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6113

亞矽 Electronics Distribution As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 亞矽 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 15Quality 41Growth 88Momentum 71Chips 68

Is 亞矽 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 30th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.9%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 99th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 97th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.9% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 66.9%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.80
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 台新 holds 2,274 lots
  • sellers have 394 lots left, ~40 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +20% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台新 has accumulated 2,274 lots since the start (sold 1%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美林 peaked at 162 lots, has sold 55%, 73 left, ~12 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +5.14pp, mid holders +2, retail -5.26pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -157 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台新台新證券凱基-台北凱基-市政富邦-宜蘭第一金-桃園
Distributing
美林台灣摩根士丹利港商野村美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀元大-龍潭
Desks
own scale
國泰-敦南新光-台南新光永豐金-苓雅
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台新 +2,274
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 台新證券 +1,020
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-台北 +439
    sold 14%· still adding
  • 凱基-市政 +265
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-宜蘭 +258
    sold 12%
  • 第一金-桃園 +235
    sold 4%

Distributing

  • 美林 73 left
    sold 55%· ~12 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 79 left
    sold 50%· ~40 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 98 left
    sold 31%· paused recently
  • 美商高盛 31 left
    sold 76%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 78 left
    sold 38%· ~24 sessions to clear
  • 元大-龍潭 15 left
    sold 84%· ~3 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 國泰-敦南 -147
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 新光-台南 -118
    unclassified
  • 新光 -109
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-苓雅 -108
    unclassified
Still selling 394 lots ~40 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +966 absorbed / -327 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -9 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

20 historical occurrences (since 2009-08-14)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 57.9%, Sample 19, Median +4.86%, Excess +3.35%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%；60-day: Win 57.9%, Sample 19, Median +6.76%, Excess +7.61%, Beat mkt rate 42.1%；120-day: Win 47.4%, Sample 19, Median -0.53%, Excess -1.65%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%

120 days after: historical avg +8.97%

20-day +5.86%
60-day +14.13%
120-day +8.97%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.9%
57.9%
47.4%
Sample
19
19
19
Median
+4.86%
+6.76%
-0.53%
Excess
+3.35%
+7.61%
-1.65%
Beat mkt rate
52.6%
42.1%
47.4%

Over 19 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.97%, lagged the market by 1.65 pts; win rate 47.4%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 66.88%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

63 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 43.4%, Sample 53, Median -0.48%, Excess +1.73%, Beat mkt rate 39.6%；60-day: Win 51%, Sample 51, Median +2.87%, Excess +7.39%, Beat mkt rate 37.3%；120-day: Win 56%, Sample 50, Median +5.61%, Excess +11.76%, Beat mkt rate 44%

120 days after: historical avg +18.57%

20-day +3.31%
60-day +11.4%
120-day +18.57%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
43.4%
51%
56%
Sample
53
51
50
Median
-0.48%
+2.87%
+5.61%
Excess
+1.73%
+7.39%
+11.76%
Beat mkt rate
39.6%
37.3%
44%

Over 50 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.57%, beat the market by 11.76 pts; win rate 56%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 152+45.4% +56.6% 94.7% -6.9%
20-40 60+2.3% +9.3% 51.7% -55.2%
40-60 114+11% +3.4% 51.8% -8.4%
60-80 350+33.6% +39% 92.3% -13.5%
80-100 You are here173+57.5% +51.6% 98.3% +19.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 460.0, at the 97.0th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(26d)
+20.3%
Win rate 50.6% Excess +11.2%
231d
+4.9%
Win rate 46.5% Excess -10.9%
155d
60-day momentum down
-2.3%
Win rate 49.7% Excess -24.3%
149d
+22.8%
Win rate 72.6% Excess -6.3%
117d
Now
+44.6%
Win rate 87.6% Excess +15%
291d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 291 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 44.6%, win rate 87.6%, beat the market by 15%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.54%, win rate 40.9%, beating the market by +0.29 pts on average.

What does 亞矽 do? Company profile

電子通路業；半導體與電子零組件代理通路 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

6113 對應證券為亞矽科技股份有限公司，簡稱亞矽，為上櫃普通股，產業類別為電子通路業。公司前身亞矽股份有限公司成立於1986年4月，1998年更名為亞矽科技股份有限公司，1999年公開發行，2001年8月10日正式掛牌上櫃。公司總部位於台北市內湖區洲子街58號7樓，統一編號22033899，主要市場涵蓋台灣、香港及中國。董事長與總經理為蔡伯宜。公開資料顯示實收資本額為新台幣525,494,550元，已發行普通股約52,549,455股。員工規模依104人力銀行與ICT產業資料約60人，部分較舊政府標案資料曾列120人，故以近年徵才與產業平台資料的60人作為較新的參考。主要股東與內部人方面，公開券商資料顯示董事長蔡伯宜持股約9,633,760股，另高第投資股份有限公司約5,159,266股；PChome 2026年3月資料亦列蔡伯宜持股約9,634張、持股比率18.33%，特斯拉投資有限公司約350張、0.67%。公司子公司與轉投資包含ASEC H.K.、Gold Tender、Idea Success、金青科技、長兆投資等，公開資訊揭露多為100%持股，另有科毅光電投資。公司設有台北總部、台中、香港及中國相關服務據點。

Business

亞矽是半導體與電子零組件代理商，商業模式以取得國內外原廠代理權，向客戶推廣IC、模組、感測器、通訊與電源/類比元件，並提供design-in、技術支援、庫存與供應鏈服務。公司主要經營業務為資訊、電子、電信、電腦零組件產品之代理銷售。2025年（民國114年度）產品營收分布依年報摘要為：處理器/核心邏輯晶片263,714千元、占41.12%；網路通訊類260,067千元、占40.55%；線性類比類86,500千元、占13.49%；記憶體類24,936千元、占3.89%；邏輯線路類4,387千元、占0.67%；其他1,768千元、占0.28%。主要代理品牌包含ANJET、Bosch、Cortina、Fibocom、RAMXEED、Infinity、ISSI、MediaTek、Metanoia、Microchip、Morse Micro、PDi Digital、Realtek等；104人力銀行另列Bosch、Cortina、Fibocom、Fujitsu、ISSI、Metanoia、Microchip、MTK、Realtek等。主要應用包含PC、網路、通訊、MCU、消費性電子、多媒體軟硬體、節能照明、綠能、車用電子、工業電子、醫療電子、IoT、馬達風扇、5G NR Router、Wi-Fi Router/Gateway、XPON Gateway、電子紙與BLE模組等。2025年公司全年合併營收641,372千元，較2024年712,724千元減少10.01%；毛利率由2024年12.43%提升至2025年18.09%，營業淨損由35,892千元縮小至8,304千元，但母公司稅後淨損擴大至13,244千元，每股虧損0.25元。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年實績呈現營收下滑但毛利率改善，顯示公司產品結構調整、聚焦較高附加價值代理線與技術服務已有部分效果；2026年前5月合併營收390,809千元，年增約38%，月營收資料顯示短期動能較2025年同期改善。公司在2025年報摘要中提出2026年營運方針：持續關注並投入Wi-Fi 6/7、5G、車載電子、低軌衛星、無線通訊、光纖網通、馬達風扇等關鍵技術；深耕MCU、感測器、IoT無線通訊軟硬體，提供模組化與次系統解決方案；推動智能風扇馬達Driver Board、電子紙&BLE Module Demo Box、IoT模組化整合服務，以及MCU與網通硬體/軟體整合；導入SiC等第三類半導體與電子紙等低耗能產品線以對應ESG與節能需求。2025至2028年可觀察的成長動能包括AI與高速運算帶動網通、資料中心、企業儲存、Wi-Fi 7、5G/FWA、低軌衛星與車用電子元件需求；馬達風扇與散熱相關控制方案受AI伺服器、工控與節能電機趨勢支持；電子紙、BLE與低功耗IoT可受智慧標籤、工業與商用場景擴散帶動。主要風險為電子零組件通路競爭激烈、代理線變動或被大型通路商整合、終端消費性電子與網通需求循環波動、庫存跌價與呆滯料風險、匯率波動、應收帳款與信用風險、原廠供貨與價格政策變動、地緣政治與科技管制造成供應鏈不確定性。2027至2028並無公司正式量化財測，以上為依公司2026營運計畫、2025法說/年報摘要與產業趨勢所做的研究推論。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 聯發科技 2454 台股上市IC設計公司；亞矽代理品牌列表列有MediaTek，產品應用於SOC與Wi-Fi 4/5/6/7晶片、路由器與Gateway等。
  • 瑞昱半導體 2379 台股上市IC設計公司；亞矽代理品牌列表列有Realtek，應用於Wi-Fi、BLE、商用與IoT晶片。
  • Microchip Technology Inc. 美國NASDAQ上市公司，代號MCHP；亞矽為其代理商，供應MCU、類比、介面、加密、Wi-Fi/BT與馬達、工業、商用、車用應用相關IC。
  • Bosch Sensortec / Bosch 德國Bosch集團相關感測器供應商，非台股掛牌；亞矽代理品牌之一，產品包含G-sensor、3/6/9軸感測器、環境感測器，應用於手機、車用、IoT與IIoT。
  • Cortina 非台股掛牌；亞矽代理品牌之一，產品包含Networking Processor，應用於XPON Gateway、Router、Data與VoIP。
  • Fibocom 中國上市無線模組廠，非台股掛牌；亞矽代理品牌之一，屬通訊模組與IoT相關上游原廠。
  • ISSI / Lumissil Microsystems 非台股掛牌；亞矽代理品牌之一，供應Analog IC與Memory IC，主要應用於消費性領域。
  • Metanoia 台灣未上市或未查得台股掛牌之通訊IC公司；亞矽代理品牌之一，產品包含5G NR SOC，應用於5G NR Router。
  • Morse Micro 澳洲Wi-Fi HaLow晶片公司，未上市或非台股掛牌；亞矽代理品牌之一，應用於IoT與IP Camera。
  • PDi Digital GmbH 德國電子紙/ESL解決方案公司，非台股掛牌；亞矽2024年取得代理，應用於工廠與工業電子紙標籤/電子紙解決方案。
Downstream
  • 網通設備與寬頻Gateway客戶 公司產品應用於XPON Gateway、Router、5G NR Router、Wi-Fi Router/Gateway、FWA與光纖網通；個別客戶名稱未在可查官方資料中明確揭露。
  • 馬達與風扇製造商 公司長期推廣Microchip dsPIC33與馬達風扇解決方案，年報與歷史沿革提到導入主要電腦風扇、汽車水箱風扇與電動工具製造商；個別客戶名稱未公開揭露。
  • 車用電子、工業電子與醫療電子客戶 104與公司資料列為銷售與推廣應用領域，包含車用、工業與醫療電子相關零件；客戶名單未公開。
  • PC、消費性電子、多媒體與數位監控客戶 公司主要商品/服務項目涵蓋電腦及週邊、行動手持裝置、數位多媒體影音、數位監控、遊戲機、機上盒與多功能事務機；個別客戶名稱未公開。
  • 電子紙與BLE/IoT應用客戶 公司2026營業計畫提及電子紙&BLE Module Demo Box、IoT模組化整合服務，終端包含工廠、工業、商用與IoT場景；個別客戶未公開。

Competitors

  • 大聯大 3702 台股上市電子零組件通路龍頭，代理線廣泛，與亞矽在IC與電子零組件代理市場競爭。
  • 文曄 3036 台股上市半導體通路商，規模與國際代理線均較大，屬直接同業。
  • 增你強 3028 台股上市電子零組件通路商，提供技術加值、Turnkey與代理服務，與亞矽在部分代理與客戶市場重疊。
  • 威健 3033 台股上市IC通路商，代理處理器、記憶體、網通與嵌入式相關產品，屬同業競爭者。
  • 至上 8112 台股上櫃電子通路商，主要代理半導體與記憶體等產品，屬同業。
  • 擎亞 8096 台股上櫃電子零組件通路商，與亞矽同屬電子通路業。
  • 全科 3209 台股上櫃IC通路商，代理半導體、網通與電子零組件產品，與亞矽部分應用市場重疊。
  • 安馳 3528 台股上櫃半導體通路與技術服務公司，提供IC代理與設計支援，與亞矽在加值型通路服務上競爭。
  • 敦吉 2459 台股上市通路與電子零組件代理相關公司，股感資料亦列為亞矽同業競爭對手之一。
  • 所羅門 2359 台股上市公司，歷史上亦具電子零組件代理與工控/自動化業務，股感資料列為亞矽同業競爭對手之一。
Sources（23）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.