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3033

威健 Electronics Distribution As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 威健 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 58Quality 65Growth 72Momentum 79Chips 71

Is 威健 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 39th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 6.8%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 41th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 91th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.4% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 27.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.93
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 摩根大通 holds 17,261 lots
  • sellers have 923 lots left, ~67 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +59% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 摩根大通 has accumulated 17,261 lots since the start (sold 4%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 港商野村 peaked at 2,469 lots, has sold 68%, 786 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +8.95pp, mid holders +14, retail -8.79pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -113 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
摩根大通美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀台灣摩根士丹利凱基-台北美林
Distributing
港商野村凱基-永華統一凱基-站前台灣企銀-台中元大-上新莊
Desks
own scale
凱基-台南群益金鼎兆豐-天母富邦-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 摩根大通 +17,261
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 美商高盛 +16,223
    sold 20%
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 +13,877
    sold 8%
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +13,081
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-台北 +7,120
    sold 16%
  • 美林 +6,002
    sold 12%

Distributing

  • 港商野村 786 left
    sold 68%· paused recently
  • 凱基-永華 1,087 left
    sold 46%· paused recently
  • 統一 522 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 凱基-站前 505 left
    sold 37%· paused recently
  • 台灣企銀-台中 236 left
    sold 60%· paused recently
  • 元大-上新莊 149 left
    sold 73%· ~5 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基-台南 -9,730
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎 -8,961
    unclassified
  • 兆豐-天母 -8,122
    unclassified
  • 富邦-台北 -4,477
    unclassified
Still selling 923 lots ~67 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +9,016 absorbed / -922 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 27.8%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

75 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 64.7%, Sample 68, Median +1.42%, Excess +0.55%, Beat mkt rate 48.5%；60-day: Win 75%, Sample 68, Median +5.28%, Excess +0.95%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 70.1%, Sample 67, Median +9.01%, Excess +0.73%, Beat mkt rate 56.7%

120 days after: historical avg +10.2%

20-day +2.16%
60-day +6.15%
120-day +10.2%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.7%
75%
70.1%
Sample
68
68
67
Median
+1.42%
+5.28%
+9.01%
Excess
+0.55%
+0.95%
+0.73%
Beat mkt rate
48.5%
50%
56.7%

Over 67 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.2%, beat the market by 0.73 pts; win rate 70.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 512+11.6% +10.3% 81.2% -0.1%
20-40 238+10.6% +4.6% 60.5% +6.5%
40-60 318+6.1% +2.4% 62.9% -6.8%
60-80 591+13.7% +0.9% 52.8% -6.6%
80-100 You are here1369+16.5% +14% 68.4% -3%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 18.59, at the 91.3th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+8.5%
Win rate 61.8% Excess +7.6%
466d
+6.2%
Win rate 48.7% Excess -0.7%
298d
Now
+7.5%
Win rate 65.4% Excess -2.2%
1166d
60-day momentum down
+4.7%
Win rate 74.9% Excess +0.1%
223d
+3.1%
Win rate 57.6% Excess -8.1%
271d
+7.4%
Win rate 66.7% Excess -4.8%
724d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1166 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.5%, win rate 65.4%, lagged the market by 2.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

36 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.48%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +2.41 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

75 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.67%, win rate 60.8%, beating the market by +0.02 pts on average.

What does 威健 do? Company profile

電子通路業；半導體零組件與電腦周邊設備代理經銷 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

3033 對應證券為威健實業股份有限公司普通股，股票於台灣證券交易所上市。公司成立於 1977 年 1 月，最初資本額新台幣 50 萬元，主要經銷代理半導體電子零組件、資訊通路產品並提供技術服務；2000 年 10 月於櫃買中心掛牌，2002 年 8 月轉上市於台灣證券交易所。總部位於台北市內湖區內湖路一段 308 號 11 樓。董事長為胡秋江，總經理為紀廷芳。實收資本額約新台幣 48 億元等級。114 年報揭露 2025 年合併營收新台幣 1,087.16 億元、年增 21.23%，稅前淨利新台幣 12.07 億元、年減 18.30%，稅後淨利新台幣 8.64 億元，基本每股稅後盈餘 1.81 元；營收創新高但獲利受新台幣急升造成毛利下降及財務成本影響。員工人數 2025 年底 1,278 人，2026 年第 1 季底 1,306 人。公司網站 2026-04-20 前十大股東含威記投資股份有限公司 6.21%、胡秋江約 1.83% 加配偶持股 0.10%、劉英達 1.33%、張錦豪 1.06%、外資保管專戶、羅一國際、博賀投資、紀廷芳等。

Business

威健是半導體零組件中游通路商，主要業務為電子零組件、電腦周邊設備之代理經銷、技術服務及進出口，114 年報明示營業比重約 100% 為代理電子零組件暨周邊設備銷售。營運區域以大中華區（台灣、香港、中國）及東南亞（新加坡、菲律賓、馬來西亞、泰國、越南、印尼）為主，並隨客戶供應鏈重組支援美國、墨西哥等地。2025 年銷售地區以中國為主，台灣與其他國家為輔。產品依特性分為晶片組／特殊應用標準 IC、混合訊號及分散式元件；市場資料顯示 2025 年晶片組及記憶體元件約 51.67%、混合式及其他元件約 48.33%，但年報本身未完整列出產品別營收表。代理品牌涵蓋 AMD、Amazing、GSD、Infineon（含 Cypress）、Lattice、Microchip、Molex、NXP、Sitronix、Sinopower、Vishay、Western Digital 等。商業模式為取得原廠代理／再銷售權，提供庫存、物流、信用、設計導入、FAE/AE 技術支援及供應鏈管理，協助上游原廠面對大量客戶，也協助下游 ODM/OEM/OBM 客戶縮短研發與上市時程。終端應用涵蓋 AI 伺服器、資料中心、伺服器電源 CRPS/MCRPS、AI PC、5G CPE/O-RAN/Small Cell、Edge AI/AIoT、WiFi 6/7、車用電子、電動車與充電樁、工業控制、Type-C PD、記憶體、BBU、BMS、無人機與機器人等。2026 年 5 月合併營收 116.96 億元，2026 年 1-5 月累計 539.59 億元，年增 20.27%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 年已實現營收創高，主因 AI 與 AIDC 建置需求帶動伺服器處理平台、資料中心、儲存及高功率電源相關應用出貨成長，工業、車用及儲能需求逐步回溫；但匯率急升、毛利壓力與財務成本使獲利下滑。2026 年公司年報展望指出半導體產業仍持續成長，中長期看好車用、AI 晶片、伺服器、綠色能源與儲能，威健策略是穩健營運、風險控管、調整跨國運籌、加強技術支援、擴展代理產品組合並因應客戶雙基地／多區域生產。2026 年前 5 月營收仍年增約 20%，顯示 AI 與資料中心供應鏈需求延續。2027-2028 年屬研究推估：若雲端 AI、Edge AI、AI PC/AI 手機、車用電子、電源效率、SiC/GaN 功率元件、HBM/儲存及資料中心建置維持成長，威健可受惠於 AMD、Sandisk/Western Digital、Infineon 等產品線與技嘉、技鋼主機板／伺服器解決方案導入，從晶片、記憶體、主板到電源提供較完整供應服務。主要風險包括：IC 通路非獨家代理、同業價格競爭、代理權變動、庫存跌價、客戶需求集中在 AI/資料中心而成熟終端復甦不均、匯率與利率、營運資金壓力、供應商與客戶全球在地化遷移、美中貿易戰、關稅、出口管制及高科技貨品法規遵循。

Supply Chain

Upstream
Downstream
  • ODM/OEM/OBM 電子產品製造商客戶群 年報說明下游客戶主要為電腦、通訊、消費性、工業、車用等電子產品製造商；個別客戶因未達銷貨 10% 或合約保密未揭露。
  • AI 伺服器與資料中心客戶群 終端應用包括 AI 伺服器、AIDC、資料中心、伺服器處理平台、儲存、高功率電源、BBU、CRPS/MCRPS 等。
  • 車用電子與電動車供應鏈客戶群 應用包括 BMS、OBC、ADAS、汽車雷達、TPMS、IVI、T-Box、VCU、馬達控制、充電樁等。
  • 工業控制與綠能／儲能客戶群 應用包括 IPC、UPS、AMR、CDU、智能電網、太陽能逆變器、風力發電、儲能與高效率電源管理。
  • 網通與 5G 客戶群 應用包括 Ethernet switch、Gateway/WiFi AP router、xDSL、GPON/EPON、Cable modem、4G/5G 基地台、CPE、O-RAN、Small Cell。

Competitors

Sources（11）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.