Ask AI to review this stock
Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.
Tell your AI:
Help me set up FinLab and analyze 8083 瑞穎. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=8083
8083
strong quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 瑞穎 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
-
Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~95% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 7.6%.
-
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 30th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 50th percentile.
-
Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.4% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +2% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 美好-蘆洲 has accumulated 216 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 136 lots, has sold 30%, 95 left, ~136 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.36pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.24pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -151 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 美好-蘆洲 +216
- 華南永昌 +80
- 永豐金-匯立 +52
- 香港上海匯豐 +44
- 元大-龍潭 +43
- 富邦-仁愛 +43
Distributing
- 美商高盛 95 left
- 摩根大通 51 left
- 美林 30 left
- 富邦-板橋 2 left
- 富邦-台東 2 left
- 國票-中和 1 left
Desks
- 凱基-台北 -81
- 新加坡商瑞銀 -59
- 台新-桃園 -49
- 元大-蘆洲 -41
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 48 | +67.5% | +65.5% | 91.7% | +46.9% |
| 20-40 | 213 | +32.3% | +15.6% | 70.4% | +4.1% |
| 40-60 You are here | 782 | +17.2% | +8.6% | 71.5% | +5.8% |
| 60-80 | 1075 | +8.5% | +7.8% | 59.5% | -8% |
| 80-100 | 925 | +14.4% | +11.5% | 66.6% | -3.4% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 16.06, at the 49.9th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 544 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.4%, win rate 53.3%, beat the market by 2.1%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.59%, win rate 73.3%, beating the market by +6.24 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
76 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.58%, win rate 50.8%, beating the market by +0.99 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
42 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.5%, win rate 45.2%, beating the market by -4.62 pts on average.
What does 瑞穎 do? Company profile
Overview
8083 對應證券為瑞穎股份有限公司，英文名稱 PRO-HAWK CORPORATION，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，產業別為電機機械。公司於 1997/11/10 成立，2000/07/12 公開發行，2003/03/25 興櫃，2004/09/23 上櫃；總部/公司地址為新北市新莊區新北產業園區五權三路八號。董事長為陳柏峰，總經理為陳柏津，發言人為楊金義。實收資本額約新台幣 3.51 億元，已發行普通股約 35,133,193 股，每股面額新台幣 10 元，簽證會計師事務所為安永聯合會計師事務所。員工規模依可查資料約 150 至 166 人區間，Goodinfo/富邦資料顯示近期平均員工人數約 143 至 166 人；媒體專訪亦稱員工人數約 150 人。主要股東/內部人方面，可查資料顯示董事長陳柏峰持股約 4,194,985 股，董事陳柏雲約 106 萬至 108 萬股，其他董事與經理人亦持股；整體董監持股比例第三方資料約 17% 至 18%，但完整前十大股東名單需以股東會年報或公開資訊觀測站最新公告為準。
Business
瑞穎為軸承/培林與機械零組件製造商，主要營業項目為運動器材零組件、培林、機械零組件之製造買賣，電子與電腦零組件製造買賣，以及進出口貿易。公司核心產品包括自動倉儲物流用軸承與成品、車庫門軸承、手推車/腳輪/家具/旅行箱輪相關軸承、休旅車拉門軸承，以及新開發的自動倉儲用減速器等高附加價值產品。依 MoneyDJ、凱基與法說摘要資料，2024 年產品營收比重約為自動倉儲使用軸承 74.97% 至 75%、車庫門軸承約 13.5% 至 14%、手推車軸承約 7.2%、休旅車拉門軸承約 1.5% 至 2%、其他約 2% 至 3%；自動倉儲物流軸承近年占比超過七成，是主要營收與獲利來源。商業模式以客製化軸承/組裝件設計、量產與外銷為主，公司自行研發自動化生產設備，提高生產效率與成本競爭力。銷售以外銷為主，MoneyDJ 資料稱北美占比約 91%，亞洲與歐洲各約 4%。主要終端應用為電商物流、自動化倉儲輸送系統、車庫門、手推車/腳輪、休旅車滑門等。可查客戶/終端鏈包含美國電商物流大客戶、Amazon、General Motors、Fiat Chrysler/Stellantis，以及瑞士物流設備商 Interroll；惟個別客戶營收占比與直接供應層級未完整揭露，需以公司正式年報為準。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 年：公司法說與新聞資料顯示，2025 年受到美國高關稅政策、新台幣升值/美元走弱與客戶庫存調整影響，1-9 月營收年減約 7.49%，全年營收約新台幣 14.31 億元，較 2024 年小幅衰退約 2% 至 5%；不過毛利率仍維持約 40% 以上，EPS 約 9.8 元，並維持高現金股利政策。2026 年：截至 2026/05 累計營收約新台幣 6.17 億元、年增約 4.79%，2026Q1 EPS 約 2.74 元，毛利率約 42.3%、營益率約 33.7%；法說資料指出美國電商物流客戶訂單自 2025 年 11 月起回流，2026 年在自動倉儲軸承、減速器新產品放量與新客戶挹注下，營收與獲利有機會重回成長軌道。2027 至 2028 年：可確認的公司量化財測有限，較合理的研究假設是成長動能來自全球電商物流、自動化倉儲與智慧製造投資延續、核心自動倉儲軸承占比朝 80% 目標提升、減速器 ASP 約新台幣 30 至 50 元且公司希望 2 至 3 年內年銷量達 12 萬至 15 萬套、另一物流軸承新產品已有分 25 個月出貨的大量訂單。潛在風險包括美國關稅由客戶與供應商分攤造成毛利率壓力、台幣升值侵蝕外銷獲利、北美與少數大型電商/物流設備客戶集中度高、物流資本支出循環波動、鋼材/盤元/鐵板等原料價格波動、中國低價軸承廠競爭、以及新產品量產良率與客戶導入時程不確定。2027-2028 展望屬依公開法說方向與產業趨勢推估，非公司正式財測。
Supply Chain
- 鋼材大盤商 軸承主要原料包含鐵板及盤元，MoneyDJ 資料稱主要向大盤商採購；公司未在可查公開資料中揭露具名供應商，故 stock_id 設為 null。
- 盤元/線材供應商 盤元為軸承用重要原料之一；未確認直接供應商名稱，可能受鋼價、匯率與交期影響。
- 自動化設備與自製機台 瑞穎核心競爭力之一為自行研發自動化機台與組裝設備，以降低人工、提高良率與成本競爭力；非外部單一掛牌供應商。
- Amazon 美國上市公司；MoneyDJ 與媒體資料提及瑞穎客戶/終端鏈包含電商亞馬遜，自動倉儲與物流設備為主要應用，直接交易層級與營收占比未完整揭露。
- General Motors 美國上市公司；MoneyDJ 資料列為汽車製造相關客戶之一，對應休旅車拉門等車用軸承應用，直接供應關係與占比未完整揭露。
- Fiat Chrysler / Stellantis Stellantis 為歐洲/美國掛牌汽車集團；MoneyDJ 資料提及 Fiat Chrysler 為汽車製造相關客戶之一，對應車用軸承應用，直接供應關係與占比未完整揭露。
- Interroll 瑞士上市物流設備商；媒體資料稱瑞穎產品進入 Interroll 供應鏈，屬自動倉儲/物流輸送設備下游客戶或設備商。
- 國際物流設備商 瑞穎自動倉儲物流軸承主要銷往國際物流設備與電商倉儲系統客戶；多數客戶名稱與占比未由公司完整公開。
Competitors
- 東培工業 台灣大型軸承製造商，非台股上市櫃公司；產品含深溝滾珠軸承、薄型軸承、滾子軸承、精密軸承等，屬軸承產業競爭或替代供應商。
- SKF 瑞典上市全球軸承大廠；在工業與汽車軸承市場具全球競爭力，非台股掛牌。
- NSK 日本上市軸承與精密機械零組件大廠，為全球軸承產業主要競爭者，非台股掛牌。
- NTN 日本上市軸承製造商，產品涵蓋工業、汽車與精密軸承，非台股掛牌。
- 中國大陸軸承廠商 公司與媒體資料提及瑞穎透過自動化成本優勢對抗中國廠商；多為未具名或非台股掛牌業者。
- 上銀科技 2049 台股上市公司；主要為線性滑軌、滾珠螺桿與機器人等傳動/自動化零組件，並非瑞穎物流軸承直接同品項競爭者，但在自動化設備零組件預算與客戶應用上具相鄰競爭關係。
Sources（17）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.