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1599

宏佳騰 Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 宏佳騰 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 宏佳騰 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 30th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.6%.
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 66th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 87th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 6.9% of volume (net buy).

Chip flow

Bearish -0.17

BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

Distribution to retail — bearish
元大-沙鹿 holds 230 lots
sellers have 61 lots left, ~55 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -16% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 元大-沙鹿 has accumulated 230 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 42 lots, has sold 43%, 24 left, ~13 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -1.10pp, mid holders -1, retail +2.02pp — drifting down to retail.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -14 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

元大-沙鹿國票-南科元大-永康永豐金-市政兆豐-西螺摩根大通

Distributing

凱基-台北元大-北府國泰-館前新光凱基-台南元大-永和

Desks

own scale

中國信託-永康元大-金華元大-桃園元大-彰化民生

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

元大-沙鹿 +230

sold 0%· still adding
國票-南科 +156

sold 0%· still adding
元大-永康 +84

sold 0%· still adding
永豐金-市政 +68

sold 4%
兆豐-西螺 +62

sold 3%· still adding
摩根大通 +58

sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

凱基-台北 24 left

sold 43%· ~13 sessions to clear
元大-北府 10 left

sold 62%· paused recently
國泰-館前 11 left

sold 50%· ~55 sessions to clear
新光 4 left

sold 73%· ~13 sessions to clear
凱基-台南 9 left

sold 25%· paused recently
元大-永和 7 left

sold 30%· ~23 sessions to clear

Desks

中國信託-永康 -575

unclassified
元大-金華 -187

unclassified
元大-桃園 -60

unclassified
元大-彰化民生 -59

unclassified

Still selling 61 lots ~55 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +232 absorbed / -47 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -1 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 +4.5%

20-40 -5.3%

40-60 +18.4%

60-80 +13.5%

80-100 +3.6% Now

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	523	+4.5%	+3.1%	60.2%	-12.2%
20-40	575	-5.3%	-10.1%	23.8%	-15.7%
40-60	237	+18.4%	+27.2%	64.1%	-3.5%
60-80	239	+13.5%	+11.6%	61.1%	-6.8%
80-100 You are here	542	+3.6%	-7.9%	36.3%	-17.8%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 27.81, at the 86.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+2.3%

Win rate 58.9% Excess -3.9%

516d

+0.4%

Win rate 51.5% Excess -2.4%

268d

+6.5%

Win rate 52.1% Excess -9.6%

280d

60-day momentum down

+7.2%

Win rate 48.6% Excess -1.5%

473d

-1.9%

Win rate 48.8% Excess -13.2%

172d

Now

-1.6%

Win rate 36.3% Excess -10.3%

526d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 526 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 1.6%, win rate 36.3%, lagged the market by 10.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.38%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -2.5 pts on average.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Pending

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

77 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.81%, win rate 51.9%, beating the market by +0.99 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

33 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.02%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -2.77 pts on average.

What does 宏佳騰 do? Company profile

電機機械；汽機車與全地形車製造上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

1599 對應證券為宏佳騰，屬台股上櫃普通股，非 ETF/ETN/權證等非營運證券。公司品牌及前身可追溯至 1998 年設立 AEON 品牌與機車、沙灘車製造業務；現行登記公司宏佳騰動力科技股份有限公司成立日為 2003/12/25，統一編號 80621419，總部及工廠位於臺南市山上區南洲里南洲41號。上櫃日為 2012/12/25，市場別為櫃買中心上櫃。董事長與總經理均為鍾杰霖，發言人為林佳慧。公司英文名稱於 2026/05/29 公告由 AEON MOTOR CO., LTD. 更名為 AEONTEK CO., LTD.；英文簡稱仍常見 AEON。公開資料顯示 2026 年初股本約 7.45 億元、已發行普通股約 74.53 百萬股；後續資料亦可見實收資本額約 7.30 億元、已發行普通股約 73.03 百萬股，差異可能與庫藏股註銷減資時點有關。主要股東依公司股東專區揭露包含杰成國際股份有限公司 8.13%、鍾杰霖 7.32%、Chester Sang Ltd.(HK) 5.41%、富弘投資 5.03%、緯華投資 4.98%、建和投資 4.90% 等。員工規模最新完整年度未在本次可查資料中明確確認；公司 ESG 舊資料曾揭露 2021 年底員工 438 人，第三方資料亦有約 240 或 1000 人等不一致數字，故不作為確定值。

Business

宏佳騰主要從事全地形多功能運動車（ATV/UTV、沙灘車）、摩托車、智慧電動機車、商務用車、微電車及相關零組件之研發、設計、製造與銷售。公司產品線包括 AEON 品牌燃油機車（如 STR、Brera X、3D、DORY、MY、MK 等）、智慧電車（EV.C1、Ai-1、Ai-3、Ai-4 等）、商務車 Gather/Ai-2 Gather、微電車 Coopop 01，以及 ATV/UTV 等外銷產品。依 2025 年第一季合併財報，營業收入 5.07615 億元，產品別約為全地形多功能運動車 3.90487 億元、占 76.9%；摩托車 0.58514 億元、占 11.5%；電動車 0.117 億元、占 2.3%；零件及其他 0.46914 億元、占 9.2%。同季內銷收入約 3.05424 億元、外銷約 2.02191 億元。商業模式同時包含自有品牌內銷、海外經銷/出口、國際客戶 ODM/OEM 代工、零組件及售後服務。公司早期以歐美 ATV/UTV 外銷與代工為重心，後續擴大台灣機車市場與電動機車；電動車產品採 Gogoro Network 換電生態系並發展 CROXERA 智慧車聯網。公開新聞與公司資料提及合作或客戶包括美國 Polaris 技術合作/代工、韓國 Dotstation 委託代工 EV.C1、歐洲 QOODER/QV 系列合作，以及全台門市與經銷通路。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望重點在三條主軸：第一，海外 ATV/UTV 與中大型機車出口。2024 年公司營收 22.9 億元、年增 6.81%，轉盈 EPS 1.21 元，外銷與沙灘車銷量成長是主要動能之一；若全球戶外休閒車需求維持，ATV/UTV 仍是營收核心。第二，國內燃油機車與通路擴張。2025 年第一季公司公布營收 5.08 億元、年增 10.92%，並稱全台門市至 2025 年 3 月底達 191 家、較 2024 年底增約 10%，有助售後服務、品牌曝光與內銷轉換。第三，電動化與新產品。公司在 2024 年米蘭車展展示電動 ATV 概念車、商用電動三輪車等，並持續發展 Gogoro 換電車款與智慧車聯網；2025 年第二季 STR 系列規劃進入歐美市場，美規 META 300 亦於 2025 年 4 月量產並取得首批 200 台訂單。潛在機會包括歐美休閒車需求、亞洲與歐洲新市場、韓國與歐洲合作案、商用電動三輪車/物流車、越南子公司量產及氫能子公司威杰能源等新能源布局。主要風險包括台灣機車市場成熟且競爭激烈、電動機車補助政策與換電資費變動、對海外訂單與特定客戶/產品線的依賴、匯率與關稅、原物料與零組件成本、庫存與通路費用、ATV/UTV 景氣循環、法規認證及新技術商品化不確定性。2026 至 2028 的量化營收或獲利目標公司未明確公開，本段屬依公開資料推估之方向性展望。

Supply Chain

Upstream

Gogoro Inc.／Gogoro Network 智慧電動機車換電平台與電池服務合作夥伴；Gogoro 為美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
威剛科技股份有限公司 3260 經濟部案例提及宏佳騰與威剛集團及 Gogoro 合作打造電動物流三輪車；威剛及旗下公司負責設計、馬達/VCU、車隊管理等部分，屬新能源商用車合作供應鏈。
友達光電股份有限公司 2409 CROXERA 車聯網聯盟合作夥伴，涉及顯示與智慧儀表相關技術合作。
微星科技股份有限公司 2377 CROXERA 車聯網聯盟合作夥伴，公開資料提及共同打造新款非儀表產品；屬智慧車聯網技術合作。
台灣大哥大股份有限公司 3045 CROXERA 車聯網聯盟合作夥伴，提供通訊/聯網生態相關合作。
三陽工業股份有限公司 2206 CROXERA 車聯網聯盟合作夥伴，同時也是台灣機車同業競爭者；此處列為車聯網生態合作關係。
Bosch 部分車款採用 ABS/TCS 等煞車與電控系統；Bosch 為德國企業，非台股掛牌。
Michelin 部分車款標配 Michelin 輪胎；Michelin 為法國上市公司，非台股掛牌。

Downstream

Polaris Inc. 美國 ATV/休閒車大廠；公開資料稱宏佳騰曾與 Polaris 技術合作/代工超過十年，Polaris 為美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
Dotstation 韓國品牌；2024 年宏佳騰交付 Dotstation 委託代工近 2000 台 EV.C1 電動機車，非台股掛牌。
QOODER／Quadro Vehicles 歐洲合作品牌；公開資料提及 QOODER QV4/QV3 Euro5+ 與宏佳騰歐洲布局相關，非台股掛牌。
宏佳騰全台門市與經銷商國內下游通路與售後服務網絡；2025 年 3 月底公開資料稱全台門市約 191 家，通路個體多為未上市櫃。
台灣及海外終端消費者／物流商用車客戶終端應用包括個人通勤、休閒越野、商務配送、物流與車隊管理；多數客戶未揭露或非台股掛牌。

Competitors

三陽工業股份有限公司 2206 台灣主要機車品牌 SYM，與宏佳騰在燃油機車、部分電動/智慧車款市場競爭。
中華汽車工業股份有限公司 2204 旗下 eMOVING 參與台灣電動機車與商用電動二輪/三輪市場，屬宏佳騰電動載具競爭者之一。
光陽工業股份有限公司 KYMCO 為台灣大型機車品牌，未上市櫃，為內銷燃油機車與電動機車主要競爭者。
台灣山葉機車工業股份有限公司 Yamaha 台灣機車品牌，未台股掛牌，與宏佳騰在速克達與部分電動車款市場競爭。
摩特動力工業股份有限公司 PGO 品牌，未上市櫃，為台灣機車及 PBGN 電動機車競爭者。
Gogoro Inc. 美國上市公司，非台股掛牌；同時是宏佳騰換電平台合作方，也是台灣電動機車終端市場競爭品牌。
Polaris Inc. 美國上市 ATV/UTV 與 powersports 大廠；在全球休閒車市場為競爭及合作關係。
BRP Inc. 加拿大上市 powersports 大廠，旗下 Can-Am 等 ATV/UTV 產品與宏佳騰外銷休閒車市場競爭。

Sources（19）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.