Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2536 宏普. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2536

No install, open FinLab Studio

2536

宏普 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 宏普 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 98Quality 51Growth 98Momentum 15Chips 53

Is 宏普 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 73th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.4%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 2th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 18th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.8% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 367.4%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.33
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 新光 holds 1,197 lots
  • sellers have 391 lots left, ~297 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 新光 has accumulated 1,197 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 富邦-敦南 peaked at 166 lots, has sold 25%, 124 left, ~124 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.19pp, mid holders +1, retail +0.30pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -919 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
新光台灣摩根士丹利永豐金-信義凱基-中山元大-大益元大-東泰
Distributing
富邦-敦南永全證券美商高盛永豐金-南京臺銀-臺中國票-博愛
Desks
own scale
國票-安和國票-長城宏遠-館前宏遠證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 新光 +1,197
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +865
    sold 19%· still adding
  • 永豐金-信義 +819
    sold 1%
  • 凱基-中山 +496
    sold 0%
  • 元大-大益 +388
    sold 0%
  • 元大-東泰 +349
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 富邦-敦南 124 left
    sold 25%· ~124 sessions to clear
  • 永全證券 89 left
    sold 40%· ~297 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 74 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-南京 108 left
    sold 26%· ~98 sessions to clear
  • 臺銀-臺中 51 left
    sold 40%· paused recently
  • 國票-博愛 8 left
    sold 90%· ~80 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 國票-安和 -2,062
    unclassified
  • 國票-長城 -1,953
    unclassified
  • 宏遠-館前 -1,422
    unclassified
  • 宏遠證券 -1,124
    unclassified
Still selling 391 lots ~297 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,399 absorbed / -135 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -475 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 367.43%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

114 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 42.4%, Sample 99, Median -1.1%, Excess -0.75%, Beat mkt rate 39.4%；60-day: Win 43.4%, Sample 99, Median -0.63%, Excess -3.55%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%；120-day: Win 48%, Sample 98, Median -0.82%, Excess -6.2%, Beat mkt rate 37.8%

120 days after: historical avg +1.51%

20-day -0.26%
60-day -0.35%
120-day +1.51%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.4%
43.4%
48%
Sample
99
99
98
Median
-1.1%
-0.63%
-0.82%
Excess
-0.75%
-3.55%
-6.2%
Beat mkt rate
39.4%
36.4%
37.8%

Over 98 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.51%, lagged the market by 6.2 pts; win rate 48%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here671+5.9% +0.5% 51.4% -5.1%
20-40 55+3.1% +4.5% 78.2% +1%
40-60 395+4% +0.4% 51.6% -14%
60-80 482-3.2% -3.3% 39.8% -30.9%
80-100 895+11% +5.6% 56.8% -14.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 6.47, at the 17.9th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+3.8%
Win rate 60.4% Excess -0.9%
407d
-2.6%
Win rate 27.9% Excess -14%
290d
+5.1%
Win rate 47.8% Excess -4.9%
691d
60-day momentum down
Now
+5.9%
Win rate 54.8% Excess 0%
281d
-0.1%
Win rate 38.9% Excess -12%
329d
+1.7%
Win rate 44.4% Excess -14.4%
620d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 281 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5.9%, win rate 54.8%, lagged the market by 0%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.05%, win rate 53.8%, beating the market by -4.5 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

47 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.77%, win rate 53.2%, beating the market by -2.9 pts on average.

What does 宏普 do? Company profile

建材營造業／營建 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

宏普建設股份有限公司為台灣上市普通股，股票簡稱「宏普」。公司成立於1988年10月5日，公開發行日期為1991年3月23日，掛牌上市日期為1996年3月14日。總部位於台北市大安區敦化南路二段19號9樓。依公司與市場資料，實收資本額為新台幣3,328,086,520元，已發行普通股332,808,652股。董事長法人為華展投資股份有限公司，法人代表游武龍；總經理為游武龍；發言人為詹俊炫，代理發言人為劉寶姝。公司2025年股東會年報揭露，114年4月20日員工合計39人，其中職員22人、工程人員17人；113年度員工37人。主要股東包括華展投資股份有限公司60,041,745股、18.04%；富達投資股份有限公司59,182,040股、17.78%；德商德意志銀行台北分行受託保管德州教師退休系統投資專戶14,994,491股、4.51%；邱念邦13,799,000股、4.15%；三豐建設股份有限公司8,100,000股、2.43%；大虹投資股份有限公司7,839,000股、2.36%；台班投資股份有限公司7,166,738股、2.15%；冨益投資股份有限公司4,581,077股、1.38%；同昌投資股份有限公司4,330,028股、1.30%；益利投資股份有限公司3,708,661股、1.11%。

Business

宏普主要業務為委託營造廠商興建國民住宅、商業大樓、廠辦及相關不動產之出租與出售，並涵蓋建材與工程材料代理買賣、室內裝潢、景觀工程、辦公大樓與廠房出租、公共建設投資興建等登記業務。依2025年股東會年報，營業比重以「委託營造廠商興建國民住宅大樓之出租、出售業務」為主，市場以內銷為主，佔100%。主要產品包括公寓、住宅大樓、店面、商場、套房、停車位、廠辦等；近三年度業務以住宅電梯大樓或廠辦電梯大樓為主，推案重心在雙北與桃園，選地偏好交通便捷、生活機能完整、具未來發展潛力的地段。113年度主要營收來源包含「宏普頤和」、「宏普中央公園」成屋交屋與部分道路地出售、「宏普時尚苑」預售完工交屋，以及「和苑三井花園飯店」、「宏普世貿」等收益型資產租金收入。113年度合併營收淨額為新台幣2,449,455千元，較112年度3,233,143千元減少；113年度銷貨收入2,269,778千元、租賃收入179,677千元。商業模式具建設業典型特徵：透過自行開發或合建取得土地，委託營造廠施工，搭配廣告企劃與銷售通路銷售予不特定個人或法人，部分商辦與飯店資產則保留出租以創造長期現金流。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望可分為交屋認列高峰、收益型資產、土地庫存與房市政策風險四個面向。公司年報對114年度規劃指出，2025年營收將以「宏普時代苑」、「宏普 Garden Park」完工交屋為目標，搭配「宏普時尚苑」成屋入帳，以及「和苑三井花園飯店」、「宏普世貿」等收益型資產租金收入，預期營收與獲利較以前年度增加。2025年股東會報導指出，公司進入完工交屋潮，「宏普時代苑」與央北「宏普中央公園」二期兩案合計總銷約100億元且均已完銷，另有「宏普時尚苑」成屋可銷售入帳；董事長表示在手土地庫存足以支應未來4年推案，近年採保守經營且已4年未購地，但仍會布局都更、危老、合建，主力區域為雙北與桃園。2026年5月單月合併營收公告為新台幣4,047,444千元、年增367.43%，累計2026年1至5月營收4,975,531千元、年增58.18%，備註為預售完工交屋及租金收入，顯示交屋認列仍是短中期營收波動主因。媒體與市場資料提及後續可能關注2027年北投陽明案、2028年時晴苑與後續中央公園三期等個案，但個案總銷與完工時程除官方已公告或年報列示工程契約外，仍應視銷售、工期、使用執照與交屋進度確認。產業趨勢方面，剛性自住與長期置產客戶仍是主要需求來源，基北北桃人口與產業聚落支撐區域需求；公司策略包含健康綠建築、智慧住宅、制震隔震耐震工法、鋁模與帷幕牆施工品質提升，以及長期收益資產開發。主要風險包括央行選擇性信用管制、銀行房貸成數下降與利率上升、交易量與去化速度放慢、精華區土地取得困難、土地與營建成本飆漲、房地合一稅與平均地權條例等政策影響、交屋時點造成營收與獲利高度波動，以及建案工期、成本控制、天候與法規變動風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 建國工程股份有限公司 5515 年報列示為主要供應商及重要工程合約當事人之一，承攬宏普建案大樓新建工程；台股上市櫃營造公司。
  • 聖暉工程科技股份有限公司 5536 年報列示為重要工程合約當事人之一，承攬機電工程；台股上市櫃工程公司。
  • 久年營造股份有限公司 年報列示為主要供應商，113年度進貨金額650,879千元、占進貨淨額26.10%；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 金藏營造股份有限公司 年報列示為主要供應商，113年度進貨金額425,260千元、占進貨淨額17.05%，並為多項大樓新建工程合約當事人；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 國耀營造股份有限公司 年報列示為112年度主要供應商及工程合約當事人之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 辰豐營造股份有限公司 年報列示為112年度主要供應商及重要工程合約當事人之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 漢振機電股份有限公司 年報列示為機電工程合約當事人；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 橋正機電股份有限公司 年報列示為機電工程合約當事人；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
Downstream
  • 不特定個人與法人購屋客戶 年報說明公司因行業特性並無固定銷售對象，主要銷貨客戶以其他客戶合計100%列示，終端為住宅、店面、商辦、停車位等購買者。
  • 台灣三井不動產相關事業 宏普與台灣三井不動產合資子公司三橋建設推出「J PARK」預售案，並有「和苑三井花園飯店」提供租賃收益；台灣三井不動產非台股上市櫃公司。
  • 廣告企劃與銷售通路 年報產業關聯圖列示下游由廣告企劃公司代為銷售至不特定個人或法人；未列特定台股上市櫃公司。
  • 商辦與飯店租戶、旅宿消費者 收益型資產如「宏普世貿」與「和苑三井花園飯店」貢獻租金收入，終端需求來自承租戶、飯店營運與旅宿消費；未列特定台股上市櫃公司。

Competitors

Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.