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4707

磐亞 Chemicals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
252d high
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 磐亞 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 56Quality 31Growth 25Momentum 93Chips 48

Is 磐亞 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 14th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.6%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 53th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 77th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.92
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 台中銀-台北 holds 9,594 lots
  • sellers have 1,547 lots left, ~38 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +123% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台中銀-台北 has accumulated 9,594 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 1,064 lots, has sold 67%, 347 left, ~14 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +5.02pp, mid holders +27, retail -8.06pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -3,172 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台中銀-台北群益金鼎-西松第一金-大稻埕凱基-站前華南永昌-忠孝永豐金-三重
Distributing
摩根大通元大證券致和證券土銀-白河統一-永和中國信託-永康
Desks
own scale
德信永豐金-桃園國泰-台中美林
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台中銀-台北 +9,594
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎-西松 +6,890
    sold 0%
  • 第一金-大稻埕 +5,165
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-站前 +1,685
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-忠孝 +1,168
    sold 0%
  • 永豐金-三重 +1,133
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 摩根大通 347 left
    sold 67%· ~14 sessions to clear
  • 元大證券 644 left
    sold 29%· paused recently
  • 致和證券 380 left
    sold 41%· ~15 sessions to clear
  • 土銀-白河 373 left
    sold 28%· ~38 sessions to clear
  • 統一-永和 75 left
    sold 81%· paused recently
  • 中國信託-永康 44 left
    sold 88%· paused recently

Desks

  • 德信 -2,560
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-桃園 -1,067
    unclassified
  • 國泰-台中 -897
    unclassified
  • 美林 -808
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 1,547 lots ~38 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +8,686 absorbed / -972 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -2,376 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

35 historical occurrences (since 2009-08-26)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 34, Median +0.69%, Excess +2.16%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 59.4%, Sample 32, Median +1.65%, Excess -1.52%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%；120-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 32, Median +3.65%, Excess -3.54%, Beat mkt rate 31.2%

120 days after: historical avg +4%

20-day +3.85%
60-day +2.31%
120-day +4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.9%
59.4%
68.8%
Sample
34
32
32
Median
+0.69%
+1.65%
+3.65%
Excess
+2.16%
-1.52%
-3.54%
Beat mkt rate
50%
37.5%
31.2%

Over 32 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4%, lagged the market by 3.54 pts; win rate 68.8%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 1176+19% +19.5% 92% -3%
20-40 1183+7% +8.1% 67.3% -5.4%
40-60 508-7.6% -8% 41.5% -24.7%
60-80 You are here80-16.9% -15.3% 0% -22.3%
80-100 92+19.6% +24% 63% +15.3%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 24.3, at the 76.6th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+6.3%
Win rate 71.1% Excess +0.7%
1157d
+4.8%
Win rate 71.7% Excess -5.9%
738d
Now
+3.5%
Win rate 70% Excess -1.2%
80d
60-day momentum down
+8.1%
Win rate 78.3% Excess -4.2%
852d
-4.4%
Win rate 47.7% Excess -10.2%
277d
-10.4%
Win rate 3.6% Excess -4.9%
55d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 80 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3.5%, win rate 70%, lagged the market by 1.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Pending

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

76 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.34%, win rate 49.3%, beating the market by -0.72 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

59 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.74%, win rate 63.2%, beating the market by -2.18 pts on average.

What does 磐亞 do? Company profile

化學工業 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

4707 對應磐亞股份有限公司，為上櫃普通股，產業別為化學工業。公司成立於 1982/04/06，1998/05/20 上櫃，英文名稱為 PAN ASIA CHEMICAL CO.，英文簡稱 PACC；總公司位於台北市新生南路一段50號11樓，高雄廠房位於高雄市大社區經建路8-1號。董事長王貴賢，總經理王皆誼，發言人吳宏揚。實收資本額新台幣 4,037,152,700 元，已發行普通股 403,715,270 股，特別股 0 股。2026年第二季公司官網主要股東名單顯示，中國人造纖維股份有限公司持股 179,258,534 股、44.40%，勝仁針織廠股份有限公司持股 25,035,832 股、6.20%，中纖投資股份有限公司持股 20,686,637 股、5.12%，宇暉股份有限公司持股 7,258,873 股、1.80%。2025年報揭露本公司從業員工截至 2026/02/28 為 467 人，其中職員 170 人、工員 297 人。公司初期由中國人造纖維、日本亞細亞 EOD 株式會社及交通銀行合資創立，1991年更名為磐亞股份有限公司；公司官網列示關係企業包括中國人造纖維股份有限公司、台中商業銀行、台灣金醇洋酒股份有限公司、久津實業股份有限公司。

Business

磐亞主要經營非離子界面活性劑與合成酯類，官網營運概況列示所營業務包含石油化工原料製造、清潔用品製造、汽電共生、加油站、加氣站及不動產開發租售等，但核心營收來自化學工業部。公司官網營運概況揭露非離子界面活性劑約占營業比重 85%、酯化產品約占 15%；2026年法人說明會簡報進一步揭露 2025年營收比重為 EOD/界面活性劑 86%、合成酯類 14%。主要產品包括聚乙二醇烷酚醚、聚乙二醇烷基醚、蓖麻油 EO 附加物、聚乙二醇烷基胺醚、聚乙二醇脂肪酸酯、聚乙二醇、聚丙二醇聚乙二醇醚、三甲醇丙烷 EO 附加物、其他多元醇 EO/PO 附加物、紡絲油劑、潤滑油酯類、塑膠滑劑、化妝品酯類、清潔劑酯類與浴中柔軟劑。非離子界面活性劑為上游石化原料與下游民生、工業用品之中間材料，應用於樹脂合成添加劑、工業乳化劑、工業清洗劑、金屬加工助劑、農藥助劑、PU 合成、個人清潔護理、紡織染整、電子業、造紙、輪胎橡膠、油墨印刷、木材加工等。酯化產品應用於個人清潔護理、油墨印刷、樹脂合成、紡織、工業乳化及工業潤滑等。銷售地區依官網營運概況為內銷約 50%，分經銷與自銷各半；外銷約 50%，以中國大陸、新加坡最多，其次為東南亞、澳洲等地。公司競爭優勢包括母公司中國人造纖維優先供應主要原料環氧乙烷 EO、產品線完整、可客製化產品、品質穩定與通路順暢。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望可分為本業升級、海外市場與資產活化三軸。本業方面，公司2025年報與2026法說會均指出將提高 EOD 與酯化品高附加價值品項銷售比例，提升產品技術層次，垂直產業發展，開拓新領域市場，並與客戶合作開發電子級或電子業相關應用產品；法說會亦稱近年產品範圍逐步擴大至電子化學品及 AI 特殊應用材料等高附加價值產品。市場方面，非離子界面活性劑屬日用與工業必需材料，景氣復甦、民生清潔、個人護理、紡織染整、電子清洗與高性能化學品需求可支撐中長期需求；公司策略為穩固國內市場占有率、加強與國外客戶交流合作、擴大外銷市場，並發展酯化品與紡絲油劑市場。2026法說會新增提及，公司面對傳統產業微利化與週期性波動，擬活化既有土地、廠房、水電等基礎設施，整合外部專業夥伴，組成 AI 貨櫃型算力中心與測試中心平台；此屬新規劃，對2026至2028營收與獲利貢獻仍待後續正式公告與實際投資進度驗證。風險方面，官網與年報揭露東協區域零關稅使價格競爭力面臨挑戰，中國大陸與亞洲市場供給增加及價格競爭壓力、環保與減碳法規趨嚴、原油與石化原料成本上升、國內下游產業外移、壬酚 NP/NPE 系列產品限用及中國進口管制，均可能影響銷售量、產品組合與毛利率。另年報列示 2026 預期 EOD 廠與酯化廠合計銷售量約 3.0192 萬噸，屬公司年報規劃數，並非長期承諾。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 中國人造纖維股份有限公司 1718 母公司及主要股東；公司法說會與年報指出主要原料環氧乙烷 EO 由母公司優先供應，年報亦揭露與中纖有 EO、NP 購料契約，並由管線供應主原料。
  • 天然醇、DEG 等石化原料供應商 公司官網與年報稱 EO、NP、DEG 及天然醇供貨穩定，但未逐一揭露所有供應商名稱；除中纖外不填台股代號。
  • 中國石油公司 2025年報於關係人及集團原料說明中提及高雄石化廠乙二醇基本原料乙烯與中國石油公司訂定長期供應合約；此為集團上游背景，非磐亞核心 EOD 直接客戶資料。
  • 台灣化學纖維股份有限公司 1326 2025年報於集團原料說明中提及酚由台灣化學纖維公司長期穩定供應；屬上游石化原料供應背景，非磐亞明確揭露之主要供應商。
Downstream
  • 民生清潔與個人護理用品製造商 使用磐亞非離子界面活性劑與酯化產品作為清潔劑、洗髮精、沐浴乳、乳液、化妝品與濕潤劑等原料；公司未公開具名主要客戶。
  • 紡織染整與纖維加工業者 使用紡絲油劑、柔軟劑、染色助劑、乳化劑、抗靜電劑等；公司未公開具名主要客戶。
  • 電子、金屬加工與工業清洗業者 使用工業清洗劑、金屬加工助劑、電子業相關助劑與高性能化學品；公司法說會稱將開發電子級或電子業相關產品，但未公開具名客戶。
  • 農藥、樹脂、油墨、輪胎橡膠、造紙與木材加工業者 使用分散劑、乳化劑、樹脂合成添加劑、油墨印刷添加劑、輪胎橡膠添加劑與造紙助劑等；公司未公開具名主要客戶。

Competitors

  • 和益化學工業 1709 台股上市化工公司，市場資料常列為清潔劑原料與界面活性劑相關同業。
  • 和桐化學 1714 台股上市化工公司，財報狗將其列於界面活性劑概念股，並為民生清潔原料相關同業。
  • 桐寶 台股上櫃化工公司，StockFeel 列為磐亞清潔劑原料業務競爭對手。
  • 中華化學工業 1727 台股上市化工公司，財報狗界面活性劑概念股名單列示之相關同業。
  • 元禎企業 1725 台股上市化學通路與原料公司，財報狗界面活性劑概念股名單列示之相關同業；與磐亞製造業務重疊程度需進一步逐產品比對。
  • 聚和國際 6509 台股上櫃特用化學公司，二手產業資料列為國內化學品相關競爭者；產品線並非完全相同。
  • 日本第一工業、韓國東南化學、中日合成、東聯、穩好高分子化學等 二手產業資料列示之國際或非台股掛牌競爭者；未逐一確認掛牌狀態，故 stock_id 設為 null。
Sources（20）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.