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6199

天品 Other As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 天品 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 16Quality 96Growth 99Momentum 20Chips 68

Is 天品 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~98% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 7.9%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 77th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 59th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.9% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 724.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.33
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 台新-板橋 holds 1,263 lots
  • sellers have 548 lots left, ~71 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -18% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台新-板橋 has accumulated 1,263 lots since the start (sold 4%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-站前 peaked at 557 lots, has sold 67%, 185 left, ~71 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -4.12pp, mid holders +4, retail +2.34pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -714 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台新-板橋台新-高雄兆豐-民生統一-土城凱基-員林永豐金證券
Distributing
凱基-站前凱基-高雄宏遠-高雄港商野村美商高盛國票-敦北法人
Desks
own scale
群益金鼎-海山永豐金-埔里凱基-台北國泰-敦南
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台新-板橋 +1,263
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 台新-高雄 +672
    sold 15%
  • 兆豐-民生 +422
    sold 7%
  • 統一-土城 +311
    sold 11%· still adding
  • 凱基-員林 +292
    sold 0%
  • 永豐金證券 +225
    sold 6%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-站前 185 left
    sold 67%· ~71 sessions to clear
  • 凱基-高雄 282 left
    sold 45%· paused recently
  • 宏遠-高雄 102 left
    sold 75%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 108 left
    sold 34%· paused recently
  • 美商高盛 77 left
    sold 45%· ~21 sessions to clear
  • 國票-敦北法人 102 left
    sold 27%· ~28 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 群益金鼎-海山 -2,467
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-埔里 -533
    unclassified
  • 凱基-台北 -235
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 國泰-敦南 -216
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 548 lots ~71 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,815 absorbed / -345 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -187 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 724.1%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

100 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 40.2%, Sample 92, Median -1.52%, Excess -2.74%, Beat mkt rate 38%；60-day: Win 42.2%, Sample 90, Median -3.55%, Excess -5.62%, Beat mkt rate 27.8%；120-day: Win 48.3%, Sample 87, Median -0.3%, Excess -4.75%, Beat mkt rate 36.8%

120 days after: historical avg +2.56%

20-day -1.02%
60-day -0.7%
120-day +2.56%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40.2%
42.2%
48.3%
Sample
92
90
87
Median
-1.52%
-3.55%
-0.3%
Excess
-2.74%
-5.62%
-4.75%
Beat mkt rate
38%
27.8%
36.8%

Over 87 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.56%, lagged the market by 4.75 pts; win rate 48.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 251+9.6% +1.4% 53% -7%
20-40 193-6.1% -17.5% 31.6% -44.9%
40-60 You are here216+46.9% +33.2% 77.3% +34.8%
60-80 196+135.3% +0.4% 50% +125.4%
80-100 582+71.9% +40% 65.8% +33.8%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 53.92, at the 58.9th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-9.4%
Win rate 35.6% Excess -17.2%
174d
+5.9%
Win rate 52.6% Excess -2.6%
154d
+43.4%
Win rate 59.8% Excess +32%
443d
60-day momentum down
+7.5%
Win rate 31% Excess +5.4%
203d
Now
+8.6%
Win rate 31% Excess +4%
58d
+28.9%
Win rate 58% Excess +4%
357d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 58 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8.6%, win rate 31%, beat the market by 4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.01%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +17.05 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.93%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +7.39 pts on average.

What does 天品 do? Company profile

其他業；主要跨殯葬生命服務、租賃、文創／STEM教育商品與AI伺服器／半導體零組件潔淨服務 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

6199 對應證券為天品，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司前身為精威科技股份有限公司，成立於1993/04/03，早期以快閃記憶體讀卡機、隨身碟與電腦儲存週邊產品起家，後轉型至殯葬生命服務與租賃，2025年起透過奈科潔淨科技跨入AI伺服器水冷散熱模組與電子零組件高潔淨清洗。公司總部／登記地址為新北市中和區板南路657號8樓；董事長李振寬、總經理李娜亞、發言人洪春木。公開資訊與券商資料顯示公開發行日為2001/05/28、上櫃掛牌日為2016/10/07；公司官網另載前身精威科技於2002/11/04成為OTC公司，兩者可能反映不同掛牌／重新上櫃或公司沿革口徑。實收資本額約617,600,180元，已發行普通股61,760,018股。104人力銀行揭露員工人數約30人、資本額約6.3億元；員工數屬招募頁資訊，非年報正式口徑。主要股東／董監持股依公開資料彙整：豪富投資股份有限公司約22,497,829股、約36.43%；董事長李振寬約3,888,466股、約6.30%；莊惠真約4,367千股、約7.07%（股東資料時間點依不同網站可能落在2024至2026年間，需以最新股東名簿與年報為準）。重要子公司／事業包括天品國際股份有限公司（天品山莊、殯葬設施與生命禮儀）、奈科潔淨科技股份有限公司（AI伺服器與半導體零件潔淨；2025年與欣偉科技合資成立，早期報導稱天品持股70%，2026年新聞稱天品持股80%、欣偉科技20%，持股比例疑有變動，需以最新重訊／財報附註為準）、T-Space玩泰股份有限公司（STEM教育玩具與文創商品）。

Business

公司目前是轉型中的多元營運公司。傳統核心為殯葬生命服務：天品山莊位於新北三峽，定位為基督徒墓園／納骨寶塔，提供塔位／葬位使用權、骨灰罐、葬位附屬內裝、生命禮儀、基督教安息禮拜與中式喪禮規劃、生前契約或禮儀顧問等服務；主要客群為有基督信仰安葬需求及一般禮儀服務需求的家庭，銷售地區以台灣為主。第二塊為租賃，包含閒置廠房或不動產出租；公司2026/03/30董事會通過出售桃園平鎮閒置廠房及土地予鼎顓電子，交易總額5.88億元，預估處分利益約4.5億元，預計第三季前完成交割，顯示租賃／不動產資產仍是財務彈性來源。第三塊為文創與STEM教育玩具，由T-Space玩泰推動教育玩具設計、研發、製造、OEM/ODM與國際通路。第四塊為2025年後新增的AI潔淨科技，由奈科潔淨科技承接伺服器水冷系統、散熱模組、特殊元件、半導體零件的高潔淨清洗、AI製程監控、AI品管、貴金屬回收與綠色回收流程；其商業模式較接近電子製造供應鏈中的製程外包／高潔淨服務，收入受AI伺服器液冷滲透率、CSP資料中心資本支出、客戶驗證與產線稼動率影響。2024年營收結構依MoneyDJ：殯葬服務79%、租賃17%、文創4%；StockFeel揭露近似比例為殯葬79.6%、租賃16.7%、文創3.7%。2025年起營收結構明顯改變：2025全年營收263,763千元、年增178.2%；2026/01-05累計營收406,188千元、年增914.48%，主要受AI伺服器潔淨與殯葬塔位銷售挹注。2026年第1季合併營收276,465千元、毛利150,088千元、營業利益129,338千元、稅後淨利77,544千元、歸母淨利75,461千元、EPS 1.22元，顯示新業務與一次性高階塔位銷售使獲利顯著改善。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的關鍵展望在於「殯葬現金流＋AI潔淨成長」雙軸能否持續。成長動能一：AI伺服器液冷化。高階GPU伺服器與資料中心導入水冷／液冷架構後，冷板、管件、散熱模組、特殊金屬元件對潔淨度、殘留物、良率與交期要求提高，帶動清洗、檢測、回收服務需求；天品透過奈科潔淨切入此環節，2025下半年至2026前5月營收已呈爆發式成長。成長動能二：產能擴充與客戶驗證。多篇法說會／新聞摘要提及奈科潔淨產線滿載、第二條Class 10無塵室產線規劃於2026年5月下旬開出、訂單能見度看至2026年第一季或第三季、新客戶驗證推進中；若驗證順利且量產穩定，2026-2028清洗營收占比有機會續升。成長動能三：基隆孝光閣。MoneyDJ稱公司規劃興建基隆孝光閣，全棟16,194組塔位與12,760組牌位，原預計2025年第2季取得建照開工、2026下半年啟用；後續重訊顯示天品國際以自地委建方式簽訂新建工程承攬契約，契約金額有補充／更正，代表殯葬資產仍在擴充。若取得使用執照、銷售與禮儀服務順利，將延長生命事業收入年期。成長動能四：資產活化。出售平鎮廠預估處分利益約4.5億元，若如期入帳，將強化2026財務表現與轉型資金。主要風險：AI潔淨業務目前仍處快速導入期，客戶名稱、長約條件、良率驗證、實際毛利率與可複製性資訊有限；若AI伺服器液冷規格改變、客戶自建清洗能力、競爭者跟進、單一大客戶或單一專案依賴過高，營收波動可能很大。殯葬業務受土地／建照／殯葬設施法規、地方溝通、宗教客群規模、塔位銷售認列時點影響，具一次性大額銷售波動。2026年第1季營收包含殯葬家族塔位銷售與AI潔淨放量，不宜直接年化為長期常態。財務上，基隆孝光閣等工程投資、奈科潔淨擴產、設備與潔淨室資本支出可能造成短期現金流壓力；同時處分資產收益屬一次性，需分辨本業獲利與業外／處分利益。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 欣偉科技股份有限公司 未上市公司；李振寬受訪稱欣偉科技為家族企業，專注半導體及光電產業廢棄物清除處理、貴金屬回收精煉與半導體零件清洗，擁有約25年經驗；2025年與天品合資成立奈科潔淨科技，是AI潔淨技術、製程經驗與產能合作來源。
  • 豪富投資股份有限公司 未上市投資公司；為天品主要股東，非營運供應商，但為公司控制權／資金面上游關係人。
  • 天品國際股份有限公司 未上市子公司；經營天品山莊、塔位／牌位與殯葬設施，是殯葬業務核心資產與服務供給端。
  • 建築工程承攬商與殯葬設施工程供應商 公司基隆孝光閣等殯葬設施需土地、建築工程、機電、室內裝修、牌位／塔位設施等供應；公開資料未完整揭露全部供應商名稱，故以類別列示。
  • 潔淨室設備、化學清洗藥劑、檢測設備與環保處理供應商 奈科潔淨業務需Class 10等級潔淨環境、清洗配方、純水／廢液處理、檢測與AI品管設備；公開資料未揭露完整供應商名單，故以類別列示。
Downstream
  • 台灣基督徒家庭與一般殯葬禮儀客戶 天品山莊與永恆生命事業主要終端客戶；需求來自塔位、牌位、墓園、安息禮拜、中式喪禮、生前規劃與禮儀用品。
  • AI伺服器水冷／液冷散熱模組與電子製造供應鏈客戶 奈科潔淨下游客戶類型；公開報導稱其切入國際伺服器供應鏈，處理水冷系統零件、散熱模組、特殊元件；公司未在可查公開資料中完整揭露客戶名單，故不填特定台股代號。
  • Microsoft 美國上市公司；媒體訪談稱微軟GPU伺服器散熱異常促成業界尋找清理公司，天品／奈科潔淨因此接上半導體供應鏈。此為媒體轉述董事長說法，未見公司重訊確認直接客戶關係。
  • Meta Platforms 美國上市公司；部分法說會摘要／投資文章提及Meta GB200散熱模組清洗需求，但未見公司正式公告確認直接客戶，故僅列為市場傳聞或二手資料。
  • 鼎顓電子股份有限公司 未上市或非台股掛牌公司；2026年天品公告／新聞稱出售桃園平鎮閒置廠房及土地予鼎顓電子，屬資產處分交易對手而非主要營運客戶。

Competitors

  • 龍巖股份有限公司 5530 台股上市／上櫃殯葬生命服務同業；財報狗與多家資料站將龍巖與天品同列殯葬產業，是最直接的掛牌同業比較標的。
  • 北海福座 未上市殯葬設施業者；MoneyDJ列為北北基靈骨塔／墓園競爭對手之一。
  • 金寶山 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為北北基競爭對手之一。
  • 台北聖城 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為基隆地區競爭對手之一。
  • 平安園 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為北北基競爭對手之一。
  • 福田妙國 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為萬里地區競爭對手之一。
  • 關渡龍園 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為八里地區競爭對手之一。
  • 慈恩園 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為台北市競爭對手之一。
  • 頂福陵園 未上市殯葬園區業者；MoneyDJ列為林口地區競爭對手之一。
  • 半導體／伺服器零組件清洗與表面處理服務商 AI潔淨業務的新競爭群；公開資料未完整揭露與天品同案競爭的台股上市櫃公司名稱，故以產業類別列示。
Sources（18）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.