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3086

華義* Cultural & Creative As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 華義* to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 5Quality 7Growth 86Momentum 81Chips 3

Is 華義* a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 8th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -5.3%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 99th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -9.7% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 57.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.83
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 國泰-敦南 holds 501 lots
  • sellers have 237 lots left, ~22 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -84% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰-敦南 has accumulated 501 lots since the start (sold 3%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 永豐金-台中 peaked at 350 lots, has sold 63%, 129 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +7.83pp, mid holders +20, retail -8.90pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,046 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰-敦南國泰-台中台新-台中凱基-彰化臺銀-高雄台新-五權西
Distributing
永豐金-台中福邦證券合庫-高雄台中銀-員林台中銀元大-太平
Desks
own scale
台灣摩根士丹利新加坡商瑞銀凱基-台北台新-西松
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰-敦南 +501
    sold 3%· still adding
  • 國泰-台中 +377
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-台中 +207
    sold 16%
  • 凱基-彰化 +204
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 臺銀-高雄 +198
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-五權西 +191
    sold 9%

Distributing

  • 永豐金-台中 129 left
    sold 63%· paused recently
  • 福邦證券 100 left
    sold 29%· paused recently
  • 合庫-高雄 26 left
    sold 78%· paused recently
  • 台中銀-員林 52 left
    sold 54%· ~21 sessions to clear
  • 台中銀 70 left
    sold 34%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 元大-太平 37 left
    sold 54%· ~15 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -1,853
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 -900
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 凱基-台北 -834
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 台新-西松 -548
    unclassified
Still selling 237 lots ~22 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +667 absorbed / -180 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -206 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 57.48%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

76 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 64, Median +0.16%, Excess +5.19%, Beat mkt rate 45.3%；60-day: Win 46.9%, Sample 64, Median -3.26%, Excess +16.68%, Beat mkt rate 39.1%；120-day: Win 47.6%, Sample 63, Median -0.98%, Excess +11.96%, Beat mkt rate 41.3%

120 days after: historical avg +16.14%

20-day +6.57%
60-day +20.74%
120-day +16.14%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
46.9%
47.6%
Sample
64
64
63
Median
+0.16%
-3.26%
-0.98%
Excess
+5.19%
+16.68%
+11.96%
Beat mkt rate
45.3%
39.1%
41.3%

Over 63 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.14%, beat the market by 11.96 pts; win rate 47.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 6Insufficient data
40-60 153-7% -3.2% 34% -2.1%
60-80 364+47.7% +12.9% 58% +30.7%
80-100 You are here214+78.1% +62.6% 94.4% +51.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 1010.0, at the 95.0th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
-23.9%
Win rate 8.6% Excess -13.9%
81d
+18%
Win rate 57.6% Excess +7.3%
323d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(0d)
+13.4%
Win rate 76.3% Excess +14.3%
156d
Now
+33.6%
Win rate 56.5% Excess +25.5%
285d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 285 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 33.6%, win rate 56.5%, beat the market by 25.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.69%, win rate 27.3%, beating the market by -1.46 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

34 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.91%, win rate 33.3%, beating the market by -8.56 pts on average.

What does 華義* do? Company profile

文化創意業／遊戲軟體與數位娛樂服務 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

華義國際數位娛樂股份有限公司，證券簡稱華義*，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，股票代號3086。公司成立於1993年8月12日，2004年3月29日上櫃，總公司位於台北市內湖區行愛路141巷39號6樓，另有台中分公司。董事長為網銀國際股份有限公司代表人施書凱，總經理為施書凱，發言人為財務長李俊德。主要業務登記為電腦軟硬體程式之設計買賣、遊戲軟體之代理銷售、電子資訊服務。2024年永續報告書揭露截至2024年12月31日實收資本額為259,724,290元、員工96人；2026年因面額變更作業，股票面額由每股10元改為1元，實收資本額為272,710,510元，流通在外股數由27,271,051股改為272,710,510股，新股自2026年4月20日起上櫃買賣，股票簡稱改為華義*。官方股權結構頁於2025年10月29日列示主要股東包括網銀國際股份有限公司8,380,087股、30.73%，Given Business Inc. 5,559,241股、20.39%，皇鑫投資有限公司4.99%，貝里斯商僑誼開發股份有限公司台灣分公司4.99%，凱基商業銀行受託保管帝綸國際開發有限公司投資專戶4.99%，凱基商業銀行受託保管興天科技有限公司投資專戶4.80%，聯邦商業銀行受託保管鉑鉅控股有限公司投資專戶4.40%。因2026年面額變更後股數放大10倍，持股比例較股數本身更具可比性。

Business

華義早期以日本單機遊戲中文化與代理發行起家，1997年成立研發部開始自研產品，1999年成立華義遊戲網並推出線上遊戲，曾代理或營運《石器時代》、《Special Force》、《81Keys》等產品。現階段公司定位為數位娛樂服務商，業務包括：一、代理營運，涵蓋遊戲營運規劃、發行、行銷推廣、社群管理、QA與客服服務，2024年持續代理《動物朋友3》，新增代理《妖界黃昏》，並結束《金色琴弦 星光交響樂團》營運；二、遊戲開發，專注自製遊戲企劃、國際IP洽談與營運合作；三、策略合作開發，與網銀國際及其子公司在美術設計、媒體營運、遊戲新創、金流服務等多領域合作；四、遊戲社群平台，營運「遊戲大亂鬥」，以娛樂、新聞、實況、社團等內容建立流量與會員，並為專案行銷導流；五、綜合性娛樂平台BanaBana，2024年5月試營運，提供遊戲館與漫畫館服務，2024年報告揭露會員約2萬人；六、美術設計代工，承接遊戲機台、人物、場景、介面、2D圖素、宣傳設計、動態影像、角色場景、圖示與特效製作。營收結構方面，官方揭露公司正從海外代理產品為核心，轉向平台、聯運、自研與投資模式；第三方產品營收資料顯示2024年上半年美術設計代工為主要收入來源，另有手機遊戲、廣告收入、電腦遊戲及其他項目。2024年合併營收約150,478千元，較2023年141,428千元成長約6.4%；但永續報告指出因公司轉型、平台維護與開發人事成本增加，整體留存經濟價值顯著下降。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以轉型成效與海外擴張為核心。成長動能包括：一、BanaBana綜合娛樂平台持續完善，從單純代理遊戲轉向聯運遊戲、漫畫、社群、行銷與客戶服務整合，有機會提升自有會員、流量與產品上架效率；二、遊戲大亂鬥社群平台可作為新遊戲導流與二次元商品、內容服務的入口；三、自研自製能力與美術自製團隊擴編，若能降低對外部開發商依賴，毛利與產品生命週期掌控度有機會改善；四、海外市場方面，2025年12月法說會與媒體報導指出公司取得三國題材SLG手遊東南亞六國代理權，涵蓋新加坡、馬來西亞、泰國、越南、菲律賓、印尼，預計2026年第2季投入營運；同時規劃海外線上博弈遊戲業務，初期目標印度與中南美洲，商業模式以B2B為主，可能透過自行研發、代理或授權增加產品項目；五、與母公司網銀國際在遊戲聯運、產品開發、金流通路系統及海外泛娛樂布局合作，可提供資源支援。主要風險包括：一、遊戲產業競爭激烈，代理產品生命週期短，新產品上線時程、留存率、付費率與行銷成本高度不確定；二、平台轉型與自研投入會推升人事與研發成本，短期可能壓抑獲利；三、海外博弈及跨境遊戲服務涉及各地法規、執照、金流、稅務與內容審查，若執照取得或合規進度延遲，營收貢獻可能低於預期；四、公司規模相較大型遊戲廠仍小，單一產品或少數合作案對營收波動影響較大；五、內容責任、資安、個資保護與防詐機制若發生重大事件，可能造成下架、罰款、訴訟與商譽損失。2027至2028年的具體財務目標或產品時程公開資料不足，僅能推估公司仍會沿著平台化、聯運、自研、美術服務及海外業務方向擴張。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 網銀國際股份有限公司 主要股東與策略合作方，持股約30.73%；與華義在遊戲聯運、產品開發、金流通路系統、海外泛娛樂與線上博弈市場布局等方面合作；為台灣未上市櫃公司。
  • Appirits Inc. 《動物朋友3》相關日本遊戲開發與授權來源之一；非台股掛牌公司，日本掛牌代號未填入台股stock_id。
  • Grams Inc. 《妖界黃昏》相關遊戲開發／授權來源之一；非台股掛牌公司。
  • KOEI TECMO Holdings Co., Ltd. 過往代理《金色琴弦 星光交響樂團》相關日本IP／遊戲來源；非台股掛牌公司，日本上市公司。
  • CyberAgent, Inc. 公司歷史沿革提及日系遊戲代理來源之一；非台股掛牌公司，日本上市公司。
  • 台灣網路認證股份有限公司 TWCA，BanaBana平台會員認證合作方，用於實名認證、防詐與未成年辨識；是否屬上市櫃普通股未確認，stock_id保守填null。
  • 雲端與伺服器、資安、金流及第三方支付服務商 提供遊戲平台營運所需的伺服器、資料庫、防火牆、防毒、交易安全、防詐及金流串接服務；公開資料未揭露完整供應商名單。
  • 外部遊戲開發商、IP授權方、美術與內容供應商 提供代理、聯運、自研合作、漫畫或二次元內容、角色素材與遊戲產品來源；公開資料未完整揭露名單。
Downstream
  • 台灣與海外遊戲玩家／消費者 直接使用公司代理遊戲、自研遊戲、BanaBana平台、遊戲大亂鬥社群與線上娛樂服務；非企業客戶。
  • BanaBana平台會員 公司綜合娛樂平台使用者，2024年永續報告揭露試營運後會員約2萬人；非台股掛牌公司。
  • 遊戲大亂鬥社群使用者與廣告／導流合作對象 遊戲社群內容、實況、新聞、社團互動與專案行銷導流的下游流量來源及商業化對象；未揭露具名客戶。
  • 東南亞六國遊戲市場 三國題材SLG手遊代理權預計2026年第2季投入營運，範圍涵蓋新加坡、馬來西亞、泰國、越南、菲律賓、印尼；屬海外區域市場。
  • 印度與中南美洲B2B線上博弈客戶或合作平台 公司規劃海外博弈執照與B2B業務，可能透過研發、代理、授權推動；截至as_of公開資料未揭露具名客戶或已實現營收。
  • 美術設計代工客戶 公司承接遊戲機台、人物、場景、介面、2D／3D與特效等美術代工，公開資料未揭露具名客戶；可能涵蓋遊戲研發商、機台業者或集團內合作案。

Competitors

Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.