Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3010 華立. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3010

No install, open FinLab Studio

3010

華立 Electronics Distribution As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal

Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 華立 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 華立 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 41th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.9%.
Valuation is low.PE is in the 21th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 91th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 9.1% of volume (net buy).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 28.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.63

BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
摩根大通 holds 4,067 lots
sellers have 5,724 lots left, ~213 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +15% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 摩根大通 has accumulated 4,067 lots since the start (sold 3%), still adding.
Main distributor 元大證券 peaked at 3,129 lots, has sold 28%, 2,252 left, ~29 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.23pp, mid holders +3, retail -1.96pp — concentration shifting upward.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -617 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

摩根大通凱基-台北新加坡商瑞銀華南永昌元大-楊梅玉山證券

Distributing

元大證券美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利花旗環球美林台新證券

Desks

own scale

永興-台中富邦證券群益金鼎-高雄宏遠證券

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

摩根大通 +4,067

sold 3%· still adding
凱基-台北 +2,392

sold 2%· still adding
新加坡商瑞銀 +1,171

sold 0%· still adding
華南永昌 +583

sold 0%· still adding
元大-楊梅 +489

sold 0%· still adding
玉山證券 +396

sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

元大證券 2,252 left

sold 28%· ~29 sessions to clear
美商高盛 1,273 left

sold 58%· ~24 sessions to clear
台灣摩根士丹利 685 left

sold 68%· ~12 sessions to clear
花旗環球 766 left

sold 49%· ~213 sessions to clear
美林 622 left

sold 26%· ~33 sessions to clear
台新證券 108 left

sold 35%· paused recently

Desks

永興-台中 -1,306

unclassified
富邦證券 -1,079

unclassified
群益金鼎-高雄 -716

unclassified
宏遠證券 -500

unclassified

Still selling 5,724 lots ~213 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +2,644 absorbed / -2,253 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -329 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 28.13%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

70 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)

120 days after: historical avg +1.03%

20-day +1.23%

60-day +1.48%

120-day +1.03%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

63.9%

60%

47.5%

Sample

Median

+1.96%

+2.32%

-0.67%

Excess

+0.21%

-0.27%

+0.42%

Beat mkt rate

49.2%

46.7%

45.8%

Over 59 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.03%, beat the market by 0.42 pts; win rate 47.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 +19.9%

20-40 +22.9%

40-60 +13.5%

60-80 +16.9%

80-100 +7% Now

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	840	+19.9%	+14.5%	92%	+0.9%
20-40	576	+22.9%	+19.2%	84%	+4.8%
40-60	427	+13.5%	+6%	61.1%	+7.2%
60-80	593	+16.9%	+16.7%	63.9%	+3.5%
80-100 You are here	601	+7%	+7.5%	57.7%	-14.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 13.81, at the 90.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+11.9%

Win rate 78.9% Excess +4.1%

739d

+7%

Win rate 67% Excess +2.8%

567d

+9.9%

Win rate 73.2% Excess -1.8%

836d

60-day momentum down

+6.9%

Win rate 71.4% Excess -0.8%

546d

+4.8%

Win rate 62.9% Excess +0.4%

197d

Now

+1.9%

Win rate 44.1% Excess -11%

272d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 272 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 1.9%, win rate 44.1%, lagged the market by 11%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

46 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.76%, win rate 62.2%, beating the market by +0.79 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

70 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.67%, win rate 67.6%, beating the market by -0.45 pts on average.

What does 華立 do? Company profile

電子通路業；高科技材料、化學品、氣體、零組件、模組、設備與整合方案通路商台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

3010 對應證券為華立企業股份有限公司普通股，市場別為台灣證券交易所上市，產業類別為電子通路。公司成立於 1968/10/01，掛牌上市日期為 2002/07/22，總公司地址為高雄市前金區中正四路235號10樓。董事長與總經理均為張尊賢；公司年報亦說明董事長兼任最高經理人，透過內控授權、董事會與獨立董事監督降低治理風險。Yahoo 股市與公司年報揭露股本約新台幣 2,594,368,170 元，已發行普通股約 259,436,817 股。員工規模依 2025 年年報，截至 2026/03/31 合計 1,344 人，其中營業人員 1,007 人、行政人員 337 人，平均年齡 41.99 歲、平均服務年資 9.71 年。主要股東依 2026/03/27 年報揭露包括康泰投資 7.71%、富世投資 6.17%、德衛投資 4.91%、臺灣銀行受託保管元大台灣高股息低波動 ETF 專戶 3.74%、錠寶 3.20%、晶贊投資 3.06%、華宏新技 2.62%、華立員工持股會信託專戶 2.30%、張瑞欽 2.22%、渣打受託保管梨樹北極星外國價值小型資本基金專戶 1.42%。公司股利政策為每年就可供分配盈餘提撥不低於 10% 分配股東紅利，現金股利不低於股利總額 50%；2025 年盈餘分配案擬每股現金股利 5.3 元。

Business

華立的商業模式是代理、經銷並整合國內外材料、化學品、氣體、零組件、模組、設備與技術服務，提供高科技產業客戶一次購足與整合方案。公司本身非主要製造商，年報明確說明主要研發活動多發生於供應商端，華立的價值在於商流、金流、物流、資訊流、技術服務、產品導入、供需協調與策略投資。2025 年合併營收為新台幣 78,189,260 千元，營業毛利 6,314,709 千元，營業利益 3,116,212 千元，稅後淨利 2,600,765 千元，EPS 8.84 元。2025 年營收結構：半導體產業 24,446,410 千元、31.3%；電子資通訊產業 20,625,630 千元、26.4%；平面顯示器產業 18,550,776 千元、23.7%；印刷電路板／主機板產業 9,589,085 千元、12.3%；綠能產業 915,298 千元、1.2%；其他 4,062,061 千元、5.1%。主要產品包括工程塑膠、熱硬化工程塑膠、薄膜與板材、乾膜、基板、曝光機與零組件、離型膜、高頻材料、光阻、電子級特殊氣體、IC chemical、remover、矽晶圓、先進封裝材料、slurry、developer、polyimide、靶材、OLED 與光通訊材料、Mini LED 方案、太陽能與儲能材料及系統、冷媒、船舶引擎、碳纖與特用化學品等。公司 2025 年代理或經銷新增品類包括 AI 伺服器相關材料、AMR 自動化機器人、工廠自動化解決方案、熱管理、半導體前端材料、先進封裝、光通訊模組與智慧倉儲等。年報稱產品超過 800 個品類，單一品類年營收超過新台幣 1 億元者有 93 個，超過 1,000 萬元者有 265 個；客戶超過 5,200 家，其中年採購超過 1,000 萬元者超過 710 家。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 年實績顯示華立雖然營收年減 2.3%，但因產品組合優化、高階高毛利材料滲透率提升，營業毛利年增 6.0%、營業利益年增 16.9%，本業獲利品質改善。2026 年公司年報展望聚焦 AI 伺服器、高效能運算、5G/6G、高階半導體、高階載板、高端顯示器、新能源車、低軌衛星通訊、智能工業自動化、綠能循環經濟與生技醫療。半導體方面，AI 基礎建設、先進製程、先進封裝、高速運算與供應鏈區域化是主要動能，華立將延續光阻、電子級化學品、特殊氣體、研磨液、先進封裝材料等布局；公司亦提到開始產出高純度氖氦氣、擴大氣體相關投資，並以錦德氣體模式透過策略投資取得關鍵技術或銷售權。電子構裝與 PCB 方面，AI 訓練與推論需求、800G/1.6T 高速互連、低損耗基材、IC 載板與高階多層板需求升級，將帶動高頻高速材料與製程材料。顯示與光通訊方面，面板溫和復甦、OLED 滲透、車用顯示、Mini LED、AI 資料中心光模組升級為機會，但中國面板產能與價格競爭仍是壓力。綠能方面，公司規劃朝光電＋儲能＋電力交易發展，並持續地面型與屋頂型太陽能案場、材料、零組件、模組銷售，評估氫能、小水力等方向。2027-2028 年公司未公告正式財測；較合理的研究判斷是，若 AI/HPC 產能擴張、台積電與先進封裝供應鏈本地化、東南亞半導體與 PCB 擴產延續，華立有機會受惠於高階材料與跨區供應鏈整合；但若半導體資本支出遞延、面板價格競爭加劇、供應商直銷、原廠價格上漲無法轉嫁、客戶信用風險、匯率與地緣政治限制升高，則營收與毛利率會承壓。整體展望屬中高成長題材但需持續追蹤月營收、半導體材料出貨、先進封裝材料導入、氣體投資進度、客戶收款與庫存週期。

Supply Chain

Upstream

JSR CORPORATION 年報列為半導體製造、封測材料及製程用化學品、氣體、設備供應商；公開報導亦指出華立代理 JSR 光阻等半導體材料。JSR 為日本企業，非台股掛牌。
台灣三菱化學股份有限公司年報列為半導體材料、製程化學品等主要供應商；為日本三菱化學集團在台公司，非台股掛牌。
奇美實業股份有限公司年報列為工程塑膠與光電、顯示器相關材料供應商；台灣未上市公司。
台灣玻璃工業股份有限公司 1802 年報重要契約列示經銷合約；屬台股上市公司，關聯產品為玻璃相關材料。
SUMIDUREZ SINGAPORE PTE., LTD. 年報列為資通訊工程塑膠類主要供應商，代理銷售電木塑料；新加坡公司，非台股掛牌。
台灣明寶塑膠股份有限公司年報列為資通訊工程塑膠類主要供應商；未確認為台股掛牌公司。
台灣松下多層材料股份有限公司年報列為電子構裝／印刷電路板產業材料、零組件、設備供應商；日系在台公司，非台股掛牌。
旭化成電子材料（蘇州）有限公司年報列為電子構裝／印刷電路板產業材料供應商；外商子公司，非台股掛牌。

Downstream

台灣積體電路製造股份有限公司 2330 SEMI 報導指出華立為台積電半導體製程相關材料長期供應商之一，華立代理 JSR 材料並曾通過台積電先進節點耗材認證；年報未逐一揭露 2025 年客戶名稱。
晶圓製造與先進封裝客戶群年報揭露下游包含半導體晶圓製造、先進封測業，應用於光阻、電子級特用氣體、IC chemical、研磨液、先進封裝材料等；公司未揭露完整客戶名單。
面板、OLED、Mini LED 與光通訊客戶群年報揭露下游包含液晶顯示器、觸控面板、OLED 面板、光通訊市場與終端系統客戶；公司未揭露完整客戶名單。
PCB、主機板與電子構裝客戶群年報揭露下游包含印刷電路板、主機板、伺服器、通訊、高頻高速與電子構裝應用；公司未揭露完整客戶名單。
太陽能、儲能與電力系統客戶群年報揭露下游包含太陽能、儲能系統、LED、風電、鋰電池製造及電力交易相關應用；公司未揭露完整客戶名單。

Competitors

崇越科技 5434 半導體材料、設備、環保工程與高科技供應鏈整合商；公開報導常將崇越與華立並列為台灣半導體材料通路商，SEMI 報導亦同時提及兩者為台積電製程材料長期供應商。
長華* 8070 半導體封裝材料、設備與代理通路商；在電子材料與封裝材料通路領域與華立部分業務重疊。
品佳電子零組件通路商；與華立在部分電子材料、零組件代理與通路業務上具廣義競爭關係，但華立較偏高科技材料與化學品。
增你強 3028 電子零組件與通路服務商；屬廣義電子通路同業，與華立產品組合不完全相同。
台灣精材 3467 半導體零組件、耗材與相關服務公司；MoneyDJ 公司互動資料列為華立競爭者之一，但華立也曾轉投資相關半導體耗材公司，競合關係需個案判斷。

Sources（9）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.