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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6264 富裔. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6264

6264

富裔 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 富裔 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 35Quality 5Growth 97Momentum 15Chips 57

Is 富裔 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 2th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -3.6%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 96th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 85th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 226.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.28
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大-木柵 holds 574 lots
  • sellers have 149 lots left, ~160 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -14% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-木柵 has accumulated 574 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 富邦-板橋 peaked at 196 lots, has sold 58%, 82 left, ~8 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.64pp, mid holders -2, retail +0.06pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -7 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-木柵群益金鼎-西松玉山-士林國泰-敦南玉山證券土銀
Distributing
富邦-板橋群益金鼎-崇德大昌-新店(牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐富邦-竹北元大-敦南
Desks
own scale
元大-土城元大-楊梅中國信託-新竹致和-崇德
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-木柵 +574
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎-西松 +271
    sold 1%
  • 玉山-士林 +242
    sold 2%
  • 國泰-敦南 +230
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山證券 +210
    sold 0%
  • 土銀 +177
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 富邦-板橋 82 left
    sold 58%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-崇德 10 left
    sold 83%· ~2 sessions to clear
  • 大昌-新店 32 left
    sold 26%· ~160 sessions to clear
  • (牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐 20 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 富邦-竹北 20 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 元大-敦南 11 left
    sold 48%· ~11 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-土城 -448
    unclassified
  • 元大-楊梅 -431
    unclassified
  • 中國信託-新竹 -243
    unclassified
  • 致和-崇德 -240
    unclassified
Still selling 149 lots ~160 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +405 absorbed / -175 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 226.06%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

90 historical occurrences (since 2011-01-10)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 40.4%, Sample 89, Median -1.47%, Excess -0.07%, Beat mkt rate 33.7%;60-day: Win 40.9%, Sample 88, Median -2.76%, Excess -3.35%, Beat mkt rate 31.8%;120-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 88, Median -4.71%, Excess -8.72%, Beat mkt rate 33%

120 days after: historical avg -1.79%

20-day +0.96%
60-day +0.13%
120-day -1.79%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40.4%
40.9%
36.4%
Sample
89
88
88
Median
-1.47%
-2.76%
-4.71%
Excess
-0.07%
-3.35%
-8.72%
Beat mkt rate
33.7%
31.8%
33%

Over 88 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.79%, lagged the market by 8.72 pts; win rate 36.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 75+38.8% +39.1% 100% -72.2%
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 165.4, at the 85.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+22%
Win rate 100% Excess -70.6%
42d
Insufficient data
(0d)
+31.6%
Win rate 100% Excess -72.3%
32d
60-day momentum down
+15.5%
Win rate 94.6% Excess -4.7%
92d
Insufficient data
(0d)
Now
Insufficient data
(26d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.27%, win rate 43.8%, beating the market by +7.06 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg -11.78%, win rate 0%, beating the market by -15.48 pts on average.

What does 富裔 do? Company profile

建材營造業/營建業/建設業 上櫃

Overview

6264 為櫃買中心上櫃普通股,證券名稱富裔。公司設立於 1997-07-02,2004-02-24 上櫃,總部位於台北市信義區松仁路277號18樓。董事長兼總經理為祝文定;公司網站為 www.kingland.com.tw。依 114 年法人說明會,公司截至當時資本額為新台幣 1,363,553 仟元;Yahoo 股市揭露股本 1,363,552,910 元、已發行普通股 136,355,291 股。114 年股東會年報揭露 114-04-22 流通在外普通股 136,355,291 股,其中包含未掛牌買賣私募股 58,500,000 股。員工規模:112 年 38 人、113 年 35 人、114-03-31 為 43 人。主要股東依 114-04-22 年報:祝文定 18.18%、順捷投資 8.68%、亞瑟士國際工程 8.56%、蔡佩珍 3.94%、仰山林廣告 3.85%、甲上林廣告 3.79%、福帝開發 3.28%、快易投資 2.30%、洪耀坤 1.65%、德礎生物科技 1.64%。113 年度因仍有稅後累積虧損,董事會決議不分配股利。關係企業包含捍強建築科技、快意管理顧問、財悅投資、富永營造、富裔菱建設、馥域建設開發、江陰金禧國際貿易等;其中富永營造持股 51.70%,富裔菱建設持股 60%,快意管理顧問 100%。

Business

富裔核心業務為住宅及大樓開發租售、都市土地與危老都更建案之開發興建與銷售、公共工程承攬、景觀設計、建築材料供應買賣及觀光旅宿;年報也列有生物科技產品研發及買賣、各類商品貿易等項目,但近年營運主軸明顯集中在營建、都更危老、營造與旅宿管理。113 年合併營業收入 200,202 仟元,較 112 年 212,744 仟元減少 5.90%;營業毛利 54,072 仟元,營業損失 49,193 仟元,本期淨利 3,971 仟元,EPS 0.05 元,終止前期虧損但本業仍虧損。113 年營收結構:營建類收入 154,159 仟元、占 77.00%;勞務類收入 9,906 仟元、占 4.95%;其他類收入 36,137 仟元、占 18.05%。114 年 Q3 法說揭露近五年營收:110 年 593,987 仟元、111 年 767,098 仟元、112 年 212,744 仟元、113 年 200,202 仟元、114 年 Q3 44,479 仟元;114 年 Q3 當期淨損 84,783 仟元、EPS -0.68 元,顯示建案認列時間造成營收與獲利波動大。最新可查月營收方面,2026 年 5 月合併營收 21,752 仟元、年增 226.07%,2026 年 1-5 月累計營收 52,234 仟元、年增 58.64%。商業模式為取得土地或與地主合建/都更/危老整合,透過建築設計、營造、銷售、代銷與旅館管理等垂直整合創造利潤;子公司富永營造負責營建施工與公共工程,快意管理顧問負責旅館及代銷,富裔菱建設為與三菱地所相關合作之建設平台。主要開發/銷售個案包含富裔巨蛋、松裔、國王雙子星、富裔大湖、泉隱村、神隱村、迪化街都更、至誠路 A/B 區都更等。113 年主要銷貨客戶依年報以遮蔽名稱揭露,包括桃○市 99,318 仟元、占 49.61%,吳○遠 49,874 仟元、占 24.91%,其他 51,010 仟元、占 25.48%;114 年截至前一季止主要銷貨含海○署北部分署 6,091 仟元、占 39.09%。終端應用為台北市核心區住宅、危老都更住宅、溫泉度假住宅、公共工程及旅宿服務。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028 展望以個案認列與都更危老進度為主,不宜用一般製造業線性成長模型評估。公司在 114 年股東會年報預估 114 年全年營業收入 320,541 仟元,主因數件個案可認列收益;但 114 年 Q3 法說顯示前三季營收僅 44,479 仟元、淨損 84,783 仟元,代表認列時點仍是最大變數。成長動能包括:1. 富裔巨蛋,年報揭露 114/3 取得旅館變更住宅圖審核定並動工,原預計 114/9 完工、總銷約 13 億元、預期全數出售毛利約 3 億元;114 年 12 月法說更新為 114 年 11 月完工報竣,預定 115 年第一季變更使用核准過戶完成,若順利過戶將成為 2026 年重要獲利來源。2. 松裔,信義區都更/合資案,111/10 取得建照、112/10 動工,年報預計 116Q4 完工,總銷約 45 億元、富裔分回約 9 億元;法說揭露與台灣三菱地所合資、全案總銷 8.9 億元,差異可能源於口徑不同,需以後續公告為準。3. 國王雙子星,大同區台北車站/雙子星周邊危老案,年報揭露 113/4 動工、118Q4 完工、總銷約 95 億元、分回約 36 億元、預期全數出售毛利約 7 億元;114 年法說揭露總銷 34.0 億元、113 年 9 月動工、預售中。4. 富裔大湖,內湖海砂屋都更案,年報預計 114/5 都更核定、114/8 取得建照拆照、114/12 動工、118Q4 完工、總銷約 64 億元、分回約 31 億元、預期毛利約 6 億元;114 年法說更新為 114 年第二季都市更新計畫核准,預定 115 年第一季取得建照並公開銷售,總銷 31.6 億元。5. 迪化街、至誠路 A 區、至誠路 B 區等都更案,法說列示預估總銷分別約 14.2 億元、16.6 億元、15.8 億元,銷售或完工多落在 116-118 年區間。6. 富永營造承接基隆嶼海巡署安檢所新建工程,工程造價約 0.44 億元,113/11/25 開工,預計 115Q1 取得使照。產業趨勢方面,年報指出台北市屋齡 30 年以上住宅占比高,危老條例後都更危老案量增加,雙北土地稀缺使合建與都更成為土地取得重點;產品趨勢聚焦低總價、小坪數、二至三房,以及高品牌力、優地段、可及性佳的住宅。潛在風險包括:建照、都更核定、拆照、使照與過戶時程延遲;預售與銷售率不如預期;房市信用管制、房地合一稅、央行限貸、利率與買氣變動;營建成本、工期與缺工;小型建商財務槓桿與背書保證壓力;關係企業資金調度;泉隱村歷史消費爭議雖公司稱已和解但仍需觀察品牌影響。年報並揭露曾有對子公司資金貸與本期最高餘額超限,已於 113/3/29 董事會提出改善計畫並調降額度。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 地主/都更危老整合對象 非單一公司;為公司取得雙北土地資源的主要來源,透過合建、協議都更、危老重建等模式取得開發案。
  • 德○開發 113 年度年報遮蔽揭露之主要進貨供應商,金額 89,780 仟元、占 35.71%;名稱已遮蔽,無法確認是否為上市櫃公司。
  • 豐○營造 113 年度年報遮蔽揭露之主要進貨供應商,金額 78,085 仟元、占 31.05%;名稱已遮蔽,無法確認是否為上市櫃公司。
  • 莘○建設 114 年度截至前一季止年報遮蔽揭露之主要進貨供應商,金額 25,549 仟元、占 37.00%;名稱已遮蔽,無法確認是否為上市櫃公司。
  • 富永營造股份有限公司 富裔持股 51.70% 之子公司,未上市櫃;負責綜合營造、支援母公司建案施工、控制品管與成本,也承接公共工程。
  • 建築師、景觀設計師、合格營造廠、建材供應商 年報說明公司屬建設業,營造工程發包予合格營造廠,並與知名建築師及景觀設計團隊合作;多數供應商未具名。
  • 三菱地所株式會社/台灣三菱地所 日本企業/台灣子公司,非台股掛牌;富裔菱建設股東及松裔案合作方,三菱地所代表持有富裔菱建設 40%。
  • 亞瑟士國際工程股份有限公司 未上市櫃;富裔主要股東之一,並與富裔存在背書保證關係,屬關係企業/合作體系,但具體供應內容需進一步查證。
Downstream
  • 個人購屋客/自住客/置產客 住宅、危老都更、溫泉度假住宅之最終買方;年報指出市場以自住客及置產客為主。
  • 桃○市 113 年主要銷貨客戶遮蔽名稱,推測為桃園市政府相關公共工程業主;年報揭露銷貨 99,318 仟元、占 49.61%,無法確認完整名稱。
  • 海洋委員會海巡署北部分署 政府機關,非上市櫃公司;基隆嶼海巡署安檢所新建工程業主,法說揭露工程造價約 0.44 億元。
  • 吳○遠 113 年主要銷貨客戶遮蔽姓名,銷貨 49,874 仟元、占 24.91%;應為個人購屋客,非上市櫃公司。
  • 快意管理顧問股份有限公司 富裔 100% 子公司,未上市櫃;負責旅館營運、代銷預售建案神隱村,並結合集團建設事業作行銷與裝潢業務。
  • 甲上林廣告股份有限公司 未上市櫃;富裔主要股東之一,董事長祝文定亦任該公司董事長,推測與建案行銷銷售體系相關,但具體交易需以公告為準。

Competitors

Sources(12)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.