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6655

科定 Other As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 科定 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 47Quality 69Growth 68Momentum 31Chips 89

Is 科定 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 73th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.9%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 62th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 78th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 9.8% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 23.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.34
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大-新盛 holds 463 lots
  • sellers have 18 lots left, ~25 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +2% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-新盛 has accumulated 463 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 25 lots, has sold 40%, 15 left, ~25 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.32pp, mid holders -1, retail +0.03pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -8 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-新盛花旗環球台灣摩根士丹利元大-上新莊華南永昌-板橋中國信託-忠孝
Distributing
凱基-台北台新-新莊凱基
Desks
own scale
中國信託-嘉義中國信託永豐金證券元大-三重
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-新盛 +463
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +34
    sold 3%
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +21
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 元大-上新莊 +12
    sold 0%
  • 華南永昌-板橋 +4
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 中國信託-忠孝 +3
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 15 left
    sold 40%· ~25 sessions to clear
  • 台新-新莊 3 left
    sold 79%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 凱基 2 left
    sold 33%· paused recently

Desks

  • 中國信託-嘉義 -131
    unclassified
  • 中國信託 -113
    unclassified
  • 永豐金證券 -24
    unclassified
  • 元大-三重 -16
    unclassified
Still selling 18 lots ~25 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +50 absorbed / -9 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -4 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 23.62%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

23 historical occurrences (since 2018-11-28)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +2.37%, Excess +3.49%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +7.09%, Excess +4.41%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%；120-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +3.13%, Excess +7.11%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

120 days after: historical avg +13.87%

20-day +4.24%
60-day +9.77%
120-day +13.87%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.3%
66.7%
54.5%
Sample
14
12
11
Median
+2.37%
+7.09%
+3.13%
Excess
+3.49%
+4.41%
+7.11%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
41.7%
45.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.87%, beat the market by 7.11 pts; win rate 54.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 41+58% +60.9% 100% +70.7%
20-40 38+35.6% +45% 97.4% +38.8%
40-60 136-2.4% -5.3% 26.5% -19.6%
60-80 You are here246-2.6% -3.8% 32.1% -48.4%
80-100 383+10.5% +12.8% 75.2% -14%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 30.17, at the 77.6th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+62.4%
Win rate 100% Excess +76.7%
67d
+4.6%
Win rate 47.1% Excess +7.1%
104d
+0.9%
Win rate 47.8% Excess -10.2%
274d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(1d)
-1.8%
Win rate 12.8% Excess -19.1%
94d
Now
+4.7%
Win rate 51.4% Excess -16.2%
360d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 360 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 4.7%, win rate 51.4%, lagged the market by 16.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.79%, win rate 90.9%, beating the market by +15.51 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.76%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +5.41 pts on average.

What does 科定 do? Company profile

其他業；環保健康室內建材、木製板材與裝修材料 上市（台灣證券交易所）

Overview

6655 對應證券為科定企業股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司成立於 2002/07/22，2017 年 11 月登錄興櫃，2018/11/28 轉上市。總部位於新北市新莊區福慧路268號；公司英文全名為 Keding Enterprises Co., Ltd.，英文簡稱 KEDING，統一編號 80214519。董事長為洲定投資股份有限公司代表人曹憲章，曹憲章為科定創辦人；公開股市資料亦列示總經理為曹憲章。公司實收資本額為 NT$805,718,170，普通股每股面額 NT$10；員工人數約 1,000 人；會計師事務所為勤業眾信聯合會計師事務所。主要股東名單持股基準日為 2025/04/27，前十大包含泱定投資 22.10%、洲定投資 19.74%、益政投資 12.45%、彩欣投資 7.85%、黃天化 2.49%、永豐商業銀行受託科定員工股票信託專戶 1.98%、正宜投資 1.64%、中國信託商業銀行受託黃天化信託專戶 1.58%、員定投資 1.00%、黃淑芬 0.89%。公司股利政策近年改為半年度配息，官網揭露 2025 H1 現金股利 1.2 元、2025 H2 現金股利 4.8 元。

Business

科定以自有品牌 KD 從事環保健康建材之研發、生產與銷售，主要產品包括 KD 塗裝木皮板、KD 環保批批板、KD 科定美耐板、KD 科定塑合板、KD 木地板、超耐磨木地板、SPC 地板、科定系統櫃、房間門、浴櫃、磁吸板、發泡板及其他木材或塑膠相關產品。公司定位為從原木採購、加工生產、自有品牌、展示與銷售通路整合的一條龍建材商，生產基地整合於嘉義大埔美廠，公開資料列示塗裝木皮板年產能約 50 萬件、KD 木地板約 2 萬件、環保批批板約 100 萬件。2025 年產品營收比重依 MoneyDJ 與法說整理資料約為環保批批板 44%、塗裝木皮板 30%、環保美耐板 12%至 13%、KD 木地板約 2%、科定系統櫃約 3%至 4%、科定房間門約 3%，其餘為其他室內建材。應用端涵蓋住宅、別墅、飯店、商業空間、公設建案、展示空間、櫃體、門片、天花板、牆面及室內地板。銷售模式以自有品牌、直營展示館、物流與海外分公司/加盟經銷通路服務設計師、設計公司、木工師傅、裝修案場及屋主；2025 年銷售區域約內銷 79%、外銷 21%，其中大陸約 7%、其他海外約 14%，客戶遍布約 25 個國家。公司 2025 年營收約 25.99 億元、年增約 3.86%，稅後淨利約 3.09 億元、EPS 約 3.92 元；2026 年 1 至 5 月自結合併營收 1,237,358 千元、年增 26.42%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望重點在產品線升級、全球通路與綠建材趨勢。成長動能包括：一、環保批批板仍為最大收入來源，且以食品級 PP 面材、擬真印刷與 EB 塗裝技術切入傳統木皮、PVC 與美耐皿面材替代需求；二、2023 年推出的環保美耐板到 2025 年營收占比已提升至約 13%，若市場接受度延續，可能成為 2026 至 2028 年產品組合改善的主要驅動；三、公司 2024 年啟用新莊 A3 總部大樓與新北旗艦展示館，2025 年持續擴充環保批批板花色至 504 款、超耐磨木地板 24 色並推出科定塑合板，顯示策略由單一板材供應商轉向全室綠建材一站購足平台；四、全球加盟與海外據點布局有助分散中國市場放緩風險，新聞資料指出公司已啟動全球加盟計畫並以環保美耐板進軍國際市場。短中期風險包括：台灣房市與裝修需求循環、商業空間與建案裝潢延後、中國地產與消費景氣疲弱、原木/木皮/夾板/PP/漆料/膠類等原物料成本波動、台幣匯率、海外加盟執行品質、產品線擴張造成營運費用與庫存管理壓力，以及同業在低甲醛、綠建材、系統櫃與地板產品的競爭。2026 年前五月營收年增 26.42% 顯示短期出貨動能優於 2025 年同期，但 2027 至 2028 年具體財測與產能擴充數字未見公司正式公開揭露，因此相關展望屬基於公開資訊之研究推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 大日本印刷株式會社（DNP） 日本上市公司，全球大型 PP 仿真木皮與印刷商；科定環保批批板與其獨家合作，共同開發 KD 專屬實木紋與異材質產品，並使用其 EB 塗裝相關技術與 PP 面材能力。
  • 原木、木皮、夾板、漆料與膠類供應商群 科定重要原物料包含原木、木皮、夾板、漆料、膠類等；公開資料未完整列示個別供應商名稱，故以供應商群呈現。
  • 食品級 PP 原料與塑膠面材供應商群 環保批批板、環保美耐板與塑合板使用 PP 面材或塑膠相關材料；個別供應商除 DNP 外未能由公開資料逐一確認。
  • 木工與板材加工設備供應商群 公司擁有 MIT 一條龍生產線與嘉義大埔美生產基地，需使用貼合、塗裝、裁切、加工與物流設備；公開資料未列示具名供應商。
Downstream
  • 設計師與設計公司 科定官網設有設計師/設計公司與選材系統，歷史法說與媒體資料指出銷售對象包含設計師；多為未上市或個人工作室，非單一台股公司。
  • 木工師傅與室內裝修工程通路 KD 板材、木地板、系統櫃與門片主要進入裝修施工市場，由木工、裝修工程與經銷通路完成終端施作；公開資料未列示個別上市櫃客戶。
  • 住宅、飯店、商業空間與公共設施案場 終端應用包括住宅、飯店、商業空間、公設建案、展示空間等；科定官網合作客戶頁稱產品銷至國內外飯店、公設建案等裝潢市場，但未揭露主要客戶名單。
  • 海外分公司、加盟商與經銷商通路 科定於中國大陸、香港、馬來西亞、新加坡、菲律賓、印度、越南、泰國、印尼、澳洲等地有服務據點或子公司，並啟動全球加盟計畫；多為關係企業、加盟商或未上市通路。

Competitors

  • 美喆國際企業股份有限公司（美喆-KY） 8466 台股上市公司，主要從事塑膠地板、石塑地板與建材產品，MoneyDJ 將其列為科定同業之一。
  • 綠河股份有限公司（綠河-KY） 8444 台股掛牌公司，從事木質板材與相關建材業務，MoneyDJ 將其列為科定同業之一。
  • 詩肯股份有限公司 6195 台股掛牌公司，品牌家具與家居通路業者，與科定在居家裝修、系統櫃、室內空間材料及通路端有部分競爭或替代關係；MoneyDJ 將其列為同業之一。
  • 傳統木皮板、美耐板、PVC 表面材與系統櫃品牌 包含未上市建材品牌、進口板材商、系統櫃與裝修材料通路；公開資料未能確認完整名單與台股代號。
Sources（17）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.