Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 5215 科嘉-KY. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=5215

No install, open FinLab Studio

5215

科嘉-KY Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 科嘉-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 76Quality 53Growth 74Momentum 66Chips 87

Is 科嘉-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 57th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.7%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 39th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 78th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 8.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 30.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.56
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 群益金鼎-三重 holds 588 lots
  • sellers have 157 lots left, ~30 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +18% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 群益金鼎-三重 has accumulated 588 lots since the start (sold 2%), holding.
  • Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 146 lots, has sold 45%, 80 left, ~15 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.47pp, mid holders +5, retail -3.86pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -12 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
群益金鼎-三重富邦-斗六康和-台中富邦-竹科凱基-台北兆豐-台中
Distributing
美商高盛元大-屏南第一金-桃園富邦-宜蘭元大-發財富邦-新竹
Desks
own scale
新光統一-士林凱基-竹科中國信託
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 群益金鼎-三重 +588
    sold 2%
  • 富邦-斗六 +353
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 康和-台中 +247
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-竹科 +165
    sold 4%
  • 凱基-台北 +130
    sold 13%
  • 兆豐-台中 +120
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 美商高盛 80 left
    sold 45%· ~15 sessions to clear
  • 元大-屏南 30 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 第一金-桃園 36 left
    sold 29%· ~24 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-宜蘭 8 left
    sold 81%· paused recently
  • 元大-發財 20 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 富邦-新竹 10 left
    sold 71%· ~14 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 新光 -325
    unclassified
  • 統一-士林 -217
    unclassified
  • 凱基-竹科 -205
    unclassified
  • 中國信託 -192
    unclassified
Still selling 157 lots ~30 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +826 absorbed / -163 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -4 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 30.81%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

51 historical occurrences (since 2011-12-26)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 64%, Sample 50, Median +2.82%, Excess +2.59%, Beat mkt rate 54%；60-day: Win 49%, Sample 49, Median -0.46%, Excess +2.29%, Beat mkt rate 34.7%；120-day: Win 40.4%, Sample 47, Median -4.23%, Excess -2.69%, Beat mkt rate 36.2%

120 days after: historical avg +8.09%

20-day +5.15%
60-day +9.31%
120-day +8.09%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64%
49%
40.4%
Sample
50
49
47
Median
+2.82%
-0.46%
-4.23%
Excess
+2.59%
+2.29%
-2.69%
Beat mkt rate
54%
34.7%
36.2%

Over 47 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.09%, lagged the market by 2.69 pts; win rate 40.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 524+13% -8.5% 43.9% +7.9%
20-40 506+28.2% +7.3% 57.7% +6.6%
40-60 411+31.2% +5% 62% +2.4%
60-80 You are here561+28.4% -7.1% 44.9% +9.6%
80-100 545-6.5% -11.1% 31.2% -24.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 18.12, at the 77.9th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+28%
Win rate 52.5% Excess +21.9%
261d
+13.8%
Win rate 55.7% Excess +7.3%
375d
Now
+3.3%
Win rate 36.7% Excess -10.6%
526d
60-day momentum down
-3.8%
Win rate 41.3% Excess -6.2%
578d
+21.5%
Win rate 46.3% Excess +6.9%
434d
+0.2%
Win rate 44.1% Excess -9.1%
492d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 526 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3.3%, win rate 36.7%, lagged the market by 10.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +22.08%, win rate 69.2%, beating the market by +16.13 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

45 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.29%, win rate 46.5%, beating the market by -2.77 pts on average.

What does 科嘉-KY do? Company profile

電腦及週邊設備業；主要屬筆記型電腦鍵盤薄膜觸控開關與電子零組件供應鏈 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

科嘉-KY為科嘉(開曼)股份有限公司，係第一上市外國企業普通股。集團前身為台灣嘉益實業社，1975年4月成立，早期生產壓克力銘板，1982年接受杜邦技術指導後切入薄膜觸控開關；控股母公司於2009年8月17日在開曼群島設立，台灣分公司於2009年12月設立，股票於2011年12月26日在台灣證券交易所上市。公司地址為新北市中和區連城路168號8樓；董事長林志峰，總經理何和和，發言人林志峰。實收資本額約新台幣6.43億元，已發行普通股64,337,500股。公開資料顯示員工規模曾揭露約3,160人，近年公司與公開平台另有約全球三千名員工的描述，實際即時人數未能在官方最新年報頁面直接核驗。主要股東依公開資訊摘要包括永豐商銀受託保管藍天控股有限公司投資專戶約9,559張、持股約14.86%，以及MCJ Holdings Limited約3,374張、持股約5.24%；另董監經理人持股資料顯示Blue Sky Holdings Limited、李福鈿、林于凱、何和和等為重要持股者。主要生產與服務據點涵蓋台灣、蘇州、重慶、越南，並因應客戶需求在泰國設立服務與倉儲據點。

Business

公司主要從事薄膜觸控開關(Membrane Touch Switch, MTS)之製造與銷售，核心應用為筆記型電腦與桌上型電腦鍵盤導電薄膜。2024年產品比重公開資料為薄膜觸控開關約68%、鋁板及其他約32%；2026年第1季法說摘要顯示客戶分布為L客戶29%、D客戶18%、S客戶16%、W客戶12%、材料業務11%、其他14%，惟客戶名稱以代碼呈現。公司產品與應用包括筆電與桌機鍵盤薄膜、Mini LED背光模組、導光板、矽膠機構件、遊戲機控制器薄膜、電子樂器觸控薄膜、POS與RFID Tag用薄膜、智慧家電控制面板、ECG心電圖貼片、EEG腦波貼片、血糖貼片、安全帶警示感應、車用觸控開關與乘客壓力感知等。商業模式以對NB鍵盤廠、鍵盤模組廠與品牌/代工供應鏈提供設計、印刷、沖壓、組裝、品管與交付服務為主，並逐步往上游材料垂直整合，透過百傑電子、重慶瑞福德等布局導電銀漿、疏水劑、鍵帽漆料等材料業務，以降低關鍵原料風險並拓展外部銷售。公開資料指出下游客戶以NB鍵盤廠為主，包含精元、群光、達方、光寶科、致伸等，電腦組裝廠客戶包括廣達、仁寶、英業達、緯創，終端品牌包含HP、Dell、Toshiba、宏碁、華碩、聯想等；此類客戶資訊多來自公開產業資料與歷史報導，實際訂單占比通常未逐名揭露。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年營運面臨銀價、石油系原料、匯率與終端筆電需求波動壓力；公開法說摘要指出2025年前三季營收約19億元、毛利率約24%、EPS約1.4元，低於2024年全年營收約27億元與EPS約3.7元，主因包括銀漿成本上升、新台幣升值、Windows 10停止支援帶來的換機潮不如預期、美國關稅與筆電供應鏈不確定性。2026年第1季營收約新台幣7.46億元、EPS約0.87元，受惠客戶提前拉貨與材料業務成長；材料營收占比已提升至約11%，但銀、石油、PET、膠水與UV絕緣油等原料仍為毛利壓力來源。2025至2028年的主要成長動能包括：(1)全球筆電供應鏈移出中國與東南亞在地化，越南廠量產、泰國服務中心縮短交期，若客戶轉單增加可提升稼動率；(2)導電銀漿、疏水劑、鍵帽漆料等材料垂直整合，可能改善供應穩定性並增加非薄膜本體收入；(3)Mini LED背光模組、醫療貼片、車用感測/觸控、POS/RFID與智慧家電等非筆電應用，有助降低單一NB市場依賴；(4)製程自動化、良率改善與費用控管可抵銷部分成本上升。主要風險包括筆電需求低於預期、終端品牌與ODM/OEM拉貨波動、美國關稅與地緣政治導致供應鏈急單後回落、銀價與油價高檔侵蝕毛利、人民幣/新台幣/美元匯率波動、台灣與中國同業價格競爭，以及泰國或越南布局若未獲足夠訂單將造成固定成本壓力。公司未提供2026至2028年量化財務預測，因此本段展望為依公開法說、產業資料與已揭露策略所作之定性推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 百傑電子科技股份有限公司 科嘉於2022年取得其股權，藉此切入導電銀漿等材料代工；未查得台股上市櫃代號，屬關係企業/未上市資訊。
  • 重慶瑞福德精細化工科技有限公司 科嘉於2022年取得51.3%股權，布局疏水劑等材料；中國公司，非台股上市櫃。
  • 杜邦 歷史資料顯示科嘉1982年接受美商杜邦技術指導後成為國內早期薄膜觸控開關廠；屬美國公司，非台股掛牌。
  • LED、PET、膠水、UV絕緣油、電子漿料與銀漿供應商 為薄膜觸控開關、背光模組與印刷電路薄膜的主要原料來源；公開資料未逐一揭露供應商名稱，且銀漿成本對毛利率影響大。
Downstream
  • 精元電腦 2387 公開資料列為科嘉下游NB鍵盤廠客戶之一，使用或整合筆電鍵盤薄膜觸控開關。
  • 群光電子 2385 公開資料列為科嘉下游NB鍵盤廠客戶之一，屬鍵盤與電腦週邊供應鏈。
  • 達方電子 8163 公開資料列為科嘉下游NB鍵盤廠客戶之一。
  • 光寶科技 2301 公開資料列為科嘉下游鍵盤/電腦週邊供應鏈客戶之一。
  • 致伸科技 4915 公開資料列為科嘉下游NB鍵盤廠客戶之一。
  • 緯創資通 3231 公開資料列為科嘉相關電腦組裝廠客戶之一，屬NB代工/系統組裝下游。
  • 廣達電腦 2382 公開資料列為科嘉相關電腦組裝廠客戶之一，屬NB代工下游。
  • 仁寶電腦 2324 公開資料列為科嘉相關電腦組裝廠客戶之一，屬NB代工下游。
  • 英業達 2356 公開資料列為科嘉相關電腦組裝廠客戶之一，屬NB代工下游。
  • 宏碁 2353 公開資料列為終端品牌之一，屬台股上市PC品牌。
  • 華碩 2357 公開資料列為終端品牌之一，屬台股上市PC品牌。
  • HP Inc. 公開資料列為終端品牌之一；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Dell Technologies 公開資料列為終端品牌之一；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Lenovo Group 公開資料列為終端品牌之一；香港上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Toshiba／Dynabook相關品牌 公開資料列為歷史終端品牌之一；非台股掛牌。

Competitors

  • 淳安電子 6283 台股上市公司，公開資料顯示其有各式薄膜線路與按鍵製造業務，為科嘉薄膜觸控開關主要競爭者之一。
  • Fujikura Ltd. 日本公司，公開資料列為科嘉主要競爭對手之一；非台股上市櫃。
  • 禎信股份有限公司 公開說明書資料列為薄膜觸控開關競爭廠商之一；未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 大洋相關薄膜觸控開關廠 公開說明書資料列為薄膜觸控開關競爭廠商之一；名稱對應公司與掛牌狀態未能充分確認。
  • 信協和 法說摘要列為中國大陸競爭者之一；非台股上市櫃。
  • 昌立 法說摘要列為中國大陸競爭者之一；非台股上市櫃。
Sources（15）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.