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7842

天能綠電 Green Energy & Environment As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 天能綠電 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 45Quality 61Growth 81Chips 12

Is 天能綠電 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 39th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.6%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 50th market percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -4.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 40.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.30
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 統一-士林 holds 258 lots
  • sellers have 72 lots left, ~60 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -20% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 統一-士林 has accumulated 258 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 24 lots, has sold 25%, 18 left, ~60 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -14.42pp, mid holders +1, retail +12.12pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -80 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
統一-士林永豐金-萬盛永豐金-古亭兆豐-北高雄台新-台北元大-屏東民生
Distributing
摩根大通富邦-台北美林台灣摩根士丹利富邦-仁愛第一金-華江
Desks
own scale
永豐金證券國泰-敦南統一-城中統一-土城
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 統一-士林 +258
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金-萬盛 +68
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金-古亭 +32
    sold 0%
  • 兆豐-北高雄 +27
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-台北 +21
    sold 16%
  • 元大-屏東民生 +18
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 摩根大通 18 left
    sold 25%· ~60 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-台北 14 left
    sold 39%· ~16 sessions to clear
  • 美林 4 left
    sold 76%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 4 left
    sold 73%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-仁愛 10 left
    sold 33%· ~50 sessions to clear
  • 第一金-華江 5 left
    sold 64%· paused recently

Desks

  • 永豐金證券 -86
    unclassified
  • 國泰-敦南 -78
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 統一-城中 -60
    unclassified
  • 統一-土城 -48
    unclassified
Still selling 72 lots ~60 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +245 absorbed / -37 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 40.58%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

3 historical occurrences (since 2026-05-11)

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

What does 天能綠電 do? Company profile

綠能環保；再生能源售電、憑證與碳管理服務 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

天能綠電股份有限公司成立於2021年1月29日，總部位於臺北市內湖區基湖路1號2樓，為雲豹能源科技股份有限公司（6869）創立的綠電交易平台。公開資料顯示董事長為廖福生、總經理為唐亞聖；2025年6月10日登錄興櫃，2026年5月11日以每股承銷價108元正式掛牌上櫃。興櫃公司概況資料表列示2025年登錄興櫃時實收資本額為新臺幣149,880,000元；公司2026年5月上櫃新聞稿列示上櫃時資本額約新臺幣1.83億元。主要股東為雲豹能源；公開資訊整理資料顯示截至2026年第一季雲豹能源持有約76.73%，MoneyDJ 2025年6月報導則稱雲豹能源仍持有約80.06%，兩者時點與股本變動不同。員工規模未於可查公開資料中明確揭露。

Business

天能綠電為再生能源售電業者，核心商業模式是向再生能源發電業者與母公司雲豹能源集團案場取得綠電來源，透過台電輸配電與憑證中心流程，將綠電與再生能源憑證轉供、移轉給企業用戶，並收取售電收入及相關服務收入。主要服務包括客製化綠電採購規劃、綠電購售電契約、轉供與憑證移轉申請、用電匹配最佳化、售電營運顧問、碳盤查、碳減量計畫、碳權採購與媒合。2024年度營收結構以售電收入為主，公開說明資料列示售電收入新臺幣1,018,193千元、占99.46%，勞務收入新臺幣5,511千元、占0.54%；MoneyDJ整理亦列示2024年售電收入約99%、勞務收入約1%。客戶產業涵蓋半導體、電子製造、金融保險、資訊服務與其他高用電／高碳排產業；已公開合作或里程碑包含玉山金控、Gogoro、美光科技、旺宏電子、欣銓科技、金像電子、日月光投控、京元電子、南亞電路板等。公司2025年綠電交易量近4.2億度，全年合併營收22.85億元、年增123%，稅後淨利約5,969萬元、年增137%，EPS約4.01元；2026年第一季合併營收7.22億元、年增86.9%。截至公開報導時，公司已簽署綠電合約總度數達341億度，其中超過九成為10年以上長約，形成長期營收能見度。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年主要成長動能來自企業淨零、RE100、SBTi、CBAM、用電大戶條款、AI資料中心與高科技製造業用電成長帶動的綠電採購需求。公司短期目標是擴大整合發電資源，興櫃公司概況資料表提及2024年底累計已收購再生能源裝置容量243MW，短期目標整合發電資源達500MW；MoneyDJ 2025年報導則稱截至2024年底整合發電容量已達500MW，其中約30%來自雲豹集團自建案場，其餘為外部再生能源發電業者，兩項資料可能因統計口徑或時間不同。公司長期方向包括擴展太陽能、風力等供電來源，維持售電業交易量市占前三，建立碳權開發、交易與驗證生態系，並將綠電媒合、碳盤查、碳權採購整合為一站式淨零減碳服務。2026年5月公司宣布完成收購台灣碳資產電業100%股權，為售電業股權交易案例，有助擴大綠電交易與碳管理版圖。主要風險包括再生能源案場開發與併網速度不及企業需求、綠電供需與價格波動、售電業競爭者增加、政策與台電轉供規則變動、長約履約與供電穩定性要求、毛利率偏低導致規模擴張仍需嚴控成本、母公司與外部案場供電來源集中度、碳權市場品質與漂綠爭議風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 雲豹能源科技股份有限公司 6869 母公司與主要綠電來源之一；官方網站稱天能綠電運用母公司雲豹能源在全台部署的大量光電案場，MoneyDJ報導稱雲豹集團自建案場約占天能整合容量三成。
  • 恩富資本太陽能股份有限公司 MoneyDJ整理公開說明書列示之再生能源電力供應商；未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 辰宇能源股份有限公司 MoneyDJ整理公開說明書列示之再生能源電力供應商；未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 京承能源股份有限公司 MoneyDJ整理公開說明書列示之再生能源電力供應商；未查得台股上市櫃代號。
  • 台灣電力股份有限公司 國營未上市公司；現階段綠電轉供需透過台電輸配電服務與轉供申請流程。
  • 外部再生能源發電業者 公司向太陽能等再生能源案場收購電力，再轉供企業用戶；多數案場業者未逐一公開或未上市櫃。
Downstream

Competitors

Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.