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5276
steady quality, discounted valuation, no active signal today.
Is 達輝-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 63th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.3%.
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Valuation is low.PE is in the 19th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 44th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.2% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +16% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 兆豐-岡山 has accumulated 132 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
- Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 71 lots, has sold 62%, 27 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.12pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -11 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 兆豐-岡山 +132
- 玉山-信義 +68
- 國票-桃園 +58
- 富邦-員林 +39
- 凱基-苗栗 +36
- 凱基-長庚 +33
Distributing
- 凱基-台北 27 left
- 華南永昌-中正 35 left
- 光和-高雄 6 left
- 國泰-板橋 11 left
- 富邦-台南 7 left
- 華南永昌-三重 10 left
Desks
- 國泰-高雄 -68
- 群益金鼎-永和 -39
- 凱基-岡山 -32
- 國泰-新莊 -28
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 85 | +44.7% | +45.4% | 100% | -17.9% |
| 20-40 | 6 | Insufficient data | |||
| 40-60 You are here | 95 | -14.1% | -33.2% | 29.5% | -57.3% |
| 60-80 | 330 | -2.2% | -2.9% | 42.7% | -31.6% |
| 80-100 | 637 | +2.3% | +6.7% | 57.6% | -32.9% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 13.5, at the 43.6th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(21d)
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 80 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5.9%, win rate 67.5%, lagged the market by 29.6%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
11 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.8%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -8.48 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
32 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.39%, win rate 61.3%, beating the market by +1.08 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
What does 達輝-KY do? Company profile
Overview
達輝股份有限公司(Da Hui Limited)為設立於英屬開曼群島的投資控股公司,股票代號5276,簡稱達輝-KY,屬台灣櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司於2011年12月1日設立,集團營運根源可追溯至1995年創辦人在馬來西亞成立Wide Channel Sdn. Bhd.從事機車配線束,1996年更名為Huan Hsin Electrical System (M) Sdn. Bhd.,2000年成立Speedy Momentum Sdn. Bhd.生產機車碼錶及浮桶,2007年投資威海金富電子有限公司跨入兒童汽車安全座椅及安全柵門,2014年成為台灣第一上櫃公司,掛牌日為2014/06/12。公司註冊地為開曼群島,台灣台北總公司/投資人聯絡地址為新北市汐止區大同路一段337巷16弄27號3樓。依2025/11/12重大訊息,董事長由徐鴻鈞改為徐鉦鑑,2025/11/13生效;總經理為徐盟傑。實收資本額新台幣3.95億元,已發行普通股39,500,000股。官網揭露員工人數720人(2022/3/31口徑,未找到2026最新官網員工數)。主要股東/內部人持股方面,富聯網2026/05資料顯示LIONGATE INVESTMENTS持有16,321張、41.32%,WIN RIDE INVESTMENTS持有14,047張、35.56%,經理人及大股東合計30,368張、76.88%,質押為0。
Business
達輝為控股公司,透過馬來西亞、中國山東、越南等子公司生產與銷售機車零組件、LED燈組裝及嬰幼童安全用品。主要產品包括機車專用配線束、機車碼錶、浮桶、機車燈具模組(頭燈、尾燈、方向燈等)、汽車兒童安全座椅、兒童安全柵門、嬰兒手推車及育兒輔助用品等。商業模式以OEM/ODM製造為主,機車零組件主要供應馬來西亞日系與當地機車廠,嬰幼童安全用品外銷美洲/歐美市場;公司官網稱核心客戶為美國兒童用品知名廠商及日系、馬來西亞知名機車廠商。依114年度年報整理資料,2025年度營收分布為機車類新台幣792,842千元、占86.16%,LED燈類新台幣127,476千元、占13.84%;114年度合併營收約新台幣920,318千元,較113年度892,344千元增加約3.13%,本期淨利44,863千元,EPS 1.14元。歷史資料顯示2023年產品結構曾為機車零件約85%、嬰幼童產品約15%,但2025年公開年報產品分類未再單獨列示嬰幼童比重。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025至2028年展望以穩健成長與區域供應鏈調整為主,而非高速擴張題材。成長動能包括:一、馬來西亞機車市場及日系/當地機車廠既有合作關係,達輝將持續深化車燈、數位碼錶、配線束等產品開發,擴大供貨品項及區域;二、LED燈組裝業務因應美中貿易戰及客戶將製造移出中國,由越南孫公司承接,年報指出公司配合客戶設計與檢驗規範製造並擴展量能;三、雷射鋼板切割業務公司已設立完成,生產設備陸續建置,若導入順利可能成為2026年後新增貢獻;四、轉投資祺驊普通股取代原韻智35%股權後,年報稱祺驊營運穩定、對獲利有所貢獻。產業趨勢方面,亞洲機車作為日常交通工具仍具需求基礎,車燈LED化、數位儀表與供應鏈分散有利具既有認證與交付能力的零組件廠;嬰幼童安全用品則受歐美安規、客戶拉貨與消費景氣影響。主要風險包括:美國關稅政策與全球貿易環境不確定、客戶集中與價格議價壓力、馬來西亞/越南/中國跨國營運匯率與人力成本波動、機車新車銷售循環、嬰幼童用品安規與產品責任風險、LED組裝業務毛利率與客戶移單可持續性、雷射鋼板切割新業務設備建置與量產不確定性。公司未公開2025至2028財務預測,以上為基於年報經營計畫、公開營收與產業資料的研究推估。
Supply Chain
- PAN-INTERNATIONAL LTD MoneyDJ整理年報資料列為電線/外殼等原料供應商;是否為台股掛牌公司未能確認,故stock_id設為null。
- GOLDEN FORMORE SDN. BHD. MoneyDJ整理年報資料列為電線/外殼等原料供應商;馬來西亞公司,非台股掛牌。
- TAIWAN NESSEI MoneyDJ整理年報資料列為內機供應商;未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
- 設備與模具供應商 雷射鋼板切割與LED組裝涉及切割、組裝、測試與模具設備;公開資料未揭露具名供應商。
- Yamaha/山葉機車 歷史新聞與公司資料顯示為馬來西亞機車零組件主要客戶之一;日本品牌,非台股掛牌。
- Honda/本田機車 歷史新聞與公司資料顯示為馬來西亞機車零組件主要客戶之一;日本品牌,非台股掛牌。
- Suzuki/鈴木機車 公司沿革提及1995年取得SUZUKI 2W配線合作;日本品牌,非台股掛牌。
- 三陽工業 2206 歷史新聞稱SYM為馬來西亞四大機車廠客戶之一;台股上市公司。
- MODENAS 歷史新聞稱馬來西亞品牌MODENAS為主要機車客戶之一;馬來西亞公司,非台股掛牌。
- 美國兒童用品知名廠商 公司官網稱核心客戶包括美國兒童用品知名廠商;未揭露具名客戶,非台股掛牌。
- 歐美嬰幼童用品通路/品牌商 嬰幼童安全座椅、兒童安全柵門等產品主要以OEM/ODM外銷歐美市場;公開資料未揭露具名通路。
Competitors
- 豐祥-KY 5288 台股上市櫃同業中較接近的汽機車零組件廠,產品與客戶領域部分相鄰,但豐祥產品組合含汽車、機車、休閒車輛零件。
- 東陽 1319 台股上市汽車零組件大廠,與達輝在交通工具零組件領域相鄰,但產品與客戶結構不同。
- 堤維西 1522 台股上市車燈廠,與達輝機車燈具/LED燈組業務有相鄰競爭或替代關係。
- 帝寶 6605 台股上市車燈廠,主要偏汽車照明,與達輝機車燈具及LED燈類屬相鄰競爭領域。
- 明門實業 公司官網明確提到明門為兒童安全座椅主要競爭對手之一;未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
- 好孩子國際 公司官網提到大陸好孩子為兒童安全座椅主要競爭對手之一;香港上市公司,非台股掛牌。
- 其他馬來西亞機車零組件供應商 馬來西亞機車零件供應鏈封閉且需車廠認證,公開資料未列出具名競爭者。
Sources(14)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.