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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 4440 宜新實業. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=4440
4440
steady quality, discounted valuation, no active signal today.
Is 宜新實業 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 72th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.6%.
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Valuation is low.PE is in the 7th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 16th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -4.3% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -3% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 兆豐-三民 has accumulated 457 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
- Main distributor 永豐金-敦南 peaked at 368 lots, has sold 76%, 88 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.92pp, mid holders +3, retail -3.88pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -96 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 兆豐-三民 +457
- 高橋-內壢 +409
- 新光 +298
- 永豐金-新店 +220
- 富邦-七賢 +196
- 國泰-台中 +160
Distributing
- 永豐金-敦南 88 left
- 元大-成功 18 left
- 元大-桃興 48 left
- 永豐金-竹科 5 left
- 富邦-高雄 13 left
- 元大-太平 9 left
Desks
- 富邦-和美 -220
- 凱基-民權 -134
- 富邦-二林 -120
- 康和 -114
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 You are here | 1 | Insufficient data | |||
| 20-40 | 23 | Insufficient data | |||
| 40-60 | 100 | -17.2% | -21.2% | 15% | -67.3% |
| 60-80 | 14 | Insufficient data | |||
| 80-100 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 10.0, at the 15.8th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(0d)
(24d)
(7d)
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.27%, win rate 80%, beating the market by -2.86 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.79%, win rate 22.2%, beating the market by -10.82 pts on average.
What does 宜新實業 do? Company profile
Overview
宜新實業股份有限公司成立於2013/06/21,股票代號4440,2019/09/11登錄興櫃,2021/10/25轉上市。總公司位於台北市內湖區瑞光路268號11樓(公司官網部分頁面仍列266號11樓),工廠位於彰化縣花壇鄉中山路一段91之1號。董事長為詹正田,總經理為翁茂誠,發言人為陳淑慧。實收資本額約新台幣6.75億元,已發行普通股67,598,000股。公司主要經營機能彈性紗製造與銷售,取得ISO 9001與GRS全球回收標準認證,旗下自有品牌為「魔術絲 Magic Yarn」。公開法說資料曾揭露2021/10/31員工人數190人;截至本研究日,已擷取公開來源未確認最新員工數。股權方面,鉅亨網資料顯示前十大持股約13.73%,並揭露董事/經理人持股包含李國治、詹正田等;完整最新主要股東名單仍須以最新年報或股東名簿為準。
Business
宜新屬紡織產業中游紡紗業,主力產品為彈性包覆紗(OP紗、複合彈性紗)與加工絲(DTY),另有環保、循環、生質、生物可分解BES、冰蠶絲Magic CAC、全天候Magic All Weather、超細纖維、異形斷面等機能紗線系列。商業模式為以聚酯、尼龍、彈性纖維等原料,透過假撚、複合、包覆與客製化製程,提供少量多樣、高附加價值機能紗給布廠、染整與成衣供應鏈,再進入運動機能服飾、日常機能服飾、鞋材、汽車內裝車材等終端應用。MoneyDJ資料指出,2024年產品營收比重約彈性包覆紗56%、加工絲43%;2025年前三季主要產品線比重為彈性包覆紗66.4%、加工絲32.9%、租賃收入0.7%。銷售區域以台灣內銷為主,MoneyDJ資料列2024年內銷約95%、外銷約5%;鉅亨網財務頁亦顯示收入主要來自台灣,越南占比低。終端用戶與品牌依財訊、MoneyDJ等公開報導包括Nike、adidas、UNIQLO、lululemon及美日汽車大廠,但公司未在已擷取來源逐一揭露直接客戶合約關係。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年公司營收約10.69億元、年減4.85%,主要受到中國大陸及東南亞低價紗線競爭、加工絲價量承壓影響;但彈性包覆紗需求於2025下半年回穩,產品組合提高彈性包覆紗比重。2026年前5月營收4.744億元、年增22.23%,顯示短期營運有回升跡象;2026Q1 EPS為0.51元,年增幅大但基期較低。2025至2028年主要成長動能可來自運動休閒與機能服飾滲透率提升、品牌商要求差異化與小批量客製化、再生/可降解/生質纖維需求、車用內裝纖維、以及公司在一段式包紗與複合彈性紗的製程效率。公司官網揭露BES產品可進入一般回收系統並通過ASTM D5511與D6691降解測試,若品牌商採用擴大,可能提升高毛利產品占比。主要風險包括低價紗線傾銷導致加工絲價格承壓、聚酯/尼龍/Spandex原料價格波動、台幣匯率、終端品牌庫存循環、成衣消費景氣、關稅與供應鏈地緣政治、客戶集中度與產品驗證周期。2027至2028展望屬定性推估,尚無公司正式量化財測。
Supply Chain
- 聚酯纖維、尼龍纖維及Spandex彈性纖維供應商 宜新主要原料為聚酯纖維、尼龍纖維及彈性纖維;公開來源未揭露特定直接供應商名單。
- 遠東新世紀 1402 台股上市聚酯與化纖上游代表企業;列為產業上游參考,未確認為宜新直接供應商。
- 新光合成纖維 1409 台股上市聚酯纖維上游代表企業;列為產業上游參考,未確認為宜新直接供應商。
- 南亞塑膠 1303 台股上市石化與聚酯原料供應鏈代表企業;列為產業上游參考,未確認為宜新直接供應商。
- 力鵬企業 1447 台股上市尼龍原料與紡織供應鏈企業;列為尼龍上游/同業參考,未確認為宜新直接供應商。
- 集盛實業 1455 台股上市尼龍纖維與紡織供應鏈企業;列為尼龍上游/同業參考,未確認為宜新直接供應商。
- Nike, Inc. 美國上市運動品牌;公開報導列為宜新終端用戶群,未確認直接交易合約。
- adidas AG 德國上市運動品牌;公開報導列為宜新終端用戶群,未確認直接交易合約。
- Fast Retailing/UNIQLO 日本上市服飾集團與品牌;公開報導列為宜新終端用戶群,未確認直接交易合約。
- lululemon athletica inc. 美國上市運動休閒品牌;公開報導列為宜新終端用戶群,未確認直接交易合約。
- 美日系汽車大廠 公開報導與法說資料提及車用內裝纖維終端應用與美國汽車大廠終端客戶;未揭露公司名稱。
- 國內外布廠、染整廠、成衣與鞋材供應鏈 宜新紗線經布廠織造成布、染整與後加工,再由成衣/鞋材廠供應終端品牌;公開來源未完整揭露直接客戶名單。
Competitors
- 東隆興業 4401 台股掛牌機能性紗線與加工絲同業,MoneyDJ列為國內競爭廠商。
- 宏益纖維工業 1452 台股上市紡織纖維同業,MoneyDJ列為國內競爭廠商。
- 聯發紡織纖維 1459 台股上市紡紗、針織、染整與化纖紗同業,MoneyDJ列為國內競爭廠商。
- 力麗企業 1444 台股上市聚酯與紡織供應鏈公司,屬加工絲/化纖紗線相關競爭或替代供應者。
- 力鵬企業 1447 台股上市尼龍與化纖供應鏈公司,屬尼龍紗線與機能紡織相關競爭或替代供應者。
- 集盛實業 1455 台股上市尼龍纖維與紡織供應鏈公司,屬化纖紗線相關競爭或替代供應者。
- 聚隆纖維 1466 台股上市尼龍與加工絲相關公司,屬化纖紗線同業。
- 展頌 台股上櫃紡織纖維相關公司,屬機能紗線/加工絲相關同業。
Sources(18)
- cnyes.com
- yishin-textile.com.tw
- yishin-textile.com.tw
- yishin-textile.com.tw
- yishin-textile.com.tw
- yishin-textile.com.tw
- moneydj.com
- moneydj.com
- tw.stock.yahoo.com
- tw.stock.yahoo.com
- tw.stock.yahoo.com
- twse.com.tw
- wealth.com.tw
- esg.businesstoday.com.tw
- managertoday.com.tw
- wantgoo.com
- fubon-ebrokerdj.fbs.com.tw
- goodinfo.tw
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.