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6197

佳必琪 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 佳必琪 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 31Quality 90Growth 81Momentum 91Chips 21

Is 佳必琪 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~87% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 8.1%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 64th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 83th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -2.4% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 41.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.23
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 台新-新營 holds 528 lots
  • sellers have 3,970 lots left, ~75 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +127% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台新-新營 has accumulated 528 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 3,229 lots, has sold 26%, 2,381 left, ~31 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.63pp, mid holders +1, retail -1.45pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -550 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台新-新營群益金鼎-三民華南永昌元大-虎尾群益金鼎-嘉義國泰-高雄
Distributing
摩根大通美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀凱基-台北富邦證券台新證券
Desks
own scale
元大證券元大-敦南兆豐-板橋中國信託-永康
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台新-新營 +528
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎-三民 +277
    sold 16%· still adding
  • 華南永昌 +239
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-虎尾 +216
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎-嘉義 +191
    sold 6%
  • 國泰-高雄 +159
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 摩根大通 2,381 left
    sold 26%· ~31 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 662 left
    sold 63%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 781 left
    sold 32%· ~41 sessions to clear
  • 凱基-台北 243 left
    sold 78%· paused recently
  • 富邦證券 93 left
    sold 87%· ~52 sessions to clear
  • 台新證券 165 left
    sold 72%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元大證券 -773
    unclassified
  • 元大-敦南 -558
    unclassified
  • 兆豐-板橋 -405
    unclassified
  • 中國信託-永康 -334
    unclassified
Still selling 3,970 lots ~75 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +989 absorbed / -1,337 sold sellers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -515 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 41.77%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

67 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 54.4%, Sample 57, Median +2.17%, Excess +1.66%, Beat mkt rate 50.9%；60-day: Win 59.6%, Sample 57, Median +4.1%, Excess +4.93%, Beat mkt rate 43.9%；120-day: Win 52.7%, Sample 55, Median +1.23%, Excess +11.21%, Beat mkt rate 47.3%

120 days after: historical avg +18.36%

20-day +2.95%
60-day +9.77%
120-day +18.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.4%
59.6%
52.7%
Sample
57
57
55
Median
+2.17%
+4.1%
+1.23%
Excess
+1.66%
+4.93%
+11.21%
Beat mkt rate
50.9%
43.9%
47.3%

Over 55 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.36%, beat the market by 11.21 pts; win rate 52.7%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 1343+22.2% +14.6% 64.6% +8.4%
20-40 563+31.3% +16.3% 87.9% +11.9%
40-60 442+46.7% +15.5% 91.2% +21.9%
60-80 246+23.6% +5.5% 59.3% +5.7%
80-100 You are here5Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 32.49, at the 83.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+11.7%
Win rate 69.7% Excess +4.2%
878d
+21.6%
Win rate 68.2% Excess +9.7%
468d
Now
+14.3%
Win rate 49.7% Excess -1.7%
193d
60-day momentum down
+7.9%
Win rate 64.7% Excess +2.2%
879d
+24.7%
Win rate 83.9% Excess +11.7%
279d
Insufficient data
(22d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 193 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 14.3%, win rate 49.7%, lagged the market by 1.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.98%, win rate 53.8%, beating the market by +8.06 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

69 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.49%, win rate 58.2%, beating the market by +2.37 pts on average.

What does 佳必琪 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；連接器、線束、高速傳輸與光通訊零組件 上市

Overview

佳必琪國際股份有限公司成立於1992年5月7日，總部位於新北市中和區建一路176號9樓，股票代號6197，2002年12月11日上櫃、2004年11月8日上市，屬台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司英文名稱於2024年公告變更為 JPC connectivity Inc.；英文簡稱 JPC。實收資本額約新台幣12.21億元，已發行普通股122,085,882股。董事長為張舒眉，Goodinfo截至2026年6月17日列示總經理為張偉三。2024年年報列示截至2025年4月30日合併員工數1,909人，平均年齡31.66歲、平均年資3.84年。主要股東方面，2024年年報截至2025年3月29日列示張舒眉持股約15.13%、全漢企業股份有限公司持股約8.20%、Top Point Investment Ltd.約5.03%、Tone Investments Ltd.約3.69%、Mega Power Investments Limited約1.88%、Mega Rise Investments Limited約1.78%、Very Mulan Investment Co., Ltd.約1.23%、Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund保管戶約0.95%、黃清福約0.93%、勤誠興業約0.82%。2024年合併營收約新台幣67.65億元、營業利益約12.04億元、歸屬母公司淨利約10.61億元、EPS約8.69元；2025年全年營收約75.88億元；2026年第1季營收約20.26億元，2026年5月單月營收約8.08億元、年增41.78%，前5月累計營收約36.42億元、年增20.91%。

Business

公司定位為中游連接解決方案設計、製造與整合廠，主要產品包括高速光電、光纜、光模組、連接器、線束、高頻線纜系統、電源線、Busbar、液冷快接頭、IoT模組與客製化電子產品。2024年營收結構依年報為：數據網路電信 DNT 約53.79%，智能連結產業 SCI 約39.82%，物聯網 IoT 約1.48%，其他約4.91%；MoneyDJ整理為數據網路電信54%、智能連結產業40%、其他6%。DNT應用於AI/GPU伺服器、超大型資料中心、傳統伺服器、邊緣運算、儲存設備、5G通訊、交換器與資料中心佈線，產品涵蓋高速銅纜、光纖、光模組、高電流連接方案、800G/1.6T光通訊與PCIe Gen5/Gen6相關線纜連接器。SCI應用於消費電子、遊戲主機與AI PC、車用電子、電動車高壓線束、ADAS、儲能系統、工業自動化、AGV/AMR、醫療設備與高功率解決方案。商業模式以客製化OEM/ODM/JDM、共同設計導入、NPI小量開發到量產製造為主；公司2023年收購衡星與美國SACO，強化切入輝達與美超微相關AI GPU伺服器供應鏈及北美NPI能力。2024年銷售地區為內銷16.28%、亞洲44.45%、美洲31.31%、歐洲5.81%、其他2.15%。年報揭露最大客戶2024年占營收8.69%，無單一客戶超過30%；最大供應商2024年占採購8.59%，無單一供應商超過30%，但客戶與供應商名稱以代號揭露。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年主要成長動能來自AI資料中心高速互連、光通訊、大電流供電與液冷相關連接件。2025年公司受惠GB200/GB300、MGX、北美CSP與AI伺服器需求，市場報導稱下半年AI/GPU伺服器、高速線、電源線與工廠自動化、車用專案逐步放量；2025年全年營收約75.88億元，較2024年67.65億元續創新高。2026年可觀察的動能包括PCIe Gen6放量、Gen7工程樣品、800G/1.6T光模組與AOC/ACC/DAC、高功率ORV3 AC Whip Cable、60A至100A/130A電源線、Busbar、液冷快接頭UQD等產品；公司官方產品線已列示1.6T、800G、Busbar、ORV3、GPU Power Cable、PCIe Gen6與UQD液冷連接器。法說與媒體資料指出AI相關營收占比持續提升，2026年第1季營收20.26億元、2026年5月單月營收8.08億元，顯示AI資料中心需求仍是短中期核心。2027至2028年展望屬推估：若大型CSP資本支出維持、NVIDIA/ASIC AI平台持續迭代、資料中心由銅纜短距離互連與光通訊長距離互連並進，佳必琪可望延伸至PCIe Gen7、下一代800G/1.6T以上光連接、機櫃級高功率配電、液冷與機器人/車用/儲能連接方案。風險包括AI伺服器平台規格變更與認證時程延後、客戶拉貨波動、匯率、關稅與地緣政治、越南/泰國/美國產能擴充進度、光通訊與高速銅纜價格競爭、手工製程成本與自動化不及預期、應收帳款與庫存上升、主要客戶實際訂單不如市場預期。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 線材供應商群 主要原料為線材；2024年年報揭露線材來源為新加坡、美國與中國供應商，但未揭露個別公司名稱。
  • 連接器供應商群 主要原料為連接器；2024年年報揭露連接器來源為美國、墨西哥與中國供應商，但未揭露個別公司名稱。
  • 全漢企業股份有限公司 3015 為佳必琪主要股東之一，2024年年報列示持股約8.20%；全漢本身為電源供應器上市公司，與佳必琪AI伺服器高功率連接應用存在產業相鄰性，但年報未明確揭露其為供應商。
Downstream
  • NVIDIA Corporation 美國上市公司；多篇法說與新聞報導稱佳必琪已切入NVIDIA GB200/GB300、MGX供應鏈，供應AI伺服器高速線材、連接器、電源相關產品，部分產品處於POC或設計導入。
  • Oracle Corporation 美國上市公司；媒體引述法說指出佳必琪為Oracle供應商，受惠Oracle/OpenAI相關AI資料中心需求。
  • Super Micro Computer, Inc. 美國上市公司；自由財經報導稱佳必琪為美超微伺服器系統製造主力供應商之一。
  • Amazon Web Services／Amazon.com, Inc. 美國上市公司旗下雲端服務商；媒體報導稱佳必琪為Amazon終端客戶認可供應商，屬北美CSP資料中心終端應用。
  • Microsoft Corporation 美國上市公司；媒體報導稱佳必琪為Microsoft終端客戶認可供應商，屬北美CSP資料中心終端應用。
  • Meta Platforms, Inc. 美國上市公司；媒體報導稱佳必琪為Meta終端客戶認可供應商，屬北美CSP資料中心終端應用。
  • Google Cloud／Alphabet Inc. 美國上市公司旗下雲端服務商；佳必琪年報將Google Cloud列為全球主要CSP資本支出與AI/HPC需求代表，未確認為直接客戶。

Competitors

  • 鴻海精密工業股份有限公司 2317 MoneyDJ列為佳必琪國內外競爭廠商之一；同屬AI伺服器與連接/系統供應鏈大型台股上市公司。
  • 凡甲科技股份有限公司 3526 MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商；台股上市連接器公司。
  • 優群科技股份有限公司 3217 MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商；台股上櫃連接器與電子零組件公司。
  • TE Connectivity plc 瑞士/美國上市連接器與感測方案大廠；MoneyDJ列為國際競爭廠商，非台股掛牌。
  • Amphenol Corporation 美國上市連接器、線纜與互連系統大廠；MoneyDJ列為國際競爭廠商，非台股掛牌。
  • Hirose Electric Co., Ltd. 日本上市連接器廠，常稱HRS；MoneyDJ列為國際競爭廠商，非台股掛牌。
  • 立訊精密工業股份有限公司 中國A股上市連接器與精密製造公司；MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商，非台股掛牌。
Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.