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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 00927 群益半導體收益. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=00927

00927

群益半導體收益 Domestic ETF As of 2026-07-29 Updated daily after market close

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估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 83籌碼 25

Price and fund-flow snapshot

  • 外資近期偏賣。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 -3.2%(賣超)。

Chip flow

Bearish -0.18
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish

  • Distribution, concentration falling — bearish
  • 國泰-敦南 holds 7,302 lots
  • sellers have 20,526 lots left, ~442 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +64% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰-敦南 has accumulated 7,302 lots since the start (sold 7%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 35,022 lots, has sold 60%, 14,090 left, ~28 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.51pp, mid holders +0, retail +0.32pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -168 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰-敦南亞東新光元大-永和華南永昌-楠梓華南永昌-中正
Distributing
凱基-台北新加坡商瑞銀元富元大-大益玉山-台中國泰-桃園
Desks
own scale
富邦證券元大證券中國信託群益金鼎
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰-敦南 +7,302
    sold 7%· still adding
  • 亞東 +2,040
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新光 +1,791
    sold 22%· still adding
  • 元大-永和 +1,696
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-楠梓 +1,412
    sold 0%
  • 華南永昌-中正 +1,245
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 14,090 left
    sold 60%· ~28 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 2,521 left
    sold 46%· ~18 sessions to clear
  • 元富 183 left
    sold 86%· paused recently
  • 元大-大益 177 left
    sold 84%· paused recently
  • 玉山-台中 584 left
    sold 37%· paused recently
  • 國泰-桃園 531 left
    sold 39%· ~443 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 富邦證券 -52,181
    unclassified
  • 元大證券 -33,267
    unclassified
  • 中國信託 -27,275
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎 -18,299
    unclassified
Still selling 20,526 lots ~443 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +7,202 absorbed / -8,835 sold sellers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月,每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件;這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬,等權平均為 6.99%,平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點,在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬,再對月份平均;超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號(歷史統計供參)

這些訊號現在沒有發生,列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高(突破日)

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資(不含自營商)買賣超連續 5 日為正,事件日為第 5 日;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.51%, win rate 78.9%, beating the market by +2 pts on average.

What is 群益半導體收益? Tracked index, holdings and distributions

ETF(半導體收益型 / 資訊科技產業主題) 上市(臺灣證券交易所 TWSE)

Overview

本檔為證券投資信託基金(ETF),而非營運公司。發行機構為群益證券投資信託股份有限公司(群益投信,Capital Investment Trust Corporation)。基金成立日為2023年5月29日,於2023年6月6日在臺灣證券交易所掛牌上市,交易代號00927。基金保管機構為第一商業銀行。費用結構:經理費(管理費)約0.40%,加計保管費等非管理費用後,整體總費用率約0.56%。採完全複製法追蹤標的指數。基金規模於2026年6月中旬約為新台幣317億元(約31,744百萬元),受益人數約9.4萬人(規模與受益人數會隨市場與申贖變動)。

Business

00927為被動式(Smart Beta/收益因子)股票型ETF,追蹤『臺灣指數公司特選臺灣上市上櫃半導體收益指數』,鎖定台灣上市櫃半導體產業中兼具市值與股利收益特性的個股,成分股約30檔。前十大成分股(權重隨指數定期審核調整,約略值)包含:聯發科(2454,約14.1%)、台積電(2330,約13.7%)、聯電(2303,約8.1%)、日月光投控(3711,約6.5%)、瑞昱(2379,約4.9%)、聯詠(3034,約4.3%)、鴻勁精密(3680,約3.9%)、環球晶(6488,約3.1%)、世界先進(5347,約3.1%)、力成(6239,約2.9%),涵蓋IC設計、晶圓代工、封測、設備與材料等次產業。收益分配採季配息(每年四次),主打半導體成長題材結合配息收益訴求;近年單季每股配息約介於0.22~0.94元區間(金額逐期公告、會隨基金收益變動)。

Outlook 2025–2028

做為半導體產業主題ETF,00927的後續表現高度連動台灣半導體景氣與成分股獲利。2025~2028年潛在成長動能來自AI伺服器/HPC、先進製程(台積電2/3奈米放量)、先進封裝(CoWoS/日月光、力成等封測擴產)、IC設計(聯發科旗艦SoC與AI ASIC)等結構性需求;半導體上行循環有利成分股獲利與配息來源。風險與挑戰包含:產業景氣循環與庫存修正、地緣政治與出口管制、匯率(新台幣對美元)波動、AI需求若不如預期的修正風險,以及高度集中於台積電、聯發科等少數權值股所帶來的個股集中度風險。配息能否持續成長取決於成分股股利政策與資本利得實現,並無保證;此處為產業情境推估,非對基金績效之保證。

Sources(6)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價(etl:adj_close)計算,已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數(含息)為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算,不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日,避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊,統計僅描述歷史分布,樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途,不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險,過去績效不代表未來表現,交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。