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1445
quality needs a look, discounted valuation, no active signal today.
Is 大宇 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 35th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.2%.
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Valuation is low.PE is in the 0th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 2th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.3% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -11% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 第一金-大稻埕 has accumulated 971 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
- Main distributor 聯邦商銀 peaked at 40 lots, has sold 75%, 10 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.36pp, mid holders +3, retail -2.13pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -129 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 第一金-大稻埕 +971
- 元富-文心 +705
- 凱基-市政 +675
- 亞東 +526
- 中國信託-文心 +388
- 玉山-桃園 +303
Distributing
- 聯邦商銀 10 left
- 華南永昌-頭份 11 left
- 台灣摩根士丹利 9 left
- 兆豐-員林 12 left
- 美商高盛 17 left
- 兆豐-城中 8 left
Desks
- 元大-八德 -343
- 群益金鼎-東湖 -342
- 富邦-內湖 -304
- 永豐金-中正 -273
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 You are here | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 20-40 | 241 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 46.5% | -20.9% |
| 40-60 | 410 | +22.3% | +2% | 52.4% | -1.5% |
| 60-80 | 325 | +20.3% | +11.2% | 87.7% | +5.4% |
| 80-100 | 567 | +58.9% | +10.4% | 75% | +15.7% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 2.33, at the 2.3th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 160 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 2.9%, win rate 28.7%, lagged the market by 13.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.01%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by -2.63 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
37 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.5%, win rate 64.9%, beating the market by +9.39 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
32 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.39%, win rate 30%, beating the market by -6.71 pts on average.
What does 大宇 do? Company profile
Overview
1445 對應證券為大宇紡織股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股，產業別為紡織纖維。公司成立於 1969 年，總部位於台北市，主要營運據點包含桃園觀音相關廠區。公司股票於 1982 年 9 月 6 日上市。公開資料顯示董事長為陳曜銘，總經理為李柏鴻。官方與市場資料揭露之實收資本額約新台幣 25.17 億元。員工規模不同來源口徑不一，官網稱全球員工 400 名以上，其他市場資料約 250 至 385 人，研判差異來自統計期間、合併／母公司口徑或臨時人力是否納入。主要股東方面，公開市場資料可見良澔科技、永冠資產、祥立、葉佳弘及經營團隊相關持股，惟最新完整股東名冊仍應以股東會年報或公開資訊觀測站為準。
Business
大宇紡織為中游紡織廠，核心業務涵蓋聚酯纖維布、聚酯加工絲、染整加工與布料後整理，並有不動產出租、太陽能發電等非紡織收入。公司產品以機能性與運動休閒布料為主，包含吸濕排汗、彈性、環保回收、戶外與成衣用布等，商業模式偏向接單生產與客製化開發，服務品牌商、成衣廠、貿易商及下游布料採購客戶。近期法說與年報資料顯示，營收結構以聚酯纖維布為最大宗，約占 6 成以上；聚酯加工絲約占 2 成多；房租與太陽能等其他收入約占個位數至一成左右。公司近年亦持續強調品牌客戶深耕、環保回收材料、機能布、染整技術及一貫化生產能力。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 至 2028 年展望可分為成長動能與風險兩面。成長動能包括：全球運動休閒、戶外機能服飾與高值化布料需求仍具長期趨勢；品牌商對再生聚酯、低碳製程、可追溯材料與 ESG 供應鏈要求提高，有利具備機能布、環保布與染整能力的中游廠；台灣紡織業在機能性、彈性布、回收材料與小量多樣客製化方面仍具競爭力。公司若能提高高毛利布料占比、深化品牌客戶、改善產能利用率，將有助於 2025 至 2028 年營運品質。主要挑戰包括：全球服飾品牌庫存循環、消費力波動、匯率、原油與聚酯原料價格、能源與人工成本、東南亞與中國紡織供應鏈競爭，以及美國關稅與貿易政策不確定性。由於公司未公開足夠明確的 2026 至 2028 年量化財測，本段屬基於公司業務與產業趨勢的研究推估，不能視為公司指引。
Supply Chain
- 遠東新世紀 1402 聚酯、纖維、紗線與布料垂直整合大廠，屬大宇紡織聚酯布與加工絲業務的上游原料／同業供應鏈代表；未確認為直接供應商。
- 新光合成纖維 1409 聚酯粒、聚酯纖維與紗線相關廠商，屬聚酯紡織上游供應鏈代表；未確認為直接供應商。
- 力麗企業 1444 聚酯絲、加工絲與紡織材料廠，與大宇紡織在加工絲及紡織中游有供應鏈與同業重疊；未確認為直接供應商。
- 台灣化學纖維 1326 石化、塑膠與纖維原料大廠，為聚酯與尼龍等紡織原料產業鏈上游代表；未確認為直接供應商。
- 南亞塑膠 1303 石化與塑膠材料大廠，乙二醇、聚酯與塑膠材料屬紡織化纖上游原料鏈；未確認為直接供應商。
- 全球運動休閒與戶外成衣品牌客戶 公司公開資料提及深耕品牌客戶與機能性布料應用，但未揭露完整客戶名單；多數品牌為海外或未上市公司。
- 成衣製造廠與布料貿易商 聚酯纖維布、機能布與染整布料的直接下游通常為成衣廠、貿易商及品牌指定供應鏈，公開資料未確認具名上市櫃直接客戶。
- 運動服、休閒服、戶外服及功能性服飾終端應用 屬產品終端應用市場，非單一公司；需求受品牌下單、庫存循環與消費景氣影響。
Competitors
Sources（15）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.