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6125

廣運 Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal

Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 廣運 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 廣運 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 15th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.5%.
Valuation is high.PE is in the 98th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 89th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.5% of volume (net buy).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 79.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Neutral -0.07

BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
凱基-台北 holds 3,813 lots
sellers have 2,858 lots left, ~57 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -14% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 3,813 lots since the start (sold 16%), now trimming.
Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 2,173 lots, has sold 47%, 1,143 left, ~22 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.83pp, mid holders -7, retail +0.98pp — concentration shifting upward.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,629 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

凱基-台北富邦-內湖富邦-建國富邦-公益富邦-陽明元大-大里

Distributing

美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利美林新加坡商瑞銀港商野村富邦-板橋

Desks

own scale

富邦證券摩根大通港商麥格理永豐金-匯立

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

凱基-台北 +3,813

sold 16%
富邦-內湖 +1,066

sold 0%· still adding
富邦-建國 +888

sold 0%
富邦-公益 +763

sold 0%· still adding
富邦-陽明 +417

sold 5%· still adding
元大-大里 +387

sold 0%

Distributing

美商高盛 1,143 left

sold 47%· ~22 sessions to clear
台灣摩根士丹利 525 left

sold 68%· ~15 sessions to clear
美林 1,035 left

sold 33%· paused recently
新加坡商瑞銀 362 left

sold 73%· ~6 sessions to clear
港商野村 385 left

sold 40%· ~37 sessions to clear
富邦-板橋 64 left

sold 86%· ~36 sessions to clear

Desks

富邦證券 -1,638

unclassified
摩根大通 -1,328

hedge desk · will cover
港商麥格理 -1,177

hedge desk · will cover
永豐金-匯立 -828

unclassified

Still selling 2,858 lots ~57 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +1,004 absorbed / -1,833 sold sellers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -1,534 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 79.19%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

87 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)

120 days after: historical avg +1.82%

20-day +1.36%

60-day +5.36%

120-day +1.82%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

49.3%

35.8%

Sample

Median

-1.09%

-0.85%

-2.27%

Excess

-0.07%

+0.56%

-6.19%

Beat mkt rate

39.4%

40.6%

20.9%

Over 67 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.82%, lagged the market by 6.19 pts; win rate 35.8%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 +144.3%

20-40 +151.6%

40-60 +79.3%

60-80 +33.5%

80-100 +22.7% Now

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	347	+144.3%	+116.2%	100%	+98.4%
20-40	62	+151.6%	+180.9%	100%	+112.1%
40-60	254	+79.3%	+61.5%	80.7%	+37.5%
60-80	313	+33.5%	+31.4%	69.3%	-8.6%
80-100 You are here	57	+22.7%	+34.9%	71.9%	-22.9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 433.57, at the 89.3th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+52.4%

Win rate 85.7% Excess +33.6%

230d

+51.1%

Win rate 65.5% Excess +37.4%

229d

Now

-10.8%

Win rate 23.4% Excess -30.3%

184d

60-day momentum down

+75.2%

Win rate 98.7% Excess +43.1%

149d

+48.4%

Win rate 81.2% Excess +27.7%

202d

-14.6%

Win rate 14.5% Excess -48.2%

159d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 184 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 10.8%, win rate 23.4%, lagged the market by 30.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.64%, win rate 33.3%, beating the market by +11.07 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

72 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.23%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +4.28 pts on average.

What does 廣運 do? Company profile

電機機械／自動化設備／智慧物流系統整合上櫃

Overview

6125 對應廣運機械工程股份有限公司，為台灣櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司成立於 1976/07/12，掛牌上櫃日為 2002/01/23，總部登記地址為新北市瑞芳區瑞芳工業區頂坪路69號，另公司網站列示台北南港辦公聯絡地址。依 Yahoo 股市 2026/01/21 基本資料，董事長為謝明凱、總經理為柯智鈞、發言人為沈麗娟、股務代理為統一綜合證券，股本為新台幣 2,590,111,500 元，已發行普通股 259,011,150 股，主要經營業務為整廠自動化物流系統整合之工程服務。依 2024 年年報，工廠包含瑞芳廠、高雄廠、中壢廠、平鎮廠；截至 2025/03/31 從業員工合計 993 人。公司網站 2026/03/23 股東資訊列示主要股東包含唯新投資代表人謝清福 7.82%、謝清福 5.51%、兆城投資代表人白周煌 5.18%、林月珍 3.99%、白周煌 1.77%、湯文萬 0.92%、外資保管專戶與謝明凱等。廣運旗下及關聯投資包括太極能源、盛新材料、金運科技等，近年集團布局延伸至太陽能、碳化矽材料與 AI 資料中心液冷散熱。

Business

廣運核心商業模式是專案型系統整合與設備工程，依客戶場域需求設計、製造、安裝與維護整廠自動化物流、智慧製造、輸送、自動倉儲、堆棧、AGV/AMR、戰情中心與公共工程相關系統。公司 2024 年年報揭露 2024 年合併營收比重：自動化設備 51.28%、太陽能產品 38.33%、電子零組件 4.49%、建材類營建 5.22%、其他 0.68%；MoneyDJ 依產品分類整理則指出整廠自動化物流系統約 74%、太陽能電池約 12%、電子零組件約 8%、建材類營建約 4%，兩者口徑可能因分類與合併範圍不同而異。主要產品與服務包含自動倉儲系統、物流中心整廠自動化、工業 4.0、智慧物流、半導體自動物料搬送 AMHS、第三代半導體 SiC 製程真空加熱／長晶相關設備、液冷散熱系統與 AI 資料中心熱管理方案。終端應用涵蓋大型物流中心、TFT-LCD/PDP/OLED、太陽能、一般電子、塑化、食品、公家機關、半導體先進製程／先進封裝、機場行李處理、軌道交通資訊系統、資料中心與 AI 伺服器散熱。2024 年銷售區域依年報為內銷約 55.75%、外銷約 44.25%，外銷包含美國／加拿大、中國大陸、香港及其他地區；MoneyDJ 另以 2024 年更新整理為內銷 81%、外銷 19%，此處以年報表格為主，差異列入 notes。主要客戶多因年報以代號 AB、AE 或客戶群方式揭露，未完整公開名稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028 展望重點有三條主線。第一，智慧製造、智慧物流與公共工程：公司 2026/06 COMPUTEX 受訪資料顯示在手訂單達 65 億元，涵蓋智慧製造與物流、半導體物流、公共工程，預計於 2027-2028 陸續認列；2026 年初中央社／經濟日報報導亦稱在手訂單約 60 億元、能見度達 2028 年，2026 年營收可望雙位數成長。重要工程包含桃園國際機場第三航廈行李處理系統、機捷 A14 車站行李處理設備、第二航廈行李暫存區及北登機廊廳行李輸送系統、國家圖書館物流中心，以及台鐵傾斜式車廂 CCTV 與旅客資訊系統更新標案。第二，半導體物流與第三代半導體：2026 年以來半導體物流接單占比由約 10% 提升至約 30%，受惠台灣先進製程與先進封裝擴建需求；關聯公司盛新材料布局 SiC 基板，2026 年規劃 12 吋碳化矽基板開發，若驗證與放量順利，對廣運的半導體設備與材料投資敘事有加分，但仍需留意技術驗證期長、資本支出高與客戶導入不確定性。第三，AI 資料中心液冷：子公司金運科技承接熱傳事業，產品包含液對氣、液對液、兩相浸沒式、CDU、In-Row CDU、熱模擬、能源管理與資料中心整體解決方案；公開報導稱金運 2025 年營收約 5 億元、2026 年目標挑戰約 13 億元，2.5MW 液冷 CDU 預計 2026 年進入量產或交付時程，並規劃公開發行與興櫃。產業趨勢上，AI GPU 機櫃功耗提升、CSP 建置高密度資料中心、液冷滲透率上升，皆有利於 CDU、分歧管、冷板、系統整合與熱管理工程需求。主要風險包括：專案驗收與收入認列遞延、公共工程毛利率與成本控制、液冷產品可靠度認證與量產良率、國際大廠與台廠競爭、關鍵零組件仍部分依賴進口、太陽能供需過剩與美國反傾銷／反補貼政策、子公司 IPO 與資金募集時程不確定、2024 年公司曾因資產減損導致虧損，財務波動仍需追蹤。

Supply Chain

Upstream

JINKO SOLAR (VIETNAM) 2024 年年報揭露為 2024 年進貨占比超過 10% 的供應商之一；屬晶科能源越南子公司，母公司為中國太陽能企業且非台股上市櫃公司。
Retek 2024 年年報揭露為進貨占比超過 10% 的供應商之一；未能以公開資料確認其是否為台股上市櫃公司，故 stock_id 填 null。
國內鋼材、不鏽鋼、鋁料、馬達、減速機、變頻器、氣壓缸、PLC、電氣箱、皮帶／滾筒／鏈條、齒輪、阻擋器、開關與電腦系統供應商年報列示為整廠自動化物流系統主要原材料與零組件來源，多由國內廠商供應；未逐一揭露公司名稱。
日本、德國特殊材料與設備供應商年報指出少數特殊材料由日本、德國等國外進口；未揭露具體公司名稱，屬非台股或未確認供應商。

Downstream

桃園國際機場股份有限公司公共工程與機場行李處理系統下游客戶／業主；非台股上市櫃公司。
國營臺灣鐵路股份有限公司 2026 年報導指出廣運取得台鐵傾斜式車廂 CCTV 及旅客資訊系統更新標案，屬軌道交通系統整合下游客戶；非台股上市櫃公司。
國家圖書館公開報導列為廣運推進之物流中心相關工程業主；政府機關，非上市櫃公司。
中華郵政股份有限公司歷史報導列為公共工程／物流自動化相關案源之一；國營事業，非台股上市櫃公司。
雲端服務商與 AI 資料中心業者金運科技液冷 CDU、熱模擬、能源管理及資料中心整體解決方案的目標下游客戶；多數實際客戶未公開，部分為海外 CSP 或資料中心開發商。
鴻海 2317 公開報導指其出席金運 AI 液冷新品活動，屬 AI 伺服器供應鏈潛在合作／生態系對象；未等同確認為廣運直接客戶。
廣達 2382 公開報導指其出席金運 AI 液冷新品活動，屬 AI 伺服器 ODM 生態系潛在合作對象；未等同確認為直接客戶。
英業達 2356 公開報導指其出席金運 AI 液冷新品活動，屬 AI 伺服器 ODM 生態系潛在合作對象；未等同確認為直接客戶。
仁寶 2324 公開報導指其出席金運 AI 液冷新品活動，屬 AI 伺服器 ODM 生態系潛在合作對象；未等同確認為直接客戶。
華碩 2357 公開報導指其出席金運 AI 液冷新品活動，屬 AI 伺服器／系統品牌生態系潛在合作對象；未等同確認為直接客戶。

Competitors

高僑 6234 自動化設備與物流系統相關同業，MoneyDJ 列為廣運自動化設備競爭廠商之一。
均豪 5443 自動化設備、半導體／面板設備相關同業，MoneyDJ 列為自動化設備與工業機器人競爭者之一。
東捷 8064 自動化設備與系統整合相關同業，MoneyDJ 列為廣運自動化設備競爭廠商之一。
盟立 2464 自動化、物流與工業控制系統整合廠，MoneyDJ 列為工業機器人相關競爭者之一。
FANUC 日本上市工業機器人與自動化大廠，非台股上市櫃公司。
高力 8996 液冷 CDU／熱交換與伺服器液冷供應鏈競爭者。
雙鴻 3324 伺服器散熱、水冷板、CDU、分歧管等液冷散熱競爭者。
奇鋐 3017 伺服器散熱、水冷板與液冷模組競爭者。
台達電 2308 資料中心電源、散熱、風扇、能源管理與系統整合大廠，可能在 AI 資料中心散熱與能源管理領域競爭。
吉茂 1587 切入伺服器液冷 CDU 相關產品，屬液冷散熱供應鏈競爭者。
晟銘電 3013 液冷機櫃、液冷散熱系統與機構件供應鏈競爭者。
精成科 6191 PCB 基板加工與組裝同業，MoneyDJ 列為廣運電子加工組裝業務同業之一。
台表科 6278 電子加工組裝同業，MoneyDJ 列為 PCB 基板加工及組裝同業之一。
台灣精星 8183 電子加工組裝同業，MoneyDJ 列為 PCB 基板加工及組裝同業之一。

Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.