Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 5516 雙喜. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=5516

No install, open FinLab Studio

5516

雙喜 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 雙喜 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 62Quality 74Growth 92Momentum 9Chips 49

Is 雙喜 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 58th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 6.2%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 4th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 40th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 93.7%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.28
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 元大-基隆孝二 holds 537 lots
  • sellers have 91 lots left, ~12 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -33% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-基隆孝二 has accumulated 537 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 兆豐-桃園 peaked at 117 lots, has sold 44%, 65 left, ~12 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -2.18pp, mid holders -1, retail +1.48pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -254 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-基隆孝二第一金-新竹華南永昌-中正凱基-市政兆豐-新竹統一-新台中
Distributing
兆豐-桃園台灣企銀凱基-新豐元大-竹科凱基-台北富邦-台南
Desks
own scale
華南永昌-世貿國泰-敦南新光-新竹新光-高雄
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-基隆孝二 +537
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 第一金-新竹 +229
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-中正 +124
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 凱基-市政 +118
    sold 0%
  • 兆豐-新竹 +65
    sold 0%
  • 統一-新台中 +63
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 兆豐-桃園 65 left
    sold 44%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 台灣企銀 51 left
    sold 30%· paused recently
  • 凱基-新豐 20 left
    sold 72%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 元大-竹科 29 left
    sold 28%· paused recently
  • 凱基-台北 20 left
    sold 43%· paused recently
  • 富邦-台南 22 left
    sold 33%· paused recently

Desks

  • 華南永昌-世貿 -632
    unclassified
  • 國泰-敦南 -254
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 新光-新竹 -239
    unclassified
  • 新光-高雄 -219
    unclassified
Still selling 91 lots ~13 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +518 absorbed / -100 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 93.66%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

111 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 55%, Sample 100, Median +0.34%, Excess +0.9%, Beat mkt rate 45%；60-day: Win 52.5%, Sample 99, Median +1.52%, Excess -0.34%, Beat mkt rate 46.5%；120-day: Win 59.4%, Sample 96, Median +5.16%, Excess +2.35%, Beat mkt rate 45.8%

120 days after: historical avg +9.75%

20-day +1.83%
60-day +4.14%
120-day +9.75%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55%
52.5%
59.4%
Sample
100
99
96
Median
+0.34%
+1.52%
+5.16%
Excess
+0.9%
-0.34%
+2.35%
Beat mkt rate
45%
46.5%
45.8%

Over 96 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.75%, beat the market by 2.35 pts; win rate 59.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 284+37.4% +38% 97.9% +43.4%
20-40 488+22.1% +2.4% 57.8% -18%
40-60 You are here217-2.5% -3.2% 41% -45%
60-80 252+1.5% -0.5% 48.8% -33.3%
80-100 250+19% +23.4% 75.2% -4.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 8.14, at the 40.3th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+18.7%
Win rate 79.5% Excess +16.6%
484d
-6.1%
Win rate 42.3% Excess -47.5%
246d
+1.4%
Win rate 57.5% Excess -10.1%
221d
60-day momentum down
+14.5%
Win rate 76.6% Excess +10%
188d
Now
+0.7%
Win rate 46.6% Excess -22.9%
322d
+8.9%
Win rate 91.7% Excess -7.8%
60d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 322 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 0.7%, win rate 46.6%, lagged the market by 22.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.63%, win rate 48%, beating the market by -0.95 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.45%, win rate 85.7%, beating the market by +5.28 pts on average.

What does 雙喜 do? Company profile

建材營建／營造業／建築工程業 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

5516 對應證券為雙喜，為上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN、權證或特別股。公司中文全名為雙喜營造股份有限公司，英文名 SUN-SEA CONSTRUCTION CORPORATION，統一編號 47254476，總部位於新竹市民族路186號，電話 03-5348168。公司官網揭露其創業源於民國45年，即1956年；公開資訊與第三方股市資料則列示現行股份有限公司成立日為1982/01/14，因此本研究區分為品牌／事業源起1956年、股份公司登記成立1982年。股票於1999/03/23上櫃。董事長為邱宏章，總經理為邱宏章，發言人為鄒慶琦。實收股本約515,452,230元，已發行普通股約51,545,223股。104人力銀行頁面揭露員工人數105人。公司官網115/04/19主要股東名單顯示主要股東包括邱宏章13,541,321股、26.27%；雙慶投資股份有限公司8,892,868股、17.25%；雙勝投資股份有限公司2,527,695股、4.90%；邱政章1,886,190股、3.66%；黃懋棟1,827,470股、3.55%；謝紹勇1,315,129股、2.55%；范君辛1,268,445股、2.46%；魏志中1,041,000股、2.02%；邱毓威863,221股、1.67%；邱毓珈766,440股、1.49%。公司治理頁面顯示第15屆董事任期為2025/06/13至2028/06/12，董事會6席、其中4席獨立董事。2026年第1季公告營收568,569千元、營業利益49,733千元、歸屬母公司淨利28,389千元、EPS 0.55元；2026年5月合併營收260,371千元、年增93.67%，2026年1至5月累計營收約9.44億元、年增40.96%。

Business

雙喜為綜合營造公司，商業模式以承攬公共工程、建築工程、土木工程、統包工程與營建管理為主，依工程進度、合約條件與驗收估驗認列工程收入。官網服務項目列示：建築工程包括商業大樓、停車場、學校、科技廠房、飯店、住宅；土木工程包括道路、橋樑、隧道等相關工程；另提供統包規劃、設計、營建管理，以及都市更新申辦、諮詢、整合、規劃、合建、委建。MoneyDJ 彙整公司年報資料指出，2024年營收比重為建築工程17%、土木工程34%、統包及其他工程49%；玉山證券頁面則列示2025年營收比重為營建工程100%。主要原物料與工程投入包括鋼材、鋼筋、鋼構、混凝土、水泥、砂石、瀝青、機電與水電材料，以及各式營造分包勞務。主要工程與客戶／業主包括政府公共工程、社會住宅、學校與公共建築、科學園區基礎設施、金融機構與民間建築案。官網在建工程包含彰化銀行建成大樓興建工程、新竹市東區建功安居社會住宅新建統包工程、新竹科學園區寶山用地第2期擴建污水處理廠工程、新竹市北區中雅安居社會住宅新建統包工程、新竹縣立總圖書館新建工程、桃園航空城計畫區段徵收工程A3分標統包工程、廣慈博愛園區公共住宅第C標統包工程等。國家住都中心資料顯示建功安居由雙喜營造與金光裕建築師事務所統包團隊承作，規劃743戶社會住宅；中雅安居由同團隊得標，規劃約640戶且採預鑄工法以降低缺工缺料影響。完工實績涵蓋台北表演藝術中心外牆帷幕接續工程、土城案公園地下停車場、雲林高鐵站特定區工程、基隆港聯外道路橋梁、學校建築、郵局建築、台積電廠房新建工程等。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以公共工程、社會住宅、都市更新、科學園區與基礎設施工程為主要觀察軸。成長動能方面，雙喜已承攬或參與多個跨年度工程，包含新竹中雅安居、建功安居、廣慈社宅、科學園區污水處理廠、桃園航空城區段徵收及公共建築工程，這些案件通常隨工程進度於未來數年分期認列收入，短期營收會受估驗節點明顯波動。2026年1至5月累計營收年增40.96%，第1季轉為獲利，顯示既有工程認列已有改善跡象，但單季及單月波動仍高。產業趨勢方面，政府持續推動社會住宅、公共建設、都市更新與科學園區擴建，有利具公共工程履歷、統包與營建管理能力的中大型營造廠；社宅案導入預鑄工法、BIM、統包整合與耐震／節能設計，也可能推動營造公司升級工法與專案管理能力。2028年前的具體案件中，建功安居媒體與政府資料指出預計2028年完工，若進度順利，將支撐2026至2028工程量。挑戰與風險包括：營造缺工、工期展延、鋼筋水泥砂石混凝土等工料價格波動、公共工程變更設計與追加減、承攬毛利偏低、驗收與估驗時點造成營收及獲利波動、利率與信用管制影響民間建築需求、工安與品質責任、保固與履約保證壓力。公司規模相對大型同業小，資本額與人力規模有限，因此承接大型工程雖有助營收，但亦提高營運資金、分包管理與集中案源風險。2025至2028年較合理的研究假設是：營收主軸仍為營建工程100%，成長取決於公共工程進度與新標案取得；毛利率能否改善取決於合約價格調整、變更設計補償、工料成本控制與缺工緩解。上述展望為依公開工程、社宅政策與產業趨勢推估，非公司正式財測。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 中國鋼鐵 2002 營造工程鋼材、鋼筋、鋼構之上游代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 豐興鋼鐵 2015 鋼筋與型鋼等營建鋼材上游代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 台灣水泥 1101 水泥、預拌混凝土供應鏈上游代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 亞洲水泥 1102 水泥供應鏈上游代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 國產建材實業 2504 預拌混凝土與建材供應鏈代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 幸福水泥 1108 水泥與營建材料上游代表廠商；未確認為雙喜直接供應商。
  • 金光裕建築師事務所 未上市建築師事務所；與雙喜組成新竹中雅安居、建功安居等社宅統包團隊，屬設計端合作夥伴。
Downstream
  • 國家住宅及都市更新中心 政府法人／非上市；新竹中雅安居、建功安居等社會住宅統包工程業主或主辦單位。
  • 臺北市政府都市發展局 政府機關／非上市；廣慈社會住宅相關工程與後續服務案之業主或主辦機關。
  • 國家科學及技術委員會新竹科學園區管理局 政府機關／非上市；新竹科學園區寶山用地第2期擴建污水處理廠工程之業主或主辦機關。
  • 彰化商業銀行 2801 金融上市公司；雙喜官網列示彰化銀行建成大樓興建工程為在建工程。
  • 台灣積體電路製造 2330 上市半導體公司；雙喜官網完工實績列示台灣積體電路公司廠房新建工程，屬歷史客戶／終端業主。
  • 新竹縣政府文化局 政府機關／非上市；新竹縣立總圖書館新建工程相關業主或主辦單位。

Competitors

Sources（23）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.