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6596

寬宏藝術 Cultural & Creative As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 寬宏藝術 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 74Quality 81Growth 93Momentum 4Chips 3

Is 寬宏藝術 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 74th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 5.9%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 2th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 2th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -10.9% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 122.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.31
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 土銀-台中 holds 311 lots
  • sellers have 138 lots left, ~65 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -33% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 土銀-台中 has accumulated 311 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 富邦-仁愛 peaked at 229 lots, has sold 76%, 56 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -9.45pp, mid holders -4, retail +11.79pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,037 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
土銀-台中台新證券玉山-桃園國泰-敦南玉山-台中凱基-中壢
Distributing
富邦-仁愛華南永昌-竹北凱基-科園國票證券港商野村群益金鼎-北高雄
Desks
own scale
玉山-高雄台灣摩根士丹利香港上海匯豐臺銀-高雄
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 土銀-台中 +311
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新證券 +304
    sold 0%
  • 玉山-桃園 +227
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-敦南 +190
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山-台中 +136
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-中壢 +119
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 富邦-仁愛 56 left
    sold 76%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-竹北 39 left
    sold 75%· paused recently
  • 凱基-科園 15 left
    sold 85%· paused recently
  • 國票證券 17 left
    sold 75%· paused recently
  • 港商野村 31 left
    sold 48%· paused recently
  • 群益金鼎-北高雄 13 left
    sold 77%· paused recently

Desks

  • 玉山-高雄 -3,180
    unclassified
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -543
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 香港上海匯豐 -401
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 臺銀-高雄 -395
    unclassified
Still selling 138 lots ~65 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +656 absorbed / -106 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -636 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 122.48%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

54 historical occurrences (since 2018-01-04)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 49, Median -1.39%, Excess -2.67%, Beat mkt rate 36.7%；60-day: Win 55.3%, Sample 47, Median +0.67%, Excess -2.3%, Beat mkt rate 40.4%；120-day: Win 54.3%, Sample 46, Median +1.07%, Excess -0.89%, Beat mkt rate 43.5%

120 days after: historical avg +10.91%

20-day -0.79%
60-day +2.57%
120-day +10.91%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
55.3%
54.3%
Sample
49
47
46
Median
-1.39%
+0.67%
+1.07%
Excess
-2.67%
-2.3%
-0.89%
Beat mkt rate
36.7%
40.4%
43.5%

Over 46 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.91%, lagged the market by 0.89 pts; win rate 54.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here175+105.7% +117.1% 100% +94%
20-40 163+62.6% +69.8% 100% +21.8%
40-60 174+6.8% +4.9% 68.4% -19.7%
60-80 182+25.4% +12.4% 98.9% +5.8%
80-100 129+38.3% +43.9% 91.5% +9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 5.51, at the 2.2th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+42.5%
Win rate 77.2% Excess +38.3%
184d
+16%
Win rate 57.5% Excess -9.5%
266d
+5.4%
Win rate 65.4% Excess +0.1%
179d
60-day momentum down
Now
+22.9%
Win rate 74.2% Excess +4.4%
89d
+1.7%
Win rate 39% Excess -6.4%
123d
+26.4%
Win rate 92.1% Excess +12.8%
101d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 89 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 22.9%, win rate 74.2%, beat the market by 4.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.44%, win rate 70%, beating the market by +9.63 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

18 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.16%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -2.31 pts on average.

What does 寬宏藝術 do? Company profile

文化創意業；流行音樂及文化內容產業 上櫃

Overview

寬宏藝術經紀股份有限公司為台灣上櫃普通股公司，股票代號6596，英文簡稱KHAM Inc.。公司成立於2004/11/05，2016/08/26公開發行，2016/10/07登錄興櫃，2018/01/04上櫃；總部位於臺北市中山區樂群二路267號6樓。董事長及總經理為林建寰，發言人為財務長汪聖柏。實收資本額為新台幣3.8億元，已發行普通股38,000,000股。113年年報揭露截至114年3月底員工35人；2025/11/07法說會簡報列員工人數45人，推估係統計時點差異。主要股東依113年年報前十大股東資訊包括駿騰創意行銷股份有限公司約16.11%、寬宏演藝股份有限公司約5.56%、樂暘藝術經紀有限公司約4.54%、林建寰及其關係人、外資保管專戶等。公司採合併報表，子公司/投資架構包含台灣藝能工程股份有限公司100%、表演工作坊文化創意股份有限公司43%、動員創意股份有限公司20%，並投資展逸國際、鍇睿國際等體育/電競相關公司。

Business

公司主業為國內外藝人演唱會、展覽、音樂劇、舞蹈、戲劇、古典音樂、體育等藝文活動之主辦、協辦、製作、監製、售票與周邊商品販售。商業模式以主辦展演票房收入為核心，另有售票系統佣金、工程/硬體整合、周邊商品與授權收入。113年合併營收1,729,668千元，年增28.68%，稅後淨利208,529千元，EPS 6.27元；營收組成為勞務收入83%、工程收入15%、銷貨收入2%。2025年前三季營收2,713,805千元，法說會揭露營收組成為勞務收入86.76%、銷貨收入2.65%、工程收入10.59%。主要收入來源是展演票房，客戶以一般消費者為主，年報明確指出近兩年無單一銷售對象超過10%。終端應用/需求包括演唱會、音樂劇、國際劇場、親子展覽、IP授權展、AI互動展、體育活動、企業包票/贊助與城市演唱會經濟。公司競爭優勢在於節目引進、在地場館協調、大型專案執行、行銷售票、硬體/宣傳/售票垂直整合，以及自製展覽與海外授權。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年為公司營運高峰年，已完成或規劃多檔大型節目：悲慘世界音樂劇北高巡迴、江蕙北高巨蛋多場演唱會、冰上迪士尼、民歌高峰會、Ado、莎拉布萊曼、火焰之舞、日落大道等，並有AI繪動的畫、侏羅紀X恐龍光影展等自製/授權展。2025年前三季營收已達27.14億元，超越2024全年，新聞來源並揭露2025年稅後純益約7.15億元、EPS 18.83元，顯示大型演唱會與音樂劇檔期帶動獲利大幅上升。2026年上半年公司法說會列出王心凌北蛋2場、江蕙北蛋5場、歌劇魅影全省巡演、冰上迪士尼北蛋8場及AI/AI2展覽，短期營收仍取決於場次、售票率與節目毛利。2026至2028年較明確的成長動能包括：一、全球現場音樂市場仍被公司引用之高盛Music in the Air報告看好，2024至2030年現場音樂CAGR預測約6.6%；二、台灣大型場館供給增加，如台北大巨蛋、北流、高流、衛武營、高雄巨蛋等，有利大型演出排程；三、公司自製展覽與AI互動內容若成功海外授權，可提升毛利率並降低完全依賴外部授權；四、公司長期策略為港澳新馬等海外市場、參與歐美音樂劇投資、場館BOT/OT營運分包、售票數據分析與上下游併購/股權投資。主要風險包括：檔期與票房高度專案型，營收與毛利率季節波動大；內容引進授權金、場租、舞台硬體與行銷成本上升；國內外同業爭搶藝人、IP與場館檔期；颱風、疾病、天災等不可抗力；藝人健康、形象或道德風險；新創節目與自製內容市場反應不確定；黃牛/實名制、票券退換票規範及勞動法規遵循成本。2026至2028具體財務數字未見公司公開財測，本段中2027至2028為依公司策略與產業趨勢作出的研究推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • AEG 年報揭露113年度主要進貨供應商之一，占進貨淨額43.16%；屬海外大型娛樂/場館/演出相關集團，非台股上市櫃公司。
  • CoMa 年報揭露112年度主要進貨供應商之一，占進貨淨額51.87%；推測與展演或周邊商品專案供應相關，非台股上市櫃公司。
  • 國內外藝人與經紀公司 展演內容與授權來源，包括藝人、唱片/經紀公司、劇團與版權方；多數為未上市或海外公司，年報將其列為產業上游授權源頭。
  • 國際經紀商與音樂劇/展覽版權方 協助取得海外演唱會、音樂劇與展覽主辦權，需主辦方具備財務、場館協調、硬體整合與行銷能力；多為海外或未上市公司。
  • 台灣藝能工程股份有限公司 寬宏100%持有之子公司，提供燈光視訊等硬體出租與工程支援；未上市櫃。
  • 表演工作坊文化創意股份有限公司 寬宏採權益法投資43%，舞台劇製作相關，屬內容/劇場上游合作資源；未上市櫃。
  • 動員創意股份有限公司 寬宏採權益法投資20%，活動/商演人力執行相關；未上市櫃。
Downstream
  • 一般消費者 主要最終客戶；公司年報指出銷售票券給一般消費大眾，近兩年無單一銷售客戶超過10%。
  • 售票網與電子通路 展演票券銷售、金流、物流與會員行銷通路；年報列為產業鏈下游。
  • 便利商店通路 提供實體買票、取票、代收付與票券印製服務；年報列為產業鏈下游。
  • 團購網與企業包票/贊助客戶 展覽及演出之折扣票、團體票、異業合作、企業贊助與貴賓包票通路；多為非特定或未上市公司。
  • 網路串流媒體 可能向主辦方與內容方支付權利金取得現場演出轉播權，年報列為逐漸形成的新商業機會；多數為海外或非台股公司。
  • 展逸國際企業股份有限公司 公司投資之體育活動主辦/執行業者，股票代號6798但為興櫃，非上市櫃，故stock_id依規範填null。
  • 鍇睿國際股份有限公司 公司投資之電競賽事相關業者，股票代號7779但為興櫃，非上市櫃，故stock_id依規範填null。

Competitors

  • 寬魚國際 6101 上櫃文化創意公司，業務涵蓋影視、演唱會、音樂與藝人/歌手經紀，與寬宏在演唱會主辦及文創內容投資領域競爭。
  • 必應創造 6625 上市娛樂服務公司，與相信音樂體系關係密切，主要從事演唱會製作、舞台工程與大型活動執行，屬展演製作與演唱會概念股競爭/合作對象。
  • 華研國際音樂 8446 上櫃音樂與藝人經紀公司；年報列國內藝人演出同業包含掌握歌手經紀約的唱片與經紀公司，華研為代表之一。
  • 時藝多媒體 展覽與多媒體策展公司，年報列為靜態展覽同業；未查得台股上市櫃掛牌。
  • 聯合數位文創 年報列為靜態展覽同業；未查得台股上市櫃掛牌。
  • 超級圓頂 年報列為國外藝人演出同業；未查得台股上市櫃掛牌。
  • 理想國演藝／Live Nation Entertainment 全球現場娛樂與票務龍頭，美國NYSE上市代號LYV，非台股掛牌；在國際藝人巡演、票務與大型演出市場具競爭/授權影響力。
  • 大大國際娛樂、宜辰整合行銷、就是娛樂、相信音樂、杰威爾音樂、凌時差音樂等 年報列為國內主辦/經紀/唱片同業或相關競爭者，多為未上市公司或未查得台股上市櫃掛牌。
Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.