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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3527 聚積. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3527
3527
quality needs a look, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 聚積 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 24th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.0%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 98th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 5.8% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +21% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 293 lots since the start (sold 7%), still adding.
- Main distributor 美林 peaked at 202 lots, has sold 40%, 121 left, ~25 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders -1, retail +1.24pp — drifting down to retail.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -22 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 凱基-台北 +293
- 新加坡商瑞銀 +242
- 兆豐-新竹 +174
- 新光-台中 +125
- 元大-佳里 +110
- 統一-台中 +86
Distributing
- 美林 121 left
- 台灣摩根士丹利 55 left
- 摩根大通 109 left
- 中國信託-永康 14 left
- 元大-內湖 19 left
- 港商野村 20 left
Desks
- 永豐金-中壢 -635
- 元大-天母 -457
- 富邦-南員林 -139
- 元大-忠孝 -122
Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 521 | +14.6% | -6.2% | 43.2% | -8.9% |
| 20-40 | 269 | +10.7% | +6% | 60.6% | -5.8% |
| 40-60 | 349 | +6% | +0.4% | 51.6% | -5.1% |
| 60-80 | 645 | -0.1% | -11.7% | 38% | -13.6% |
| 80-100 You are here | 861 | +22% | +12.9% | 56.8% | +8.5% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 300.95, at the 95.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 871 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 12.5%, win rate 53.8%, beat the market by 4.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.61%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -1.78 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
64 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.53%, win rate 47.2%, beating the market by +3.53 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
52 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.89%, win rate 58.8%, beating the market by +2.95 pts on average.
What does 聚積 do? Company profile
Overview
3527 對應證券為聚積科技股份有限公司,英文名 Macroblock, Inc.,為櫃買中心上櫃普通股,非 ETF/ETN/權證/特別股。公司成立於 1999-06-25,公開發行日 2006-08-07,興櫃日 2006-09-12,上櫃日 2007-10-29。總部/通訊地址公開資料有兩種揭露:櫃買與多數股市資料列示新竹市埔頂路18號3樓之5之6;公司 2024 年報英文版列示 Headquarters 為新竹市埔頂路18號6樓之4,並另有桃園平鎮廠。董事長/發言人為楊立昌,總經理/代理發言人為林益勝(Jack Lin)。主要經營業務為積體電路之設計。實收資本額新台幣 444,451,250 元,已發行普通股 44,445,125 股,無特別股。2024 年合併營收 1,792,664 仟元、毛利率 38%、稅後淨利 12,646 仟元、EPS 0.28 元;2025 年股東會手冊與 2024 年報均揭露同數字。員工規模:2024 年 248 人,截至 2025-03-31 為 239 人;平均年齡約 41.24 歲、平均年資約 7.97 年。主要董事持股(截至 2025-04-20 股東會停止過戶日):楊立昌 1,980,613 股、義隆電子 3,500,000 股、郭莎玲 1,593,391 股,全體董事合計 7,074,004 股。子公司包含 MBI Group Inc.、聚信光電(深圳)有限公司、Macrostar Inc.、Macroblock (Singapore) Pte. Ltd.、Juxin Electronics (Shenzhen) Ltd.;其中聚信光電(深圳)2024 年淨銷售 1,197,922 仟元,是中國直接客戶銷售的重要子公司。
Business
聚積為無晶圓廠 IC 設計公司,核心產品是 LED 驅動 IC。2024 年產品營收結構:LED drive IC 1,780,232 仟元,占 99.31%;其他 12,432 仟元,占 0.69%。公司年報亦說明 LED Display Driver IC 約占總營收 90%,Full Array Local Dimming(FALD)Mini LED 背光約占 10%。主要產品與應用包括:1. LED 顯示驅動 IC,用於室內/戶外 LED 顯示屏、高階租賃、演唱會、XR/虛擬攝影棚、控制室、交通看板與公共資訊顯示;公司自稱在高階租賃、虛擬製作與演唱會用 LED 顯示驅動 IC 具絕對領先市占。2. DaVinci 系列,訴求全域刷新、低灰階刷新、低轉折電壓與節能等功能,對應高階顯示、攝影與虛擬製作需求。3. FALD Mini LED 背光驅動 IC,用於高階電競螢幕、筆電、高階電視、車用座艙/中控/副駕顯示/後座娛樂系統。4. 車用 LED 照明與顯示驅動 IC,包括車內氣氛燈、閱讀燈、互動訊息燈、尾燈、頭燈與車載顯示,部分產品具 AEC-Q100/006 或 ISO 26262 相關認證揭露。5. Micro LED / Mini LED 模組與相關驅動方案,公司官網列有 micro-LED basics、mini-LED basics、VantaMini 等模組解決方案。商業模式為 IC 設計、委外光罩/晶圓製造、封裝測試後銷售給 LED 顯示屏、背光、車用照明/顯示與模組客戶;2024 年銷售區域為台灣 8.25%、亞洲 72.16%、歐洲 7.96%、美洲 11.52%、其他 0.11%,顯示亞洲仍為主要市場但美洲與歐洲占比具一定規模。2024 年主要客戶以 A/B/C 匿名揭露,三大客戶分別占 19.52%、13.87%、11.71%,其餘客戶占 54.90%;年報註明 A/B/C 為中國主要客戶,聚信光電為對中國直接客戶銷售之子公司。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025-2028 展望以高階 LED 顯示、Mini/Micro LED、車用顯示/照明與節能驅動為主。成長動能:1. LED 顯示屏規格持續往更小點間距、更高色深、更佳低灰階、更高幀率/刷新率與更低功耗演進,虛擬製作、演唱會、企業/教育空間、家庭劇院、展覽、零售透明顯示、戶外運動與公共資訊顯示均增加高階驅動 IC 需求。2. 公司引用市場資料稱 2024 年 LED 顯示驅動 IC 市場約 7.5 億美元,公司以 2024 年營收估約 7.5% 市占;LED 顯示市場 2024 年出貨面積約 200 萬平方公尺、營收約 63 億美元,分別年增 14.6%/10.3%。3. Mini LED 背光在車用顯示具高可靠度、長壽命與高對比優勢;年報引用 TrendForce 稱 2028 年車用顯示面板出貨可達 2.57 億片,Mini LED 滲透率 5.9%、高於 OLED 4.1%,有利於車用座艙、CID、HUD、RSE 等應用。4. 車用照明 IC 受益於電動車與智慧車發展,氣氛燈從豪華車下放到中階/入門車,2024-2027 車內氣氛燈市場 CAGR 約 7-10%;互動式照明、矩陣燈、動態尾燈等新應用有機會打破歐美 IDM 壟斷。5. Micro LED TV 與透明 Micro LED 雖仍偏早期,但年報稱 2025 年受 Samsung、LG 出貨與 BOE、Chipone、Tianma、Hisense 進入推動,Micro LED TV 市場值估 1.85 億美元,2023-2028 CAGR 估 119%;公司亦強調透明 Micro LED 與多家面板廠合作。6. 2025 年 R&D 計畫預估投入 1.35 億元,7 項計畫於 1-2 年內導入量產,包含被動矩陣 16 通道租賃顯示驅動 IC、虛擬製作用極高灰階驅動 IC、Mini-scale FALD 背光驅動 IC、車用 24 通道 FALD 背光驅動 IC、被動矩陣 LED 顯示 timing controller、通用 48CH 驅動 IC、全寬尾燈驅動 IC,量產時點落在 2025-03 至 2026-03。潛在風險與挑戰:中國低價 LED 驅動 IC 廠價格競爭、FALD 與車用照明遭 TI/ADI/Infineon 等 IDM 競爭、Mini LED 在高階 IT 市場面臨 OLED 成本與滲透壓力、Micro LED 商業化速度與成本仍不確定、全球貿易/關稅/通膨/地緣政治及中國內需疲弱可能影響終端需求;公司供應鏈需依賴晶圓代工、封裝與測試夥伴,產能與良率亦為關鍵。
Supply Chain
- 客戶A 2024 年主要客戶,占聚積淨銷售 19.52%;公司年報匿名揭露,註明 A/B/C 為中國主要客戶,未揭露是否上市。
- 客戶B 2024 年主要客戶,占聚積淨銷售 13.87%;公司年報匿名揭露,註明為中國主要客戶,未揭露是否上市。
- 客戶C 2024 年主要客戶,占聚積淨銷售 11.71%;公司年報匿名揭露,註明為中國主要客戶,未揭露是否上市。
- 聚信光電(深圳)有限公司 聚積 100% 子公司,負責銷售給中國直接客戶;2024 年淨銷售 1,197,922 仟元,為非台股掛牌公司。
- LED 顯示屏、XR/虛擬製作、車用顯示/照明與 Mini LED 背光客戶群 下游應用包含 LED 顯示屏廠、系統整合商、面板廠、車用照明/座艙模組與終端品牌;多數客戶未具名,故不填股票代號。
Competitors
- 德州儀器 美國上市公司 Texas Instruments;聚積年報列為 LED Driver IC、混合訊號 IC、FALD、車用照明驅動 IC 主要外國競爭者。
- 集創北方 Chipone,中國未在台股掛牌;聚積年報列為 LED Driver IC 外國/中國競爭者。
- 聯詠 3034 台股上市公司 Novatek;聚積年報列為 LED Driver IC 國內競爭者。
- 矽力*-KY 6415 台股上市公司 Silergy;聚積年報列為混合類比/數位功能 IC 國內競爭者。
- 立錡科技 Richtek;聚積年報列為混合類比/數位功能 IC 國內競爭者,但立錡已非台股獨立上市櫃公司,故 stock_id 填 null。
- 亞德諾半導體 美國上市公司 Analog Devices;聚積年報列為 FALD 產品驅動 IC 外國競爭者。
- 英飛凌 德國上市公司 Infineon;聚積年報指出車用照明 OE 市場仍由 TI、Infineon 等歐美 IDM 主導。
Sources(12)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.