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8081

致新 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
252d high
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 致新 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 59Quality 80Growth 28Momentum 70Chips 9

Is 致新 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 79th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.4%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 33th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 88th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -5.8% of volume (net sell).

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.90
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 富邦證券 holds 846 lots
  • sellers have 207 lots left, ~47 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +32% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 富邦證券 has accumulated 846 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 國泰證券 peaked at 468 lots, has sold 65%, 162 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +4.77pp, mid holders -1, retail -2.60pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,260 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
富邦證券中國信託永豐金證券永豐金-匯立統一凱基-台北
Distributing
國泰證券玉山證券港商麥格理華南永昌統一-松江元大-羅東
Desks
own scale
元大證券美林美商高盛國票-北高雄
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 富邦證券 +846
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 中國信託 +619
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金證券 +585
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 永豐金-匯立 +454
    sold 7%· still adding
  • 統一 +418
    sold 8%
  • 凱基-台北 +375
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 國泰證券 162 left
    sold 65%· paused recently
  • 玉山證券 74 left
    sold 63%· paused recently
  • 港商麥格理 45 left
    sold 70%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 華南永昌 59 left
    sold 60%· paused recently
  • 統一-松江 26 left
    sold 75%· paused recently
  • 元大-羅東 21 left
    sold 78%· ~3 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大證券 -809
    unclassified
  • 美林 -634
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美商高盛 -609
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 國票-北高雄 -300
    unclassified
Still selling 207 lots ~47 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,821 absorbed / -276 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1,234 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

26 historical occurrences (since 2009-07-29)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 52%, Sample 25, Median +1.38%, Excess +0.05%, Beat mkt rate 44%；60-day: Win 54.2%, Sample 24, Median +0.98%, Excess -1.78%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；120-day: Win 60.9%, Sample 23, Median +5.51%, Excess +2.37%, Beat mkt rate 39.1%

120 days after: historical avg +10.38%

20-day +1.48%
60-day +3.44%
120-day +10.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52%
54.2%
60.9%
Sample
25
24
23
Median
+1.38%
+0.98%
+5.51%
Excess
+0.05%
-1.78%
+2.37%
Beat mkt rate
44%
33.3%
39.1%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.38%, beat the market by 2.37 pts; win rate 60.9%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 631+34.2% +28.5% 80.2% +18.9%
20-40 310+11.3% +9.7% 70.6% -15%
40-60 464+21.4% +6.9% 59.1% +4%
60-80 837+16.6% +6.6% 69.1% +2.1%
80-100 You are here767+16.3% +3.5% 58.1% +1.2%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 16.7, at the 88.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+18.4%
Win rate 75% Excess +11.7%
348d
+9.6%
Win rate 63% Excess -0.7%
468d
Now
+6.4%
Win rate 60.7% Excess -1.9%
1103d
60-day momentum down
+7.7%
Win rate 58.2% Excess -0.4%
567d
+12.8%
Win rate 69.9% Excess +4.1%
329d
+9.8%
Win rate 75.2% Excess +0.7%
314d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1103 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.4%, win rate 60.7%, lagged the market by 1.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Pending

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

80 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.88%, win rate 54.8%, beating the market by -1.12 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

57 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.1%, win rate 64.9%, beating the market by +0.27 pts on average.

What does 致新 do? Company profile

半導體業；類比IC／混合訊號IC設計；電源管理IC 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

8081 對應證券為致新，屬台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司成立於1996年7月3日，總部位於新竹市科學園區工業東三路2號，英文名稱 GLOBAL MIXED-MODE TECHNOLOGY INC.，英文簡稱 GMT。公司於2002年6月28日公開發行、2003年3月20日興櫃、2004年8月30日上櫃、2008年12月30日轉上市。董事長為吳錦川，總經理為謝其昌、楊人仰；發言人為吳錦川，代理發言人為唐漢光。實收資本額約新台幣861,720,720元，已發行普通股86,172,072股。2024年年報揭露2024年底員工487人，2025年3月30日為485人，其中研發278人、生產67人、業務94人、管理46人。主要股東依2025年4月13日前十大股東資料包括大鵬投資9.68%、怡鵬投資9.68%、渣打銀行受託保管摩根大通投資專戶1.63%、三商美邦人壽1.60%、匯豐受託保管三菱UFJ摩根士丹利自營平台三方SBL交易投資專戶1.46%、佳元投資1.41%、澄葳投資1.40%等。公司章程股利政策載明現金紅利不得低於股東紅利總額80%，原則上不低於可供分配盈餘3成；2024年度盈餘分配每股現金股利16元。

Business

致新為專業IC設計公司，主要從事電源管理類比IC與混合訊號IC之設計、測試、生產及行銷；公司自身負責積體電路設計及少部分成品測試，其餘晶圓製造、封裝與測試委外。2024年度營收淨額為新台幣8,252,664千元，產品營業比重為電源管理IC 83%、溫度偵測IC 8%、運算放大器IC 6%、磁場感測及馬達驅動IC 3%。主要產品用途包括：電源管理IC用於NB、Server PC、Panel、TV、手機、馬達等；溫度偵測IC用於NB、投影機、IPC等；運算放大器IC用於NB、光碟機、手機、Panel等；磁場感測及馬達驅動IC用於家電散熱系統、汽車空調循環系統、影音設備散熱馬達、NB與桌機散熱風扇等。2025年第3季法說會揭露產品應用比重為Panel 35%、Computing 28%、TV 15%、Motor 6%、Distributor 3%、Others 13%。銷售地區方面，2024年內銷18%、外銷82%。客戶主要涵蓋資訊、通訊與消費電子領域，年報明確指出主要為筆記型電腦與面板廠商，亦透過代理商拓展銷售；2024年最大銷售客戶占營收約9%，未達10%，公司未揭露名稱。進貨端以晶圓代工與封裝測試廠為主，2024年前三大供應商以代號B、A、C揭露，占進貨淨額26.08%、21.39%、13.49%，未揭露公司名稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望重點為產品線擴張、應用組合轉向較高門檻市場，以及類比IC長期需求。公司2024年年報列示計畫開發方向包括PMIC、Boost Converter、Level Shift IC、Motor Driver IC等，應用拓展至DDR5 DIMM、Panel、NB、SSD、CPU、散熱風扇控制、智慧穿戴與手持裝置；溫度偵測系列將與筆電系統廠合作，延伸至平板、筆電、投影機、DDR5 DIMM、SSD；運算放大器系列則面向筆電、液晶螢幕、手機等。2024年研發成果已涵蓋Server DDR5 DIMM超高電流PMIC、車用Panel、LPDDR5 LPCAMM2、SSD、電子紙系統、TV Panel、DDR5 Server Thermal Sensor、OLED NB與車用Panel Level Shift、SPD IC、車用Panel LED Driver、車用High-side Switch、Server e-Fuse等。2025年11月法說會指出4Q25展望營收20至21.5億元、毛利率36%至40%、營利率16%至20%；同時說明上半年有提前拉貨、Q3毛利率受庫存回沖減少與出貨組合影響，DDR5 PMIC需與外商競爭市占，NB多採LPDDR5，中國同業內捲競爭持續，車用、工業用與伺服器會繼續投入，業績貢獻較慢但穩定，並將持續增加研發人力與經費、開發新產品與拓展新客戶。中長期成長動能包括Server DDR5/電源保護、車用Panel與LED Driver、工控與馬達驅動、SSD與高速運算相關電源管理、客製化ASIC/特殊應用IC需求。主要風險包括匯率波動，因2024年外銷占82%；上游晶圓代工與封測供應集中，2024年最大進貨廠商占進貨約26%；類比IC設計人才缺乏、產品生命週期短、對晶圓代工產能依賴、TI/ADI/Renesas/MPS/矽力杰及中國同業競爭、DDR5 PMIC市占競爭、關稅與客戶供應鏈調整不確定性。2026至2028的具體財務預測未見公司公開揭露，本段對2026至2028的延伸判斷係依公司已揭露研發方向、產品應用與產業趨勢推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台積電 2330 台灣晶圓代工龍頭；致新年報僅揭露上游為晶圓代工、封裝、測試且主要供應商以A/B/C匿名揭露，未確認台積電為其特定供應商，列為台灣半導體晶圓代工產業鏈代表。
  • 聯電 2303 台灣成熟製程晶圓代工業者；致新產品屬類比與電源管理IC，年報揭露公司仰賴晶圓代工產能，但未揭露供應商名稱，列為可能相關產業鏈代表而非確認供應商。
  • 世界先進 5347 台灣成熟製程晶圓代工業者；列為類比IC可用成熟製程上游代表，非公司公開確認供應商。
  • 日月光投控 3711 封裝測試產業代表公司；致新年報揭露封裝與測試委外，未揭露實際封測供應商名稱。
  • 京元電子 2449 IC測試服務台股公司；列為封測／測試產業鏈代表，非公司公開確認供應商。
  • 南茂 8150 封裝測試服務台股公司；列為封測產業鏈代表，非公司公開確認供應商。
Downstream
  • 友達 2409 面板廠台股公司；致新年報指出主要客戶包含面板廠商，2025Q3應用比重Panel為35%，但未揭露個別客戶名稱，列為下游應用代表。
  • 群創 3481 面板廠台股公司；列為Panel下游應用代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 緯創 3231 筆記型電腦、伺服器與電子產品代工台股公司；致新年報指出主要客戶包含筆記型電腦廠商，列為Computing/NB下游代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 廣達 2382 筆記型電腦與伺服器代工台股公司；列為Computing與Server應用下游代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 仁寶 2324 筆記型電腦代工台股公司；列為NB下游應用代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 和碩 4938 電子產品代工台股公司；列為Computing與消費電子下游應用代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 華碩 2357 PC、NB與消費電子品牌台股公司；列為終端應用代表，非公司公開確認客戶。
  • 宏碁 2353 PC與NB品牌台股公司；列為終端應用代表，非公司公開確認客戶。

Competitors

  • 德州儀器 TI，美國上市公司；年報列為電源管理IC、溫度偵測IC與運算放大器IC主要國外競爭對手。
  • 亞德諾半導體 ADI，美國上市公司；年報列為電源管理IC、溫度偵測IC與運算放大器IC主要國外競爭對手。
  • 瑞薩電子 Renesas，日本上市公司；年報列為電源管理IC主要國外競爭對手。
  • Monolithic Power Systems MPS，美國上市公司；年報列為電源管理IC主要國外競爭對手。
  • 矽力-KY 6415 年報列為電源管理IC主要國外／中國同業競爭對手；台股上市櫃公司代號6415。
  • 立錡科技 年報列為國內電源管理IC主要競爭對手；已併入聯發科體系，非獨立台股掛牌公司。
  • 茂達 6138 年報列為國內電源管理IC與運算放大器IC主要競爭對手。
  • 新唐 4919 年報列為國內溫度偵測IC主要競爭對手。
  • 通嘉 3588 台股電源管理IC設計同業；非年報競爭者表列公司，列為產業可比公司。
  • 力智 6719 台股電源管理IC設計同業；非年報競爭者表列公司，列為產業可比公司。
Sources（10）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.