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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6150 撼訊. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6150
6150
steady quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 撼訊 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 52th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.5%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 29th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 55th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.4% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -5% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 元大-龍潭 has accumulated 234 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 永豐金證券 peaked at 172 lots, has sold 72%, 48 left, ~18 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.04pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.41pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,379 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 元大-龍潭 +234
- 港商野村 +195
- 國票-北高雄 +170
- 玉山-信義 +108
- 臺銀 +94
- 富邦-敦南 +91
Distributing
- 永豐金證券 48 left
- 統一 37 left
- 富邦-新店 37 left
- 合庫-高雄 11 left
- 新加坡商瑞銀 40 left
- 永豐金-永康 10 left
Desks
- 凱基-台北 -621
- 美林 -284
- 美商高盛 -282
- 摩根大通 -167
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 337 | +67.8% | +33.6% | 63.2% | -42.7% |
| 20-40 | 138 | -44.1% | -46.2% | 0% | -33.1% |
| 40-60 You are here | 69 | +1.7% | -51% | 29% | -16.5% |
| 60-80 | 88 | -32.4% | -47.2% | 10.2% | -35.2% |
| 80-100 | 78 | -47.5% | -46% | 11.5% | -49.6% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 15.72, at the 55.4th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 116 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 20.4%, win rate 54.3%, beat the market by 2.7%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +56.14%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +51.61 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
84 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.44%, win rate 44%, beating the market by +9.62 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
44 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.12%, win rate 51.2%, beating the market by +7.57 pts on average.
What does 撼訊 do? Company profile
Overview
6150 對應證券為上櫃普通股「撼訊」，公司全名撼訊科技股份有限公司，英文名 Tul Corporation。公司成立於 1997/10/08，2002/03/11 掛牌上櫃，總部位於新北市汐止區新台五路一段79號7樓之7。董事長為張茂松，總經理為陳劍威，發言人為周忠信。實收資本額約新台幣483,459,850元，已發行普通股48,345,985股。公司官網說明其以 PowerColor 品牌行銷全球二十餘年，是全球主要繪圖顯示卡供應商，並提供影像運算解決方案。員工規模依公開徵才資料約200多人。主要股東依公司公告 2026/04/17 主要股東名單：劉芬蘭持股2,629,833股、5.44%；禾豐聯合股份有限公司1,730,000股、3.58%；張茂松1,319,919股、2.73%；元大證券自營專戶501,095股、1.04%；其餘前十大包含臺灣銀行受託信託財產專戶、王清柏、邱俊村、林敬航、吳東岳、大通託管JP摩根證券有限公司投資專戶等。
Business
撼訊核心業務為自有品牌 PowerColor 顯示卡之設計、行銷與服務，主要採 AMD Radeon GPU 平台，產品涵蓋高階遊戲顯示卡、工控專用客製化顯示卡、SoC 主機板與系統、FPGA 解決方案，並延伸至 IPC、工作站、Thunderbolt 外接產品與其他客製化產品服務。公開資料顯示 2024 年營收比重約為顯示卡99.76%、工程建設0.20%、其他0.04%，顯示本業仍高度集中於顯示卡。商業模式以 AMD GPU 板卡設計、散熱與電源設計、品牌通路銷售、專案型客製化與售後服務為主，終端應用包括電競 PC、個人創作者、工作站、IPC、邊緣 AI、多卡工作站與系統整合方案。公司亦透過撼智物聯、撼衛生醫等轉投資布局智慧建築與人工智慧生技醫療；近年另切入鋰電池與電子產品金屬回收等循環經濟題材，但截至公開報導，該業務對營收貢獻仍有限。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 至 2028 年主要觀察軸線包括：第一，AMD Radeon 新一代 GPU 產品週期、AMD CPU 市占提升與平台綁定效應，將影響 PowerColor 顯示卡銷量、ASP 與毛利率；2025 年公開報導指出 RX 9000 系列新品與顯卡需求帶動營運轉佳，2025 年公司由虧轉盈。第二，Edge AI 與工作站顯卡為新成長動能；公司法說與報導指出 AI 機型營收貢獻仍屬低個位數，但目標提升至高個位數，產品包括 AMD Holo Mini AI 工作站、多卡系統與 IPC/工作站專業顯卡，並與系統整合業者合作企業 AI 一體機。第三，循環經濟為中長期選擇權，公司曾布局鋰電池回收與金屬回收試產線，但 2026/03 澄清公告指出，優勝新能源為權益法轉投資事業，公司及子公司合計持有15.76%，原規劃印尼巴淡島合作設廠已暫緩，相關客戶認證或接洽主要為優勝自行辦理，故此題材需保守看待。第四，風險包括顯示卡營收過度集中、AMD 供貨與產品週期依賴、GDDR/DRAM 記憶體漲價與 GPU 套餐供應造成成本壓力、終端顯卡價格上漲抑制需求、美國關稅與232調查等貿易政策、匯率波動、庫存循環、AI 題材實際營收占比不足，以及循環經濟轉投資尚未明確放量。2026 年後若 Edge AI、IPC 與工作站專案能穩定放量，營收結構有機會逐步降低消費型顯示卡集中度；但截至本研究日，可量化能見度仍有限。
Supply Chain
- Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.（AMD） 美國上市公司，為撼訊 PowerColor 顯示卡主要 GPU 平台與核心晶片來源；撼訊高度受 AMD GPU 產品節奏、供貨與價格策略影響。
- 三星電子、SK海力士、美光等記憶體供應商 非台股掛牌或海外上市公司，供應顯示卡所需 GDDR/DRAM 記憶體；記憶體價格上漲會影響顯示卡成本與售價。
- PCB、散熱模組、風扇、電源元件與 EMS 供應商 未能由公開資料逐一確認具名供應商；屬顯示卡板卡製造的關鍵上游零組件與代工環節。
- 優勝新能源再生科技股份有限公司 未上市公司，撼訊及子公司合計持股15.76%，屬權益法轉投資；主要從事再生碳酸鋰原料供應，與撼訊循環經濟布局相關但並非撼訊本業核心供應商。
- 全球經銷商、加值型經銷商與系統整合商 公司公開資料稱服務全球客戶，經銷商逾300家、遍布50多國；為 PowerColor 顯示卡主要銷售通路。
- OEM 廠商與 IPC 客戶 公司公開徵才與官網資料提及主要服務 OEM、經銷商、VAR、系統整合供應商，並發展 IPC、工作站與客製化顯卡。
- 神通資訊科技股份有限公司 未上市公司，2026 年公開報導指撼訊與其策略合作，將 AMD 顯卡整合於企業 AI 一體機，屬 Edge AI 下游系統整合應用。
- 電競玩家、創作者、工作站與邊緣 AI 終端用戶 終端需求來源，涵蓋消費型顯卡、專業顯卡、多卡工作站、AI 推論與工控場景。
Competitors
- 華碩 2357 台股上市公司，顯示卡與主機板品牌廠，ROG/TUF 等系列與 PowerColor 在消費與高階顯卡市場競爭。
- 技嘉 2376 台股上市公司，顯示卡、主機板、伺服器與電競品牌廠，為板卡與 AI/工作站硬體競爭者。
- 微星 2377 台股上市公司，顯示卡、主機板、電競 PC 與筆電品牌廠，為全球顯卡主要競爭者。
- 華擎 3515 台股上市公司，主機板、顯示卡與伺服器相關產品供應商，與撼訊在 AMD 顯示卡及工作站/IPC 部分應用重疊。
- 承啟 2425 台股上市公司，板卡與顯示卡相關業者，與撼訊同屬傳統板卡供應鏈。
- Sapphire Technology（藍寶科技） 非台股掛牌公司，全球 AMD Radeon AIB 顯示卡品牌，與 PowerColor 在 AMD 顯卡市場直接競爭。
- XFX 非台股掛牌品牌，AMD 顯示卡 AIB 競爭者。
Sources（14）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.