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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2754 亞洲藏壽司. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2754
2754
steady quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 亞洲藏壽司 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 51th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.7%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 32th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 0th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.2% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -17% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 國泰證券 has accumulated 127 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 新光 peaked at 71 lots, has sold 44%, 40 left, ~200 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.06pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.07pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -63 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 國泰證券 +127
- 兆豐-復興 +120
- 臺銀-民權 +98
- 康和-台中 +77
- 永豐金證券 +76
- 富邦證券 +60
Distributing
- 新光 40 left
- 台新-台北 30 left
- 富邦-竹北 12 left
- (牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐 18 left
- 元大-華山 5 left
- 致和-東門 11 left
Desks
- 台灣企銀 -406
- 中國信託-松江 -232
- 元大-高雄 -82
- 凱基-台北 -58
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 You are here | 97 | -17.3% | -19% | 0% | -33.3% |
| 20-40 | 50 | -10.8% | -11% | 0% | -38.6% |
| 40-60 | 97 | -15.4% | -15.9% | 0% | -69.9% |
| 60-80 | 22 | Insufficient data | |||
| 80-100 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 16.33, at the 0.1th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(29d)
(21d)
(1d)
Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 96 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 8.7%, win rate 2.1%, lagged the market by 22.6%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.34%, win rate 85.7%, beating the market by +15.36 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
43 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.31%, win rate 35.5%, beating the market by -2.9 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.05%, win rate 44.4%, beating the market by -1.23 pts on average.
What does 亞洲藏壽司 do? Company profile
Overview
亞洲藏壽司股份有限公司為營運公司普通股，股票代號2754，於櫃買中心上櫃。公司由日本くら寿司株式会社（KURA SUSHI, INC.）於2014年1月21日在台灣設立，總公司登記地址為台北市中山區中山北路3段32號6樓及6樓之1；2020年9月17日正式上櫃。依公司投資人關係網站，截至2025年8月資本額為新台幣468,670千元、發行股數46,867千股；截至2025年4月員工人數3,836人；截至2026年6月店舖63家。董事長兼總經理為藪內薰，發言人為野島茂。2025年4月30日主要股東為KURA SUSHI, INC.持有31,200,000股、持股66.58%，其餘前十大股東包含呂慶盛、西川健太郎、富馳價值投資股份有限公司、霈方國際股份有限公司、近藤和人、林秉毅、周國城、廖椿沄、曾玉燕等。公司2024年度營業額約新台幣5,387,574千元至5,388,458千元（不同公司頁面/簡報揭露四捨五入略有差異），主要經營業務為迴轉壽司連鎖餐飲服務。
Business
公司以「くら寿司／藏壽司」品牌經營平價日式迴轉壽司連鎖餐飲，提供壽司、副餐、甜點、飲料及外帶等服務。2024年年報揭露主要產品營業比重為「迴轉壽司」100%，銷售地區以台灣為主，2024年度台灣地區營收5,208,005千元、占96.65%，大陸地區180,453千元、占3.35%；2025年法說資料顯示上海店鋪營運已結束，因此後續重心回到台灣並評估亞洲其他市場。商業模式為直營門市連鎖餐飲，收入來自一般消費者到店用餐、外帶及相關餐飲服務；公司藉由日本母公司營運技術、標準化菜單與食安管理、店鋪展店、自動化與數位化設備提升翻桌率與營運效率。差異化元素包括鮮度君專利保鮮蓋、BIKKURA-PON扭蛋遊戲、計盤回收系統、高速輸送帶、觸控／手機點餐、E排客訂位與自助結帳等。公司年報指出最終銷貨對象為一般消費者，最近二年度無占銷貨總額10%以上之客戶。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025至2028年展望以台灣展店、IP聯名行銷、營運效率改善與亞洲市場評估為主。2024年公司營收創高但獲利受中國大陸消費疲弱拖累，2025年公司結束上海店鋪營運，有助降低海外虧損拖累；2025年法說資料顯示2025年10月台灣店舖數規劃達61店，官方公司概要截至2026年6月為63店，外部報導稱2026年預計在台拓展5家新店、推升至66家，包含高雄林園、花蓮、南投等新區域。成長動能包括：全台仍有未覆蓋縣市與街邊店展店空間；哆啦A夢、吉伊卡哇、史努比、三麗鷗等IP聯名及扭蛋活動帶動來客數；手機點餐、自助結帳、計盤回收等自動化可緩解人力缺口並改善坪效；逐步裝置太陽能板提高再生能源使用率，長期可能降低部分能源成本；以台灣為據點評估日本以外亞洲市場。2027至2028年公司未公開具體財測或展店數字，因此只能合理推估：若台灣展店維持且海外不再拖累，營收有機會隨店數與同店客流成長，但獲利率仍取決於新店成熟期、租金、人事、折舊與原物料成本。主要風險包括餐飲與迴轉壽司競爭激烈、展店選址與新店爬坡不如預期、魚類/米/能源/工資成本上升、食安事件、IP活動熱度波動、少子化與人力招募壓力、消費景氣疲弱，以及若再進軍海外市場可能面臨當地消費、租金與管理複製風險。
Supply Chain
- KURA SUSHI, INC. 日本上市母公司及控股股東，持有亞洲藏壽司66.58%；提供品牌、營運經驗、店鋪管理技術、商品開發與專利服務系統等支援，非台股掛牌公司。
- 主要食材批發貿易商（公司未具名揭露） 年報揭露主要原料包含海鮮、米、麵、蔬果及飲料等；部分進口食材透過台灣專業食材批發貿易商作為窗口，存在對特定供應商進貨集中但年報未揭露名稱，非可確認台股掛牌公司。
- 店舖設備與資訊系統供應商（公司未具名揭露） 支援輸送帶、鮮度君、計盤回收系統、手機點餐、自助結帳與店鋪IT系統等營運設備；供應商名稱未公開揭露。
- 一般消費者 最終銷貨對象為一般消費者；公司年報揭露最近二年度無占銷貨總額10%以上之客戶。
- 全台直營門市與外帶/訂位通路 透過台灣各縣市直營門市、E排客訂位、手機點餐、外帶自取與自助結帳服務觸及消費者；屬公司自有營運通路。
- 商場與街邊店據點 門市分布於百貨商場、購物中心及街邊店，作為餐飲消費場景與客流來源；多數場域本身不是客戶，且未揭露個別房東或商場依賴度。
Competitors
- 台灣壽司郎 日本FOOD & LIFE COMPANIES旗下迴轉壽司品牌，為台灣迴轉壽司主要直接競爭者；未在台股掛牌。
- 爭鮮 台灣迴轉壽司與外帶壽司連鎖品牌，直接競爭者；未上市櫃。
- 王品 2727 台股上市連鎖餐飲集團，旗下多品牌與亞洲藏壽司競爭外食消費預算及商場餐飲客流。
- 瓦城 2729 台股上市餐飲集團，主攻多品牌餐廳與百貨商場餐飲市場，屬廣義餐飲競爭者。
- 八方雲集 2753 台股上市櫃餐飲連鎖公司，價格帶與品類不同，但競爭大眾外食需求與展店資源。
- 漢來美食 1268 台股上市櫃餐飲集團，旗下多品牌餐廳競爭家庭聚餐、商場餐飲與休閒外食需求。
- 美食-KY 2723 台股上市餐飲與通路公司，屬廣義餐飲服務與外食市場競爭者。
Sources（15）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.