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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 1336 台翰. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=1336
1336
quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 台翰 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 26th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.4%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 70th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 88th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.0% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 元富-成功 has accumulated 274 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
- Main distributor 統一-高雄 peaked at 100 lots, has sold 90%, 10 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.38pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.65pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -239 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 元富-成功 +274
- 元大-沙鹿 +210
- 台新-埔里 +180
- 中國信託-永康 +169
- 台新-成功 +136
- 第一金-自由 +116
Distributing
- 統一-高雄 10 left
- 凱基-彰化 29 left
- 台新-大裕 22 left
- 元大-竹山 35 left
- 元大-鳳中 19 left
- 統一-中壢 17 left
Desks
- 群益金鼎-鳳山 -285
- 京城-嘉義 -274
- 凱基-台北 -199
- 元大-新店中正 -187
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 437 | -2.7% | -6.9% | 38.4% | -28.8% |
| 20-40 | 508 | -4.9% | -8.4% | 36.8% | -31.5% |
| 40-60 | 386 | +32.4% | +37.6% | 74.6% | +3.2% |
| 60-80 | 89 | +21.7% | +20.4% | 100% | -5.1% |
| 80-100 You are here | 152 | +28.9% | +27% | 100% | +41.6% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 40.54, at the 87.8th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 47 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 7.2%, win rate 8.5%, lagged the market by 3.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.83%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +2.61 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
54 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.72%, win rate 50.9%, beating the market by -0.19 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.71%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -2.85 pts on average.
What does 台翰 do? Company profile
Overview
台翰精密科技成立於1987年8月28日,2007年11月2日於櫃買中心掛牌上櫃,總部位於桃園市龜山區民生北路一段568號。董事長暨總經理皆為蔡鎮隆,發言人為李晉誠。實收資本額約新台幣7.76~7.83億元。產業類別為電子零組件業。股權結構方面,連接器廠宣德科技(股票代號5457)透過旗下台橋投資成為單一最大股東(2020年12月公告入主、2021年8月全面取得經營權,持股約28.9%),並在人事、財務及業務上實質控制台翰;而中國立訊精密工業(深圳上市,代號002475)為宣德及台翰之最終母公司,使台翰納入立訊集團體系。公司生產據點涵蓋台灣、越南、菲律賓與中國。2026年前5月累計營收約9.75億元(年減約7.85%),5月營收約2.12億元,2026年第一季EPS約0.1元(年減約77%)。
Business
台翰主要從事各種精密模具、治具之設計製造,以及塑膠射出成型零組件之製造與買賣,屬於電器製品、運動器材、文具用品等所需塑膠零組件的設計與製造商。核心能力包括模具開發製造、塑膠射出成型(單料/多料射出、LSR矽膠包覆成型、精密埋入射出 Insert Molding、氣體輔助射出 Gas Assist)、二次加工(噴塗、印刷、組裝)與品質保證。官網將產品分為三大類:多功能事務機(Multi-Functional Business Machines)、消費性產品(Consumer Products)、車用及其他(Automotive & Others)。營收結構以事務機/影印機/印表機塑膠機殼與機構件為主,2024年事務機機殼約佔86%、其他約14%。終端應用集中於辦公事務機與消費電子,主要客戶為日系與美系印表機/事務機品牌(如Canon、Epson、Brother、Kyocera、HP等),並逐步搭配集團策略客戶切入消費性電子、網通與電競產品。商業模式為接受品牌客戶訂單的模具開發+塑膠射出+組裝一站式代工(ODM/EMS式機構件供應)。
Outlook 2025–2028
成長動能與轉型:台翰積極推動產品結構轉型,降低對事務機機殼的依賴,規劃提升消費性電子、網通、電競等新產品的營收比重(公司提出將新領域比重拉升至約兩成的目標),並借力宣德/立訊集團資源與策略客戶共同切入新市場。擴產方面,越南第二廠區占地約6萬平方公尺,完成模具、成型、組裝、印刷產線並新增自動噴塗線與自動組裝線,落成後自當年第三季起貢獻營收,強化東南亞產能以因應供應鏈分散與關稅風險。產業趨勢:受惠於印表機/事務機產能持續移出中國、客戶分散布局,以及立訊集團在消費電子(如AirPods等)、網通與伺服器相關機構件的拉貨需求,提供新訂單機會。潛在風險與挑戰:事務機為成熟市場、紙本辦公需求長期趨緩,本業成長動能有限;轉型新產品仍在驗證放量階段、貢獻度尚待確認;2026年前5月營收年減、首季獲利大幅衰退顯示短期營運承壓;此外越南/菲律賓海外廠的匯率、稅務(子公司曾遭越南補稅裁罰)、人力與關稅政策變動均為變數。
Supply Chain
- Canon(佳能) 日本上市,印表機/事務機品牌客戶,採購塑膠機殼與機構件
- Seiko Epson(精工愛普生) 日本上市,印表機品牌客戶
- Brother(兄弟工業) 日本上市,事務機/印表機品牌客戶
- Kyocera(京瓷) 日本上市,事務機品牌客戶
- HP(惠普) 美國上市,多功能事務機/印表機品牌客戶
- 宣德科技 5457 母公司暨最大股東,連接器/機構件廠,共同切入消費電子、網通、電競等新產品並整合產線與客戶資源
- 立訊精密工業 中國深圳上市(002475),最終母公司,集團為Apple AirPods等消費電子供應鏈,提供策略客戶與新訂單來源
Competitors
- 鴻準精密工業 2354 鴻海集團精密機構件/機殼大廠,業務部分重疊但規模遠大於台翰、以金屬機構件為主,僅屬廣義同業(信心度低)
- 其他塑膠射出成型/機構件代工廠(含台灣、中國及東南亞同業) 事務機與消費電子塑膠機殼代工市場參與者眾,多為中國及東南亞未上市或非台股掛牌廠商;台股純塑膠射出機殼可比公司有限,難以列出明確一對一競爭對手(信心度低)
Sources（9）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.