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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 8163 達方. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=8163

8163

達方 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

2 active signals
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 達方 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 42Quality 29Growth 60Momentum 79Chips 85

Is 達方 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 31th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.3%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 87th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 7.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Foreign net buying 5 straight days are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.67
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 美商高盛 holds 4,629 lots
  • sellers have 653 lots left, ~28 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +38% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 美商高盛 has accumulated 4,629 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 956 lots, has sold 57%, 414 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +1.22pp, mid holders +8, retail -1.34pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -573 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利新加坡商瑞銀美林國票-博愛元大證券
Distributing
凱基-台北元大-和平國泰-敦南富邦-台北台新-高雄玉山-台中
Desks
own scale
兆豐證券香港上海匯豐永豐金-萬盛永豐金證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 美商高盛 +4,629
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +2,828
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 +1,723
    sold 14%· still adding
  • 美林 +1,619
    sold 7%· still adding
  • 國票-博愛 +399
    sold 11%· still adding
  • 元大證券 +358
    sold 9%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 414 left
    sold 57%· paused recently
  • 元大-和平 106 left
    sold 85%· ~2 sessions to clear
  • 國泰-敦南 56 left
    sold 86%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-台北 217 left
    sold 42%· paused recently
  • 台新-高雄 63 left
    sold 80%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-台中 51 left
    sold 80%· paused recently

Desks

  • 兆豐證券 -4,059
    unclassified
  • 香港上海匯豐 -719
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 永豐金-萬盛 -717
    unclassified
  • 永豐金證券 -675
    unclassified
Still selling 653 lots ~28 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +10,091 absorbed / -1,746 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -527 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

22 historical occurrences (since 2009-09-03)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 52.4%, Sample 21, Median +0.44%, Excess -0.17%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%;60-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 21, Median -2.52%, Excess -4.26%, Beat mkt rate 19%;120-day: Win 52.4%, Sample 21, Median +1.58%, Excess +3.2%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120 days after: historical avg +11.36%

20-day +1.96%
60-day +0.4%
120-day +11.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.4%
33.3%
52.4%
Sample
21
21
21
Median
+0.44%
-2.52%
+1.58%
Excess
-0.17%
-4.26%
+3.2%
Beat mkt rate
28.6%
19%
42.9%

Over 21 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.36%, beat the market by 3.2 pts; win rate 52.4%.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Active · now 5%

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

63 historical occurrences (since 2012-06-11)
Average forward return after Foreign net buying for 5 straight days。20-day: Win 61.3%, Sample 62, Median +2.93%, Excess +2.88%, Beat mkt rate 53.2%;60-day: Win 55.7%, Sample 61, Median +2.63%, Excess +3.66%, Beat mkt rate 52.5%;120-day: Win 59%, Sample 61, Median +3.13%, Excess +3.38%, Beat mkt rate 45.9%

120 days after: historical avg +9.62%

20-day +4.27%
60-day +6.32%
120-day +9.62%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
61.3%
55.7%
59%
Sample
62
61
61
Median
+2.93%
+2.63%
+3.13%
Excess
+2.88%
+3.66%
+3.38%
Beat mkt rate
53.2%
52.5%
45.9%

Over 61 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.62%, beat the market by 3.38 pts; win rate 59%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 883+16% +15.2% 68.5% -4.5%
20-40 1235+29.4% +22.5% 77.1% +15.4%
40-60 208+2% +7.9% 65.4% -12.5%
60-80 263-20.6% -25% 14.8% -58.6%
80-100 You are here309-6.3% -3.8% 39.8% -10.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 87.16, at the 94.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+12.6%
Win rate 67.1% Excess +5%
1053d
+12.6%
Win rate 67.3% Excess +3.2%
486d
Now
-18.4%
Win rate 0.6% Excess -27.4%
322d
60-day momentum down
+9.9%
Win rate 69.9% Excess +3.7%
724d
+4.2%
Win rate 50.3% Excess -7.6%
181d
-1.7%
Win rate 37.5% Excess -19.2%
251d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 322 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 18.4%, win rate 0.6%, lagged the market by 27.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Pending

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

48 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.91%, win rate 35.1%, beating the market by -4.52 pts on average.

What does 達方 do? Company profile

電腦週邊 上市(台灣證券交易所)

Overview

達方電子成立於1997年5月8日,總部位於桃園市龜山區山鶯路167-1號,統一編號16081507,為明基友達集團成員,2007年11月28日掛牌上市。董事長為蘇開建,總經理為蔡耀坤;截至公開資料,股本約新台幣28.00億元,已發行普通股280,000,001股。2024年底員工6,390人,2025年3月20日員工6,129人。主要股東(2025/3/31)包括佳世達科技20.72%、明基電通5.01%、台新國際商銀受託達方員工持股信託4.48%、兆豐國際商銀1.62%、蘇開建1.45%、詠業科技1.43%。2025年合併營收約新台幣250.81億元,年增15.47%;2026年1至5月累計營收約新台幣111.97億元,年增11.23%。

Business

達方主要從事電腦與智慧型手機週邊產品、通訊相關元件、顯示器重要元件、電源暨儲能產品、太陽能發電設備、電動輔助自行車及相關技術服務。產品可分為智能產品與綠能產品;2024年年報揭露智能產品營收新台幣153.12億元、占71%,綠能產品新台幣63.88億元、占29%。依公司2025年第4季法說會與媒體整理,2025年產品結構大致為IT週邊約50%、整合元件約15%、綠能約35%。IT週邊包括筆記型與桌上型電腦鍵盤、背光鍵盤、電競鍵盤滑鼠、可攜式鍵盤、觸控板、震動觸控板、指紋辨識模組等;整合元件包括MLCC、功率電感、耦合電感、共模電感、磁珠、網路變壓器、天線元件與模組等;綠能包括電源模組、充電器、鋰電池模組、儲能系統、E-Bike車架、E-Bike組裝、IoT模組、電控套件、智慧訓練台及自有品牌/通路相關業務。商業模式以ODM/OEM、關鍵零組件供應、自有品牌與歐洲通路整合並行;2024年內銷占21%、外銷占79%。年報指出達方與全球筆電前六大品牌關係密切,筆電鍵盤等週邊元件全球位居前三大,但主要銷貨客戶以甲公司、乙公司匿名揭露,2024年占比分別約11%、8%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的成長動能主要來自三條線:第一,AI PC、Windows 10終止支援、日本NEXT GIGA教育標案與商用換機潮帶動NB需求;年報引用DIGITIMES資料預估筆電出貨量由2024年174.5百萬台增至2028年207.9百萬台,有利背光鍵盤、觸控板、指紋模組、電競與高附加價值週邊。第二,被動元件在AI伺服器、車用、工業、機器人、5G與邊緣運算需求帶動下,MLCC與電感產能利用率有望恢復,公司將投入高階陶瓷粉末、金屬膏、高容高頻高可靠度產品。第三,綠能/E-Mobility隨歐美自行車與E-Bike庫存去化,2025下半年至2026年庫存水位可望正常化;公司透過世同、統達、太宇、達宇與德國GROFA等平台,往車架、電池組、電控、通路與售後服務垂直整合,並推動越南、歐洲等China+短鏈布局。2026年公司法說/媒體資訊顯示目標為營收與獲利雙成長,營收力拚雙位數成長,毛利率逐季改善;2026年第1季營收60.25億元、年增9.9%,毛利率約18%,顯示本業回穩。2027至2028的展望屬依產業趨勢推估:若AI PC滲透、E-Bike庫存回補與儲能/輕型載具需求延續,達方有機會受惠於高階鍵盤、整合元件與綠能垂直整合;風險包括美國關稅與地緣政治、匯率波動、PC/NB被AI伺服器排擠零組件供給、E-Bike復甦速度低於預期、歐洲通路整合與代工客戶信用風險、綠能事業一次性呆帳/呆料風險、同業價格競爭及中國中低階E-Bike廠商競爭。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 原物料供應商(年報未揭露個別名稱) 年報揭露無單一主要進貨供應商;電腦鍵盤主要材料為橡膠、鐵、鋁板、鍵帽等,背光/電源產品需鐵芯、線架、漆包銅線、高壓電容、電源晶片、印刷電路板等。
  • 陶瓷粉末、電極材料、合金粉、銅線供應鏈 整合元件/MLCC與電感上游材料;公司年報以材料類別揭露,未揭露個別供應商名稱。
  • 鋰電池芯、馬達、感測器、充電器與自行車零件供應鏈 E-Bike與綠能產品上游;包含車架及自行車零件、扭力/速度/轉速感測器、鋰電池芯、馬達及充電器,年報未揭露個別供應商。
  • 佳世達科技股份有限公司 2352 明基友達集團核心公司且為達方最大股東;非年報揭露之單一進貨供應商,但與集團資源、策略布局及董事席次相關。
Downstream
  • 全球前六大筆記型電腦品牌客戶 年報指出達方與全球筆電前六大品牌在產品開發上關係密切,但未揭露品牌名稱;主要應用為筆電鍵盤、背光鍵盤、觸控板、指紋模組等。
  • 甲公司 年報匿名揭露之主要銷貨客戶,2024年銷貨約新台幣24.63億元、占11%;未揭露是否上市或所在地。
  • 乙公司 年報匿名揭露之主要銷貨客戶,2024年銷貨約新台幣17.24億元、占8%;未揭露是否上市或所在地。
  • GROFA Action Sports GmbH 德國自行車與E-Mobility通路商,達方2024年策略投資/併購,用於建立歐洲E-Mobility通路平台;非台股掛牌。
  • 歐美、日本自行車與E-Bike品牌/通路 綠能與E-Bike下游市場,涵蓋E-Bike組裝、車架、電池組、IoT模組、售後服務與通路銷售;多數客戶未具名。

Competitors

  • 群光電子 2385 年報列為週邊暨精密產品競爭者,主要競爭筆電鍵盤、電源、影像與電腦週邊等。
  • 精元電腦 2387 年報列為週邊暨精密產品競爭者,主要競爭鍵盤與輸入裝置。
  • 光寶科技 2301 年報列為週邊暨精密產品競爭者,也與電源、光電與電子零組件相關。
  • 致伸科技 4915 年報列為週邊暨精密產品競爭者,主要競爭電腦週邊、聲學與影像產品。
  • 國巨 2327 年報列為整合元件競爭者,MLCC與被動元件大廠。
  • 華新科 2492 年報列為整合元件競爭者,MLCC、晶片電阻與被動元件供應商。
  • 禾伸堂 3026 年報列為整合元件競爭者,被動元件供應商。
  • 乾坤科技 2452 年報列為整合元件競爭者,電感與電源元件供應商。
  • 台慶科 3357 年報列為整合元件競爭者,電感與被動元件供應商。
  • 今展科 6432 年報列為整合元件競爭者,電感元件供應商。
  • 順絡電子 年報列為整合元件競爭者;中國深圳上市公司,非台股掛牌。
  • 台達電子 2308 年報列為綠能元件競爭者,電源、能源管理與自動化大廠。
  • 新普科技 6121 年報以新普/AES列為綠能元件競爭者,電池模組與電源解決方案供應商。
  • 加百裕 3323 年報列為綠能元件競爭者,電池模組與能源相關產品供應商。
  • Eaton飛瑞 年報列為綠能元件競爭者;Eaton為海外上市公司,飛瑞曾為台灣UPS品牌/公司,非以同名台股掛牌。
  • MAHLE 年報列為綠能元件競爭者;德國汽車零組件與E-Bike系統業者,非台股掛牌。
  • HYENA 年報列為綠能元件競爭者;E-Bike系統業者,非台股掛牌。
  • COMODULE 年報列為綠能元件競爭者;歐洲E-Mobility IoT/連網解決方案業者,非台股掛牌。
  • 巨大機械 9921 年報列為E-Bike競爭者,全球自行車與E-Bike品牌/代工大廠。
  • 美利達工業 9914 年報列為E-Bike競爭者,台灣自行車與E-Bike品牌/製造商。
  • 愛地雅工業 8933 年報列為E-Bike競爭者,台灣自行車與E-Bike相關製造商。
  • Specialized 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;美國自行車品牌,未上市。
  • Trek 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;美國自行車品牌,未上市。
  • Accell Group 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;歐洲自行車集團,非台股掛牌。
  • Pon Group 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;荷蘭集團,非台股掛牌。
  • Cube 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;德國自行車品牌,非台股掛牌。
  • Tenways 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;E-Bike品牌,非台股掛牌。
  • Cowboy 年報列為E-Bike競爭者;歐洲E-Bike品牌,非台股掛牌。
Sources(11)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.