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6101

寬魚國際 Cultural & Creative As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 寬魚國際 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 18Quality 84Growth 97Momentum 49Chips 27

Is 寬魚國際 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 73th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 8.7%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 80th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 19th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.4% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 224.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.61
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 兆豐-南門 holds 1,694 lots
  • sellers have 257 lots left, ~58 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 兆豐-南門 has accumulated 1,694 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 國票-博愛 peaked at 229 lots, has sold 55%, 104 left, ~19 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.30pp, mid holders -3, retail +0.29pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -265 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
兆豐-南門富邦-敦南合庫證券永豐金-三重元大-樹林元大-福營
Distributing
國票-博愛富邦-台南玉山-城中永豐金-敦南國泰-板橋富邦-新莊
Desks
own scale
新光群益金鼎-大安凱基-台北凱基-信義
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 兆豐-南門 +1,694
    sold 0%
  • 富邦-敦南 +530
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 合庫證券 +241
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 永豐金-三重 +131
    sold 0%
  • 元大-樹林 +114
    sold 3%
  • 元大-福營 +100
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 國票-博愛 104 left
    sold 55%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-台南 55 left
    sold 68%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-城中 35 left
    sold 58%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-敦南 12 left
    sold 86%· paused recently
  • 國泰-板橋 31 left
    sold 56%· ~9 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-新莊 15 left
    sold 67%· paused recently

Desks

  • 新光 -535
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎-大安 -320
    unclassified
  • 凱基-台北 -260
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 凱基-信義 -250
    unclassified
Still selling 257 lots ~58 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +822 absorbed / -177 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 224.27%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

105 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 40%, Sample 90, Median -2.18%, Excess -0.01%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%；60-day: Win 41.6%, Sample 89, Median -4.17%, Excess -3.98%, Beat mkt rate 31.5%；120-day: Win 36.8%, Sample 87, Median -8.29%, Excess -9.33%, Beat mkt rate 27.6%

120 days after: historical avg -3.53%

20-day +1.18%
60-day -0.79%
120-day -3.53%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40%
41.6%
36.8%
Sample
90
89
87
Median
-2.18%
-4.17%
-8.29%
Excess
-0.01%
-3.98%
-9.33%
Beat mkt rate
38.9%
31.5%
27.6%

Over 87 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 3.53%, lagged the market by 9.33 pts; win rate 36.8%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here26Insufficient data
20-40 139+13.3% -12.8% 37.4% -34.4%
40-60 131-0.1% -7.5% 27.5% -46%
60-80 119-25.4% -24.2% 3.4% -95.3%
80-100 165+2.6% -5% 40% -55.7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 58.7, at the 19.1th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Now
-18.6%
Win rate 0% Excess -30.7%
47d
-0.9%
Win rate 58% Excess -20.3%
138d
-14.2%
Win rate 37.5% Excess -27.8%
120d
60-day momentum down
+13.1%
Win rate 56.7% Excess -3.9%
60d
+10.1%
Win rate 79.1% Excess -29.9%
177d
+3%
Win rate 51% Excess -21.1%
157d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 47 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 18.6%, win rate 0%, lagged the market by 30.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +33.37%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +31.37 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.74%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +8.67 pts on average.

What does 寬魚國際 do? Company profile

文化創意業 上櫃

Overview

6101 對應寬魚國際股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，產業類別為文化創意業。公司成立於1989年10月26日，前身為弘捷電路股份有限公司，原從事印刷電路板製造；2001年3月29日上櫃，2016年起轉型文創業務，2017年8月更名為寬魚國際。總部位於台北市大安區復興南路二段268號12樓。董事長與總經理為邱漢中，發言人為莊偉民。官方揭露實收資本額為新台幣1,146,183,710元，已發行普通股114,618,371股；截至官方公司資料更新日，特別股0股。員工規模依113年年報為間接人員25人，截至114年4月30日為24人，無直接生產人員。主要股東名單截至2025年4月28日包括邱漢中12.31%、邱瓈寬7.75%、林禹時6.01%、倪鳳驊5.41%、陳由哲5.41%、邱顯欽5.40%、國協投資4.42%、單雅文4.29%、尤阿春4.08%、顧明仁3.24%。

Business

公司主要從事影視節目製作、發行、投資、藝人演藝活動、演唱會與商演活動籌辦、監製、經紀，以及部分展演、運動賽事與音樂發行相關文創業務。商業模式以專案制為核心，收入來自演唱會票房或製作主辦收入、藝人商演與經紀、影視投資與版權收入、活動承辦與其他文創服務；由於大型演唱會、電影與專案認列時點不同，單月與季度營收波動較大。113年年報揭露，2024年度營收較前一年略增，最大比重為藝人演唱會及商演等業務，占總營收65.9%；其次為運動賽事收入28.9%；版稅收入1.3%。財務報表業務分類上，2024年營收幾乎全數來自文創收入，其他收入約1%。公司曾揭露2024年銷售地區比重為台灣20%、海外80%，反映澳門、中國大陸、港澳、新馬、北美等境外巡演與活動承辦的重要性。公司官方歷程列示近年專案包含2024年 IU H.E.R. WORLD TOUR CONCERT IN TAIPEI、王心凌與周華健等海外場次、2025年孫燕姿高雄演唱會、蕭敬騰與楊丞琳澳門站、2026年孫燕姿香港、F✦Forever成都/重慶/印尼站、K-SPARK in KAOHSIUNG 2026等；電影方面包含《交換禮物》、《我想和你在一起》、《搜查瑠公圳》等出品或發行。年報亦說明公司為非製造業，無生產單位，105年轉型後已無實體進貨採購。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以現場娛樂、海外巡演與跨界文創專案為主要成長動能。官方年報短期計畫為同時發展串流影音媒體內容與現場文創活動，尋求共同合作專案，並以更靈活的營運策略拓展不同型態業務；長期目標為成為華人區指標性文創企業與多元文化創意平台。產業面，疫情後大型演唱會需求延續，台北大巨蛋啟用、各地大型場館增加、K-POP與華語巡演熱度、粉絲經濟、企業商演與海外華人市場，均有利於主辦與製作公司取得更大票房與服務收入。中央社報導公司經營層預期2025年演唱會倍數成長，並著重台灣、美國、加拿大、中國、澳門、新馬等市場；公司官方歷程也已列示2025與2026多個演唱會及展演專案。月營收資料顯示，2025全年累計營收約997,141仟元，較2024年699,086仟元成長約42.6%；截至2026年5月累計營收約918,616仟元，年增約212.5%，主要受大型演唱會收入認列帶動，但此為月營收與市場資料，仍需以後續財報確認毛利與淨利。2027至2028年可觀察的結構性機會包括：大型場館供給增加帶動國際藝人來台、華語歌手海外巡演常態化、運動娛樂化與展演活動跨界、影音串流與音樂版權的長尾變現、新IP與電影投資回收。主要風險包括：專案型收入認列不均、票房不如預期、藝人檔期與主辦權取得競爭、演出成本與場租上升、跨境審批與政策變動、中國大陸與港澳市場監管、匯率與海外執行風險、電影投資回收不確定、串流與短影音分流院線票房、公司規模小且關鍵人才/藝人資源集中。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 藝人、經紀公司與唱片公司 提供演唱會與商演內容、藝人檔期、IP與授權來源；包含華語、日韓與海外藝人資源，多數非台股掛牌或為外商。
  • 華研國際音樂 8446 台股上櫃音樂公司，兼具藝人經紀、音樂製作與演唱會相關業務；可視為內容供給方、合作方，也可能在演唱會主辦市場競爭。
  • 相信音樂 未上市音樂與演唱會相關公司，為台灣重要華語演唱會與藝人經紀業者之一；屬可能合作或競爭的內容/IP來源。
  • 環球音樂、華納音樂、索尼音樂 外商唱片與藝人資源平台，可能涉及藝人授權、巡演合作或市場競爭；非台股掛牌。
  • 場館、舞台硬體、燈光音響、票務與活動執行供應商 演唱會與展演專案所需場地、設備、製作、票務、安保、行銷與物流服務；公司年報未揭露具名主要供應商。
  • 必應創造 6625 台股上櫃展演製作與硬體服務公司，提供演唱會、頒獎典禮、企業活動等軟硬體製作；亦為同業競爭者。
Downstream
  • 售票觀眾與粉絲族群 演唱會、展演、電影與音樂內容的最終消費者，票房與周邊消費直接影響專案收益。
  • 澳門、中國大陸、港澳、東南亞與北美活動主辦/娛樂場飯店客戶 公司近年海外巡演與商演收入的重要來源；年報主要客戶以甲、乙、丙、丁、戊公司匿名揭露，未能確認具名企業。
  • 企業商演與政府/城市活動單位 企業尾牙、商演、節慶藝文、運動娛樂化活動與城市行銷活動的委託或合作方。
  • 院線、電視、串流影音平台與發行通路 影視作品出品、發行與版權變現的下游通路；公司未揭露具名主要客戶。
  • 票務平台與通路商 演唱會售票與票款收付通路，對專案銷售效率與消費者觸達重要；未查得公司年報具名揭露。

Competitors

  • 寬宏藝術 6596 台股上櫃藝文展演主辦與票務業者，主辦國際歌手、音樂劇、舞台劇與大型演唱會，為寬魚在演唱會主辦與外國藝人引進市場的重要競爭者。
  • 華研國際音樂 8446 台股上櫃音樂、藝人經紀與演唱會相關公司，旗下藝人巡演與演藝經紀收入具規模，與寬魚在華語音樂與演藝經紀市場部分重疊。
  • 必應創造 6625 台股上櫃展演製作公司，主要策劃製作演唱會、頒獎典禮、企業尾牙與商業演出，兼具供應鏈合作與主辦競爭角色。
  • Live Nation Entertainment 美國上市公司，股票代號NYSE:LYV；其台灣相關業務常被視為外國藝人演唱會主辦與引進的重要競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • 寬寬整合行銷 台灣演唱會與活動主辦/整合行銷業者，未上市，為主辦經紀業務同業。
  • 大大國際娛樂 台灣演唱會與娛樂活動業者，未上市，為主辦經紀業務同業。
  • 就是娛樂 台灣演唱會與娛樂活動相關業者，未上市，為主辦經紀業務同業。
  • 宜辰整合行銷 台灣演唱會與活動整合行銷業者，未上市，為主辦經紀業務同業。
Sources（11）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.