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3555

博士旺 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 博士旺 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 19Quality 88Growth 99Momentum 62Chips 41

Is 博士旺 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 76th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 32.9%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 59th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 29th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.0% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 904.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Neutral +0.07
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 元大-大同 holds 105 lots
  • sellers have 202 lots left, ~93 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +128% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-大同 has accumulated 105 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 台灣摩根士丹利 peaked at 392 lots, has sold 67%, 131 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.40pp, mid holders +1, retail -0.73pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -95 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-大同元大-台中中港華南永昌-敦南統一-仁愛兆豐-民生元大-內湖
Distributing
台灣摩根士丹利群益金鼎-館前統一群益金鼎-延平統一-嘉義華南永昌-高雄
Desks
own scale
康和富邦-南京港商野村永豐金-板新
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-大同 +105
    sold 0%
  • 元大-台中中港 +65
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-敦南 +55
    sold 25%
  • 統一-仁愛 +49
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 兆豐-民生 +36
    sold 18%
  • 元大-內湖 +36
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 131 left
    sold 67%· paused recently
  • 群益金鼎-館前 9 left
    sold 89%· paused recently
  • 統一 26 left
    sold 68%· ~29 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-延平 15 left
    sold 80%· paused recently
  • 統一-嘉義 44 left
    sold 35%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-高雄 10 left
    sold 85%· paused recently

Desks

  • 康和 -174
    unclassified
  • 富邦-南京 -164
    unclassified
  • 港商野村 -159
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 永豐金-板新 -63
    unclassified
Still selling 202 lots ~93 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +203 absorbed / -144 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -42 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 904.24%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

73 historical occurrences (since 2011-11-08)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 45.9%, Sample 61, Median -1.29%, Excess +1.08%, Beat mkt rate 36.1%；60-day: Win 47.5%, Sample 59, Median -0.15%, Excess +8.26%, Beat mkt rate 42.4%；120-day: Win 53.6%, Sample 56, Median +1.61%, Excess +15.15%, Beat mkt rate 30.4%

120 days after: historical avg +27.29%

20-day +3.55%
60-day +15.28%
120-day +27.29%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.9%
47.5%
53.6%
Sample
61
59
56
Median
-1.29%
-0.15%
+1.61%
Excess
+1.08%
+8.26%
+15.15%
Beat mkt rate
36.1%
42.4%
30.4%

Over 56 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 27.29%, beat the market by 15.15 pts; win rate 53.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 6Insufficient data
20-40 You are here0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 28.17, at the 29.1th percentile of its own history (20-40 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(3d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
Now
+63.2%
Win rate 23.8% Excess +45.4%
63d
+521.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +370%
41d
Insufficient data
(19d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 63 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 63.2%, win rate 23.8%, beat the market by 45.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +33.49%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +22.53 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.08%, win rate 52.9%, beating the market by +1.78 pts on average.

What does 博士旺 do? Company profile

櫃買中心產業分類為半導體業；實際營運已轉型為記憶體相關零組件批發、區塊鏈/Web3軟體開發、消費性娛樂通路與少量生技授權/銷售。 上櫃

Overview

博士旺創新股份有限公司成立於2003年9月25日，前身曾為擎泰科技、重鵬生技，2023年更名為博士旺創新。股票於2011年11月8日上櫃。總公司位於臺北市內湖區潭美街533號10樓，電話02-8227-2928；台北分公司位於臺北市信義區松高路11號29樓。董事長為周康記，總經理為黃啟誠，財務長/發言人為洪儷尤。依114年報及公司資料，核定資本額約新台幣12億元，流通在外普通股約39,999仟股，其中上市櫃25,068仟股、未上市櫃私募股14,931仟股；工商登記/財經資料顯示實收資本額399,987,970元。從業員工數：113年度48人、114年度61人、截至115年3月31日64人；115年3月31日研發27人、管銷37人、製造0人，平均年齡40歲、平均服務年資3.1年。主要股東方面，威剛科技股份有限公司截至115年3月31日持有14,348,970股、持股35.87%，為最大且具控制力之法人股東；董事會另有美音投資股份有限公司、億生投資有限公司等法人董事席次。

Business

公司目前主要營業項目可分為四大類：1. 記憶體相關零組件：DRAM IC、Flash IC等記憶體產品零組件之批發買賣，114年度營收71,533千元、占25.32%。2. 消費性娛樂：TV Game、PC Game相關產品之代理、銷售、通路經營與市場拓展，114年度營收160,757千元、占56.91%，為當年度最大營收來源；2025年成立消費性通路娛樂事業部，聚焦遊戲主機、遊戲軟體、周邊、授權商品、電商與實體門市。3. 系統開發/區塊鏈軟體：區塊鏈技術軟體應用與專案委託開發，114年度營收50,096千元、占17.74%；產品與服務包含RWA資產代幣化平台、VASP/白牌交易所解決方案、DID/VC、企業私鑰管理、Soteria分散式安全儲存、Pistis DID、供應鏈金融SCF、PayFi、碳數據上鏈與區塊鏈顧問。4. 生技產品及其他：滴雞精、磷蝦油、海洋深層水等；公司已於112年底將滴雞精、人蔘飲授權立萬利創新生產銷售並收取權利金，114年度營收90千元、占0.03%。商業模式同時包含商品批發/零售通路毛利、軟體專案建置費、產品化平台/代理服務、權利金及可能的維運服務收入。主要客戶與應用包括金融機構、VASP業者、政府/公共部門、企業供應鏈金融與碳管理客戶，以及遊戲娛樂終端消費者與通路客戶。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年：公司114年度營收282,476千元，年增334.6%，主要由新增消費性娛樂通路及記憶體/電子類產品帶動；但消費性硬體毛利相對較低，使毛利率與營業利益仍承壓。區塊鏈軟體方面，RWA與VASP平台已於114年完成初版，並開始提供金融機構合規加密貨幣相關產品。2026年：成長重點在台灣虛擬資產監管明朗化、金管會規劃穩定幣與金融機構虛擬資產服務、RWA與企業私鑰管理需求；公司公開表示已完成產品化與平台化布局，包含穩定幣收付款、企業私鑰管理、白牌交易所、KYC/KYB/KYT/AML與合規報表，並導入金融機構與交易平台使用。消費娛樂事業則由B2B批發整合逐步擴至電商與實體門市B2C，透過新世代主機、遊戲軟體、IP周邊與高人流據點提升營收。2027-2028年：若台灣穩定幣、RWA、金融機構託管、VASP法規與資產代幣化商品順利落地，公司可從專案型收入轉向平台化/維運/代理型收入，營運槓桿有機會改善；供應鏈金融、碳數據上鏈、PayFi及跨境支付亦可能成為延伸場景。記憶體零組件業務受AI伺服器與高階運算需求支撐，但價格循環波動大；消費娛樂業務受主機世代、新遊戲、原廠供貨與通路效率影響。主要風險包括：虛擬資產法規開放速度不如預期、金融機構導入週期長、RWA商業化仍在早期、資安與合規責任高、產品化收入能否取代一次性專案仍待驗證、消費娛樂硬體毛利低且庫存/展店費用壓力大、記憶體零組件價格循環與供需波動、公司歷史上轉型多次且本業營業利益仍需觀察。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 威剛科技股份有限公司 3260 最大法人股東，持股35.87%；屬記憶體模組與儲存產品集團，為公司記憶體零組件、集團資源與轉型支援的重要關係企業。
  • 任天堂株式會社 日本上市公司；消費性娛樂業務之重要遊戲主機與IP生態來源，博士旺銷售Nintendo Switch等相關主機、軟硬體與周邊。
  • 馨運企業有限公司 未上市公司；2025年與博士旺啟動策略合作，協助遊戲代理與通路銷售，包含Nintendo Switch 2相關軟硬體。
  • 博斯資訊安全股份有限公司 博士旺子公司/未上市；區塊鏈身份驗證、DID、資安與Web3基礎技術來源，2023年博士旺收購其逾60%股權。
  • 合流科技股份有限公司 博士旺旗下或關係企業/未上市；供應鏈金融、企業級區塊鏈應用與SCF平台相關技術來源。
  • 國際虛擬資產託管與合規產品原廠/平台 非台股掛牌或名稱未完整揭露；公司年報與新聞提及與海外合作夥伴、產品原廠、平台合作，用於金融機構加密貨幣、託管、RWA與合規應用。
Downstream
  • 臺灣集中保管結算所 未上市機構；公司曾取得合作機會並代為開發RWA概念驗證平台，是RWA/金融基礎設施應用的重要下游客戶或合作方。
  • 元大金融控股股份有限公司 2885 金融機構客群；第三方法說整理稱博士旺與元大等金融機構完成RWA概念性驗證，實際採購主體可能為旗下金融機構。
  • 中華開發金融控股股份有限公司 2883 凱基體系金融機構客群；第三方法說整理稱博士旺與凱基等金融機構完成RWA概念性驗證，實際採購主體可能為旗下金融機構。
  • 富邦金融控股股份有限公司 2881 金融機構客群；第三方法說整理稱博士旺與富邦等金融機構完成RWA概念性驗證，實際採購主體可能為旗下金融機構。
  • 永豐餘投資控股股份有限公司 1907 供應鏈金融應用場景；104人力銀行公司簡介稱博士旺曾與永豐餘集團合作推出區塊鏈供應鏈金融平台，服務供應商。
  • 立萬利創新股份有限公司 3054 生技產品授權生產銷售方；博士旺已將滴雞精、人蔘飲等品牌產品授權其生產銷售並收取權利金。
  • 跨鏈科技股份有限公司 Atrix VASP業者/未上市；第三方法說整理稱博士旺白牌交易所解決方案已服務該業者。
  • 遊戲與3C零售消費者、電商及百貨門市通路 消費性娛樂產品下游；公司以遊戲主機、軟體、周邊、授權商品與實體/電商通路觸及終端消費者。

Competitors

  • 麗臺科技股份有限公司 2465 資訊/AI/資安與Safe Exchange等解決方案業者，於企業軟體、資安與交易平台應用上與博士旺部分Web3/資安產品存在潛在競合。
  • 精誠資訊股份有限公司 6214 大型系統整合與金融科技服務商；在金融機構系統建置、資安、雲端與企業級解決方案領域可能與博士旺區塊鏈軟體業務競爭。
  • 關貿網路股份有限公司 6183 電子資料交換、政府/金融/企業平台與資訊服務商；在供應鏈、交易資料與公共部門數位平台場景具競爭或替代關係。
  • 三竹資訊股份有限公司 8284 金融資訊、行動交易與資訊服務業者；在金融數位服務與行動應用場景具潛在競爭。
  • 智冠科技股份有限公司 5478 遊戲通路、數位娛樂與支付服務業者；在遊戲娛樂通路與相關數位服務市場與博士旺消費性娛樂事業有部分重疊。
  • 橘子股份有限公司 6180 遊戲營運、數位娛樂與支付服務業者；在遊戲娛樂、IP商品與數位服務市場具競爭或替代關係。
  • 新加坡/香港/歐美Web3基礎設施與託管服務商 非台股掛牌；如國際虛擬資產託管、合規、RWA平台與交易所技術供應商，會與博士旺在金融機構虛擬資產解決方案上競爭或合作。
Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.