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3162

精確 Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal

Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 精確 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 精確 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 25th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.2%.
Valuation is high.PE is in the 86th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 68th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.1% of volume (net buy).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 21.9%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.69

BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
元大-館前 holds 3,668 lots
sellers have 3,132 lots left, ~100 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +40% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 元大-館前 has accumulated 3,668 lots since the start (sold 3%), holding.
Main distributor 國票-敦北法人 peaked at 4,242 lots, has sold 53%, 2,014 left, ~100 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +7.74pp, mid holders +2, retail -4.93pp — concentration shifting upward.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,541 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

元大-館前元大-新莊玉山-新莊玉山-士林(牛牛牛)亞證券元富-世貿

Distributing

國票-敦北法人凱基-台北台灣摩根士丹利永豐金證券台新-松江永豐金-竹科

Desks

own scale

台新富邦-仁愛台新-九如摩根大通

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

元大-館前 +3,668

sold 3%
元大-新莊 +2,148

sold 1%
玉山-新莊 +1,613

sold 0%· still adding
玉山-士林 +1,172

sold 0%· still adding
(牛牛牛)亞證券 +1,140

sold 0%
元富-世貿 +1,092

sold 0%

Distributing

國票-敦北法人 2,014 left

sold 53%· ~100 sessions to clear
凱基-台北 1,615 left

sold 44%· paused recently
台灣摩根士丹利 471 left

sold 72%· paused recently
永豐金證券 109 left

sold 88%· paused recently
台新-松江 331 left

sold 61%· paused recently
永豐金-竹科 94 left

sold 88%· ~7 sessions to clear

Desks

台新 -1,624

unclassified
富邦-仁愛 -1,076

unclassified
台新-九如 -639

unclassified
摩根大通 -515

hedge desk · will cover

Still selling 3,132 lots ~100 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +1,448 absorbed / -920 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -1,472 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 21.85%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

99 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)

120 days after: historical avg +3.85%

20-day +1.73%

60-day +2.79%

120-day +3.85%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

50%

48.2%

46.4%

Sample

Median

-0.11%

-1.85%

-0.28%

Excess

+1.13%

+0.13%

-2.82%

Beat mkt rate

45.3%

45.9%

42.9%

Over 84 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.85%, lagged the market by 2.82 pts; win rate 46.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 Insufficient data

20-40 +52.9%

40-60 +10.7%

60-80 +49.1% Now

80-100 Insufficient data

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	19	Insufficient data
20-40	50	+52.9%	+50.2%	100%	-0.4%
40-60	306	+10.7%	-4.1%	41.2%	-21.7%
60-80 You are here	252	+49.1%	+9.2%	58.3%	-14.2%
80-100	12	Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 81.54, at the 68.5th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+24.3%

Win rate 89.8% Excess -14.1%

98d

-2.4%

Win rate 31.5% Excess -7.9%

111d

Now

-0.9%

Win rate 48.2% Excess -20.4%

114d

60-day momentum down

+37.2%

Win rate 100% Excess +1.7%

57d

+9.6%

Win rate 60.9% Excess -0.2%

281d

+143.4%

Win rate 89.8% Excess +18.4%

98d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 114 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0.9%, win rate 48.2%, lagged the market by 20.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.83%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by +0.46 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.3%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -1.64 pts on average.

What does 精確 do? Company profile

電機機械／汽車零組件／鋁合金材料與電動車電池盒上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

3162 對應證券為精確實業股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN、特別股、權證或 REIT。公司成立於 1991 年 11 月 25 日，公開發行日為 2001 年 7 月 18 日，興櫃日為 2003 年 6 月 13 日，上櫃日為 2005 年 10 月 3 日。總部登記地址為桃園市新屋區社子里二鄰中興路 938 號。董事長為胡白莎，年報揭露公司未委任總經理，董事長代為管理；公開股市資料亦列董事長及總經理為胡白莎。英文簡稱 UAT，英文名稱 United Alloy-Tech Company。公司主要經營鎔煉、鑄造、擠型、鍛造、CNC 精密加工及裝配等生產製造，產品涵蓋汽車零配件、電工零配件、機車零配件、自行車零配件及電腦零配件。資本額依 2026 年公開股市資料約新台幣 13.34 億元，已發行普通股約 133,441,112 股；年報中 2025 年 4 月 13 日主要股東名單顯示 CHEERPLAN (HK) LIMITED 持有 47,217,611 股、持股 36.20%，玉山銀行受託保管致景發展有限公司投資專戶持股 5.84%，且 CHEERPLAN 上層股東包含由 MINTH GROUP LIMITED 全資持有的 Cheerplan Holdings Limited，因此精確屬敏實集團關係企業。年報揭露員工人數：2023 年 732 人、2024 年 919 人、2025 年截至 3 月 31 日止 1,111 人。

Business

精確原以鋁合金鍛造、鍛模、設計與製造起家，2017 年敏實集團入主後，營運重心逐步轉向汽車零組件與新能源車鋁合金結構件。2024 年年報揭露主要業務為鋁合金材料（含電動車電池盒壓鑄）之製造及銷售；2024 年營收結構為鋁合金材料（含電動車電池盒壓鑄）新台幣 42.206 億元、占 90.72%，泡棉膠帶新台幣 4.320 億元、占 9.28%，合計營收新台幣 46.526 億元。主要產品包括新能源汽車電池盒、儲能盒、電控箱、電機殼、高精度汽車天窗導軌、汽車車身結構件、新能源汽車電池電控電驅結構件、高強度防鏽防腐輕量化鋁合金材料、汽車內外飾用泡棉、保護膜、膠帶等隔音減震粘結材料，以及按客戶需求客製化之高強度鋁合金擠出型材。商業模式以 B2B 客製化開發與量產供貨為主，透過同步設計、材料研發、壓鑄、擠型、鍛造、CNC、表面處理與裝配能力切入車廠、電池廠與敏實集團關係企業供應鏈。年報揭露 2024 年主要銷貨客戶包含關係人 Minth CZ、嘉興敏惠、浙江敏能與代號化客戶 K；新聞與法說資料顯示其電池盒及壓鑄訂單客戶或終端車廠包含吉利、小鵬、福斯、比亞迪、長城、一汽、東風、廣汽、日產、中創新航、寧德時代、億緯鋰能、蜂巢能源、BMW、BENZ 等，但部分為新聞或投資研究整理，非全數可由年報逐名驗證。終端應用以中國與歐洲新能源車電池盒、儲能盒、汽車結構件、天窗導軌、車用泡棉保護膜與鋁擠型材為核心，並延伸至 AI 液冷散熱、半導體設備零組件及機器人結構／模組新事業。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望以新能源車電池盒放量、全球化產能布局、新材料與新事業為主軸。2024 年年報對 2025 年（民國 114 年）營運計畫指出，公司將把握新能源汽車高速發展機會，以電池盒與結構件為核心，擴大營業規模；深化與比亞迪、寧德時代合作，推動中創新航、長安汽車、東風日產等客戶量產；核心客戶聚焦億緯鋰能、小鵬，潛力客戶拓展吉利、長安、東風日產，歐洲壓鑄件市場則持續取得主流車廠認證。年報目標包含中國新能源電池箱市場份額提升至 5%-6%、海外市場收入占比提升至 25%-30%、設立北美據點、擴建 5 條柔性自動化產線、年產能提升至 80 萬套、建立關鍵材料 1+2 供應商體系、開發再生鋁閉環供應鏈。2025 年以後的成長動能包括：一、電池盒及儲能盒需求受新能源車滲透率提升、CTP/CTC、輕量化與熱管理升級帶動；二、免熱處理壓鑄鋁合金、超高韌性壓鑄鋁合金、7 系特種鋁合金、高真空與超低速壓鑄、一體化大型壓鑄、底部集成水冷電池盒等技術導入；三、湖北、廣州、嘉興、塞爾維亞等基地就近服務中國與歐洲客戶，並評估北美布局；四、2026 年法說資料顯示汽車事業訂單能見度約新台幣 97.1 億元，分布於嘉興、廣州、湖北、歐洲廠，並列示 2027、2028、2029、2030 長期欄位但未揭露逐年金額；五、AI 液冷散熱產品送樣驗證，產能規劃包含 CDM、浸沒式機櫃、CDU、BBU、Cold Plate，法說揭露有 5 間客戶、23 個案子驗證中；六、半導體設備零組件計畫切入 OHT 與軌道、設備機台模組部件 OEM、PVD/ALD/Lamp Cooling 腔體及精密零組件，法說揭露 2026 年 OHT 500 台以上、軌道 20 公里訂單能見度；七、機器人方向與敏實、精確、盟立等資源合作，布局 B2B 工業與服務場域、B2C 租賃、整機代理、結構件與外飾件研發生產、關鍵零組件與代工。主要風險包括中國新能源車價格競爭與客戶議價、鋁錠與鋁棒等原料價格波動、匯率與關稅、歐盟新電池法與 REACH 等法規、歐洲電動車成長放緩、產能擴張折舊與利用率風險、主要客戶或敏實關係人銷售集中、AI 液冷與半導體新事業認證不確定性、技術路線變化如固態電池或 4680 大圓柱電池對電池盒設計的影響。2027-2028 具體財務數字未見公司逐年正式指引，僅能依長單交貨、新產線與新事業驗證進度推估營運仍偏成長，但不確定性高。

Supply Chain

Upstream

Cauvin Metals S.r.l 年報列為鋁錠主要供應商，供應狀況良好；非台股上市櫃公司。
山東創新工貿有限公司年報列為鋁棒主要供應商，供應狀況良好；中國未上市或非台股掛牌公司。
慈溪市宜美佳鋁業有限公司年報列為鋁型材主要供應商，供應狀況良好；中國未上市或非台股掛牌公司。
敏實集團香港上市公司 0425.HK，為精確重要關係企業與資源平台，上層股權與 CHEERPLAN 關聯明確；非台股掛牌。
鋁錠、鋁棒、鋁型材經銷商與再生鋁供應鏈年報說明鋁為最大耗用原料，向多家經銷商購進，且規劃關鍵材料 1 家主供加 2 家備份；具體多數供應商未逐名揭露。

Downstream

Minth CZ 年報列示 2024 年第一大銷貨客戶，銷貨新台幣 8.531 億元、占 18.34%，為關係人；非台股掛牌。
嘉興敏惠年報列為主要銷貨客戶之一，2024 年銷貨占比約 3.19%，屬敏實體系關係企業；非台股掛牌。
浙江敏能年報列為主要銷貨客戶之一，2024 年銷貨新台幣 2.586 億元、占 5.56%，為關係人；非台股掛牌。
比亞迪新聞與公司說法指 2024 年第四季起陸續取得比亞迪等車廠訂單；香港及中國上市，非台股掛牌。
小鵬汽車公司年報及新聞提及為核心或既有高產值客戶之一，終端應用為新能源車電池盒；美國與香港上市，非台股掛牌。
長城汽車新聞揭露為 2024 年第四季起取得訂單之車廠之一；香港及中國上市，非台股掛牌。
一汽、東風、廣汽、日產、福斯、吉利、長安汽車新聞、年報或法說資料提及為訂單、潛力客戶、量產客戶或終端車廠；多為中國、日本或歐洲車企，非台股掛牌。
寧德時代、中創新航、億緯鋰能、蜂巢能源新聞與年報提及為合作、量產或供應鏈切入之電池廠客戶；中國或香港上市／未上市公司，非台股掛牌。

Competitors

華孚 6235 台股上市公司，鎂鋁合金與車用輕量化金屬機構件業者，屬車用鋁鎂合金與壓鑄概念同業。
鴻準 2354 台股上市公司，具金屬機構件與壓鑄製造能力，部分研究將其列為車用鋁合金／一體化壓鑄概念競爭或比較對象。
東陽 1319 台股上市汽車零組件公司，StockFeel 將其列為精確汽車組件同業競爭對手之一；產品線與精確不完全相同。
利奇 1517 台股上市自行車零組件公司，MoneyDJ 將其列為精確自行車零件時期競爭對手之一；與精確現今新能源車電池盒主業重疊有限。
巨大 9921 台股上市自行車整車及零組件相關公司，MoneyDJ 列為自行車零件競爭或下游相關公司之一；與精確現今汽車件主業重疊有限。
明安 8938 台股上櫃公司，複合材料及運動休閒相關製造，MoneyDJ 列為自行車零件競爭對手之一；與精確現今主業重疊有限。
美利達 9914 台股上市自行車公司，MoneyDJ 列為自行車零件競爭或相關業者；與精確現今新能源車電池盒主業重疊有限。
寧波拓普集團中國上市汽車零組件公司，市場研究列為新能源車鋁合金／電池盒與車身結構件競爭者；非台股掛牌。
廣東和勝工業鋁材中國上市或中國資本市場公司，市場研究列為電池盒／鋁合金材料競爭者；非台股掛牌。
華域汽車中國上市大型汽車零組件公司，具電池殼與鋁合金鑄造能力；非台股掛牌。
Araya Industrial、Shimano MoneyDJ 列為自行車零件國際競爭廠商；日本或海外公司，非台股掛牌，且與精確現今電池盒主業重疊有限。

Sources（16）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.