1.96%、大學創業投資1.07%。公司曾於2008年合併岱昇科技、眾電系統、超網路科技;2021年通過資訊服務機構服務能量與人工智慧技術服務機構能量登錄,2023年取得資安能量登錄、資通自主產品服務能量證書與 AI 人工智慧技術服務機構服務能量證書。

Business

國眾為大型系統整合與資訊服務商,主要服務為各領域客戶資訊化規劃、建置、產品代理經銷、系統整合、專案管理、維護服務、顧問諮詢、教育訓練、網路整合行銷及 AIoT/雲端應用開發。2024年合併營收3,896,185仟元,產品別比重為個人電腦60.47%、系統整合產品3.26%、自動化事務性設備3.61%、其他32.66%;2025年法說會列示2025年營收4,385,375仟元、EPS 2.35元,較2024年EPS 1.61元改善。第三方券商頁面列示2025年營收比重為資訊軟硬體與電腦硬體維護服務85.65%、維護服務8.02%、佣金6.30%、其他0.03%,此分類與年報產品分類不同。主要商品服務包括 PC/NB/平板/列印與週邊設備、網路系統設備、伺服器與主機系統、資訊安全產品與服務、雲端運算整合、5G企業專網與 AIoT 物聯網平台、智慧教室、智慧醫療、金融自動化設備與軟體、紅利集點平台、資訊設備委外維修、公益彩券投注機裝置與維修、Google Ads 等數位行銷服務及政府專案。商業模式以專案型系統整合、品牌軟硬體代理/經銷、維護保固與委外服務、自行開發應用軟體/平台、金融與彩券設備長約維護、數位廣告代理及政府/教育標案為主;年報明示公司不從事生產,採訂單式採購以控制存貨。主要終端客戶涵蓋政府機構、軍公警政、各級學校、民營企業集團、公民營銀行、保險、醫療、製造、服務業與電信業;2024年有一名匿名 A 客戶占銷貨13.76%,2023年無單一客戶超過10%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2026已可由公司年報與2026年法說會較高把握觀察:國眾把經營方針放在提高客戶價值與效率、發展全方位資通訊基礎架構、雲端服務、AI 領域智慧整合服務,並延續5G、IoT、AIoT、智慧醫療、系統整合、資安與金融應用。公司2026年法說會明示未來展望包括 B5G/次世代通訊與 AIoT、研發 LEO DDA 數據決策支援 AIoT 平台、成立 AI 研發團隊並開發產業生成式 AI 系統、智慧醫療 AI 輔助機器人與4K會議室手術轉播、培養 AI 與應用軟體人力並擴展製造、金融、智慧醫療等大型企業市場;產品藍圖列示 Rosetta BOX 落地型 AI 系統、LEO KM-GPT 產業 AI 技術平台、GPT ATM 智慧金融 AI 設備、LeoQ AI Agent 多模態 AI 平台、LEO AI Genie 社群互動技術平台等。成長動能包括企業與政府資安投資、雲端/虛擬化/異地備援汰換、教育數位學習與智慧教室、銀行自動化設備汰舊換新及循環式 ATM、公益彩券投注設備維護長約、智慧醫療與行動醫療、製造業 AIoT/IIoT 與 ESG 碳管理需求。2027-2028屬推估:若企業級生成式 AI、Edge AI/Edge Security、智慧醫療、金融 AI 設備與高端伺服器/儲存/網路整合專案持續落地,服務與軟體比重有機會改善毛利結構;但傳統 PC/NB 與硬體經銷仍占營收大宗,毛利率、專案驗收時點與政府/教育標案波動會造成獲利起伏。主要風險包括系統整合競爭激烈、硬體銷售毛利偏低、政府與公營事業標案執行難度升高、AI/區塊鏈/資安等軟體人才短缺、原廠政策與供應鏈交期變動、資通訊產品供給不穩、單一大型專案使單季營收與應收帳款波動,以及資安事件或專案履約風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 精技電腦 2414 年報列為2023年與2024年主要供應商之一,屬台股上市資訊通路商,供應資訊軟硬體與通路產品。
  • 聯強國際 2347 年報列為2023年主要供應商之一,屬台股上市資訊通路商。
  • 技鋼科技 年報列為2024年最大供應商;技鋼科技為技嘉集團伺服器相關公司,資料顯示截至本研究日尚非台股掛牌公司,曾見申請上櫃相關公告。
  • 宏碁 2353 公司簡介列為策略聯盟/主要供貨品牌之一,供應 PC、端末與資訊設備。
  • 華碩 2357 公司簡介列為策略聯盟/主要供貨品牌之一,供應 PC、伺服器或資訊設備。
  • Cisco 美國上市公司,國眾官網與年報列為策略聯盟/經銷品牌之一,主要與網路、資安、醫療網路等解決方案相關。
  • Dell / Dell EMC 美國上市公司/外商品牌,國眾官網列為策略聯盟供應商之一,供應伺服器、儲存與企業資訊設備。
  • HPE / HP Inc. 美國上市外商品牌,國眾官網列為策略聯盟供應商之一,供應企業伺服器、PC與周邊設備。
  • Lenovo 香港上市外商品牌,國眾官網列為策略聯盟供應商之一,供應 PC、NB、伺服器等資訊設備。
  • Microsoft / Oracle / VMware 外商軟體與雲端/虛擬化供應商,國眾官網列為策略聯盟供應商,用於系統整合、資料庫、雲端與虛擬化方案。
  • GLORY、OKI、JCM、Fujitsu、Hyosung TNS、KAL 金融自動化設備與平台外商供應商;國眾官網列示代理 GLORY、OKI、JCM、Fujitsu 掌靜脈、韓國 Hyosung TNS ATM、英國 KAL WOSA 平台等。
Downstream
  • 政府機關、軍公警政與公用事業單位 年報與官網列為主要客群,採資訊系統整合、資安、設備採購、維護及政府專案模式,非單一掛牌公司。
  • 教育部、縣市教育局處、各級學校 智慧教室、行動學習、數位學習精進方案與校園資訊設備整合客戶群,屬政府/學校單位。
  • 公民營銀行與金融機構 金融自動化設備、ATM/入金機/整鈔機、銀行稽核、徵審流程、紅利平台與客製化金融軟體客戶群;年報未揭露具名銀行客戶。
  • 台灣彩券及彩券經銷體系 國眾承攬第3、4、5屆公益彩券投注設備服務,期間涵蓋2007年至2033年;台灣彩券本身非台股掛牌公司。
  • 醫療院所與長庚醫療體系 年報提及多年深耕長庚醫療體系網路系統,並推智慧醫療、行動醫療、AI 預防醫學與醫療自助繳費相關方案;醫療體系非台股掛牌公司。
  • 大型製造業、石化業、企業集團與電信業者 AIoT、IIoT、5G企業專網、弱電/安防、網路系統、資料中心、資安與智慧工廠解決方案客戶群;年報未揭露具名客戶。

Competitors

  • 精誠資訊 6214 年報以2024年資訊服務/系統整合同業營收占比列為同業比較公司,為台股上市資訊服務龍頭。
  • 敦陽科技 2480 年報列為同業比較公司,業務包含系統整合、資訊服務與維護。
  • 凌群電腦 2453 年報列為同業比較公司,業務包含系統整合、軟體與政府/企業資訊專案。
  • 晉泰科技 6221 年報列為同業比較公司,為上櫃資訊服務/系統整合業者。
  • 大綜電腦 3147 年報列為同業比較公司,為上櫃系統整合與資訊服務業者。
  • 三商電腦 2427 年報列為同業比較公司,且在銀行自動化設備項目列為 HITACHI 相關競爭者之一。
  • 大同世界科技 8099 年報列為同業比較公司,為上櫃資訊服務與系統整合業者。
  • 資通電腦 2471 年報列為同業比較公司,業務包含企業軟體、系統整合與資訊服務。
  • Diebold Nixdorf 外商 ATM/金融自動化設備競爭者,非台股掛牌;年報在銀行自動化設備競爭情形中列名。
  • NCR 外商 ATM/金融自動化設備競爭者,非台股掛牌;年報在銀行自動化設備競爭情形中列名。
Sources(11)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.