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6670

復盛應用 Sports & Leisure As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 復盛應用 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 66Quality 80Growth 75Momentum 51Chips 1

Is 復盛應用 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 74th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 5.3%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 24th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 88th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -17.1% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 32.0%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.53
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 永豐金證券 holds 1,412 lots
  • sellers have 120 lots left, ~60 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金證券 has accumulated 1,412 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 香港上海匯豐 peaked at 305 lots, has sold 26%, 226 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.24pp, mid holders +2, retail -1.09pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,259 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金證券玉山證券台新-台北群益金鼎兆豐證券大和國泰
Distributing
香港上海匯豐華南永昌-中正合庫證券永豐金-匯立法銀巴黎統一-員林
Desks
own scale
凱基美林台灣摩根士丹利凱基-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金證券 +1,412
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山證券 +784
    sold 4%
  • 台新-台北 +529
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎 +506
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 兆豐證券 +456
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 大和國泰 +401
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 香港上海匯豐 226 left
    sold 26%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-中正 69 left
    sold 60%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 合庫證券 31 left
    sold 39%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-匯立 16 left
    sold 67%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 法銀巴黎 23 left
    sold 47%· paused recently
  • 統一-員林 11 left
    sold 65%· ~9 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基 -1,564
    unclassified
  • 美林 -721
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -622
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 凱基-台北 -386
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 120 lots ~60 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,662 absorbed / -161 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -825 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

16 historical occurrences (since 2020-01-13)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +3.83%, Excess -0.02%, Beat mkt rate 73.3%；60-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 15, Median +0.16%, Excess -2.54%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%；120-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 15, Median -9.02%, Excess -12.06%, Beat mkt rate 26.7%

120 days after: historical avg -3.99%

20-day +0.66%
60-day -0.54%
120-day -3.99%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
53.3%
33.3%
Sample
15
15
15
Median
+3.83%
+0.16%
-9.02%
Excess
-0.02%
-2.54%
-12.06%
Beat mkt rate
73.3%
53.3%
26.7%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 3.99%, lagged the market by 12.06 pts; win rate 33.3%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 32.03%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

44 historical occurrences (since 2018-12-18)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 38, Median +0.04%, Excess +0.01%, Beat mkt rate 55.3%；60-day: Win 59.5%, Sample 37, Median +2.01%, Excess +0.19%, Beat mkt rate 51.4%；120-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 36, Median +3.72%, Excess -0.31%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +2.66%

20-day +0.51%
60-day +1.43%
120-day +2.66%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
59.5%
58.3%
Sample
38
37
36
Median
+0.04%
+2.01%
+3.72%
Excess
+0.01%
+0.19%
-0.31%
Beat mkt rate
55.3%
51.4%
50%

Over 36 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.66%, lagged the market by 0.31 pts; win rate 58.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 342+26.1% +21% 99.4% -1%
20-40 113+36.9% +45.5% 92% +5.8%
40-60 95+18.2% +11.4% 69.5% -17.7%
60-80 96-11.1% -12.7% 12.5% -48%
80-100 You are here170+9.5% +7.8% 60.6% -4.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 14.58, at the 87.5th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+11.4%
Win rate 77.9% Excess -0.5%
262d
+7.9%
Win rate 53.2% Excess -4.1%
139d
Now
+7.5%
Win rate 67.1% Excess +3.9%
231d
60-day momentum down
+7.5%
Win rate 78.1% Excess -12.9%
242d
-3.8%
Win rate 43.2% Excess -41.8%
44d
Insufficient data
(17d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 231 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.5%, win rate 67.1%, beat the market by 3.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

41 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.34%, win rate 60%, beating the market by -3.17 pts on average.

What does 復盛應用 do? Company profile

運動休閒；高爾夫球具、精密金屬與複合材料製造 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

6670 對應復盛應用科技股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司成立於2010年9月14日，承接復盛集團運動器材事業部，2017年11月30日興櫃，2018年12月18日上市。登記地址為台北市中山區南京東路二段172號3樓，營運總部位於桃園市桃園區興中街9號。實收資本額為新台幣1,393,869,730元，普通股139,386,973股。公司英文全名為 FuSheng Precision Co., Ltd.，英文簡稱 FSP。依2026年5月27日董事會重大訊息，董事長由江慶生接任，總經理亦為江慶生；公司網站部分基本資料頁尚列李亮箴，屬資料更新落差。公司揭露全球員工約15,000人以上，據點涵蓋台灣、中國、越南、泰國、美國、香港。主要股東依公司2025年4月21日十大持股資訊包含財團法人感恩社會福利基金會9,000,000股、Valiant APO Holdings III Ltd. 6,754,260股、廖仁碩4,437,820股、元大台灣高股息低波動ETF專戶4,373,000股、李後泉3,596,659股、李亮箴3,487,929股、聯盛投資3,352,343股、挪威中央銀行投資專戶3,345,000股、李汪錆3,157,546股、勤益投資控股3,000,000股。

Business

復盛應用為全球大型高爾夫球具代工與精密製造平台，主要業務為高爾夫球桿頭、球桿、握把、球具組立與相關金屬製品製造加工買賣，並由高爾夫本業延伸至石墨桿身與套裝組、球頭配件、滑冰靴與護具、棒壘球棒、航太與車用零組件、手工具與生活用品。商業模式以全球品牌客戶 OEM/ODM、共同開發、材料與製程整合、量產製造為核心，技術涵蓋材料配方、CAE/CAD、模具、鑄造、鍛造、CNC、MIM、PVD、碳纖維預浸材、金屬3D列印與自動化。公司2026年第一季法說會揭露2025年營收約新台幣297.90億元、EPS 22.45元；2026年第一季營收84.689億元、EPS約6.96元。依2026年第一季產品占比圖估算，2026年第一季高爾夫球桿頭約61%、石墨桿身與套裝組約11%、球頭配件約9%、滑冰靴/靴類/護具約8%、航太與車用零件約5%、棒壘球棒約5%、其他約1%；此比例係依簡報圖表讀值，非逐項文字表格。主要客戶為全球高爾夫品牌商與運動用品品牌，公開報導與早期法說資料提及 Callaway、Titleist/Acushnet、PING、TaylorMade、Dunlop、Cleveland、Cobra、Honma、Wilson、Yamaha、Mizuno 等。公司近年透過併購擴張非高爾夫業務：2020年取得民盛應用控制權，切入冰上與極限運動鞋靴護具；2024年併購力野精密相關車用零組件業務；2025年公開收購伯鑫工具6904約51%股權，正式跨入手工具產業。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年公司營收297.9億元、年增約5%，創歷史次高，但毛利率與獲利受到關稅、原物料成本、匯率與新台幣升值等因素壓抑，EPS由2024年的28.17元降至22.45元。2026年展望偏正向：高爾夫品牌客戶庫存相對健康、新品週期延續、既有與新客戶放量，以及越南產能深化有助承接供應鏈重組與轉單需求；公司2026年第一季簡報指出美國高爾夫下場回合數高於去年同期約5%，但美國球具零售市場金額第一季年減4.8%，顯示終端仍需觀察。製造端重點為越南基地與自動化，公司與市場報導指出高爾夫相關產出已以越南為主，越南/中國產出比重約75%/25%，2026年可能調整至約80%/20%；2026年5月董事會亦授權子公司 Vision International Co., Ltd. 新建廠房。2025至2028年主要成長動能包括：一、高爾夫中高階球桿頭市占與客戶黏著度；二、越南產能擴張與交期優化；三、材料與製程能力延伸至航太、車用、手工具與運動護具；四、伯鑫、力野、民盛等併購後全年貢獻與交叉技術綜效。主要風險包括：美國關稅與原產地規則、美元/新台幣與越南盾波動、鈦合金/不鏽鋼/碳纖維等原料成本、全球高爾夫消費景氣、品牌客戶新品週期與庫存調整、客戶集中度、併購整合與跨產業管理風險、越南產能擴張執行與勞動成本。2027至2028年的量化營收與獲利預測未見公司明確公開指引，故僅能以產能、併購與產業趨勢作定性推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 中山市奧博精密科技有限公司 非台股掛牌；復盛應用收購之高爾夫球桿頭零配件廠，用於高爾夫事業垂直整合。
  • 鈦合金、不鏽鋼、鋁合金、碳纖維預浸材與化學材料供應商 公司主要製程使用高階金屬與複合材料；公開資料顯示供應商分散，但未能確認具名主要供應商。
  • 精密加工、鑄鍛造、CNC、MIM、PVD與自動化設備供應商 支援公司精密金屬製造與智慧製造；公開資料未揭露具名主要設備商。
Downstream
  • Topgolf Callaway Brands / Callaway 美國上市公司，非台股掛牌；全球高爾夫品牌客戶，公開報導列為復盛應用主要客戶之一。
  • Acushnet / Titleist 美國上市公司，非台股掛牌；Titleist為全球高爾夫品牌，公開報導列為復盛應用主要客戶之一。
  • PING / Karsten Manufacturing 未上市海外品牌；公開報導列為復盛應用主要高爾夫客戶之一。
  • TaylorMade 海外未上市品牌；公開報導與公司早期法說資料列為主要合作品牌之一。
  • Dunlop Sports / Srixon / Cleveland 海外品牌，母集團非台股掛牌；早期法說與市場資料列為主要品牌客戶。
  • Cobra / PUMA-Cobra 海外品牌，非台股掛牌；公開資料列為主要高爾夫客戶之一。
  • 民盛應用企業股份有限公司 台灣興櫃公司7811，非上市櫃故stock_id依規範填null；復盛應用子公司，承接冰上曲棍球、越野摩托車、棒球與護具等運動品牌客戶。
  • 伯鑫工具股份有限公司 6904 台股上櫃公司；復盛應用2025年公開收購約51%股權後納入手工具事業布局，擴展至專業活動扳手等手工具市場。

Competitors

  • 明安國際企業股份有限公司 8938 台股上櫃公司；全球主要高爾夫球具與球頭代工廠之一，為復盛應用在高爾夫球具ODM/OEM領域的主要同業。
  • 大田精密工業股份有限公司 8924 台股上櫃公司；高爾夫球頭、球具組立及自行車等產品製造商，為台灣高爾夫球具代工同業。
  • 鉅明股份有限公司 8928 台股上櫃公司；高爾夫球桿、球頭與鈦合金鑄件製造商，為高爾夫球具代工同業。
  • 民盛應用企業股份有限公司 台灣興櫃公司7811，非上市櫃故stock_id填null；在運動鞋靴、護具等非高爾夫運動代工領域可視為同業，但目前為復盛應用集團子公司。
  • 國際高爾夫球具代工與品牌自製產能 包含海外未上市或非台股掛牌廠商，以及品牌客戶內製/雙供應商策略；公開資料未能完整確認具名名單。
Sources（20）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.