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6593

台灣銘板 Information Services As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 台灣銘板 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 31Quality 18Growth 87Momentum 9Chips 22

Is 台灣銘板 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 26th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -2.1%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 94th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 71th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -2.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 66.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.78
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 國泰-敦南 holds 384 lots
  • sellers have 79 lots left, ~26 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰-敦南 has accumulated 384 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 兆豐-大安 peaked at 468 lots, has sold 34%, 307 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +8.96pp, mid holders -1, retail -1.27pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -54 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰-敦南凱基-民權群益金鼎-嘉義國泰-台中國泰-高雄國泰-板橋
Distributing
兆豐-大安凱基-市府國泰-新莊元大-福營富邦-木柵群益金鼎-北高雄
Desks
own scale
凱基-站前富邦-永和元大-上新莊摩根大通
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰-敦南 +384
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-民權 +316
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎-嘉義 +267
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-台中 +95
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-高雄 +79
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-板橋 +77
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 兆豐-大安 307 left
    sold 34%· paused recently
  • 凱基-市府 45 left
    sold 64%· ~6 sessions to clear
  • 國泰-新莊 18 left
    sold 42%· paused recently
  • 元大-福營 4 left
    sold 82%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-木柵 13 left
    sold 28%· ~26 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-北高雄 9 left
    sold 40%· ~23 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基-站前 -496
    unclassified
  • 富邦-永和 -93
    unclassified
  • 元大-上新莊 -66
    unclassified
  • 摩根大通 -53
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 79 lots ~26 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +282 absorbed / -109 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -10 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 66.78%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

28 historical occurrences (since 2017-11-03)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 22, Median +0.28%, Excess +3.59%, Beat mkt rate 31.8%；60-day: Win 52.4%, Sample 21, Median +0.19%, Excess +5.41%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；120-day: Win 61.9%, Sample 21, Median +4.65%, Excess +5.89%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +21.33%

20-day +6.15%
60-day +13.12%
120-day +21.33%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
52.4%
61.9%
Sample
22
21
21
Median
+0.28%
+0.19%
+4.65%
Excess
+3.59%
+5.41%
+5.89%
Beat mkt rate
31.8%
33.3%
33.3%

Over 21 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 21.33%, beat the market by 5.89 pts; win rate 61.9%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 25Insufficient data
60-80 You are here96-48.9% -60.3% 6.2% -52.5%
80-100 445+114.4% +67.8% 78.4% +86.7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 93.11, at the 70.6th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(3d)
Now
+54.3%
Win rate 61.6% Excess +41.8%
354d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(0d)
-30.3%
Win rate 0% Excess -31.1%
110d
+11%
Win rate 59.7% Excess +7.9%
206d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 354 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 54.3%, win rate 61.6%, beat the market by 41.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +22.2%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +19.67 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -8.7 pts on average.

What does 台灣銘板 do? Company profile

資訊服務業；櫃買產業價值鏈分類為軟體服務－資料處理服務；實際營運以智慧卡、卡片個人化、銘板及薄膜開關製造與服務為主 上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

台灣銘板股份有限公司，股票代號6593，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司成立於1970年12月4日，公開發行日為2016年8月17日，興櫃日為2016年9月28日，上櫃掛牌日為2017年11月3日。總部位於桃園市龜山區華亞一路36號。Goodinfo及櫃買公司資料顯示董事長為許嘉濬，總經理為印文正，發言人為蘇文輝；資本額約新台幣3.19億元，發行股數約31,856,609股（含私募3,000,000股），每股面額10元。104人力銀行公司頁列示員工人數約240人。主要生產據點包括林口廠、新莊廠，MoneyDJ資料亦提及菲律賓廠。董監持股方面，富聯網2026年5月資料顯示棋實投資股份有限公司代表董事持股約1,871張、占發行比例5.86%，許嘉濬個人持股約521張；由於大股東持股在2025至2026年間曾有明顯變動，主要股東仍應以公開資訊觀測站最新年報、股東名簿及股權分散表為準。

Business

公司主要產品與服務包含卡片、卡片個人化、銘板及薄膜按鍵開關，近年新增FortVax冷錢包卡、Web3金融科技與CaaS（Card as a Service）跨境發卡服務。卡片類產品涵蓋雙介面晶片卡、接觸式晶片卡、非接觸式晶片卡、交通票證卡、造型票證卡、磁條卡、金融卡、信用卡、會員卡、電子錢包與冷錢包卡；卡片個人化服務包含將持卡人資料寫入IC晶片或磁條、卡面個人化、裝封及寄送等製發卡流程。銘板與薄膜開關產品涵蓋不鏽鋼、鋁質、塑膠、電鑄薄膜銘板，以及平面/沖凸薄膜開關，應用於3C、家電、汽機車、工業設備、醫療與電子儀器等。公司商業模式過去以B2B製卡、製發卡代工、卡片個人化與客製化銘板製造為主，客戶包括銀行、票證公司、國際卡組織、品牌及工業客戶；2025年法說資料與新聞顯示，公司正嘗試擴大到B2B CaaS系統授權、月費、交易手續分潤，以及B2C自有U卡、FortVax冷錢包電商銷售。2025年前三季公司營收約3.2億元，稅後虧損約4,418萬元，每股虧損約1.71元；營收占比約為卡片58%、卡片個人化17%、銘板25%。2024年MoneyDJ資料列示內銷占約89%、外銷占約11%，卡片客戶包含悠遊卡公司、中國信託銀行、國泰世華銀行、台新銀行、澳洲國家銀行、Visa、Mastercard、JCB等；銘板客戶包含Sharp、Hitachi、Sony、Audi、Skoda、Volkswagen等。重要原物料方面，卡片主要使用IC晶片、背膠等，銘板主要使用銀漿等；公司具備IC晶片作業系統、卡片個人化軟體及RFID印刷天線相關能力，並取得VISA、Mastercard、JCB、UnionPay等國際卡組織認證。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年公司面臨銀行與票證機構新舊卡交替、銀行信用卡訂單遞延、新業務前期研發/人力/行銷費用增加及產能稼動率不足，導致前三季營收年減、由盈轉虧。公司對2026年以後的成長論述主要有四項：第一，核心製卡需求回補，2025年法說新聞提到公司已掌握多家銀行及票證公司年度合約約770萬張，隨新卡發行計畫啟動，製卡需求有機會逐步回溫。第二，產品組合升級，公司導入再生PVC、海洋回收塑料、PETG等環保材質卡片，並提升高階金屬卡產能，若客戶接受度提高，毛利結構有機會改善。第三，Web3與金融科技新事業，包括FortVax冷錢包卡量產、全球交易所企業級冷錢包採購、CaaS跨境金融平台、自有U卡、區塊鏈門禁讀卡器及以太坊驗證節點等，若能取得穩定客戶與交易量，收入來源將從製造延伸至系統授權、月費、交易分潤與金融科技服務。第四，銘板事業透過淘汰低毛利產品、製程外包、自動化與高附加價值產品比重提升，以降低低毛利訂單對獲利的拖累。2027至2028年展望屬推估：若CaaS、U卡及冷錢包能在東南亞及海外市場放量，公司有機會由傳統智慧卡/銘板製造商轉為金融卡、資安硬體與發卡服務平台型供應商；但若Web3市場需求不如預期、監管政策改變、加密資產價格大幅波動、卡片虛擬化加速、銀行及票證客戶延後換卡，或海外發卡合作無法取得必要牌照/合規通道，營收與獲利復甦將有高度不確定性。其他風險包含IC晶片供應與價格、匯率、國際卡組織及資訊安全認證維持成本、個資保護法遵、主要客戶集中、冷錢包資安事件、實體卡需求長期被行動支付與虛擬卡取代。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • IC晶片供應商 卡片主要原料之一；年報曾以匿名L公司揭露主要供應商，主要供應項目為IC晶片，未能確認實際公司名稱及是否台股掛牌。
  • PVC、再生PVC、海洋回收塑料、PETG等卡片材料供應商 環保材質卡片與一般卡片基材來源；公司2025年法說新聞提到正導入再生PVC、海洋回收塑料及PETG。未查得具名台股供應商。
  • 背膠、磁條、天線、印刷與封裝材料供應商 卡片、票證卡、非接觸式卡與銘板製程所需材料；公開資料僅列示品項，未揭露具名供應商。
  • 銀漿及金屬材料供應商 銘板及薄膜開關產品原料，MoneyDJ資料列示銘板主要原料包含銀漿；未查得具名台股供應商。
  • 誠研科技 3494 2023年公司宣布合作個人化冷錢包；較偏技術/產品合作夥伴，非傳統原料供應商。
  • 香港商全金集成有限公司 FortVax頁面列示之合作方，專注結合實體金融商品與區塊鏈加密應用；非台股上市櫃。
Downstream
  • 悠遊卡股份有限公司 電子票證卡與造型票證卡客戶；未上市櫃。
  • 一卡通票證股份有限公司 電子票證卡潛在/同類客戶，公開產業資料常列入台灣票證卡市場；未上市櫃。
  • 中國信託金融控股 2891 旗下中國信託銀行為卡片客戶，採購信用卡/金融卡及個人化製發卡服務。
  • 國泰金融控股 2882 旗下國泰世華銀行為卡片客戶，採購信用卡/金融卡及個人化製發卡服務。
  • 台新新光金融控股 2887 旗下台新銀行為卡片客戶；台新金/新光金合併後公司名稱需以交易所最新資料確認。
  • Visa 國際卡組織與卡片業務生態系合作對象；美國上市公司，非台股。
  • Mastercard 國際卡組織與卡片業務生態系合作對象；美國上市公司，非台股。
  • JCB 國際卡組織與卡片業務生態系合作對象；日本公司，非台股。
  • 澳洲國家銀行 MoneyDJ列示之卡片客戶；澳洲上市銀行，非台股。
  • Sharp、Hitachi、Sony、Audi、Skoda、Volkswagen等品牌客戶 銘板、Logo、裝飾板或操作面板等下游客戶；多為海外上市或集團品牌，非台股掛牌主體。
  • 全球加密資產交易所客戶 2025年新聞稱FortVax企業級資安冷錢包已與全球知名加密貨幣交易所簽訂採購合約，但未揭露交易所名稱，故stock_id為null。

Competitors

  • 宏通數碼科技 國內智慧卡、金融卡、交通卡及個人化委外服務競爭者；公司網站稱其為國內第一家以智慧卡為核心業務之企業，未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 第一美卡 國內信用卡/卡片製造競爭者；未上市櫃或未查得台股代號。
  • 東元相關製卡業務 MoneyDJ及產業資料列為信用卡產品國內競爭者，但未明確確認對應上市主體，故不填stock_id。
  • Thales／Gemalto Gemalto為全球SIM卡、智慧卡及數位安全大廠，已由法商Thales收購；海外上市集團，非台股。
  • 新東亞 電子票證卡國內競爭者；未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 韋僑科技 6417 RFID/NFC相關公司，產業資料列為電子票證卡競爭者之一；台股上櫃。
  • 正美、大偉印刷、卡東等印刷同業 銘板及機上盒銘板類競爭者；公開資料未能確認台股上市櫃代號，故stock_id為null。
  • Ledger、Trezor、CoolWallet 冷錢包硬體與資安錢包市場競爭者；多為海外或未上市公司，非台股。
Sources（16）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.